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Research article
Desta Kassa
Intergovernmental Authority on Developments (IGAD)
Corresponding Author
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Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is more severe in refugee populations. Analyzing the key indicators of TB program performance is important to improve the effectiveness of TB control in the refugee camps. This study aimed to analyze trends in TB case notification, treatment outcomes and factors associated with unsuccessful TB treatment in Dadaab and Kakuma refugee camps in Kenya.
Methods: In this descriptive retrospective study, demographic and clinical data all TB cases registered in the refugee camps from January 2014 to December 2017 were extracted. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for variables associated with unsuccessful TB treatment.
Results. A total of 2055 TB cases of whom 56.8% men and 57.7% age 15-44 years were registered. Number of notified cases decreased from 532 in 2014 to 473 in 2016 (11.1% decrease) then increased to 554 in 2017(16.9% increase in one year). From 2014 to 2017 there was consistent increase in percentage of EPTB (16.2% to 21.1%), and in contribution of children (<15 years) to total TB cases (20.3% to 25.8%) and to EPTB (36.1% to 44.4%). Proportion of bacteriologically confirmed new and relapse pulmonary cases increased from 49.5% to 60.9%. Treatment success rate remained higher at 92.6% to 94.4%. On average 41.7% were cured, 2.3% lost to follow-up (LTFU) (increasing from 1.3% to 3.2%), 2.2% died (decreasing from 2.4% to 1.6%), 1.6% not evaluated (decreasing from 3.2% to 1.3%), and 0.5% treatment failed. Unsuccessful treatment outcome was significantly associated with pretreatment weight < 40 Kg, being male, smear positive PTB, HIV infection, and age >15 years (increased with age).
Conclusions: Number of notified TB cases has decreased from 2014 to 2016, but increased in 2017. There was continuous increase in percentage of EPTB and childhood TB. Proportion of bacteriologically confirmed new and relapse pulmonary cases has increased overtime. Treatment success remained higher above global target (90%) which should be maintained. Special socioeconomic support and follow-up is required for TB patients who are at higher risk of unsuccessful treatment.
Keywords
Tuberculosis, refugees, case notification, Treatment outcome
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CURRENT STATUS: Under Revision
Version 1
Posted 03 Dec, 2020
No community comments so far
Editorial decision: Major revision
On 10 Jan, 2021
Review #1 received
Received 05 Jan, 2021
Review #2 received
Received 27 Dec, 2020
Reviewer #2 agreed
On 19 Dec, 2020
Reviewer #1 agreed
On 18 Dec, 2020
Reviewers invited
Invitations sent on 06 Dec, 2020
Editor assigned
On 30 Nov, 2020
Submission checks complete
On 26 Nov, 2020
Editor invited
On 24 Nov, 2020
First submitted
On 22 Oct, 2020
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This preprint is under consideration at BMC Public Health. A preprint is a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Learn more about In Review
Research article
Desta Kassa
Intergovernmental Authority on Developments (IGAD)
Corresponding Author
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
Peer Review Timeline
CURRENT STATUS: Under Revision
Version 1
Posted 03 Dec, 2020
No community comments so far
Editorial decision: Major revision
On 10 Jan, 2021
Review #1 received
Received 05 Jan, 2021
Review #2 received
Received 27 Dec, 2020
Reviewer #2 agreed
On 19 Dec, 2020
Reviewer #1 agreed
On 18 Dec, 2020
Reviewers invited
Invitations sent on 06 Dec, 2020
Editor assigned
On 30 Nov, 2020
Submission checks complete
On 26 Nov, 2020
Editor invited
On 24 Nov, 2020
First submitted
On 22 Oct, 2020
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is more severe in refugee populations. Analyzing the key indicators of TB program performance is important to improve the effectiveness of TB control in the refugee camps. This study aimed to analyze trends in TB case notification, treatment outcomes and factors associated with unsuccessful TB treatment in Dadaab and Kakuma refugee camps in Kenya.
Methods: In this descriptive retrospective study, demographic and clinical data all TB cases registered in the refugee camps from January 2014 to December 2017 were extracted. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for variables associated with unsuccessful TB treatment.
Results. A total of 2055 TB cases of whom 56.8% men and 57.7% age 15-44 years were registered. Number of notified cases decreased from 532 in 2014 to 473 in 2016 (11.1% decrease) then increased to 554 in 2017(16.9% increase in one year). From 2014 to 2017 there was consistent increase in percentage of EPTB (16.2% to 21.1%), and in contribution of children (<15 years) to total TB cases (20.3% to 25.8%) and to EPTB (36.1% to 44.4%). Proportion of bacteriologically confirmed new and relapse pulmonary cases increased from 49.5% to 60.9%. Treatment success rate remained higher at 92.6% to 94.4%. On average 41.7% were cured, 2.3% lost to follow-up (LTFU) (increasing from 1.3% to 3.2%), 2.2% died (decreasing from 2.4% to 1.6%), 1.6% not evaluated (decreasing from 3.2% to 1.3%), and 0.5% treatment failed. Unsuccessful treatment outcome was significantly associated with pretreatment weight < 40 Kg, being male, smear positive PTB, HIV infection, and age >15 years (increased with age).
Conclusions: Number of notified TB cases has decreased from 2014 to 2016, but increased in 2017. There was continuous increase in percentage of EPTB and childhood TB. Proportion of bacteriologically confirmed new and relapse pulmonary cases has increased overtime. Treatment success remained higher above global target (90%) which should be maintained. Special socioeconomic support and follow-up is required for TB patients who are at higher risk of unsuccessful treatment.
Figure 1
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 4
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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