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The author confirmed that all appropriate ethical guidelines for the use of human subjects have been followed, any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee review has been obtained, and information about the IRB/ethics committee is included in the manuscript.
The author has confirmed that all necessary patient/participant consent or assent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived. If the IRB/ethics committee waived the requirement for patient/participant consent or assent, an explanation for the waiver is included in the text.
This study involved the use of non-human vertebrates.
The author has confirmed that all appropriate ethical guidelines for the handling and use of animals in research have been followed and details of the oversight board have been included in the text.
The author has confirmed that a statement listing potential conflicts of interest or lack thereof is included in the text.
We study a new fractal model for prediction of contagions of CoViD-19 using experimental data from October 10, 2020 to predict contagions from November until February 2021 in Italy. We obtain that the time of the peak is estimated to be at November 11, 2020 when number of contagions will be about 38489 cases.
Keywords
Covid-19, Fractal modelling, Prediction of contagions
This is a preprint, a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Short Report
Calogero Rinzivillo, Sergio Conte, Francesco Casciaro, Renato Bernardini, Antonio Cascio, Elena Benigni, Ines Paola Monte, Ferda Kaleagasioglu, Fang Wang, Cengiz Mordeniz, Giuseppe Liberti, Corrado Spatola, Elio Conte
Calogero Rinzivillo
Department of Medical-Surgical Sciences, Organs Transplantation and Advanced Technologies -Policlinic of University of Catania, Italy
Sergio Conte
School of Advanced International Studies on Applied Theoretical and non Linear Methodologies of Physics, Bari, Italy
Francesco Casciaro
School of Advanced International Studies on Applied Theoretical and non Linear Methodologies of Physics, Bari, Italy
Renato Bernardini
University of Catania School of Medicine, Italy
Antonio Cascio
University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
Elena Benigni
WONDER (World Organization for Noetic, Dimensional and Evolutionary Research), Rome, Italy
Ines Paola Monte
University of Catania, Italy
Ferda Kaleagasioglu
Istinye University İstanbul, Turkey
Fang Wang
Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha, China
Cengiz Mordeniz
Tekirdag Namik Kemal University, Turkey
Giuseppe Liberti
Cannizzaro Hospital, Catania, Italy
Corrado Spatola
University of Catania, Italy
Elio Conte
School of Advanced International Studies on Applied Theoretical and non Linear Methodologies of Physics, Bari, Italy
The author confirmed that all appropriate ethical guidelines for the use of human subjects have been followed, any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee review has been obtained, and information about the IRB/ethics committee is included in the manuscript.
The author has confirmed that all necessary patient/participant consent or assent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived. If the IRB/ethics committee waived the requirement for patient/participant consent or assent, an explanation for the waiver is included in the text.
This study involved the use of non-human vertebrates.
The author has confirmed that all appropriate ethical guidelines for the handling and use of animals in research have been followed and details of the oversight board have been included in the text.
The author has confirmed that a statement listing potential conflicts of interest or lack thereof is included in the text.
We study a new fractal model for prediction of contagions of CoViD-19 using experimental data from October 10, 2020 to predict contagions from November until February 2021 in Italy. We obtain that the time of the peak is estimated to be at November 11, 2020 when number of contagions will be about 38489 cases.