2.1 Analysis of the general situation of patients with TTTS who underwent FLS
According to Quintero staging system, 18 cases (20.0%) were in TTTS stage I, 19 cases (21.1%) were in TTTS stage II, 37 cases (41.1%) were in TTTS stage III, and 16 cases (17.8%) were in TTTS stage IV. The distribution of gestational age at surgery and gestational age at delivery in 90 cases of TTTS patients after FLS were analyzed. As shown in Figure 1 and Figure 2, the average gestational age at surgery was 22.2±3.3 weeks (range: 16.14-28.86 weeks) and the average gestational age at delivery was 32.1±4.1 weeks (range: 22.57-38.71 weeks). The total live birth rates at delivery during TTTS stage I, II, III, and IV were 94.4%, 76.3%, 66.2%, and 81.2%, respectively. The survival rates of at least one child were 94.4%, 78.9%, 83.8%, and 100%, respectively. The survival rates of twin fetus were 94.4%, 73.7%, 48.6%, 62.5%, respectively. According to Kendall correlation coefficient test, there was no significant difference in the survival rate of at least one child at each stage (P=0.578), while the survival rate of twins had significant prognostic significance (P=0.008) (Figure 3). The correlation between the survival rate of twins and TTTS stage was further analyzed by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The results indicated that the survival rates of twins at TTTS stage III (P=0.008) and TTTS stage IV (P=0.044) were smaller than that at TTTS stage I, and the difference was statistically significant. There was no statistical difference in the survival rates of twins between TTTS stage I and TTTS stage II (P > 0.05) (Table1).
Table 1
Logistic regression analysis of the correlation between twin survival rate and TTTS stage
stages
|
twin survival rate (%)
|
P value
|
Exp(B)
|
95% confidence interval (CI) of Exp(B)
|
TTTS I
|
94.4
|
0.030
|
\
|
\
|
TTTS II
|
73.7
|
0.118
|
0.165
|
0.017-1.579
|
TTTS III
|
48.6
|
0.008
|
0.056
|
0.007-0.463
|
TTTS IV
|
62.5
|
0.044
|
0.098
|
0.010-0.936
|
2.2 Analysis of the risk factors related to preterm delivery in patients after FLS for TTTS
Preoperative indicators: The numbers of patients with preoperative CL < 27.5 mm were 21/37 (56.8%) in group A and 12/53 (22.6%) in group B; Recipient’s AFV > 139.5 mm was 13/37 (35.1%) in group A and 5/53 (9.4%) in group B; The average preoperative CL was 26.5±7.5 mm in group A and 29.1±5.6 mm in group B. The difference analysis between groups suggested that there were statistically significant differences between the two groups in the number of patients with preoperative CL < 27.5 mm (P=0.01), recipient’s AFV > 139.5 mm (P=0.03) and the average preoperative CL (P=0.044). However, there were no significant difference in maternal age, parity, placental previa, preoperative AFV of recipient, concurrent twin anemia-polycythemia sequence (TAPS), selective intrauterine growth restriction (sIUGR) and other indicators between group A and group B. The results were shown in Table 2.
Intraoperative surgical variables: The numbers of patients without cervical cerclage were 31/37 (83.8%) in group A and 51/53 (96.2%) in group B. There was a statistically significant difference in this index between the two groups (P=0.049). However, there were no significant differences in gestational age, trocar diameter distribution (8F/10F), Solomon operation, gel sponge or hemostatic gauze for puncture hole sealing, and average amniotic fluid reduction during surgery. The results are displayed in Table 2.
Postoperative indicators: The number of patients with amniotic fluid leakage were 3/37 (8.1%) in group A and 3/53 (5.7%) in group B; The number of patients with chorioamnionitis were 3/37 (8.1%) in group A and 2/53 (3.8%) in group B; The number of PPROM were 22/37 (59.5%) in group A and 14/53 (26.4%) in group B; The numbers of placental abruption were 8/37 (21.6%) in group A and 1/53 (1.9%) in group B; The numbers of intrauterine deaths in one fetus were 6/37 (16.2%) in group A and 14/53 (26.4%) in group B. Among them, the number of PPROM (P=0.002) and the number of placental abruption (P=0.007) were statistically different between the two groups, while the differences in other indicators were not statistically significant. The results are exhibited in Table 2.
Table 2
The perinatal and surgical characteristics of gestational age < 32 weeks and ≥32 weeks
Variable
|
Among those delivering <32 weeks (n=38)
|
Among those delivering ≥32 weeks (n=52)
|
P value
|
OR(95% CI)
|
Categorical (frequency of characteristic)
|
|
Stage of TTTS I+II / III+IV
|
18/37(48.6%)
|
19/53(35.6%)
|
0.225
|
0.590(0.251-1.387)
|
Multipara
|
20/37(54.1%)
|
25/53(47.2%)
|
0.520
|
1.318(0.568-3.058)
|
Preoperative cervical length <27.5mm
|
21/37(56.8%)
|
12/53(22.6%)
|
0.001
|
4.484(1.796-11.194)
|
Nonposterior placenta
|
23/37(62.2%)
|
24/53(45.3%)
|
0.115
|
1.985(0.843-4.676)
|
Recipient’s AFV >139.5mm
|
13/37(35.1%)
|
5/53(9.4%)
|
0.003
|
5.200(1.660-16.290)
|
Trocar diameter(8F/10F)
|
20/37(54.1%)
|
33/53(62.3%)
|
0.436
|
1.403(0.598-3.289)
|
Solomon
|
28/37(75.7%)
|
31/53(58.5%)
|
0.091
|
2.208(0.872-5.589)
|
Sealing of puncture hole
|
28/37(75.7%)
|
47/53(88.7%)
|
0.103
|
2.518(0.810-7.826)
|
Without cervical cerclage
|
31/37(83.8%)
|
51/53(96.2%)
|
0.049
|
0.203(0.038-1.067)
|
TAPS
|
2/37(5.4%)
|
4/53(7.5%)
|
0.521
|
0.700(0.121-4.036)
|
sIUGR
|
4/37(10.8%)
|
7/53(13.2%)
|
0.438
|
0.797(0.216-2.944)
|
Amniotic fluid leakage
|
3/37(8.1%)
|
3/53(5.7%)
|
0.479
|
1.471(0.280-7.723)
|
Chorioamnionitis
|
3/37(8.1%)
|
2/53(3.8%)
|
0.333
|
2.250(0.357-14.182)
|
Preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM)
|
22/37(59.5%)
|
14/53(26.4%)
|
0.002
|
4.086(1.667-10.013)
|
Placental abruption
|
8/37(21.6%)
|
1/53(1.9%)
|
0.007
|
14.345(1.708-120.457)
|
Single intrauterine fetal death
|
6/37(16.2%)
|
14/53(26.4%)
|
0.252
|
0.539(0.186-1.566)
|
Continuous, mean ±SD Median (range)
|
|
Maternal age, y
|
27.9±4.4
|
28.9±5.3
|
0.278
|
|
Gestational age at surgery, wks
|
22.5±3.1
|
21.9±3.3
|
0.436
|
|
Preoperative AFV of recipient, cm
|
11.9±3.2
|
11.0±2.5
|
0.189
|
|
Preoperative cervical length, mm
|
26.5±7.5
|
29.1±5.6
|
0.044
|
|
Reduced volume of amniotic fluid, ml
|
1133.8±665.4
|
1152.8±809.3
|
0.834
|
|
Further, the optimal threshold of CL (Figure 4A) and recipient’s AFV (Figure 4B) were calculated using ROC curve analysis and Youden’s index. When CL < 27.5 mm, the risk of delivery < 32 weeks was greater (P=0.001); AFV >139.5 mm was significantly correlated with delivery before 32 weeks of gestation (P=0.003).
Through collinearity analysis (Table 3), the collinearity of all independent variables was not statistically significant (all VIF<10.0). All independent variables were included in the logistic regression model to test the relationship between pregnancy and surgical characteristics with outcome of premature delivery. Three associated risk factors for the gestational age of delivery < 32 weeks were identified: preoperative CL < 27.5 mm (OR, 8.4; 95% CI, 1.8-38.6; P=0.006), PPROM (OR, 4.3; 95% CI, 1.1-16.9; P=0.036), placental abruption (OR, 17.3; 95% CI, 1.1-276.2; P=0.043). The logistic regression equation is: P=1/(1+Exp(0.787+2.125*(Preoperative cervical length <27.5 mm) + 1.463*PPROM + 2.853*Placental abruption)).
Table 3
Multivariate logistic regression model analysis of the correlation between early preterm birth and late preterm birth and independent variables
|
P value
|
B
|
Exp(B)
|
95% CI of Exp(B)
|
Collinearity Statistics
|
Tolerance
|
VIF
|
Maternal age
|
0.724
|
-.027
|
0.973
|
0.837-1.131
|
0.708
|
1.413
|
Gestational age at surgery
|
0.357
|
-.139
|
0.870
|
0.648-1.170
|
0.507
|
1.972
|
Preoperative cervical length <27.5mm
|
0.006
|
2.125
|
8.376
|
1.818-38.593
|
0.695
|
1.439
|
Recipient’s AFV >139.5mm
|
0.283
|
1.131
|
3.098
|
0.394-24.385
|
0.636
|
1.572
|
Stage of TTTS
|
0.487
|
-.526
|
0.591
|
0.134-2.609
|
0.739
|
1.353
|
Multipara
|
0.118
|
1.313
|
3.719
|
0.716-19.311
|
0.713
|
1.402
|
Trocar diameter
|
0.201
|
1.151
|
3.162
|
0.541-18.467
|
0.523
|
1.913
|
Amnioreduction
|
0.424
|
-.907
|
0.404
|
0.044-3.732
|
0.709
|
1.411
|
Sealing of puncture hole
|
0.520
|
.636
|
1.889
|
0.272-13.118
|
0.778
|
1.286
|
Solomon
|
0.106
|
1.474
|
4.366
|
0.732-26.028
|
0.588
|
1.701
|
Without cervical cerclage
|
0.152
|
-2.041
|
0.130
|
0.008-2.114
|
0.723
|
1.384
|
Amniotic fluid leakage
|
0.326
|
1.336
|
3.805
|
0.264-54.856
|
0.738
|
1.355
|
Chorioamnionitis
|
0.905
|
.171
|
1.187
|
0.071-19.802
|
0.729
|
1.372
|
PPROM
|
0.036
|
1.463
|
4.318
|
1.101-16.938
|
0 .776
|
1.288
|
Placental abruption
|
0.043
|
2.853
|
17.343
|
1.089-276.239
|
0.790
|
1.266
|
Nonposterior placenta
|
0.112
|
1.140
|
3.127
|
0.765-12.776
|
0.893
|
1.120
|
Single intrauterine fetal death
|
0.407
|
-.785
|
0.456
|
0.071-2.916
|
0.721
|
1.387
|
TAPS
|
0.873
|
-.275
|
0.760
|
0.026-21.870
|
0.787
|
1.271
|
sIUGR
|
0.610
|
-.579
|
0.561
|
0.061-5.180
|
0.675
|
1.481
|
Constant
|
0.787
|
1.046
|
2.846
|
|
|
|
According to the results of logistic regression analysis, the ROC curve was used to construct a combined prediction model of delivery before 32 weeks of pregnancy for the above risk factors of preterm delivery, including preoperative CL < 27.5 mm, PPROM, and placental abruption. As depicted in Figure 5 and Table 4, the AUC of the three combined indicators combined was 0.799, and P value was less than 0.05, indicating that all of them had a certain clinical value for predicting delivery before 32 weeks of pregnancy in the treatment of TTTS using FLS.
Table 4
The area under the curve of ROC
Area
|
Standard error a
|
Asymptotic significance b
|
Asymptotic 95% CI
|
Offline
|
Online
|
0.799
|
0.049
|
0.000
|
0.704
|
0.895
|