Results of general information
During the study period, a total of 58507 mothers gave birth, and a total of 60182 neonates were born in the hospital. Among them, 6946 (11.54%) had LBW, and 155 (2.23%) had LBW and NEC (including 92 (59.35%) who also had sepsis). Among the 465 neonate controls with LBW in this study, 58 (12.47%) also had sepsis. Among the 6946 LBW neonates, the birth weight of 5270 (75.87%) was between 1500 and 2500 g (including 97 (1.84%) with NEC), the birth weight of 1207 (17.38%) was between 1000 and 1500 g (including 47 (3.89%) with NEC), and the birth weight of 469 (6.75%) was < 1000 g (including 11 (2.35%) with NEC), as shown in Figure 1. Moreover, one of the NEC neonates had a Lahu nationality mother, and the other mothers were Han nationality. General information of LBW neonates and their mothers were showed in table 2.
Table 2
General information of LBW neonates and their mothers in the case-control study
Factors
|
|
Case group (n=155)
|
Control group (n=465)
|
Maternal factor
|
|
|
|
Age (years)
|
|
31.35±4.59
|
31.10±4.51
|
Nationality (n)
|
Han Chinese
|
154
|
465
|
Minority
|
1
|
0
|
Gestational week (median (minimum, maximum))
|
|
31 (21, 39)
|
34 (24, 39)
|
Number of fetuses (n)
|
Single fetus
|
104
|
288
|
Multiple fetuses
|
51
|
177
|
HDCP (n)
|
|
18
|
55
|
GDM (n)
|
|
27
|
72
|
PP (n)
|
|
18
|
51
|
Placenta abruption (n)
|
|
20
|
23
|
PROM (n)
|
|
49
|
131
|
Neonatal factor
|
|
|
|
Gender (n)
|
Male
|
86
|
226
|
Female
|
69
|
239
|
Blood transfusion (n)
|
|
18
|
62
|
Birth weight (g)
|
|
1588.32±384.70
|
1878.93±449.60
|
Sepsis (n)
|
|
92
|
58
|
EOS
|
|
22
|
36
|
LOS
|
|
70
|
22
|
PDA (n)
|
|
34
|
82
|
Anemia (n)
|
|
21
|
20
|
Hypoglycemia (n)
|
|
15
|
51
|
Asphyxia (n)
|
|
22
|
68
|
Mycoplasma infection (n)
|
|
11
|
16
|
Hyperglycemia (n)
|
|
11
|
10
|
PLT (109/L)
|
|
321.73±105.60
|
310.32±110.62
|
PDW (fl)
|
|
14.93±2.92
|
13.17±3.02
|
MPV (fl)
|
|
11.77±0.87
|
11.00±1.07
|
PCT (%)
|
|
0.38±0.11
|
0.34±0.12
|
PLCR (%)
|
|
37.77±6.60
|
31.89±8.13
|
Correlation between birth weight and gestational week and NEC diagnosis age
During the perinatal period, the development and maturity of the immune system of perinatal infants gradually reduce the incidence of related diseases, which is less likely in premature infants, especially those with LBW. Spearman’s correlation analysis showed that the NEC diagnosis age was significantly negatively correlated with birth weight (P <0.001, R2 = 0.298) and gestational week of the mother (P <0.001, R2 = 0.243) (Figure 2), while NEC diagnosis age was not correlated with the complicated sepsis, as shown in Figure S1. The analysis also showed that the birth weight of NEC neonates with sepsis was lower than that of NEC neonates without sepsis (t = 2.658, P = 0.009), and that birth weight was not correlated with anemia (t = -0.534, P = 0.594) (Figure 3).
Univariate analysis between NEC occurrence and baseline characteristics and clinical information of mother
The cause of NEC is complex and might be affected by multiple maternal factors (such as general characteristics and complications). According to the univariate analysis of the main complications, the gestational week (P <0.001, OR = 0.321, 95% CI: 0.201–0.512) and placenta abruption (P = 0.001, OR = 2.847, 95% CI: 1.517–5.343) were statistically correlated, while HDCP (P = 0.943, OR = 0.979, 95.0% CI: 0.556–1.725), GDM (P = 0.569, OR = 1.151, 95% CI: 0.709–1.870), PP (P = 0.825, OR = 1.067, 95% CI: 0.603–1.888), multiple fetuses (P = 0.249, OR = 0.798, 95% CI: 0.544–1.171), and PROM (P = 0.414, OR = 1.18, 95% CI: 0.800–1.750) were not statistically correlated with NEC occurrence in LBW neonates (Table 3).
Table 3
Univariate analysis between NEC occurrence and baseline characteristics and clinical information of mother
|
B
|
SE
|
P
|
OR
|
95.% CI
|
Lower Limit
|
Upper Limit
|
Gestational week
|
-0.272
|
0.036
|
<0.001
|
0.321
|
0.201
|
0.512
|
HDCP
|
-0.021
|
0.289
|
0.943
|
0.979
|
0.556
|
1.725
|
GDM
|
0.141
|
0.248
|
0.569
|
1.151
|
0.709
|
1.870
|
PP
|
0.064
|
0.291
|
0.825
|
1.067
|
0.603
|
1.888
|
Multiple fetuses
|
-0.226
|
0.196
|
0.249
|
0.798
|
0.544
|
1.171
|
Placenta abruption
|
1.046
|
0.321
|
0.001
|
2.847
|
1.517
|
5.343
|
PROM
|
0.16
|
0.201
|
0.414
|
1.18
|
0.800
|
1.750
|
Univariate analysis between NEC occurrence and baseline characteristics and clinical information of LBW neonates
According to literature, a correlation has been in the spotlight between NEC occurrence and the baseline characteristics and complications in neonates. The main complications were analyzed using univariate regression in this study. The results showed that in neonates, early-onset sepsis (EOS) (P <0.001, OR = 0.051, 95% CI: 0.029–0.088), late-onset sepsis (LOS) (P <0.001, OR = 0.186, 95% CI: 0.090–0.383), PDA (P = 0.018, OR = 1.680, 95% CI: 1.094–2.580), anemia (P <0.001, OR = 3.482, 95% CI: 1.835–6.627), hyperglycemia (P = 0.005, OR = 3.476, 95% CI: 1.447–8.351), and birth weight (P = 0.001, OR = 0.606, 95% CI: 0.453–0.812) were statistically correlated, while hypoglycemia (P = 0.651, OR = 0.870, 95% CI: 0.474–1.596), asphyxia (P = 0.895, OR = 0.966, 95% CI: 0.575–1.623), wet lung (P = 0.058, OR = 1.483, 95% CI: 0.986–2.231), mycoplasma infection (P = 0.059, OR = 2.144, 95% CI: 0.973–4.725), and blood transfusion (P = 0.580, OR = 0.854, 95% CI: 0.488–2.231) were not statistically correlated with NEC occurrence in LBW neonates. In addition, the analysis of the correlation between NEC occurrence and PLT indicators in LBW neonates showed that the PLT count (P = 0.167, OR = 1.494, 95% CI: 0.953–1.322) was not statistically correlated, while PDW (P <0.001, OR = 1.920, 95% CI: 1.597–2.307), MPV (P <0.001, OR = 2.093, 95% CI: 1.735–2.525), PCT (P <0.001, OR = 1.441, 95% CI: 1.217–1.705), and PLCR (P <0.001, OR = 2.156, 95% CI: 1.777–2.017) were statistically correlated with NEC occurrence in LBW neonates (Table 4).
Table 4
Univariate analysis between NEC occurrence and baseline characteristics and clinical information of LBW neonates
|
B
|
SE
|
P
|
OR
|
95% CI
|
Lower Limit
|
Upper Limit
|
Sepsis
|
2.327
|
0.216
|
<0.001
|
10.247
|
6.717
|
15.633
|
EOS
|
2.977
|
0.279
|
<0.001
|
0.051
|
0.029
|
0.088
|
LOS
|
1.682
|
0.368
|
<0.001
|
0.186
|
0.090
|
0.383
|
PDA
|
0.519
|
0.219
|
0.018
|
1.680
|
1.094
|
2.580
|
Anemia
|
1.249
|
0.328
|
<0.001
|
3.482
|
1.835
|
6.627
|
Hypoglycemia
|
-0.140
|
0.310
|
0.652
|
0.870
|
0.474
|
1.596
|
Asphyxia
|
-0.035
|
0.265
|
0.895
|
0.966
|
0.575
|
1.623
|
Wet lung
|
0.394
|
0.208
|
0.058
|
1.483
|
0.986
|
2.231
|
Mycoplasma infection
|
0.763
|
0.403
|
0.059
|
2.144
|
0.973
|
4.725
|
Hyperglycemia
|
1.246
|
0.447
|
0.005
|
3.476
|
1.447
|
8.351
|
Blood transfusion
|
-0.158
|
0.285
|
0.580
|
0.854
|
0.488
|
1.494
|
Birth weight
|
-0.500
|
0.149
|
0.001
|
0.606
|
0.453
|
0.812
|
PLT
|
0.115
|
0.084
|
0.167
|
1.122
|
0.953
|
1.322
|
PDW
|
0.652
|
0.094
|
<0.001
|
1.920
|
1.597
|
2.307
|
MPV
|
0.739
|
0.096
|
<0.001
|
2.093
|
1.735
|
2.525
|
PCT
|
0.365
|
0.086
|
<0.001
|
1.441
|
1.217
|
1.705
|
PLCR
|
0.768
|
0.099
|
<0.001
|
2.156
|
1.777
|
2.017
|
Analysis of the effect of multiple factors and their correlation on NEC occurrence
In order to avoid missing the critical clinical factors, 16 variables with P < 0.5 in the univariate regression analysis result were taken as independent variables for the 1:3 case-control analysis using stepwise multivariate conditional logistic regression (the survival function was assessed by Cox regression). The results showed that sepsis, PLCR, and PCT were the final factors into the regression model. EOS (P = 0.001, OR = 2.424, 95% CI: 1.461–4.021), LOS (P <0.001, OR = 4.291, 95% CI: 3.001–6.138), and anemia (P = 0.030, OR = 1.675, 95% CI: 1.053–2.665) increased the risk of NEC in LBW neonates, and increased PLCR (P <0.001, OR = 1.451, 95% CI: 1.220–1.724) and increased PCT (P = 0.007, OR = 1.225, 95% CI: 1.056–1.422) could be the risk factors for NEC occurrence, as shown in Table 5.
Table 5
Multivariate logistic regression (survival function Cox regression) analysis of NEC occurrence in LBW neonates
|
B
|
SE
|
P
|
OR
|
95% CI
|
Lower Limit
|
Upper Limit
|
Sepsis
|
1.285
|
0.170
|
<0.001
|
3.614
|
2.589
|
5.046
|
EOS
|
0.885
|
0.258
|
0.001
|
2.424
|
1.461
|
4.021
|
LOS
|
1.457
|
0.183
|
<0.001
|
4.291
|
3.001
|
6.138
|
Anemia
|
0.516
|
0.237
|
0.030
|
1.675
|
1.053
|
2.665
|
PLCR
|
0.372
|
0.088
|
<0.001
|
1.451
|
1.220
|
1.724
|
PCT
|
0.203
|
0.076
|
0.007
|
1.225
|
1.056
|
1.422
|
Analysis of the effect of multiple factors and their correlation on NEC occurrence in neonates without sepsis
The effect of sepsis weighted the greatest among the above factors of statistical significance. Sepsis leads to systemic inflammatory response, involving multiple organ system damages and altering the evaluation indicators, such as PLT count. Whereupon, the information of NEC patients without sepsis was analyzed using univariate regression (Table S1), and 17 variables with P < 0.5 were entered as independent variables for stepwise multivariate non-conditional logistic regression analysis. The results showed that anemia, PLCR, and PCT were the final significant indicators in the model. Anemia (P = 0.001, OR = 4.367, 95% CI: 1.853–10.291) increases the risk of NEC in LBW neonates without sepsis, and increased PLCR (P <0.001, OR = 2.222, 95% CI: 1.633–3.023) and PCT (P = 0.024, OR = 1.368, 95% CI: 1.042–1.795) could be the indicators to predict the risk of NEC in LBW neonates without sepsis, as shown in Table 6.
Table 6
Multivariate logistic regression analysis of NEC occurrence in LBW neonates without sepsis
|
B
|
SE
|
P
|
OR
|
95% CI
|
Lower Limit
|
Upper Limit
|
Anemia
|
1.474
|
0.437
|
0.001
|
4.367
|
1.853
|
10.291
|
PLCR
|
0.798
|
0.157
|
<0.001
|
2.222
|
1.633
|
3.023
|
PCT
|
0.313
|
0.139
|
0.024
|
1.368
|
1.042
|
1.795
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysis of the effect of multiple factors and their correlation on NEC occurrence in neonates with sepsis
The information of NEC patients with sepsis was analyzed using univariate regression (Table S2), and 10 variables with P < 0.5 were considered as independent variables for stepwise multivariate non-conditional logistic regression analysis. The results showed that only MPV was the final significant indicator entered into the model. Increased MPV (P = 0.040, OR = 1.409, 95% CI: 1.017–1.953) was the indicator to predict the risk of NEC in LBW neonates with sepsis (Table 7).
Table 7
Multivariate logistic regression analysis of NEC occurrence in LBW neonates with sepsis
|
B
|
SE
|
P
|
OR
|
95% CI
|
Lower Limit
|
Upper Limit
|
MPV
|
0.343
|
0.167
|
0.040
|
1.409
|
1.017
|
1.953
|
Value of PLCR and PCT in predicting NEC occurrence
The ROC curve fitting analysis was used to evaluate the value of PLCR, PCT, and the combination of the two in diagnosing NEC. In all NEC patients in this study, the ROC curve area of PLCR diagnosis was 0.717 (P <0.001), the sensitivity was 0.767, the specificity was 0.581, and the cutoff value was 33.55. The ROC curve area of PCT diagnosis was 0.606 (P <0.001), the sensitivity was 0.640, the specificity was 0.560, and the cutoff value was 0.3350. The ROC curve area of PLCR-PCT diagnosis was 0.719 (P <0.001), the sensitivity was 0.920, the specificity was 0.423, and the cutoff value was 0.1566 (Figure 4).
In NEC patients without sepsis, the ROC curve area of PLCR diagnosis was 0.739 (P <0.001), the sensitivity was 0.770, the specificity was 0.610, and the cutoff value was 33.55. The ROC curve area of PCT diagnosis was 0.629 (P = 0.001), the sensitivity was 0.672, the specificity was 0.560, and the cutoff value was 0.3350. The ROC curve area of PLCR-PCT diagnosis was 0.748 (P <0.001), the sensitivity was 0.852, the specificity was 0.557, and the cutoff value was 0.1074. In conclusion, the value of the combination of PLCR and PCT and PCT alone in diagnosing NEC was not significantly higher than PLCR alone (Figure 5).