Patient Characteristics
A total of 70214 patients with primary pelvic cancer were included in this population-based study, 16231 patients underwent pelvic RT and 53983 patients did not receive pelvic RT respectively (Fig. 1 and Table 1). Primary pelvic cancers include malignancies in rectum and rectosigmoid (39%), bladder (27%), cervix uteri (17%), ovary (15%), anus, anal canal and anorectum (2%). After one-year latency after PPC diagnosis, 152 patients in RT group and 282 patients in NRT group developed SCUC, indicating that patients with PPC in RT group are more susceptible to SCUC. Compared with patients without RT, patients in RT group present with younger age at PPC diagnosis, more advanced tumor grade (III/IV) and regional tumor stage, with p < 0.001. Consequently, a significantly higher proportion of patients in RT group received chemotherapy in comparison to patients without RT, with p < 0.001. The detailed baseline characteristic of patients is depicted in Table 1.
Table 1
Comparisons of Baseline Characteristics of Patients with PPC by Treatment Modality
Characteristic
|
Pelvic Cancer Patients
|
Pelvic Cancer Patients with SCUC
|
Total
|
NRT
|
RT
|
P-value
|
NRT
|
RT
|
P-value
|
N = 70214
|
N = 53983
|
N = 16231
|
|
N = 282
|
N = 152
|
|
Age at PPC Diagnosis
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
0.020
|
20–49
|
16737 (0.24)
|
12134 (0.23)
|
4603 (0.28)
|
|
52 (0.18)
|
15 (0.10)
|
|
50–69
|
29284 (0.42)
|
21811 (0.40)
|
7473 (0.46)
|
|
158 (0.56)
|
104 (0.68)
|
|
≥ 70
|
24193 (0.34)
|
20038 (0.37)
|
4155 (0.26)
|
|
72 (0.26)
|
33 (0.22)
|
|
Year of PPC Diagnosis
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
1975–1984
|
13849 (0.20)
|
11609 (0.21)
|
2240 (0.14)
|
|
87 (0.31)
|
22 (0.15)
|
|
1985–1994
|
18110 (0.26)
|
14510 (0.27)
|
3600 (0.22)
|
|
97 (0.34)
|
43 (0.28)
|
|
1995–2004
|
17455 (0.25)
|
12791 (0.24)
|
4664 (0.29)
|
|
64 (0.23)
|
54 (0.35)
|
|
≥ 2005
|
20800 (0.29)
|
15073 (0.28)
|
5727 (0.35)
|
|
34 (0.12)
|
33 (0.22)
|
|
Race
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
0.003
|
White
|
59422 (0.85)
|
46263 (0.86)
|
13159 (0.81)
|
|
251 (0.89)
|
117 (0.77)
|
|
Black
|
5093 (0.07)
|
3602 (0.07)
|
1491 (0.09)
|
|
12 (0.04)
|
17 (0.11)
|
|
Other
|
5699 (0.08)
|
4118 (0.07)
|
1581 (0.10)
|
|
19 (0.07)
|
18 (0.12)
|
|
Tumor Stage
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Localized
|
46135 (0.66)
|
40561 (0.75)
|
5574 (0.34)
|
|
226 (0.80)
|
48 (0.32)
|
|
Regional
|
24079 (0.34)
|
13422 (0.25)
|
10657(0.66)
|
|
56 (0.20)
|
104 (0.68)
|
|
Tumor Grade
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
0.638
|
Grade I/II
|
48707 (0.69)
|
38046 (0.70)
|
10661(0.66)
|
|
231 (0.82)
|
128 (0.84)
|
|
Grade III/IV
|
21507 (0.31)
|
15937 (0.30)
|
5570 (0.34)
|
|
51 (0.18)
|
24 (0.16)
|
|
Tumor Size
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
0.009
|
< 5
|
5141 (0.07)
|
4156 (0.08)
|
985 (0.06)
|
|
7 (0.03)
|
6 (0.04)
|
|
≥ 5
|
16789 (0.24)
|
11684 (0.22)
|
5105 (0.31)
|
|
32 (0.11)
|
33 (0.22)
|
|
Unknown
|
48284 (0.69)
|
38143 (0.70)
|
10141 (0.63)
|
|
243 (0.86)
|
113 (0.74)
|
|
Tumor Site
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
Rectum and Rectosigmoid
|
27342 (0.39)
|
18740 (0.35)
|
8872 (0.55)
|
|
141 (0.50)
|
128 (0.84)
|
|
Anus, Anal Canal and Anorectum
|
1624 (0.02)
|
548 (0.10)
|
1076 (0.07)
|
|
2 (0.01)
|
9 (0.06)
|
|
Cervix Uteri
|
12031 (0.17)
|
7529 (0.14)
|
4502 (0.27)
|
|
3 (0.01)
|
10 (0.07)
|
|
Ovary
|
10345 (0.15)
|
9990 (0.19)
|
355 (0.02)
|
|
24 (0.08)
|
1 (0.01)
|
|
Bladder
|
18602 (0.27)
|
17176 (0.32)
|
1426 (0.09)
|
|
112 (0.40)
|
4 (0.02)
|
|
Chemotherapy
|
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
|
|
< 0.001
|
No
|
50774 (0.72)
|
44776 (0.83)
|
5998 (0.37)
|
|
247 (0.88)
|
54 (0.35)
|
|
Yes
|
19440 (0.28)
|
9207 (0.17)
|
10233 (0.63)
|
|
35 (0.12)
|
98 (0.65)
|
|
NOTE: P-value was calculated using the χ2 test for categorical variables.
Abbreviations: PPC, primary pelvic cancers; NRT, no radiation therapy; RT, radiation therapy.
Risk of RT for Developing SCUC
The cumulative incidence of SCUC in RT group (1.44%) is higher than that in NRT group (0.65%) (adjusted HR = 1.77, 95%CI: 1.40–2.28, P<0.001) (Fig. 2). The important features were selected to evaluate the risk of developing SCUC in univariable competing risk regression (Table 2). It was demonstrated that RT for PPC and other variables including age at PPC diagnosis, chemotherapy could significantly influence the risk of developing SCUC in univariable analysis, with P < 0.05. Then we performed multivariable analysis to further assess the role of these factors in the development of SCUC for PPC patients. The factors including RT, age at PPC diagnosis, tumor site and chemotherapy could affect risk of SCUC for PPC survivors. In the final multivariable analysis, RT for PPC was proved to be an independent risk factor of developing SCUC in PPC survivors (adjusted HR, 1.79, 95%CI, 1.40–2.28, adjusted p < 0.001). Besides, Cox regression analysis was also performed to identify factors which could probably influence the occurrence of SCUC (Supplementary Table 1). Consistent with the results of competing risk regression, multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that RT for PPC was an independent risk factor for SCUC (HR, 2.18, 95%CI, 1.67–2.87, p < 0.001). Moreover, subgroup analysis was also performed to further assess the risk of developing SCUC by competing risk regression and found that RT for PPC was related to increased risk of developing SCUC with statistical significance in most subgroups (Fig. 3).
Table 2
Univariable and Multivariable Competing Risk Regression Analyses of Risk of Developing SCUC in PPC Patients.
Characteristic
|
Univariable Analysis
|
Multivariable Analysis
|
HR (95%Cl)
|
P-value
|
HR (95%Cl)
|
P-value
|
Age at PPC diagnosis
|
|
|
|
|
20–49
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
50–69
|
2.18 (1.66–2.85)
|
< 0.001
|
1.19 (0.89–1.57)
|
0.230
|
≥ 70
|
0.99 (0.72–1.35)
|
0.960
|
0.50 (0.35–0.69)
|
< 0.001
|
Year of PPC Diagnosis
|
|
|
|
|
1975–1984
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
1985–1994
|
0.98 (0.77–1.27)
|
0.920
|
|
|
1995–2004
|
0.91 (0.70–1.18)
|
0.470
|
|
|
≥ 2005
|
0.80 (0.59–1.08)
|
0.150
|
|
|
Race
|
|
|
|
|
White
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
Black
|
0.98 (0.67–1.43)
|
0.920
|
|
|
Other
|
1.20 (0.85–1.68)
|
0.290
|
|
|
Tumor Stage
|
|
|
|
|
Localized
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
Regional
|
1.16 (0.95–1.41)
|
0.130
|
|
|
Tumor Size
|
|
|
|
|
< 5
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
≥ 5
|
1.25 (0.68–2.27)
|
0.470
|
|
|
Unknown
|
1.39 (0.79–2.42)
|
0.240
|
|
|
Tumor Site
|
|
|
|
|
Rectum and Rectosigmoid
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
Anus, Anal Canal and Anorectum
|
0.74 (0.40–1.35)
|
0.330
|
0.60 (0.32–1.09)
|
0.093
|
Cervix Uteri
|
0.12 (0.06–0.20)
|
< 0.001
|
0.09 (0.05–0.17)
|
< 0.001
|
Ovary
|
0.26 (0.17–0.39)
|
< 0.001
|
0.28 (0.18–0.42)
|
< 0.001
|
Bladder
|
0.58 (0.46–0.73)
|
< 0.001
|
0.72 (0.57–0.89)
|
< 0.001
|
Chemotherapy
|
|
|
|
|
No
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
Yes
|
1.38 (1.12–1.69)
|
< 0.001
|
0.89 (0.68–1.14)
|
0.340
|
Radiation
|
|
|
|
|
No
|
Ref
|
|
Ref
|
|
Yes
|
1.89 (1.55–2.31)
|
< 0.001
|
1.79 (1.40–2.28)
|
< 0.001
|
NOTE: Fine-Gray competing risk regression analyses were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for SCUC in pelvic cancers patients treated with RT versus patients not treated with RT. Covariables that are significant in univariable competing risk regression analysis (P<0.050) are included in the multivariable analysis.
Abbreviations: PPC, primary pelvic cancers; SCUC, second corpus uteri cancer; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Dynamic Incidence Risk for SCUC
We calculated the SIRs and RRs according to latency from PPC diagnosis, age at PPC diagnosis and year of PPC diagnosis and established three dynamic plots to further evaluate the risk of SCUC for PPC patients treated with RT and without RT respectively (Fig. 4, Supplementary Table 2–3). In dynamic latency-SIR plot, we found that the risk of developing SCUC increased with time after 5-year latency from the diagnosis of PPC in the RT group, but not in the NRT group (Fig. 4A, Supplementary Table 2). In dynamic latency-RR plot, although RR showed a trend of fluctuant downward on a whole (from 1.28 to 1.20), RR was greater than 1 with the increasing latent period (Fig. 4D, Supplementary Table 3). Additionally, in dynamic diagnosis time-SIR plot, we observed that the risk of SCUC increased with fluctuation for patients who received RT for their PPC as the calendar year of PPC diagnosis increased when compared with background incidence rate of SCUC. (Fig. 4B). However, as for dynamic RR for calendar year of PPC diagnosis, the gradual descent of RR was witnessed as year of PPC diagnosis raised oppositely (Fig. 4E, Supplementary Table 3). Furthermore, in dynamic age-SIR plot, RT group patients presented a tendency for a decreasing risk of developing SCUC with the increasing age at PPC diagnosis, indicating that patients who were diagnosed with PPC at younger ages were at a higher risk of developing SCUC compared to elder patients among PPC survivors underwent RT (Fig. 4C, Supplementary Table 2). The RR for age at PPC diagnosis was still more than 1, but the value of RR decreased inversely with diagnostic age increased (Fig. 4F, Supplementary Table 3).
Survival Outcome of SCUC
Survival analysis was performed to investigate the impact of RT on prognosis of patients with SCUC in RT and NRT group. In terms of overall survival (OS), the 10-year OS rate (45.9%) of NRT group was higher than that (25.9%) of RT group (Fig. 5A). As for cancer-specific survival (CSS), the 10-year CSS rate of patients treated with RT and without RT was 43.5% and 65.0%, respectively (Fig. 5B). These results suggested that RT was associated with worse survival outcomes in terms of OS and CSS, indicating that radiation-associated SCUC carried grave prognosis. To further estimated the effects of RT on survival outcomes of SCUC, the only primary CUC (OPCUC) patients, who referred as the patients with sporadic corpus uteri cancer and without any second cancers during their follow-up time, were set as control group. Compared with matched population controls with OPCUC, significantly difference of 10-year OS and CSS were observed between patients developed SCUC after RT and matched OPCUC (10-year OS, 25.9% vs 42.7%, P < 0.001, Fig. 5C;10-year CSS, 43.5% vs 73.7%, P < 0.001, Fig. 5D). Furthermore, we next compared survival outcomes of SCUC patients without RT with matched OPCUC. It was observed that OPCUC patients had better prognosis than SCUC patients without RT in terms of 10-year OS (53.7% vs 42.7%, P < 0.001, Fig. 5E). The difference for 10-year CSS between SCUC patients in RT group and OPCUC failed to reach statistical significance (73.7% vs 74.8%, P = 0.570, Fig. 5F).