This is a preprint, a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Research
Qiang Liu
affiliated hospital of Jiangsu university
Corresponding Author
ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2108-121X
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Introduction: The exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD)is a common and fetal disease but with no ideal predictor of in-hospital mortality. Frailty prevails in older adults with AECOPD and can cause increased vulnerability to many adverse health outcomes including death. However, we know little about how frailty affects in-hospital mortality in older AECOPD patients.
Objective: To explore the predictive validity of FI-Lab—an objective tool for assessing frailty including 21 routine blood tests plus systolic and diastolic blood pressure (a score between 0 and 1, a higher score indicates greater frailty)—for in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD.
Methods: We reviewed the hospitalization records of older AECOPD inpatients from September 2016 to June 2019 at Zhenjiang First People's Hospital. We compared survivors to non-survivors. We used propensity score matching (PSM) to balance priori differences between survivors and non-survivors. Logistic regression analysis was used to select the associated predictors of in-hospital mortality. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated to estimate the area under the ROC curve (AUCs) for FI-Lab and DECAF(a commonly used predictor of AECOPD including dyspnea, eosinophilia, pulmonary consolidation, acidemia, and atrial fibrillation; a score between 1and 6; a
higher score indicates poorer condition)in relation to mortality. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS for Windows, Version 23.0.
Results: A total of 154 patients—77 survivors and 77 non-survivors—were included in the study finally. The mean age of these patients was 79.73 ± 8.38 years. Both of the mean DECAF score, the mean FI-Lab value of non-survivors were statistically higher than those of survivors(4.45 ± 0.80 versus 3.03 ± 0.90,P = 0.000; 0.51 ± 0.13 versus 0.29 ± 0.10,P = 0.000,respectively). Logistic regression analysis suggested that high DECAF grade and high FI-Lab grade were strong related factors of death in AECOPD patients (OR:5.620, 95%CI 2.811–11.236, P = 0.000; OR:8.705, 95%CI 3.646–20.782, P = 0.000, respectively). The DECAF scores of most non-survivors were ≥ 4༈n = 71,92.21%༉. FI-Lab value predicted in-hospital mortality at a cut-off value of 0.4388 with 70.1% sensitivity, 96.1% specificity, 0.675 Youden index. DECAF score predicted in-hospital mortality at a cut-off value of 3.5 with 92.2% sensitivity, 72.7% specificity, 0.649 Youden index. The areas under the ROC curves were 0.906 for FI-Lab and 0.870 for DECAF with no statistically significant༈P = 0.2991).
Conclusions: FI-Lab has a slightly stronger screening ability than DECAF. FI-Lab is a simple, effective and objective indicator and can be quick to help clinicians to assess in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients.
Keywords
frailty index, FI-Lab, DECAF, AECOPD, prognosis
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This is a preprint, a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Research
Qiang Liu
affiliated hospital of Jiangsu university
Corresponding Author
ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2108-121X
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
History
CURRENT STATUS: Posted
Version 1
Posted 07 Dec, 2020
No community comments so far
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Introduction: The exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(AECOPD)is a common and fetal disease but with no ideal predictor of in-hospital mortality. Frailty prevails in older adults with AECOPD and can cause increased vulnerability to many adverse health outcomes including death. However, we know little about how frailty affects in-hospital mortality in older AECOPD patients.
Objective: To explore the predictive validity of FI-Lab—an objective tool for assessing frailty including 21 routine blood tests plus systolic and diastolic blood pressure (a score between 0 and 1, a higher score indicates greater frailty)—for in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD.
Methods: We reviewed the hospitalization records of older AECOPD inpatients from September 2016 to June 2019 at Zhenjiang First People's Hospital. We compared survivors to non-survivors. We used propensity score matching (PSM) to balance priori differences between survivors and non-survivors. Logistic regression analysis was used to select the associated predictors of in-hospital mortality. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated to estimate the area under the ROC curve (AUCs) for FI-Lab and DECAF(a commonly used predictor of AECOPD including dyspnea, eosinophilia, pulmonary consolidation, acidemia, and atrial fibrillation; a score between 1and 6; a
higher score indicates poorer condition)in relation to mortality. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS for Windows, Version 23.0.
Results: A total of 154 patients—77 survivors and 77 non-survivors—were included in the study finally. The mean age of these patients was 79.73 ± 8.38 years. Both of the mean DECAF score, the mean FI-Lab value of non-survivors were statistically higher than those of survivors(4.45 ± 0.80 versus 3.03 ± 0.90,P = 0.000; 0.51 ± 0.13 versus 0.29 ± 0.10,P = 0.000,respectively). Logistic regression analysis suggested that high DECAF grade and high FI-Lab grade were strong related factors of death in AECOPD patients (OR:5.620, 95%CI 2.811–11.236, P = 0.000; OR:8.705, 95%CI 3.646–20.782, P = 0.000, respectively). The DECAF scores of most non-survivors were ≥ 4༈n = 71,92.21%༉. FI-Lab value predicted in-hospital mortality at a cut-off value of 0.4388 with 70.1% sensitivity, 96.1% specificity, 0.675 Youden index. DECAF score predicted in-hospital mortality at a cut-off value of 3.5 with 92.2% sensitivity, 72.7% specificity, 0.649 Youden index. The areas under the ROC curves were 0.906 for FI-Lab and 0.870 for DECAF with no statistically significant༈P = 0.2991).
Conclusions: FI-Lab has a slightly stronger screening ability than DECAF. FI-Lab is a simple, effective and objective indicator and can be quick to help clinicians to assess in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients.
Figure 1
Figure 2
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