● Bibliographic Search And Reference Numbers Definition
The definition of reference numbers for calculating the risk of recurrence was carried out with a literature search in the PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and SciELO databases: (((cleft lip and palate) OR (cleft lip)) OR (cleft palate)) AND (recurrence risk)) AND (risk). We found several studies that analyzed the incidence and recurrence of clefts, mainly in American and European populations 1,2, 18–24,29.
● Defining Parameters To Calculate The Recurrence Risk:
Cleft lip and palate incidence for each ancestry were considered as the reference value (Table 1). Thus, 1:2500 was used as a reference in isolated cleft palate for all ancestries.
Table 1
Reference value pattern in cleft lip with or without palate according to ancestry.
|
%
|
Absolute values
1/ number of births
|
Asian
|
0.2
|
1/
|
500
|
Brazil
|
0.15
|
1/
|
650
|
American
|
0.1
|
1/
|
1000
|
European
|
0.1
|
1/
|
1000
|
African
|
0.04
|
1/
|
2500
|
The variables’ incidence, family history, ancestry1,24,, gender, and cleft type were considered to determine the risk calculation using the numbers from Tolarová et al. 29 and the increased risk, according to Tables 2 and 3.
In cases with 2 or more individuals with non-syndromic oral clefts with first degree kinship were considered as autosomal recessive or dominant.
Table 2
Proportional increases in the values in Table 1 in relation to the reference value of the population studied (1:1000).
|
Risk to have a sibling
|
Risk to have a child
|
Cleft type and gender
|
Brother
|
Sister
|
Sibling total
|
Son
|
Daughter
|
Child total
|
Male unilateral
|
22.5
|
13.5
|
18.4
|
49.1
|
22.7
|
36
|
Male bilateral
|
41.7
|
44.1
|
42.9
|
115.4
|
48.8
|
86
|
Female unilateral
|
52.6
|
31.3
|
42.9
|
45.5
|
30.5
|
38
|
Female bilateral
|
157.8
|
71.4
|
121.2
|
172.4
|
76.9
|
127.3
|
Total
|
39.1
|
26.7
|
33.4
|
64.1
|
31.1
|
48.2
|
Table 3
Extra configuration based on Table 2. If there is more than one affected individual in the household, the risk of recurrence changes according to this table. P=parents; S=number of unaffected children R=number of affected children.
Extra configuration / Cleft lip with or without palate
|
If there is history
|
Multiply by
|
M
|
F
|
T
|
|
P0 S1 R1
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.93
|
|
P0 S0 R2
|
It implies autosomal recessive inheritance
|
25%
|
P1 S0 R1
|
It implies autosomal dominant inheritance
|
50%
|
P1 S1 R1
|
It implies autosomal dominant inheritance
|
50%
|
P1 S0 R2
|
It implies autosomal dominant inheritance
|
50%
|
P2 S0 R0
|
7.8
|
9.5
|
8.96
|
|
P2 S0 R1
|
It implies autosomal dominant inheritance
|
50%
|
P2 S1 R1
|
It implies autosomal dominant inheritance
|
50%
|
P2 S0 R2
|
It implies autosomal dominant inheritance
|
50%
|
1- APP development
1.1 - Backend development of the application
After collecting the data by the user requesting the application - explained in point “1.3 - User data collection” - we automated the calculations, aiming to optimize the query result, as well as improve its visualization. Then we used the Node JS environment to implement the API (Application Programming Interface), containing the application logic. By not saving any user data, it is worth noting that we do not work with any database of any kind.
1.2 - Frontend development of the application
In order to build an accessible and inclusive application, we sought to build an environment with colors and designs that work with the application's theme, but we also sought to build a smooth journey for the user. To do so, we used images that work with the lip clefts, and seeking inclusion using (for example) the representation of different ethnic groups. In order to make the application more accessible, we have sought to be as pragmatic as possible with regard to the questions, mostly multiple choice, transforming the user’s journey into a short journey, but which includes all the necessary points for the calculation.
1.3 – User data collection
As shown above, we need some information in order to generate a result. Among them are information on the child’s biological parents, their ethnicity, as well as collecting data relating to the family (to look for a hereditary factor). There is also the collection of the disease history to check if there is any other problem that makes the calculation impossible, as it is a case outside the work curve of the application.
1.4- Documentation stage
Consisted of preparing a term of use for the application and a privacy policy.
After all of these steps, the risk of recurrence is calculated and expressed as a percentage and proportion considering the risk of recurrence in females, males and regardless of gender (total risk).
2- Testing APP
The numbers and the calculation were included in an excel doc and a first automation was tested to validate the numbers using 100 cleft cases that had received genetic counseling with a manual calculation. The app development began after validating the numbers.
The calculation is based on the proportional increase in the risk of recurrence in relation to the risk of the general population, and the proportion of the increase is maintained in changing the population risk (reference value). Thus, the calculations can be performed with the standard reference values (Table 1) or with reference values suggested by the author that best suits the analyzed population.