Articles included
The initial search resulted in 5,259 records from the Cochrane Library, Embase, and PubMed. Among them, 1594 studies were deleted as duplicate records, and 251 potential studies were identified as full-text reviews. Among them, the single-arm test was excluded because of the lack of a control group. Nine RCTs involving 4754 patients met the inclusion criteria and were included in this meta-analysis. Figure 2 details the selection process. Publication bias detection was performed for OS analysis. The funnel plot showed there may be incomplete symmetry; therefore, we conducted the Egger's test (Figure 3(A)). The Egger's test (|P| = 0.656 >0.05) showed no publication bias.
Effectiveness
OS of Nivolumab plus Ipilimumab or Nivolumab alone
Compared with chemotherapy, Nivolumab monotherapy benefited OS (Figure 4(A), HR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.65–0.94, I2=71.4%, P=0.007), and the combination of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab also had a beneficial effect compared with that of Nivolumab monotherapy (Figure 4(A), HR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.85–1.08, I2=0.0%, P=0.726). A direct comparison using ICT showed the OS of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab combination therapy compared with that of chemotherapy (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60–0.93). Heterogeneity of the Nivolumab monotherapy group was I2>50%. Sensitivity analysis was performed, which suggested that Carbone's (2019) study may be the source of heterogeneity (Figure 3(B-a)). Acceptable heterogeneity was obtained when Carbone's (2019) study was excluded (Figure 4(B), HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.83, I2=31.4%, P=0.224). A direct comparison using ICT showed the OS of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab combination therapy compared with that of chemotherapy (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.60–0.84).
PFS of Nivolumab plus Ipilimumab and Nivolumab alone
Compared with chemotherapy, Nivolumab monotherapy benefited PFS (Figure 5(A), HR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.72–1.05, I2=73.0%, P=0.005), and the combination of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab also was beneficial compared with that of Nivolumab monotherapy (Figure 5(A), HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.76–0.98, I2=21.3%, P=0.282). A direct comparison using ICT showed the PFS of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab combination therapy compared with that of chemotherapy (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60–0.93). The heterogeneity of the Nivolumab monotherapy groups was I2>50%. Sensitivity analysis was performed, suggesting that Carbone's (2019) study may be the source of heterogeneity (Figure 3(B-b)). Acceptable heterogeneity was obtained when Carbone's (2019) study was excluded (Figure 5(B), HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.69–0.94, I2=46.6%, P=0.131). A direct comparison using ICT showed the PFS of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab combination therapy compared with that of chemotherapy (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.570.85).
ORR of Nivolumab plus Ipilimumab or Nivolumab alone
The Nivolumab monotherapy group had a higher ORR than the chemotherapy group (Figure 6, RR:1.43, 95% CI: 0.91–2.25, I2=85.4%, P=0.000), and the ORR of Nivolumab combined with Ipilimumab was higher than that of Nivolumab monotherapy (Figure 6, RR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.12–1.70, I2=12.2%, P=0.332. A direct comparison using ICT showed the ORR of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab combination therapy compared with that of chemotherapy (RR: 1.97, 95% CI: 1.20–3.25). The heterogeneity of the Nivolumab monotherapy groups was I2>50%. We failed to find the source of heterogeneity by sensitivity analysis (Figure 3(B-c)). Meta-regression was conducted to detect the source of heterogeneity, which may be related to the PS score of patients in the study. Meta-regression results showed the more people with a high PS score in a given study, the better the ORR.
Subgroup Meta-analysis
The HRs in this analysis of OS favored immunotherapy across most prespecified subpopulations; the exception was the small cell lung cancer subpopulations (Figure 7). Similar results were shown in the PFS analysis (Figure 7).
- Safety analysis
Compared with chemotherapy grade, Nivolumab exhibited statistical significance in all grades of AEs, high-grade AEs (Table 2), and compared with Nivolumab, Nivolumab combined with Ipilimumab exhibited statistical significance in all grades of AEs and high-grade AEs (Table 3). The overall results showed that the Nivolumab plus Ipilimumab group had a higher risk of adverse events and the Nivolumab group had a lower risk.