1.1 Patient characteristics
A total of 292 patients with pCR and near-pCR were included in this study. Their clinical and pathological characteristics are described in the Table 1. The median age of patients was 46 years (range 23–75 years). 62.3% were premenopausal. The median duration of follow-up for these patients was 53 months (range 9-138 months). There were 173 patients achieving pCR and 119 achieving near-pCR. The predominant tumor subtype was HER2 positive (49.0%) (including luminal B HER2 + and non-luminal HER2+) and TNBC (30.8%). Among the patients with HER2 positive, 63.6% received trastuzumab, while 24.4% received trastuzumab and pertuzumab. The majority of the tumors were T2+ (91.4%) and N+ (76.0%). Overall, 77.0% of the patients underwent mastectomy and 83.2% of the patients had axillary lymph node dissection.
Table 1
Characteristics | Total (n = 292) | pCR (n = 173) | Near-pCR (n = 119) |
No. | % | No. | % | No. | % |
Median age (range) | 46(23–75) | | 48(23–73) | | 42(24–75) | |
Age | | | | | | |
༜40 | 94 | 32.2 | 43 | 24.9 | 51 | 42.9 |
40–59 | 168 | 57.5 | 110 | 63.6 | 58 | 48.7 |
≥ 60 | 30 | 10.3 | 20 | 11.6 | 10 | 8.4 |
Menopausal status | | | | | | |
Premenopausal | 182 | 62.3 | 101 | 58.4 | 81 | 68.1 |
Postmenopausal | 110 | 37.7 | 72 | 41.6 | 38 | 31.9 |
cT | | | | | | |
T1 | 25 | 8.6 | 15 | 8.7 | 10 | 8.4 |
T2 | 168 | 57.5 | 108 | 62.4 | 60 | 50.4 |
T3 | 69 | 23.6 | 35 | 20.2 | 34 | 28.6 |
T4 | 30 | 10.3 | 15 | 8.7 | 15 | 12.6 |
cN | | | | | | |
N0 | 70 | 24.0 | 33 | 19.1 | 37 | 31.1 |
N1 | 69 | 23.6 | 35 | 20.2 | 34 | 28.6 |
N2 | 98 | 33.6 | 68 | 39.3 | 30 | 25.2 |
N3 | 55 | 18.8 | 37 | 21.4 | 18 | 15.1 |
cTNM | | | | | | |
I | 4 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.6 | 3 | 2.5 |
IIA | 49 | 16.8 | 23 | 13.3 | 26 | 21.8 |
IIB | 51 | 17.5 | 29 | 16.8 | 22 | 18.5 |
IIIA | 108 | 37.0 | 70 | 40.5 | 38 | 31.9 |
IIIB | 25 | 8.6 | 13 | 7.5 | 12 | 10.1 |
IIIC | 55 | 18.8 | 37 | 21.4 | 18 | 15.1 |
ER status | | | | | | |
Negative | 203 | 69.5 | 128 | 74.0 | 75 | 63.0 |
Positive | 89 | 30.5 | 45 | 26.0 | 44 | 37.0 |
PR status | | | | | | |
Negative | 174 | 59.6 | 115 | 66.5 | 59 | 49.6 |
Positive | 118 | 40.4 | 58 | 33.5 | 60 | 50.4 |
HER2 status | | | | | | |
Negative | 149 | 51.0 | 86 | 49.7 | 63 | 52.9 |
Positive | 143 | 49.0 | 87 | 50.3 | 56 | 47.1 |
Ki67 | | | | | | |
༜20 | 16 | 5.5 | 7 | 4.0 | 9 | 7.6 |
20–49 | 117 | 40.1 | 65 | 37.6 | 52 | 43.7 |
≥ 50 | 142 | 48.6 | 92 | 53.2 | 50 | 42.0 |
Unknown | 17 | 5.8 | 9 | 5.2 | 8 | 6.7 |
Breast cancer subtype | | | | | | |
Luminal A | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.8 |
Luminal B HER2- | 58 | 19.9 | 30 | 17.3 | 29 | 24.4 |
Luminal B HER2+ | 77 | 26.4 | 41 | 23.7 | 35 | 29.4 |
Non-luminal HER2+ | 66 | 22.6 | 45 | 26.0 | 21 | 17.6 |
Triple negative | 90 | 30.8 | 57 | 32.9 | 33 | 27.7 |
Chemotherapy regimens of NAC | | | | | | |
Anthracycline and taxane | 86 | 29.5 | 40 | 23.1 | 46 | 38.7 |
Taxane and platinum | 175 | 59.9 | 117 | 67.6 | 58 | 48.7 |
Anthracycline and taxane and platinum | 15 | 5.1 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 4.2 |
Anthracycline or taxane | 13 | 4.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 7 | 5.9 |
Endocrine | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2.5 |
Cycle number of NAC | | | | | | |
༜4 | 10 | 3.4 | 2 | 1.2 | 8 | 6.7 |
4–6 | 248 | 84.9 | 153 | 88.4 | 95 | 79.8 |
༞6 | 31 | 10.6 | 18 | 10.4 | 13 | 10.9 |
Other (Endocrine Therapy) | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2.5 |
Surgery of breast cancer | | | | | | |
Breast-conserving surgery | 67 | 23.0 | 41 | 23.7 | 26 | 21.8 |
Mastectomy | 225 | 77.0 | 132 | 76.3 | 93 | 78.2 |
Surgery of lymph nodes | | | | | | |
Sentinel lymph node biopsies | 49 | 16.8 | 28 | 16.2 | 21 | 17.6 |
Axillary lymph node dissection | 143 | 83.2 | 145 | 83.8 | 98 | 82.4 |
Adjuvant radiation | | | | | | |
Yes | 211 | 72.3 | 125 | 72.3 | 86 | 72.3 |
No | 81 | 27.7 | 48 | 27.7 | 33 | 27.7 |
Adjuvant endocrine | | | | | | |
Yes | 128 | 43.8 | 67 | 38.7 | 61 | 51.3 |
No | 164 | 56.2 | 106 | 61.3 | 58 | 48.7 |
HER2 positive | | | | | | |
With trastuzumab | 91 | 63.6 | 59 | 67.8 | 32 | 57.1 |
With trastuzumab and pertuzumab | 35 | 24.4 | 23 | 26.4 | 12 | 21.4 |
With trastuzumab and TKI | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 |
Without HER2 targeted therapy | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 5.7 | 11 | 19.6 |
Abbreviation:pCR:pathological complete response;Near-pCR:near-pathological complete response; cT:clinical tumour size; cN: clinical lymph node status;ER: estrogen receptor; PR: progesterone receptor; HER2:human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2; Ki67:Ki67 index; NAC:neoadjuvant chemotherapy; TKI:Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor. |
1.2 Disease recurrence
As shown in Table 2, a total of 26 (8.9%) patients developed recurrence. Twenty-one (84.0%) recurrence occurred within 36 months. Among patients achieving pCR, 9 (5.2%) patients developed cancer recurrence, with 2 patients presenting with both local relapse and distant metastasis, while 7 patients presenting with distant metastasis. The median time to recurrence was 14 months (range, 8–62 months) from the onset of NAC. 4 (44.4%) patients occurred liver metastasis and 2 (22.2%) patients presented brain metastasis as the first event.
Table 2
Time and site of recurrence
| pCR | Near-pCR |
N | % | N | % |
| 9 | | 16 | |
Median (range), months | 14 (8–62) | | 18(4–69) | |
≤ 12 months | 3 | 33.3 | 5 | 31.3 |
12–36 months | 4 | 44.4 | 9 | 56.3 |
༞36 months | 2 | 22.2 | 2 | 12.5 |
Site of disease recurrence | | | | |
local recurrence | 2 | 22.2 | 8 | 50 |
breast or chest wall | 1 | 11.1 | 3 | 18.8 |
regional lymph nodes | 1 | 11.1 | 5 | 31.3 |
distant metastasis | 9 | 100 | 12 | 75 |
liver | 4 | 44.4 | 1 | 6.3 |
lung | 1 | 11.1 | 3 | 18.8 |
brain | 2 | 22.2 | 2 | 12.5 |
bone | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37.5 |
Other sites | 2 | 22.2 | 2 | 12.5 |
Abbreviation:pCR:pathological complete response;Near-pCR:near-pathological complete response. |
Regarding patients achieving near-pCR, 16 (13.4%) patients developed cancer recurrence, with 4 patients presenting with local relapse only, 4 patients with both local relapse and distant metastasis, while 8 patients presenting with distant metastasis only. The median time to recurrence was 18 months (range, 4–69 months). Three (18.8%) patients experienced lung metastasis and 6 (37.5%) patients presented bone metastasis as the first event.
1.3 RFS and OS
The 3-year RFS rates of patients achieving pCR and near-pCR were 95.6% and 85.6%, respectively. The 5-year RFS rates of patients achieving pCR and near-pCR were 94.6% and 85.6%, respectively. The risk of cancer recurrence was significantly higher in patients achieving near-pCR than that in patients achieving pCR (HR = 3.01,95%CI:1.34–7.01, P = 0.008, Fig. 1a). A total of 15 (5.1%) patients had death. The 3-year OS rates of the pCR group and the near-pCR group were 96.6% and 96.3%, respectively. The 5-year OS rates of the pCR and near-pCR groups were 94.3% and 89.6%, respectively. There was no statistical difference of OS between the two cohorts (HR = 1.69,95%CI:0.61–4.67, P = 0.304, Fig. 1b).
1.4 Predictive factors of RFS in patients achieving pCR
Table 3 shows the results of the analyses for factors associated with RFS of patients achieving pCR. Clinical lymph node status (cN) before NAC was a significant covariate in the univariate for RFS in patients achieving pCR (P < 0.001). The 5-year RFS rates for cN0-N2 and cN3 patients who achieved pCR were 98.0% and 82.7%, respectively. cN3 was an independent factor of higher risk for recurrence on the multivariate analysis (Fig. 2, HR = 9.8, 95%CI:2.1–44.5, P = 0.003). Age at diagnosis, tumor size at diagnosis, subtype of breast cancer and other factors showed no significant association with RFS of patients who achieved pCR (P ≥ 0.05).
Table 3
Analysis of predictive factors for RFS in patients who achieved pCR
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis |
| N | Events | 5-Year RFS rate (%) (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value |
Total | 173 | 9 | | | | |
Age | | | | 0.416 | | |
༜40 | 44 | 3 | 92.0 (83.7–100) | | | |
≥ 40 | 129 | 6 | 95.5 (88.2–99.1) | | | |
Menopausal status | | | | 0.919 | | |
Premenopausal | 101 | 5 | 95.8 (91.9–99.9) | | | |
Postmenopausal | 72 | 4 | 93.3 (87.0-100) | | | |
cT | | | | 0.730 | | |
T1-2 | 123 | 5 | 96.3 (92.8–99.9) | | | |
T3-4 | 50 | 4 | 91.1 (83.0-100) | | | |
cN | | | | 0.000 | | |
N0-2 | 136 | 3 | 98.0 (95.1–100) | | reference | |
N3 | 37 | 6 | 82.7 (70.9–96.3) | | 9.8(2.1–44.5) | 0.003 |
ER status | | | | 0.154 | | |
Negative | 128 | 5 | 96.2 (92.5–100) | | reference | |
Positive | 45 | 4 | 89.7 (80.5–99.9) | | 0.9 (0.2–4.2) | 0.939 |
PR status | | | | 0.151 | | |
Negative | 115 | 4 | 96.6 (92.8–100) | | reference | |
Positive | 58 | 5 | 90.7 (83.2–98.8) | | 2.2 (0.5–9.1) | 0.296 |
HER2 status | | | | 0.737 | | |
Negative | 86 | 4 | 95.0 (90.3–99.9) | | | |
Positive | 87 | 5 | 94.2 (88.6–100) | | | |
Ki67 | | | | 0.623 | | |
༜50 | 72 | 5 | 93.0 (86.5–100) | | | |
≥ 50 | 92 | 4 | 95.5 (91.2–99.9) | | | |
unknown | 9 | 0 | --- | | | |
Breast cancer subtype | | | | 0.750 | | |
Luminal | 29 | 2 | 92.1 (82.3–100) | | | |
HER2 positive* | 87 | 5 | 94.2 (88.6–100) | | | |
Triple negative | 57 | 2 | 96.4 (91.6–100) | | | |
Chemotherapy regimens of NAC | | | | 0.063 | | |
Anthracycline and taxane | 40 | 5 | 87.4 (77.7–98.4) | | reference | |
Taxane and platinum | 117 | 3 | 98.2 (95.9–100) | | 0.3 (0.1–1.4) | 0.116 |
others | 16 | 1 | 85.7 (63.3–100) | | 2.1 (0.2–22.7) | 0.534 |
Cycle number of NAC | | | | 0.591 | | |
༜4 | 2 | 0 | --- | | | |
4–6 | 153 | 9 | 94.0 (90.0-98.2) | | | |
༞6 | 18 | 0 | --- | | | |
Surgery of breast cancer | | | | 0.359 | | |
Breast-conserving surgery | 41 | 3 | 94.5 (87.4–100) | | | |
Mastectomy | 132 | 6 | 94.8 (90.7–99.0) | | | |
Surgery of lymph nodes | | | | 0.873 | | |
Sentinel lymph node biopsies | 28 | 1 | 100 | | | |
Axillary lymph node dissection | 145 | 8 | 93.8 (89.6–98.1) | | | |
Adjuvant radiation | | | | 0.695 | | |
Yes | 125 | 7 | 94.2 (89.8–98.9) | | | |
No | 48 | 2 | 95.5 (89.5–100) | | | |
Adjuvant endocrine | | | | 0.234 | | |
Yes | 67 | 5 | 91.5 (84.6–99.0) | | | |
No | 106 | 4 | 96.5 (92.5–100) | | | |
Abbreviation:RFS:recurrence-free survival;pCR:pathological complete response;cT:clinical tumour size; cN: clinical lymph node status;ER: estrogen receptor; PR: progesterone receptor; HER2:human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2; Ki67:Ki67 index; NAC:neoadjuvant chemotherapy. |
*HER2 positive included luminal B HER2 + and non-luminal HER2+. |
1.5 Predictive factors of RFS in patients achieving near-pCR
Table 4 shows the results of the analyses for the factors associated with RFS of patients achieving near-pCR. cN before NAC was a significant covariate in the univariate for RFS in patients achieving near-pCR (Fig. 3, P = 0.036). The 5-year RFS rates for cN0-2 and cN3 patients who achieved near-pCR were 88.5% and 71.1%, respectively. Miller-Payne grade and the size of residual disease after NAC showed no significant association with RFS of patients who achieved near-pCR (P ≥ 0.05). There were no other factors significant at the 20% level in the univariate analyses of RFS for patients achieving near-pCR, so we did not conduct multivariate analyses further.
Table 4
Analyses of predictive factors for RFS in patients who achieved near-pCR
| Univariate analyses |
| N | Events | 5-Year RFS rate (%) (95% CI) | P value |
Total | 119 | 17 | | |
Age | | | | 0.251 |
༜40 | 51 | 9 | 81.5 (70.6–94.1) | |
≥ 40 | 68 | 8 | 88.5 80.8–97.0) | |
Menopausal status | | | | 0.467 |
Premenopausal | 81 | 13 | 84.7 (76.7–93.5) | |
Postmenopausal | 38 | 4 | 87.6 (76.7–100) | |
cT | | | | 0.506 |
T1-2 | 70 | 12 | 83.6 (74.6–93.6) | |
T3-4 | 49 | 5 | 88.5 (79.4–98.6) | |
cN | | | | 0.036 |
N0-2 | 101 | 12 | 88.5 (82.0-95.5) | |
N3 | 18 | 5 | 71.1 (52.6–96.1) | |
ER status | | | | 0.720 |
Negative | 75 | 10 | 86.5 (78.6–95.2) | |
Positive | 44 | 7 | 83.8 (72.7–96.7) | |
PR status | | | | 0.411 |
Negative | 59 | 10 | 83.4 (74.1–94.0) | |
Positive | 60 | 7 | 87.2 (78.2–97.4) | |
HER2 status | | | | 0.300 |
Negative | 56 | 6 | 90.8 (82.5–99.9) | |
Positive | 63 | 11 | 80.9 (71.3–91.8) | |
Ki67 | | | | 0.740 |
༜50 | 61 | 10 | 83.1 (73.5–93.9) | |
≥ 50 | 50 | 6 | 85.9 (76.0-97.2) | |
unknow | 8 | 1 | --- | |
Breast cancer subtype | | | | 0.583 |
Luminal | 30 | 5 | 80.3 (66.2–97.5) | |
HER2 positive* | 56 | 6 | 90.8 (82.5–99.9) | |
Triple negative | 33 | 6 | 81.4 (68.9–96.0) | |
Treatment of NAC | | | | 0.476 |
Anthracycline and taxane | 46 | 5 | 90.5 (82.0-99.8) | |
Taxane and platinum | 58 | 10 | 83.0 (73.4–93.9) | |
others | 15 | 2 | 77.1 (53.5–100) | |
Cycle number of NAC | | | | 0.944 |
༜4 | 8 | 1 | 75.0 (42.6–100) | |
4–6 | 95 | 14 | 86.0 (79.0-93.8) | |
༞6 | 13 | 2 | 81.5 (61.1–100) | |
Surgery of breast cancer | | | | 0.610 |
Breast-conserving surgery | 26 | 3 | 87.8 (75.8–100) | |
Mastectomy | 93 | 14 | 84.6 (76.8–93.1) | |
Surgery of lymph nodes | | | | 0.432 |
Sentinel lymph node biopsies | 21 | 4 | 76.3 (58.0-100) | |
Axillary lymph node dissection | 98 | 13 | 87.3 (80.5–94.7) | |
ypTNM after NAC | | | | 0.942 |
ypT1miN0M0 | 5 | 1 | 80.0(51.6–100) | |
ypT1aN0M0 | 73 | 11 | 86.1(78.0–95.0) | |
ypT1bN0M0 | 39 | 5 | 85.0(73.5–98.2) | |
ypT0N1miM0 | 2 | 0 | --- | |
Miller-Payne grade | | | | 0.334 |
1 ~ 3 | 42 | 4 | 89.2(79.8–99.8) | |
4 ~ 5** | 77 | 13 | 83.8 (75.5–93.1) | |
Adjuvant radiation | | | | 0.545 |
Yes | 86 | 12 | 86.1 (78.7–94.1) | |
No | 33 | 5 | 83.8 (70.4–99.8) | |
Adjuvant endocrine | | | | 0.925 |
Yes | 61 | 9 | 84.1 (74.5–95.9) | |
No | 58 | 8 | 86.9 (78.2–96.5) | |
Abbreviation:RFS:recurrence-free survival;near-pCR:near-pathological complete response;cT:clinical tumour size; cN: clinical lymph node status;ER: estrogen receptor; PR: progesterone receptor; HER2:human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2; Ki67:Ki67 index; NAC:neoadjuvant chemotherapy. |
*HER2 positive included luminal B HER2 + and non-luminal HER2+. |
**2 patients with Miller-Payne grade 5 were ypT0N1miM0. |