In this study, GA/HbA1c was selected for two reasons: First, it was previously reported that GA/HbA1c could be used as a factor reflecting long-term glycaemic control along with GA and HbA1c [19]. Second, although GA/HbA1c did not show a significant difference between DM and non-DM patients, theoretically, elevated GA at diagnosis could reflect the extent of inflammation without confounding effects of hyperglycaemia in AAV patients. GA and GA/HbA1c were selected as biomarkers instead of HbA1c since it showed no significant correlation with any clinical or laboratory variable in the correlation analysis (Table 2). We first demonstrated that GA at diagnosis could reflect BVAS assigned to renal manifestation of AAV, and predict ESRD development during follow-up. In addition, GA/HbA1c also showed a pattern similar to that of GA, but the clinical significance was not as high as GA. Therefore, GA may be considered as a more useful biomarker that could reflect inflammation that could lead to renal failure in AAV patients.
It is unclear whether GA plays a causal role in the inflammatory process or is a mere consequence of the cascade. Advanced glycation end products, including GA, which are mainly formed in a hyperglycaemic state, can be also found under inflammatory conditions [20, 21]. The receptor for AGEs (RAGE) is a pattern-recognition receptor, and once its ligands, and GA bind to RAGE, various intracellular signalling cascades are initiated [22, 23]. GA can upregulate the gene expression of monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, IL-6, and IL-8 via nuclear factor-kappa B signalling, and it can also enhance the expression of c-fos and c-jun via extracellular signal-regulated kinases, comparable with tumour necrosis factor-α, IL-1β or lipopolysaccharide [8, 23]. An increase in the production of GA due to systemic inflammation can further aggravate inflammation, in addition to the deterioration of glucose metabolism, resulting in an amplified vicious cycle. Although we could not definitively determine whether increased GA production might clinically exacerbate AAV activity in the present study, it can be hypothesised upon with reasonable confidence, as the confounding factor of DM was eliminated from this study. Moreover, elevated GA at diagnosis may reflect the extent of inflammation without the confounding effect of hyperglycaemia.
Contrary to the initial assumption, GA was not directly correlated with BVAS in this study. Given that BVAS is composed of nine systemic items, correlations with each systemic item were investigated, and it was confirmed that BVAS assigned to renal manifestation showed a significant correlation. In addition, there was a significant difference in GA between AAV patients with ESRD and those without ESRD, and GA was found to be a possible predictor renal failure leading to ESRD. A previous 5-year prospective population-based study reported that the baseline value of GA independently and significantly predicted renal dysfunction, along with age and uric acid [24]. Therefore, in the clinical setting, GA, as a biomarker, can reflect the cross-sectional renal manifestation and predict progression to ESRD in AAV rather than directly reflecting AAV activity.
A question arises as to why HbA1c, also a glycated protein, did not show a significant correlation with BVAS assigned to renal manifestation. In a previous study, it was reported that HbA1c may not be a reliable marker for glycaemic state in cases involving renal comorbidities, haemoglobinopathies, and pregnancy, and further, GA could overcome the limitations of HbA1c in these medical conditions [25]. In this study, AAV activity showed an inverse correlation with haemoglobin. Therefore, the association between the degree of inflammation represented by BVAS and HbA1c may not be significant because the enhanced activity of AAV may exacerbate anaemia due to insufficient production of erythropoietin [25]. Moreover, renal manifestation itself could reduce the reliability of HbA1c, leading to discordance in the proportionality of the AAV-related inflammatory burden between HbA1c and GA.
In this study, both GA and GA/HbA1c were demonstrated to have potential as biomarkers for assessing the cross-sectional extent of renal involvement in AAV and predicting the progression to ESRD. GA showed significant correlations with renal manifestation, exhibiting a difference between AAV patients with ESRD and those without. Using an optimal cut-off, GA could predict the relative risk of ESRD as well as ESRD occurrence, with the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. However, GA/HbA1c did not show a significant difference based on the presence or absence of ESRD. Its predictive potential for ESRD occurrence using the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was not significant. Therefore, we suggest GA rather than GA/HbA1c as a novel biomarker for renal manifestation in AAV patients.
Recently, albumin-adjusted GA (the ratio of GA to serum albumin level) was suggested as a new indicator for glycaemic control [26]. We know that inflammatory burden initiates and accelerates the production of GA, along with the hyperglycaemic state, but serum albumin falls in an inflammatory state. Therefore, we can expect that albumin-adjusted GA would increase as AAV activity rises, and predict poor outcomes better than GA. First, in terms of the cross-sectional BVAS, we conducted another correlation analysis and found that albumin-adjusted GA showed significant correlation with the cross-sectional BVAS (r = 0.453, P < 0.001) and BVAS assigned to renal manifestation (r = 0.501, P < 0.001). Therefore, albumin-adjusted GA could be used as a biomarker to directly reflect the cross-sectional both BVAS and BVAS assigned to renal manifestation in AAV patients.
Second, in terms of ESRD occurrence, AAV patients with ESRD exhibited a higher median albumin-adjusted GA than those without ESRD (3.7 vs. 3.4, P = 0.041). However, in the ROC curve analysis to obtain an optimal cut-off, albumin-adjusted GA (area under the curve 0.752, 95% CI 0.547, 0.957) exhibited a lower area than GA (area under the curve 0.722, 95% CI 0.563, 0.881) (See Supplementary Figure S2, Additional File 3). In addition, the optimal cut-off of albumin-adjusted GA for ESRD occurrence was set at 3.42 with the sensitivity and the specificity of 87.5% and 58.2%, respectively. However, the relative risk of albumin-adjusted GA ≥ 3.42 for ESRD occurrence was lower than that of GA ≥ 14.25% (9.172 vs. 12.040). Although albumin-adjusted GA ≥ 3.42 could significantly predict ESRD occurrence during the follow-up duration based on ESRD, the statistical significance of albumin-adjusted GA did not surpass that of GA (P = 0.046 vs. P = 0.020) (See Supplementary Figure S3, Additional File 4). Therefore, GA could predict ESRD occurrence during follow-up better than albumin-adjusted GA. Based on these results, we suggest that GA, rather than albumin-adjusted GA, is more clinically helpful in predicting ESRD occurrence.
This study has several limitations. First, the retrospective study design did not allow for the serial collection of both GA and HbA1c results in non-DM patients with AAV. Second, the number of patients was not large enough to generalise the results of this study for application in all patients with AAV. Third, GA has been reported to be capable of predicting the development of DM in pre-diabetic or euglycemic patients [27]; however, we could not evaluate it because it was not easy to distinguish the causes of elevated glucose levels (isolated DM versus the drugs for AAV treatment, such as steroids and calcineurin inhibitors that can increase blood sugar. However, for the first time, we demonstrated the predictive capability of GA for the extent of renal involvement in AAV, and thus, our study has clinical significance as a pilot study. A future study with a larger number of patients and with serial results of both GA and HaA1c can validate our study findings and provide more information on the clinical role of GA in AAV.
In conclusion, GA at diagnosis can reflect BVAS assigned to renal manifestation of AAV and predict renal failure to progress to ESRD during follow-up better than HbA1c or GA/HbA1c in non-DM patients with AAV. Therefore, we expect that GA may be used as a biomarker for renal dysfunction and ESRD occurrence during follow-up in AAV patients.