Participants
(a) Numbers of individuals at each stage of study – The total number of pregnant women registered for ANC was considered as total number of pregnancy. The sum of all home and institutional deliveries is considered as total deliveries. The total numbers of pregnant women registered for ANC were 28715284, 29239176, 27331061, and 21891305 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively see table-2. The Total No. of Deliveries (HD+ ID), were 20842188, 21571444, 20375698, 16864392 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. The total number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis were 136377, 639764, 2106957, and 2580453.706 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. Out of above, number of PW found sero positive for Syphilis were 4069, 5032, 10267, and 30241.23342 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. The number of pregnant women tested for Syphilis by tests other then POC tests were 7617933, 9965701, 8221419 and 8464474.626, for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. The number of pregnant women tested found sero positive for Syphilis by tests other then POC test were45107, 43058, 40303, and 47883.13419 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. Regarding number of syphilis positive pregnant women treated for Syphilis it was 15362, 14911, 13530, and 24282.75455 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. Considering the number of babies diagnosed with Congenital Syphilis it was3801,3372,4909, and 5816.366356 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively whereas the number of babies treated for Congenital Syphilis were 16029,4900,3674, and 3902.509419 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. The total pregnant women tested found sero positive for Syphilis by any test was 49176, 48090, 50570, and 78124.36761 for years 2018-2019-2020-2021 respectively. Why all pregnant women’s were not tested for diagnosis of syphilis or they denied testing is not answerable as the data is from a secondary source but accredited source and same holds true for congenital syphilis.
This research study revealed that there is an increasing number trend of following in pandemic years as compared to pre-pandemic years:
- Number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis
- Out of above, number of PW found sero positive for Syphilis
- Number of babies diagnosed with Congenital Syphilis
- Total pregnant women tested found sero positive for Syphilis by any test
- Total pregnant women tested found sero positive for Syphilis by any test
The total number of pregnancies and deliveries have shown declining trend during pandemic years as compared to pre-pandemic era (see figure-1, 2 and table-2).
To reduce the length of article author reduced texting more details and request readers to view tables 1, 2, 3, 4, and figures 1, 2, 3, 4 for further information.
Among 215037.8089, mean per month number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis, 2520.102785, mean per month were sero positive for Syphilis giving a sero-prevalence of 1.26 % in 2021(Forecasted up to December with available data of January to May 2021) see figure –4 and table-3. Of 175579.75 mean per month number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis, 855.58 mean per month were sero positive for Syphilis giving a sero-prevalence of 0.49 % in 2020(Jan to Dec). Of 53313.66 mean per month number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis, 419.33 mean per month were sero positive for Syphilis giving a sero-prevalence of 0.79 % in 2019 (Jan to Dec). Of 11364.75mean per month number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis, 339.08 mean per month were sero positive for Syphilis giving a sero-prevalence of 2.98 % in 2018 (Jan to Dec) , see figure –4 and table-3.
This research study revealed that there is increase in mean per month number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis and also there is increase in number of women mean per month sero positive for Syphilis during pandemic era using this test. The sero-prevalence/POC test decreased in all years as compared to 2018.This research study revealed that in 2019 maximum mean per month number of PW tested using other test for Syphilis whereas maximum numbers of women mean per month sero positive were found in 2021 for Syphilis using other test.
Table-3- Mean/month comparison of different variables in different years
Indicator
|
Mean per month Jan-Dec 2018
|
Mean per month Jan-Dec 2019
|
Mean per month Jan-Dec 2020
|
Mean per month Jan-Dec 2021(forecast)
|
Mean Total number of pregnant women registered for ANC/month
|
2392940.333
|
2436598
|
2277588.417
|
1824275.417
|
Mean Total No. of Deliveries (HD+ ID)/month
|
1736849
|
1797620.333
|
1697974.833
|
1405366
|
Mean Number of PW tested using POC test for Syphilis/month
|
11364.75
|
53313.66667
|
175579.75
|
215037.8089
|
Mean Out of above, number of PW found sero positive for Syphilis/month
|
339.0833333
|
419.3333333
|
855.5833333
|
2520.102785
|
Mean Number of pregnant women tested for Syphilis by tests other then POC test/month
|
634827.75
|
830475.0833
|
685118.25
|
705372.8855
|
Mean Number of pregnant women tested found sero positive for Syphilis by tests other then POC test/month
|
3758.916667
|
3588.166667
|
3358.583333
|
3990.261183
|
Mean Number of syphilis positive pregnant women treated for Syphilis/month
|
1280.166667
|
1242.583333
|
1127.5
|
2023.562879
|
Mean Number of babies diagnosed with Congenital Syphilis/month
|
316.75
|
281
|
409.0833333
|
484.6971964
|
Mean Number of babies treated for Congenital Syphilis/month
|
1335.75
|
408.3333333
|
306.1666667
|
325.2091183
|
Mean Total pregnant women tested found sero positive for Syphilis by any test/month
|
4098
|
4007.5
|
4214.166667
|
6510.363968
|
The annual sero-prevalence/test of syphilis in PW tested using other test for Syphilis decreased in all years as compared to 2018 see figure-3. Year-wise maximum number of syphilis positive pregnant women treated for syphilis were reported in 2021. Figure – 4 shows that average number of babies per month diagnosed with congenital syphilis increased in pandemic era whereas Figure – 4 shows that average number of babies per month treated with congenital syphilis decreased in pandemic era.
The Prevalence of sero-positivity for syphilis per 100000 PW was 171.2537477, 164.4711192, 185.0275772, 356.8739626 for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. This novel research study revealed that there is significant increase in prevalence of sero-positivity for syphilis per 100000 PW during covid-19 pandemic years of 2020 and 2021(see figure-4, table-4). The author would like to point out the fact that there is also a considerable increase in tests for detecting syphilis during pandemic years.
The Annual Prevalence of PW sero-positivity for syphilis- per POC test was 0.029836409,0.0078654,0.004872904, 0.011719347 for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively, whereas annual Prevalence of PW sero-positivity for syphilis- by other tests were 0.00592116, 0.004320619, 0.004902195, 0.005656953, for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. The total annual prevalence/test of PW sero-positivity- for all tests was 0.035757569, 0.01218602, 0.009775099, 0.0173763, for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively.
Table-4- Prevalence comparison of different variables in different years
Indicator
|
Jan-Dec 2018
|
Jan-Dec 2019
|
Jan-Dec 2020
|
Jan-Dec 2021(forecast)
|
Prevalence of sero-positivity for syphilis per 100000 PW
|
171.2537477
|
164.4711192
|
185.0275772
|
356.8739626
|
Annual Prevalence of PW sero-positivity for syphilis- per POC test
|
0.029836409
|
0.0078654
|
0.004872904
|
0.011719347
|
Annual Prevalence of PW sero-positivity for syphilis- other test
|
0.00592116
|
0.004320619
|
0.004902195
|
0.005656953
|
Total annual prevalence/test of PW sero-positivity- all tests
|
0.035757569
|
0.01218602
|
0.009775099
|
0.0173763
|
Annual Prevalence of congenital syphilis per 100000 delivery
|
18.23704882
|
15.6317769
|
24.09242618
|
34.48903676
|
Annual Prevalence of PW treated for syphilis per 1000 sero-positivity
|
312.3881568
|
310.0644625
|
267.5499308
|
310.8217742
|
Annual Prevalence of PW treated for syphilis per 100000 PW
|
53.49764258
|
50.99664915
|
49.50411548
|
110.9241982
|
Annual Prevalence of babies treated for syphilis per 100000 delivery
|
76.90651289
|
22.71521554
|
18.03128413
|
23.14052839
|
Regarding Annual Prevalence of congenital syphilis per 100000 deliveries it was 18.23704882, 15.6317769, 24.09242618, 34.48903676, for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. This novel research study revealed that there is significant increase in Annual Prevalence of congenital syphilis per 100000 deliveries. The Annual Prevalence of PW treated for syphilis per 1000 sero-positivity was 312.3881568, 310.0644625, 267.5499308, 310.8217742, for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. Regarding Annual Prevalence of PW treated for syphilis per 100000 PW it was 53.49764258, 50.99664915, 49.50411548, 110.9241982, for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively. The Annual Prevalence of babies treated for syphilis per 100000 deliveries was found to be 76.90651289, 22.71521554, 18.03128413, 23.14052839, for 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively which shows that treatment prevalence decreased in spite of increase in cases of congenital syphilis during pandemic-era (see table-4 and figure-4).
Descriptive data
(a) Characteristics of study participants – (e.g. demographic, clinical, social) and information on exposures and potential confounders – This study include all public-private-rural-urban health facilities across 36 states and union territories of India whose data are registered on HMIS-MoHFW, Govt. of India. The total number of pregnant women registered for ANC was considered as total number of pregnancy. The sum of all home and institutional deliveries is considered as total deliveries. This is a cross-sectional research study to assess the Impacts of covid-19 pandemic era on Pregnant Women sero-positivity for Syphilis among women attending antenatal care in India and number of babies diagnosed with Congenital Syphilis as well as numbers of PW and children’s treated for the same. Hence author have included the variables/indicators available at HMIS related to research question mentioned in the title of this research study and their numbers listed above in table-2
(b) Number of participants with missing data for each variable of interest – The missing data for each variable for 2021 were projected with Microsoft excels by linear regression. There may be under-reporting etc. which are excluded in this study.