Background: Conceptually, the ‘control of gut overgrowth’ (COGO) is key to the mediation of infection prevention with ‘abnormal Gram-negative bacilli’ (AGNB) by Selective Digestive Decontamination (SDD). However, the relative importance of the SDD components; topical (TAP), enteral (EAP) and protocolized parenteral antibiotic prophylaxis (PPAP), versus other methods of infection prevention and versus other contextual exposures cannot be resolved within individual studies.
Methods: Seven candidate generalized structural equation models (GSEM) founded on COGO concepts were confronted with Pseudomonas and Acinetobacter bacteremia as well as ventilator associated pneumonia (VAP) data derived from >200 infection prevention studies. The following group level exposures were included in the GSEM models; use of TAP, EAP, PPAP, antiseptic and non-decontamination methods of infection prevention; proportion receiving mechanical ventilation (MV); trauma ICU; mean length of ICU stay and concurrency versus non-concurrency of TAP study control groups.
Results: In GSEM modelling of Pseudomonas and Acinetobacter gut overgrowth (GO) as latent variables, anti-septic interventions had the strongest negative effect against Pseudomonas GO but no intervention was significantly negative against Acinetobacter GO. Strikingly, PPAP and concurrency each have positive effects in the model, EAP is neutral and Acinetobacter bacteremia incidences are high within TAP studies, moreso with PPAP exposure. Paradoxically, TAP (moreso with PPAP) appears to provide the strongest summary prevention effects against overall bacteremia and overall VAP.
Conclusions: GSEM modelling of published AGNB infection data enables a test of the COGO concept. Paradoxically, Acinetobacter and Pseudomonas bacteremia incidences are unusually high among studies of TAP.

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On 13 Jan, 2020
On 14 Apr, 2020
On 14 Apr, 2020
On 13 Apr, 2020
On 13 Apr, 2020
Posted 17 Mar, 2020
On 04 Apr, 2020
Received 16 Mar, 2020
On 11 Mar, 2020
Invitations sent on 11 Mar, 2020
On 11 Mar, 2020
On 10 Mar, 2020
On 10 Mar, 2020
On 28 Feb, 2020
Received 23 Feb, 2020
Received 14 Feb, 2020
On 13 Feb, 2020
On 11 Feb, 2020
Received 09 Feb, 2020
On 30 Jan, 2020
Invitations sent on 30 Jan, 2020
On 26 Jan, 2020
On 25 Jan, 2020
On 23 Jan, 2020
On 13 Jan, 2020
Background: Conceptually, the ‘control of gut overgrowth’ (COGO) is key to the mediation of infection prevention with ‘abnormal Gram-negative bacilli’ (AGNB) by Selective Digestive Decontamination (SDD). However, the relative importance of the SDD components; topical (TAP), enteral (EAP) and protocolized parenteral antibiotic prophylaxis (PPAP), versus other methods of infection prevention and versus other contextual exposures cannot be resolved within individual studies.
Methods: Seven candidate generalized structural equation models (GSEM) founded on COGO concepts were confronted with Pseudomonas and Acinetobacter bacteremia as well as ventilator associated pneumonia (VAP) data derived from >200 infection prevention studies. The following group level exposures were included in the GSEM models; use of TAP, EAP, PPAP, antiseptic and non-decontamination methods of infection prevention; proportion receiving mechanical ventilation (MV); trauma ICU; mean length of ICU stay and concurrency versus non-concurrency of TAP study control groups.
Results: In GSEM modelling of Pseudomonas and Acinetobacter gut overgrowth (GO) as latent variables, anti-septic interventions had the strongest negative effect against Pseudomonas GO but no intervention was significantly negative against Acinetobacter GO. Strikingly, PPAP and concurrency each have positive effects in the model, EAP is neutral and Acinetobacter bacteremia incidences are high within TAP studies, moreso with PPAP exposure. Paradoxically, TAP (moreso with PPAP) appears to provide the strongest summary prevention effects against overall bacteremia and overall VAP.
Conclusions: GSEM modelling of published AGNB infection data enables a test of the COGO concept. Paradoxically, Acinetobacter and Pseudomonas bacteremia incidences are unusually high among studies of TAP.

Figure 1

Figure 2
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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