The presentation of the results starts with the descriptive frequencies of different variables to show the distribution of the sample in different categories of independent variables with reference to the dependent variable. Thereafter, we provide the results from the multinomial logistic regression indicating the associative effects of independent variables on each contraceptive provider.
Descriptive results
Table 1 presents the results of descriptive analysis providing the distribution of respondents in the three categories of the dependent variable: contraceptive users from medical sector (public or private), contraceptive users who referred to CHWs and the category of non-use. Out of a total of 13,724 women in union constituting the analytical sample, 35% are using some contraceptive modern method from medical sector, 10% are using from the community health service, and 55% are not using any modern contraceptive method. These proportions computed at national level hide however notable disparities across subpopulations and regions.
Table 1. Distribution of respondents by selected variables according to the source of contraceptive method used
Variables
|
Categories
|
Use from
Medical sector
|
Use from
CHWs
|
No use
|
Total
|
|
ALL
|
35.4
|
9.8
|
54.8
|
13,724
|
|
No education
|
28.6
|
9.9
|
61.5
|
2,416
|
Education
|
Primary
|
36.1
|
10.6
|
53.4
|
9,528
|
|
Secondary
|
40.3
|
6.0
|
53.7
|
1,417
|
|
Higher
|
47.1
|
2.5
|
50.4
|
363
|
|
Poor
|
31.4
|
10.9
|
57.8
|
5,366
|
Wealth
|
Middle
|
36.5
|
10.6
|
52.8
|
5,422
|
|
Rich
|
41.0
|
6.1
|
52.9
|
2,936
|
|
Catholic
|
37.0
|
11.8
|
51.3
|
5,501
|
Religion
|
Protestant
|
34.2
|
8.4
|
57.4
|
7,734
|
|
Muslims
|
38.0
|
11.0
|
51.0
|
263
|
|
Others
|
37.6
|
7.5
|
54.9
|
226
|
Residence
|
Urban
|
39.5
|
7.4
|
53.1
|
2,595
|
|
Rural
|
34.5
|
10.3
|
55.2
|
11,129
|
|
15-24
|
33.5
|
8.1
|
58.4
|
1,983
|
Age
|
25-34
|
38.5
|
11.2
|
50.3
|
6,471
|
|
35+
|
32.5
|
8.6
|
58.9
|
5,270
|
|
0-3
|
38.0
|
10.3
|
51.7
|
7,112
|
Desired fertility
|
4-5
|
33.4
|
9.8
|
56.8
|
5,367
|
|
6+
|
29.7
|
6.8
|
63.5
|
1,245
|
|
0-3
|
35.1
|
9.9
|
55.0
|
8,308
|
Actual fertility
|
4-5
|
37.9
|
10.8
|
51.3
|
3,521
|
|
6+
|
32.5
|
7.3
|
60.2
|
1,895
|
|
0
|
36.6
|
10.3
|
53.1
|
9,816
|
Child mortality
|
1
|
34.1
|
9.3
|
56.6
|
2,461
|
|
2
|
31.6
|
7.3
|
61.1
|
882
|
|
3
|
26.7
|
6.6
|
66.7
|
565
|
|
West
|
30.8
|
7.0
|
62.2
|
3,181
|
|
South
|
36.6
|
10.5
|
52.9
|
3,384
|
Province
|
Kigali
|
40.7
|
5.4
|
53.9
|
1,667
|
|
North
|
38.0
|
13.9
|
48.1
|
2,216
|
|
East
|
34.4
|
11.2
|
54.4
|
3,276
|
With reference to woman’s education, the results indicate that the proportion of women using contraceptives from medical sector rises with education, from 28.6% among no educated women to 47.1% among those with higher education. Contrary to contraceptive users referring to medical sector, the proportion of women referring to CHWs to get contraceptives decreases with education from 9.9% for women with no education to only 2.5% to those with higher education. On the other hand, the proportion of women not using contraception decreases with education. A similar pattern to education is observed for the economic status of women as measured by the household wealth status. The proportion of women referring to medical sector increases with the raise of socioeconomic status; while it is a reverse pattern for women referring to community health workers. Again, the proportion of women not using modern contraception decreases with the household wealth index. This result goes in line with the existing knowledge that education and economic status facilitate contraceptive practice. Whatever the source of provision, Protestant believers display a lower proportion of women using modern contraception but a higher proposition of non-users, when compared to Catholics, Muslims or others. Women from rural areas exhibit proportionally lower adhesion to medical sector but higher to CHWs than urbanites: 34.5% versus 39.5% and 10.3% against 7.4% respectively.
Regarding the demographic characteristics of respondents, the table 1 shows that women in middle reproductive age 25-34 years are more using modern contraception than their counterparts younger or older, irrespective of the source of provision. Use of contraception is inversely correlated to the desired fertility. Women aspiring for fewer children refer to both type of contraceptive providers (38.0% for medical sector and 10.3% for CHWs) more than those desiring many children. The correlation with the desired number of children changes slightly with the actual children. Irrespective of the source of provision, the proportion of contraceptive users is higher among women with 4-5 children than among those with fewer children or many. Evidently, the pattern of non-users contrasts with that of users. As expected, child mortality affects use of contraception. Regardless of the type of provider, the share of women using modern contraceptives decreases when the number of lost children augments; by contrast, the share of non-users increases steadily with the rise of the number of died children, those who lost many children being much reluctant for the use of contraception.
With respect to regional variations, the high proportions of women using contraception from both medical sector and community health workers program are found in the Northern province (38.0% and 13.9% respectively) while the lower are recorded in the Western province. Kigali as a city shows the highest score of referring to medical sector (40.7%) but also the lowest adhesion to CHWs score (5.4%).
Multinomial logistic regression results
Table 2 displays the results from the multinomial logistic regression analysis. Since the provision from the community health service is the focus of the study and that the program targets more the lower socio-economic segments of the population or those living in underserved regions, especially rural regions, the analysis considers as reference category the highest segment of the population for ordinal and discrete variables or those assumed to be as such. Second, the non use option is the omitted category as it represents women who did not respond to the program.
Table 2: Multinomial logistic Regression results in odds ratios (OR) of selected variables on the choice of contraceptive providers
|
Medical sector
|
Community health workers
|
Variable (ref.) Categories
|
OR
|
P. value
|
<95CI
|
> 95CI
|
OR
|
P. value
|
< 95CI
|
> 95CI
|
Constant
|
0.93
|
0.594
|
0.71
|
1.22
|
0.01
|
0.000
|
0.01
|
0.03
|
Year (2015 vs 2010)
|
0.76
|
0.000
|
0.70
|
0.82
|
3.42
|
0.000
|
2.98
|
3.93
|
Education (Higher)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No education
|
0.61
|
0.000
|
0.48
|
0.79
|
3.76
|
0.000
|
1.84
|
7.67
|
Primary
|
0.80
|
0.054
|
0.63
|
1.00
|
3.80
|
0.000
|
1.89
|
7.62
|
Secondary
|
0.83
|
0.122
|
0.65
|
1.05
|
2.39
|
0.017
|
1.17
|
4.89
|
HH wealth index (Rich)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poor
|
0.78
|
0.000
|
0.68
|
0.89
|
1.20
|
0.128
|
0.95
|
1.51
|
Middle
|
0.97
|
0.654
|
0.86
|
1.10
|
1.27
|
0.041
|
1.01
|
1.59
|
Religion (Catholic)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Protestant
|
0.86
|
0.000
|
0.80
|
0.93
|
0.64
|
0.000
|
0.56
|
0.72
|
Muslim
|
1.00
|
0.982
|
0.76
|
1.31
|
1.08
|
0.713
|
0.71
|
1.67
|
Others
|
0.96
|
0.756
|
0.72
|
1.27
|
0.70
|
0.185
|
0.41
|
1.19
|
Residence (Rur vs Urban)
|
0.94
|
0.307
|
0.82
|
1.06
|
1.03
|
0.752
|
0.84
|
1.27
|
Age (15-24)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25-34
|
1.32
|
0.000
|
1.17
|
1.47
|
1.55
|
0.000
|
1.28
|
1.88
|
35+
|
0.92
|
0.226
|
0.79
|
1.06
|
1.00
|
0.996
|
0.79
|
1.27
|
Actual fertility (0-3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4-5
|
1.49
|
0.000
|
1.34
|
1.64
|
1.46
|
0.000
|
1.24
|
1.71
|
6+
|
1.28
|
0.001
|
1.11
|
1.47
|
1.06
|
0.625
|
0.84
|
1.35
|
Desired fertility (0-3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4-5
|
0.80
|
0.000
|
0.73
|
0.86
|
0.84
|
0.008
|
0.74
|
0.95
|
6+
|
0.66
|
0.000
|
0.57
|
0.76
|
0.56
|
0.000
|
0.44
|
0.73
|
Child mortality (zero)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
0.92
|
0.128
|
0.83
|
1.02
|
0.89
|
0.156
|
0.75
|
1.05
|
2
|
0.84
|
0.032
|
0.71
|
0.99
|
0.71
|
0.017
|
0.53
|
0.94
|
3
|
0.69
|
0.000
|
0.56
|
0.84
|
0.60
|
0.006
|
0.41
|
0.86
|
Province (West)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
South
|
1.34
|
0.000
|
1.20
|
1.49
|
1.69
|
0.000
|
1.41
|
2.04
|
Kigali
|
1.19
|
0.029
|
1.02
|
1.39
|
1.13
|
0.417
|
0.84
|
1.52
|
North
|
1.51
|
0.000
|
1.34
|
1.71
|
2.47
|
0.000
|
2.04
|
3.00
|
East
|
1.23
|
0.000
|
1.10
|
1.37
|
1.88
|
0.000
|
1.57
|
2.26
|
Over the five years of study, between 2010 and 2015, results indicate that the choice of medical sector has declined (OR: 0.76 in 2015) while referring to CHWs service increased more than threefold (OR: 3.42), translating both the deployment of CHWs across the country and the adherence of the population to the new contraceptive provider. These overall trends hide important disparities between socio-economic groups.
Educational factor displays opposite effects on the use of medical sector and that of CHWs service. For the former, the raise in education increases the propensities to refer to, from an odds ratio of 0.61 for women with no education to 0.80 for those with a primary level, 0.83 for those who reached a secondary level and to 1.00 for women with higher education (ref. category). For the latter, the raise in education decreases the odds ratios of referring to it, from an odds ratio of 3.76 among women with no education, 3.80 among those with primary, 2.39 among those with secondary to only 1.00 among those with higher education (ref. category). Woman’s economic status, as measured by the household wealth index, yields similar pattern to that from education. Other factors held constant, women from the poor or middle indexed households present lower odds (OR: 0.78, and 0.97 respectively) to refer to medical sector but higher odds (OR: 1.20, and 1.27 respectively) to refer to CHWs when compared to those living in wealthy households (ref category). Women practicing the protestant religion have lower odds to refer to both medical sector (OR: 0.86) and CHWs (OR: 0.64) as compared to those practicing the catholic religion (ref. category) or followers of other religions who behave as Catholics.
On the other hand, women from rural areas who had showed lower frequencies to refer to medical sector and higher ones to use CHWs than those living in urban in descriptive statistics (table 1), exhibit equivalent propensities as urbanites, in the multinomial model, and this for both providers. This means that, after controlling for other factors, especially education and economic status, the difference based on residence disappears. In other words, if rural women were equally educated or wealthy as those in urban, they could behave as their sisters vis-à-vis the use of CHWs and medical sector.
With regard to demographic characteristics of women, globally there is no significant difference between women choosing the medical sector and those referring to CHWs. However, the variations across subgroups are important. Irrespective of the provider, women in middle reproductive age 25-34 years old or those with four to five children are more likely to use contraception than their sisters younger or older, or those having fewer children less than four or many as six or more. This would mean that the age of a woman and her actual fertility do not intervene in the choice of contraceptive provider. In addition, use of contraception is highly affected by the woman’s attitude to family size and the experienced child mortality. Regardless of the provider, and other factors held constant, the ORs of using contraception decreases significantly with the desired number of children and the number of children lost. Women wanting many children or who have lost many of their offspring are less inclined to use contraception, irrespective of the provider, than those willing fewer or who didn’t lose any child or lost few.
Looking at the regional variations, the results indicate that the general pattern of differentiation by province is identical for the medical sector and CHWs although parameters are higher for CHWs than for the medical sector. For example, for the Eastern province the odds ratios are 1.23 for the medical sector and 1.88 for CHWs when compared with the Western province (reference category). Particularly for the CHWs, after controlling for the different socio-economic factors included in the study the Northern Province displays the highest performance (OR: 2.47), followed by the Eastern Province (1.88) and the Southern 1.69). The City of Kigali with an odds ratio of 1.13, not significantly different from the Western province, is lagging behind the rural provinces.