Table 1 depicts the general characteristics of all of our studied cases. We observed significant differences in ethnicity, age, weight before pregnancy, BMI before pregnancy, GWG, gravida, parity, number of miscarriages, number of CS, and patient referral status (P<0.05). The principal source of patients with PA was referral, while the primary source of patients in the non-PA group was the outpatient service. Compared with the non-PA group, more women in the PA group had experienced miscarriage, premature rupture of membranes, transverse incision in a previous cesarean section, PP, PA, endometrial injury, uterine fibroid removal, and/or hysteroscopic surgery. Additionally, there were also more women with prenatal hemorrhage and PP in the latter group, and the interval between the previous and current cesarean sections was shorter (P<0.05).
Table 1 The general characteristics in Non-PA group and PA group
Variable
|
Non-PA(n=10205)
|
PA(n=869)
|
P
|
Source
|
|
|
<0.001
|
Hospital
|
8522 (83.51%)
|
422 (48.56%)
|
|
Referral
|
1683 (16.49%)
|
447 (51.44%)
|
|
Nationality
|
|
|
<0.001
|
Han Population
|
9971 (97.71%)
|
864 (99.42%)
|
|
Others
|
234 (2.29%)
|
5 (0.58%)
|
|
Age(years)
|
33.00 (30.00-36.00)
|
33.00 (29.00-36.00)
|
0.049
|
Weight before pregnancy(kg)
|
59.00 (52.00-65.00)
|
60.00 (54.00-67.00)
|
<0.001
|
Height
|
160.00 (157.00-164.00)
|
160.00 (157.00-164.00)
|
0.079
|
BMI before pregnancy (kg/cm2)
|
22.83 (20.62-24.97)
|
23.44 (20.96-25.34)
|
<0.001
|
GWG(kg)
|
13.00 (11.00-15.00)
|
12.00 (11.00-14.00)
|
<0.001
|
Gravida
|
3.00 (2.00-3.00)
|
3.00 (2.00-4.00)
|
<0.001
|
Parity
|
1.00 (1.00-1.00)
|
1.00 (1.00-2.00)
|
<0.001
|
ART
|
|
|
0.325
|
0
|
9955 (97.55%)
|
843 (97.01%)
|
|
1
|
250 (2.45%)
|
26 (2.99%)
|
|
History of Miscarriage
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
4229 (41.44%)
|
251 (28.88%)
|
|
1
|
5976 (58.56%)
|
618 (71.12%)
|
|
Number of Miscarriage
|
1.00 (0.00-1.00)
|
1.00 (0.00-2.00)
|
<0.001
|
Missed abortion
|
|
|
0.015
|
0
|
9147 (89.63%)
|
756 (87.00%)
|
|
1
|
1058 (10.37%)
|
113 (13.00%)
|
|
Drug abortion
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9532 (93.41%)
|
785 (90.33%)
|
|
1
|
673 (6.59%)
|
84 (9.67%)
|
|
Induced abortion
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
4926 (48.27%)
|
324 (37.28%)
|
|
1
|
5279 (51.73%)
|
545 (62.72%)
|
|
Numbers of previous CS
|
1.00 (1.00-1.00)
|
1.00 (1.00-1.00)
|
<0.001
|
Interval-CS(year)
|
6.00 (4.00-9.00)
|
5.00 (3.00-9.00)
|
0.008
|
Interval-CS(month)
|
72.00 (48.00-108.00)
|
60.00 (36.00-108.00)
|
<0.001
|
History of preterm childbirth
|
|
|
0.478
|
0
|
8285 (81.19%)
|
714 (82.16%)
|
|
1
|
1920 (18.81%)
|
155 (17.84%)
|
|
History of PROM
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
8725 (85.50%)
|
679 (78.14%)
|
|
1
|
1480 (14.50%)
|
190 (21.86%)
|
|
Previous CS transverse incision
|
|
|
0.047
|
0
|
2220 (21.75%)
|
164 (18.87%)
|
|
1
|
7985 (78.25%)
|
705 (81.13%)
|
|
History of wound tear
|
|
|
0.212
|
0
|
10128 (99.25%)
|
866 (99.65%)
|
|
1
|
77 (0.75%)
|
3 (0.35%)
|
|
History of wound infection
|
|
|
1
|
0
|
10196 (99.91%)
|
869 (100.00%)
|
|
1
|
9 (0.09%)
|
0 (0.00%)
|
|
history of PPH
|
|
|
0.798
|
0
|
10154 (99.50%)
|
866 (99.65%)
|
|
1
|
51 (0.50%)
|
3 (0.35%)
|
|
Previous history of PP
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10088 (98.85%)
|
836 (96.20%)
|
|
1
|
117 (1.15%)
|
33 (3.80%)
|
|
Previous history of PA
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10191 (99.86%)
|
861 (99.08%)
|
|
1
|
14 (0.14%)
|
8 (0.92%)
|
|
Previous history of endometrial injury
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9978 (97.78%)
|
827 (95.17%)
|
|
1
|
227 (2.22%)
|
42 (4.83%)
|
|
History of uterine fibroids removal
|
|
|
0.005
|
0
|
10068 (98.66%)
|
847 (97.47%)
|
|
1
|
137 (1.34%)
|
22 (2.53%)
|
|
History of PE
|
|
|
1
|
0
|
10187 (99.82%)
|
868 (99.88%)
|
|
1
|
18 (0.18%)
|
1 (0.12%)
|
|
History of hysteroscopic surgery
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10099 (98.96%)
|
846 (97.35%)
|
|
1
|
106 (1.04%)
|
23 (2.65%)
|
|
Combined with prenatal hemorrhage
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9576 (93.84%)
|
525 (60.41%)
|
|
1
|
629 (6.16%)
|
344 (39.59%)
|
|
Complicated with PP
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9498 (93.07%)
|
111 (12.77%)
|
|
1
|
707 (6.93%)
|
758 (87.23%)
|
|
`
The pregnancy outcomes of the two groups are shown in Table 2. Compared with the non-PA group, women with PA had an increased probability of PPH, SPPH, DIC, puerperal infection, intraoperative bladder injury, hysterectomy, and blood transfusion (P<0.05). In addition, the birth weight was lower and the probability of neonatal complications and the time to NICU admission were also increased significantly with PA (P<0.05).
Table 2 The pregnant outcomes in Non-PA group and PA group
Variables
|
Non-PA(n=10205)
|
PA(n=869)
|
P
|
PPH
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9969 (97.69%)
|
586 (67.43%)
|
|
1
|
236 (2.31%)
|
283 (32.57%)
|
|
SPPH
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10116 (99.13%)
|
680 (78.25%)
|
|
1
|
89 (0.87%)
|
189 (21.75%)
|
|
Uterine rupture
|
|
|
1
|
0
|
10173 (99.69%)
|
867 (99.77%)
|
|
1
|
32 (0.31%)
|
2 (0.23%)
|
|
DIC
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10202 (99.97%)
|
865 (99.54%)
|
|
1
|
3 (0.03%)
|
4 (0.46%)
|
|
Puerperal infection
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10172 (99.68%)
|
857 (98.62%)
|
|
1
|
33 (0.32%)
|
12 (1.38%)
|
|
Intraoperative bladder injury
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10204 (99.99%)
|
853 (98.16%)
|
|
1
|
1 (0.01%)
|
16 (1.84%)
|
|
Hysterectomy
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
10075 (98.73%)
|
810 (93.21%)
|
|
1
|
130 (1.27%)
|
59 (6.79%)
|
|
Transfusion
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9877 (96.79%)
|
638 (73.42%)
|
|
1
|
328 (3.21%)
|
231 (26.58%)
|
|
Birth weight(g)
|
3250.00 (2950.00-3520.00)
|
2920.00 (2530.00-3250.00)
|
<0.001
|
Neonatal comorbidities
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9960 (97.60%)
|
808 (92.98%)
|
|
1
|
245 (2.40%)
|
61 (7.02%)
|
|
Rate to NICU admission
|
|
|
<0.001
|
0
|
9388 (91.99%)
|
659 (75.83%)
|
|
1
|
817 (8.01%)
|
210 (24.17%)
|
|
Using univariate analysis we found that Han ethnicity, weight before pregnancy, GWG, BMI before pregnancy, gravida, parity, history of miscarriage, number of miscarriages, history of missed abortion, history of drug-induced abortion, history of induced abortions, number of CS, interval-CS, previous CS with transverse incision, history of PROM, history of PP, history of PA, history of endometrial injury, history of uterine fibroids, history of hysteroscopy, and complications with PP or prenatal hemorrhage were all risk factors related to PA in a subsequent pregnancy with a scarred uterus (P<0.05, Table 3).
Table 3 Univariate analysis of placenta accreta in women
with scarred uterus during the second pregnancy
Variables
|
OR(95%CI)
|
P
|
Non- Han Population
|
0.25 (0.10, 0.60)
|
<0.001
|
Height(m)
|
1.01 (1.00, 1.03)
|
0.100
|
Age(years)
|
0.98 (0.97, 1.00)
|
0.061
|
Weight before pregnancy
|
1.01 (1.01, 1.02)
|
<0.001
|
Pregnant gian weight
|
0.96 (0.94, 0.98)
|
<0.001
|
BMI before pregnancy
|
1.04 (1.02, 1.06)
|
<0.001
|
Gravida
|
1.28 (1.22, 1.34)
|
<0.001
|
Parity
|
1.60 (1.42, 1.79)
|
<0.001
|
With History of Miscarriage
|
1.74 (1.50, 2.03)
|
<0.001
|
Number of Miscarriage
|
1.28 (1.21, 1.35)
|
<0.001
|
With history of missed abortion
|
1.29 (1.05, 1.59)
|
0.016
|
With history of drug abortion
|
1.52 (1.19, 1.92)
|
<0.001
|
With history of induced abortion
|
1.57 (1.36, 1.81)
|
<0.001
|
Numbers of previous CS
|
2.89 (2.47, 3.39)
|
<0.001
|
Interval-CS (year)
|
0.98 (0.96, 1.00)
|
0.085
|
Interval-CS (month)
|
1.00 (1.00, 1.00)
|
0.011
|
Previous CS transverse incision
|
1.20 (1.00, 1.43)
|
0.048
|
With history of PROM
|
1.65 (1.39, 1.96)
|
<0.001
|
With history of PP
|
3.40 (2.30, 5.04)
|
<0.001
|
With history of PA
|
6.76 (2.83, 16.17)
|
<0.001
|
With previous history of endometrial injury
|
2.23 (1.59, 3.13)
|
<0.001
|
With history of uterine fibroids removal
|
1.91 (1.21, 3.01)
|
0.005
|
With history of hysteroscopic surgery
|
2.59 (1.64, 4.09)
|
<0.001
|
Complicated with prenatal hemorrhage
|
9.98 (8.52, 11.68)
|
<0.001
|
Complicated with PP
|
91.74 (74.11, 113.56)
|
<0.001
|
OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval.
Our multivariate logistic regression model showed that weight before pregnancy (OR=1.03, 95% CI=1.01-1.05), parity (OR=1.18, 95% CI=1.03-1.34), number of miscarriages (OR=1.31, 95% CI=1.17-1.47), number of CS (OR=2.57, 95% CI=2.02- 3.26)), history of PROM (OR=1.61, 95% CI=1.32-1.96), previous CS by transverse incision (OR=1.38, 95% CI=1.12-1.69), history of PP (OR=2.44, 95% CI=1.50-3.96), history of prenatal hemorrhage (OR=9.95, 95% CI=8.42-11.75), and complications with PP (OR=91.74, 95% CI=74.11-113.56) were independent risk factors for PA. However, non-Han ethnicity (OR=0.19, 95% CI=0.07-0.49) was a protective factor (P<0.05, Table 4).
Table 4 Multivariate analysis of placental accreta in women
with history of cesarean section during the second pregnancy
Variables
|
OR(95%CI)
|
P
|
Non- Han Population
|
0.19 (0.07, 0.49)
|
<0.001
|
Height(m)
|
1.03 (1.01, 1.05)
|
0.013
|
Parity
|
1.18 (1.03, 1.34)
|
0.014
|
Number of Miscarriage
|
1.31 (1.17, 1.47)
|
<0.001
|
Number of previous CS
|
2.57 (2.02, 3.26)
|
<0.001
|
Previous CS transverse incision
|
1.38 (1.12, 1.69)
|
0.002
|
With history of PROM
|
1.61 (1.32, 1.96)
|
<0.001
|
With history of PP
|
2.44 (1.50, 3.96)
|
<0.001
|
Complicated with prenatal hemorrhage
|
9.95 (8.42, 11.75)
|
<0.001
|
Complicated with PP
|
91.74 (74.11, 113.56)
|
<0.001
|
OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval.
To investigate the predictive value of selected risk factors for PA, we calculated the AUC, which was 0.93 (95% CI=0.92-0.94, P < 0.001). The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 87.00%, 93%, and 93%, respectively (Table 5, Fig. 1).
Table 5 Receiver operating characteristic curve of risk factors for placenta accreta
Model
|
AUC
|
95%CI
|
Sensitivity (%)
|
Specificity (%)
|
accuracy (%)
|
All risk factors
|
0.93
|
0.92, 0.94
|
0.87
|
0.93
|
0.93
|
AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve;OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval。