Elevated Serum Estradiol Levels Have Different Effects on Pregnancy Outcomes Depending on Whether Cleavage-stage or Blastocyst-stage Embryo Transfer Is Performed During Artificial Frozen Embryo Transfer Cycles

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-134071/v1

Abstract

Objective: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between serum estradiol (E2) and pregnancy outcomes of cleavage- or blastocyst-stage frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles using hormone replacement therapy.

Methods: A total of 776 FET cycles (669 couples) performed from January 2016 to December 2019 were included in the present retrospective cohort study. The impact of progesterone-initiation-day serum E2 levels on the ongoing pregnancy/live birth (OP/LB) rates was determined, and cleavage-stage embryo transfers and blastocyst-stage embryo transfers were analyzed separately.

Results: Regarding cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles, serum E2 levels on progesterone initiation day were significantly lower in the OP/LB group than in the non-OP/LB group (214.75 ± 173.47 vs. 253.20 ± 203.30 pg/ml; P = 0.023). In addition, there were downward trends in implantation, clinical pregnancy and OP/LB rates with increasing E2 levels. However, in blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles, such trends were not observed, and there was no significant difference between the OP/LB group and the non-OP/LB group. Logistic regression analysis revealed that E2 levels on progesterone initiation day in cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles were independently associated with OP/LB (odds ratio = 1.000, 95% confidence interval: 1.000-1.001, P = 0.008). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.55 in cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles and 0.53 in blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles.

Conclusions: The association of low OP/LB rates with elevated E2 levels on the progesterone initiation day in cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles suggests that E2 levels should be monitored during artificial cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles. However, it is not necessary to monitor serum E2 levels when transferring blastocysts in artificial FET cycles.

Introduction

Endometrial preparation is a critical step in both the natural and artificial frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycle because the development of the endometrium must be synchronized with the embryo transfer for successful implantation [1]. Undoubtedly, estradiol (E2) coordinately interacts with progesterone and plays an important role in endometrial development [2, 3]. In fresh cycles, excess E2 has been shown to be detrimental to endometrial development and to ultimately adversely affect conception [4, 5]. Moreover, excess E2 levels have been found to increase the incidence of abnormal pregnancy conditions, such as intrauterine growth restriction and abnormal implantation of the placenta [6, 7]. There is limited available information regarding the need for endocrine monitoring during hormone replacement therapy (HRT), although supplementation with steroid hormones is necessary for endometrial preparation. Fritz et al. demonstrated that elevated E2 levels in artificial FET cycles were related to a low ongoing pregnancy/live birth (OP/LB) rate [8], but some authors did not observe this association [911]. The discrepant findings may be due to the different patient populations recruited, differences in the protocols used for endometrial preparation, and differrences in the day in which steroid hormone levels were measured between studies. In addition to synchronization between endometrial maturation and transferred embryos, female age, the uterine condition, and embryonic factors are major variables affecting embryo implantation. To eliminate bias due to the effects of other variables on embryonic implantation, the present retrospective study analyzed frozen-thawed transfer cycles with two good-quality embryos transferred into the normal uterus of patients under 40 years of age with an endometrial thickness of at least 7 mm on the progesterone initiation day. Cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles and blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles were analyzed separately in this study because the age of the transferred embryo is an important factor affecting the success rate of implantation. To our knowledge, to date, this is the largest study examining the association between E2 levels on progesterone initiation day and OP/LB.

Material And Methods

Patients

All FET cycles performed from January 2016 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed in this study. A total of 776 cycles (669 couples) that met the following criteria were included: women under 40 years of age, transfer of two viable-quality embryos, and endometrial thickness ≥ 7 mm on the progesterone initiation day. Among day-3 embryos, those with 6 to 10 even and homogeneous blastomeres and less than 40% fragmentation were defined as viable embryos. Blastocysts were assessed on day 5 or day 6 after oocyte collection according to Gardner’s criteria [12], and all blastocysts except for CC (poor inner cell mass and poor trophectoderm) were defined as viable embryos. Cryopreservation and thawing of embryos were performed with the Cryotop (Kitazato Supply Co., Japan) protocol reported by Kuwayama et al (2005) [13]. Patients with hydrosalpinx or uterine abnormalities such as fibroids or congenital structural anomalies that may affect implantation were excluded. The present study was approved by the hospital ethical board (study number SZ20200319-1).

Endometrial preparation and embryo transfer

Endometrial preparation started on days 2 to 3 of the cycle with a step-up dose of oral E2 valerate (Progynova, Bayer, France) with or without downregulation by gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist. In general, 4 mg per day of estradiol valerate was administered for the first 4 days, and then increased to 6 mg per day for the second 4 days, followed by the measurement of endometrial thickness by vaginal ultrasound. If endometrial thickness reached 7 mm, administrtion of the same dose of valerate was continued for 4 more days, and if not, the doses were increased to 8 mg per day onwards. When the thickness reached 7 mm after 12–15 days of E2 valerate administration, progesterone supplementation was administered by three routes based on patient preference: oral administration of 10 mg twice a day (Dydrogesterone, Abbott, Netherlands), 90 mg vaginal administration daily (Crinone, MerckSerono, UK) or 40 mg intramuscular injection daily (Progesterone Injection; Xianjupharmacy, China). All patients underwent transfers of 2 embryos under ultrasound guidance with day-3 embryos 4 days after progesterone administration or blastocysts 6 days after progesterone administration. Serum levels of E2, progesterone and luteinizing hormone were measured on the progesterone initiation day using electrochemiluminescent immunoassay (Roche, Cobase, Switzerland). Human chorionic gonadotropin was examined to evaluate pregnancy on days 12–14 after embryo transfer. When pregnancy was achieved, the combination of E2 valerate and progesterone supplementation continued until 10–12 weeks of gestation.

Pregnancy outcomes

The presence of a gestational sac and fetal heartbeat was considered a clinical pregnancy. The implantation rate was calculated as the number of gestational sacs by ultrasound observation divided by the number of transferred embryos. Live birth was defined as delivery of a viable infant after 24 weeks gestation. Miscarriage was diagnosed as spontaneous pregnancy loss.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis was conducted with SPSS software (version 17.0; SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). Continuous values are presented as the mean ± SD. Categorical values are expressed as percentages (%). Normality was assessed with the Shapiro-Wilk test. Student’s t-test or Mann–Whitney U test were used to evaluate differences between continuous variables based on the distribution. Categorical values were analyzed with the chi-square test. Multivariate logistic regression analysis with stepwise backwards regression was performed to assess the correlations between the variables and the OP/LB rate. All the variables reaching a significance level of 10% with the chi-square test were enterred into the logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to determine the predictive power of serum E2 level for OP/LB. A two-tailed P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

A total of 776 FET cycles (669 patients) were retrospectively reviewed from January 2016 to December 2019. The implantation rate, clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) and OP/BL rate were 27.4%, 43.3% and 33.5%, respectively, for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles and 48.1%, 69.3%, 59.2%, respectively, for blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles.

As shown in Table 1 for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles, there were no significant differences between OP/BL and non-OP/BL regarding body mass index, type of infertility, basal serum follicle-stimulating hormone levels on cycle days 2–3, serum levels of progesterone and luteinizing hormone, or endometrial thickness on progesterone initiation day. However, the average female age, serum E2 level on progesterone initiation day, and duration of infertility were significantly lower in the OP/BL group than in the non-OP/BL group (31.9 vs. 33.4 years, P < 0.001; 214.75 vs. 253.20 pg/ml, P < 0.05; 4.34 vs. 4.99 years, P < 0.05; respectively). For blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles, no significant differences in any of the variables were observed between the OP/BL and non-OP/BL groups (Table 2).

Table 1

Characteristics between ongoing pregnancy/live birth (OP/LB) and non-OP/LB for cleavage-stage embryo transfers.

Parameters

OP/LB group (n = 180)

Non-OP/LB group (n = 358)

P-value

Female age (years)

31.94 ± 3.84

33.39 ± 3.82

< 0.001

Body mass index

22.11 ± 2.77

21.98 ± 2.84

0.628

Basal follicle-stimulating hormone (IU/L)

6.03 ± 2.35

6.22 ± 2.64

0.432

Type of infertility

   

0.848

 

Primary

33.8%

33.0%

 
 

Secondary

66.2%

67.0%

 

Duration of infertility (years)

4.34 ± 3.03

4.99 ± 3.71

0.044

Estradiol on the progesterone initiation day (pg/mL)

214.75 ± 173.47

253.20 ± 203.30

0.023

Progesterone on the progesterone initiation day (pg/mL)

0.35 ± 1.52

0.27 ± 0.74

0.418

Luteinizing hormone on the progesterone initiation day (IU/L)

8.61 ± 9.48

7.25 ± 8.03

0.106

Endometrial thickness on the progesterone initiation day (mm)

9.23 ± 1.21

9.11 ± 1.22

0.251

 

Table 2

Characteristics between ongoing pregnancy/live birth (OP/LB) and non-OP/LB for blastocyst-stage embryo transfers.

Parameters

OP/LB group (n = 141)

Non- OP/LB group (n = 97)

P-value

Female age (years)

31.56 ± 4.27

31.84 ± 4.25

0.626

Body mass index

21.99 ± 3.05

22.22 ± 3.11

0.573

Basal follicle-stimulating hormone (IU/L)

5.47 ± 1.81

5.53 ± 2.26

0.810

Type of infertility

   

0.534

 

Primary

56.6%

43.4%

 
 

Secondary

60.6%

39.4%

 

Duration of infertility (years)

4.11 ± 2.85

3.85 ± 2.39

0.465

Estradiol on the progesterone initiation day (pg/mL)

201.66 ± 182.14

197.89 ± 212.83

0.884

Progesterone on the progesterone initiation day (pg/mL)

0.197 ± 0.160

0.208 ± 0.168

0.607

Luteinizing hormone on the progesterone initiation day (IU/L)

7.67 ± 8.19

7.62 ± 9.12

0.966

Endometrial thickness on the progesterone initiation day (mm)

8.95 ± 1.29

9.04 ± 1.37

0.630

 

To further investigate serum E2 levels on the effect of pregnancy outcomes, patients were classified into three percentile groups based on the serum E2 level on progesterone initiation day: the 1st–10th percentile (group 1), the 11th–90th percentile (group 2) and the 91st–100th percentile (group 3). As shown in Fig. 1, we observed decreasing trends in the implantation rate (P < 0.001), CPR (P = 0.001) and OP/BL rate (P = 0.024) with increasing E2 levels for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles. A significantly higher OP/BL rate was achieved in cycles with E2 levels in the 1st-10th percentile (2.7–47.1 pg/ml) than in cycles with E2 levels in the 91st-100th percentile (508.4–951.0 pg/ml) (43.4 vs. 18.9%, P = 0.006). However, such trends were not observed for the implantation rate, CPR or OP/BL rate in blastocyst-stage embryo transfer FET cycles (Fig. 2).

Multivariate logistic regression analysis with a stepwise backwards approach was performed to assess the correlations between the OP/BL rate and the variables for which the P value was under 10%, as shown in Table 1. These variables included female age, duration of infertility, and serum E2 and luteinizing hormone levels on progesterone initiation day for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles. The results revealed that female age (odds ratio (OR) = 1.059, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.003–1.118, P = 0.039) and serum E2 level on progesterone initiation day (OR = 1.000, 95% CI: 1.000-1.001, P = 0.008) were independently associated with the OP/BL rate for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles (Table 3). Logistic regression analysis for blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles was not performed because no P value was under 0.10, as shown in Table 2.

Table 3

Valuables associated with ongoing pregnancy/live birth analyzed with multivariate logistic regression for day-3 embryo transfers.

Valuables

Odds ratio

95% confidence interval

P-value

Female age

1.059

1.003–1.118

0.039

Estradiol level on the progesterone initiation day

1.000

1.000-1.001

0.008

Constant

0.234

 

0.120

 

In addition, ROC analysis was performed to determined whether the serum E2 level on progesterone initiation day could predict OP/BL. The areas under the ROC curve were 0.55 (95% CI: 0.50–0.60) for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles (Fig. 3) and 0.53 (95% CI: 0.46–0.61) for blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles (Fig. 4), implying that the serum E2 level on progesterone initiation day is a poor predictive variable for OP/BL in FET cycles.

Discussion

We demonstrated that the serum E2 level on the progesterone initiation day was significantly higher in the OP/LB group than in the non-OP/LB group during artificial FET cycles with cleavage-stage embryo transfer. In addition, elevated E2 levels in the 91st-100th percentile had detrimental effects on embryo implantation, clinical pregnancy and OP/LB compared to E2 levels in the 1st-10th percentile. However, such effects of E2 levels on embryo implantation, clinical pregnancy and OP/LB were not observed in frozen-thawed blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles. This is the first study to find that serum E2 levels on progesterone initiation day have different effects on pregnancy outcomes between cleavage-stage embryo transfers and blastocyst-stage embryo transfers during artificial FET cycles.

Although estrogen levels in normal natural cycles reach 300–400 pg/ml before ovulation, a study on donor cycles revealed that the E2 requirement for embryo implantation is low (< 100 pg/ml) [14]. Our study supports this conclusion, showing appropriately 40% of conceptions occurring in patients with E2 levels < 100 pg/ml either in cleavage-stage embryo transfers (95/233) or in blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles (65/165). On the other hand, successful conception in fresh embryo transfer cycles implies that embryo implantation can occur in an environment with the supraphysiological levels of E2 caused by ovarian stimulation. This can be explained by the fact that serum E2 levels were not associated with pregnancy outcomes in blastocyst transfer cycles in the present study. Similarly, in a study by Özdemir et al., E2 levels did not have significant effects on the pregnancy and miscarriage rate in autologous day 5 embryo transfer cycles using HRT [10]. Our data showed that pregnancies could occur in a wide range of serum E2 levels from low levels of 10 pg/ml to a supraphysiological level of > 1000 pg/mL.

Interestingly, regarding cleavage-stage embryo transfer, we found that elevated E2 levels in the 91st-100th percentile on progesterone initiation day had detrimental effects on CPR and OP/LB rates in HRT cycles compared to the low E2 levels in the 1st-10th percentile. Fritz et al. had a similar finding that OP/LB decreased six-fold in FET cycles with the highest 10% E2 concentrations compared to those cycles with the lowest 10% E2 concentrations [8]. The detrimental effects of an elevated E2 level on pregnancy have been reported in fresh in vitro fertilization cycles [4, 5, 15]. Experiments with a mouse model revealed that high levels of estrogen rapidly close the receptivity window for embryo implantation by altering endometrial gene expression, which causes the uterus to become unreceptive for implantation [16, 17]. As a consequence of this shortened receptivity window caused by a high E2 level, the receptivity window may be missed for a late-growing blastocyst developed from a day-3 embryo, resulting in a low chance of implantation; however, a blastocyst transfer can result in immediate implantation within the receptivity window.

In contrast to our findings regarding high E2 levels in cleavage-stage FET cycles, some authors have not found an adverse effect of high E2 levels on pregnancy outcomes. Niu et al. reported that E2 concentrations did not appear to be associated with the pregnancy rate in autologous day-3 FET cycles [9]. They grouped E2 concentrations on progesterone initiation day into the 0–25th, 25th–75th, and 75th–100th percentile groups, and the average E2 concentration in the highest group (299 ± 48.9 pg/ml) was not in the range of the highest 10th percentile of our study (508.4–951.0 pg/ml). When we regrouped E2 levels according to their study, no differences in pregnancy or implantation between groups were observed. Classifying E2 levels into five groups, Remohi et al. did not find elevated E2 levels on the oocyte donation day to be associated with the implantation or pregnancy rate [14]. This may be due to the high quality of embryos derived from donor oocytes that can be implanted within a narrow receptive window in conditions of elevated E2 levels, which was similar to our findings for blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles.

In contrast to our finding of a significant difference in E2 levels between the OP/LB group and the non-OP/LB group for cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles, this difference in E2 levels was not found by several authors [8, 11, 18]. This discrepancy may be have two main causes. First, these authors used transdermal and intramuscular E2 for E2 supplementation, whereas we used oral estrogen. Oral estrogen is metabolized and transformed into estrone in the intestine and liver, which has a lower binding affinity for estrogen receptors than E2 [19]. Second, the study by Fritz et al. pooled day-3 and day-5 embryos for analysis [8], whereas we analyzed data for cleavage-stage embryo transfer and blastocyst-stage embryo transfer separately.

Multivariable logistic regression was conducted to analyze E2 levels on progesterone initiation day in cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles. We found that the E2 level was an independent variable affecting OP/LB after adjustments for female age. However, ROC curve analysis revealed that the E2 level on progesterone initiation day had no predictive power for pregnancy outcomes in either cleavage-stage or blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles. Although we acknowledge that the retrospective nature is a limitation in this study, recruitment of women under 40 years old with two good embryos being transferred into a normal endometrium eliminated the bias caused by other confounding variables. Another limitation involving the small sizes of the highest and lowest E2 levels indicates the need for larger sample sizes in prospective studies in the future.

Conclusions

Our data indicate that excess serum E2 levels on the progesterone initiation day have detrimental effects on embryo implantation and pregnancy rates when cleavage-stage frozen embryos are transferred into the endometrium prepared by oral administration of E2 but have no adverse effect on frozen blastocyst-stage embryo transfer. Therefore, it is necessary to monitor E2 levels in cleavage-stage embryo transfer cycles but not necessary in blastocyst-stage embryo transfer cycles. However, serum E2 levels on progesterone initiation day could not predict success in either cleavage- or blastocyst-stage HRT frozen embryo transfer cycles.

Abbreviations

E2: estradiol; FET: frozen embryo transfer cycle; HRT: hormone replacement therapy; CPR: clinical pregnancy rate; OP/LB: ongoing pregnancy/live birth; OR: odds ratio; 95% CI: 95% confidence interval; ROC: receiver operating characteristic

Declarations

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the staff at the reproductive medicine center in Yulin Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital for their support.

Funding

Not applicable.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Authors’ Contributions

Design of the study: QL, LR, YL and MZ. Acquisition of data: QL, ZY, YL. Analyzed and interpreted the data: QL, LR, ZY, LZ, YL and MZ. Manuscript writing and revising: QL, YL and MZ. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Ethical approval

All procedures involving human participants were conducted in accordance with those of the 1964 Helsinki declaration and with the recommendations of the institutional review boards of Yulin Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital. This study was approved by the Yulin Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital (NO. SZ20200319-1). Patient consent was not required because this was a retrospective study.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest.

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