A total of 827 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were finally included in this study. The median number of dissected lymph nodes was 26 (interquartile range [IQR], 19–26). 264 (31.92%) patients were detected pelvic or para-aortic LNM among the 827 patients. Of the 264 patients with positive lymph nodes, 125 (47.35%) patients with pelvic LNM, 87 (32.95%) patients with para-aortic LNM, and 52 (19.70%) patients with pelvic and para-aortic LNM were detected. The median number of positive lymph nodes was 4 (IQR, 1–8). The median age was 50.5 years (IQR, 45–57 years). 511 (61.8%) of 827 patients were diagnosed with serous carcinoma. There were 182 (22.0%) patients at stage I, 144 (17.4%) patients at stage II, 442 (53.4%) patients at stage III, and 59 (7.2%) patients at stage IV. Other demographic and clinicopathologic characteristics of these 827 patients were presented in Table 1.
Table 1. The demographic and pathological characteristics of OC patients with and without pelvic/para-aortic LNM.
Parameters
|
Total
(N=827)
|
Pelvic/para-aortic LNM.(N=264)
|
No pelvic/para-aortic LNM.
(N=563)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
p value
|
Age, years, n (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
<60
|
673 (81.4)
|
210 (79.5)
|
463 (82.2)
|
0.84 (0.58–1.22)
|
0.354
|
≥60
|
154 (18.6)
|
54 (20.5)
|
100 (17.8)
|
|
|
Histology, n (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Serous
|
511 (61.8)
|
215 (81.4)
|
296 (52.6)
|
3.96 (2.79–5.63)
|
<0.001
|
Non–Serous
|
316 (38.2)
|
49 (18.6)
|
267 (47.4)
|
|
|
FIGO Stage,
n (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
I
|
182 (22.0)
|
0 (0.0)
|
182 (32.3)
|
|
<0.001
|
II
|
144 (17.4)
|
8 (3.0)
|
136 (24.2)
|
|
|
III
|
442 (53.4)
|
224 (84.8)
|
218 (38.7)
|
|
|
IV
|
59 (7.2)
|
32 (12.1)
|
27 (4.8)
|
|
|
Ascites, n (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yes
|
427 (51.6)
|
208 (78.8)
|
219 (38.9)
|
5.83 (4.15–8.20)
|
<0.001
|
No
|
400 (48.4)
|
56 (21.2)
|
344 (61.1)
|
|
|
BMI, n (%)
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥23.23
|
265 (32.0)
|
114 (43.2)
|
151 (26.8)
|
2.07 (1.53–2.82)
|
<0.001
|
<23.23
|
562 (68.0)
|
150 (56.8)
|
412 (73.2)
|
|
|
Abbreviations: OC ovarian cancer, OR odds ratios, CI confidence interval, BMI body mass index, LNM lymph node metastases,
The status of ascites was determined by ultrasonography or computed tomography (CT). Thus, 427 (51.6%) patients were accompanied by ascites. The optimal cut-off values of continuous variables were determined by the ROC curve. We found 23 features that could be obtained before surgery were significantly associated with LNM in univariate analysis (Table 1 and Table 2). In the clinical features, ascites (OR, 5.83, 95% CI, 4.15–8.20, p<0.001) and BMI≥23.23 kg/m2 (OR, 2.07, 95% CI, 1.53–2.82, p<0.001) were risk factors of LNM. Among the tumor markers, CA125≥432.15 U/ml (OR, 8.43, 95% CI, 5.89–12.05, p<0.001) was a risk predictor for LNM. However, CEA≥2.46 ng/ml (OR, 0.63, 95% CI, 0.44–0.90, p=0.011) and CA199≥28.31 U/ml (OR, 0.61, 95% CI, 0.44–0.86, p=0.005) were protective factors of LNM. Among the routine blood tests, neutrophil count≥2.965*109/L (OR, 4.01, 95% CI, 2.47–6.51, p<0.001), lymphocyte count<1.30*109/L (OR, 2.22, 95% CI, 1.64–2.94, p<0.001), monocyte count≥0.415*109/L (OR, 2.40, 95% CI, 1.78–3.24, p<0.001), platelet count≥284.5*109/L (OR, 2.14, 95% CI, 1.59–2.89, p<0.001), and thrombocytocrit≥0.285% (OR, 2.18, 95% CI, 1.62–2.94, p<0.001) increased the probability of LNM. Additionally, mean corpuscular volume (MCV) ≥91.85 fl (OR, 0.63, 95% CI, 0.45–0.89, p=0.008), mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH)≥29.35 pg (OR, 0.56, 95% CI, 0.42–0.76, p<0.001), coefficient of variation of RBC distribution width (RDW-CV)≥12.65% (OR, 0.63, 95% CI, 0.46–0.86, p=0.004), platelet distribution width (PDW)≥12.75 fl (OR, 0.71, 95% CI, 0.53–0.96, p=0.024), and mean platelet volume (MPV)≥9.75 fl (OR, 0.63, 95% CI, 0.45–0.87, p=0.005) decreased the probability of LNM. Patients with aspartate aminotransferase (AST)≥18.95 U/L (OR, 1.94, 95% CI, 1.43–2.62, p<0.001) or blood glucose≥5.175 mmol/L (OR, 1.36, 95% CI, 1.01–1.83, p=0.043) were inclined to have LNM. Furthermore patients with albumin (ALB)≥38.22 g/L (OR, 0.47, 95% CI, 0.35–0.63, p<0.001), total bilirubin (TBIL)≥9.29 umol/L (OR, 0.68, 95% CI, 0.51–0.92, p=0.012), Na+≥138.825 mmol/L (OR, 0.64, 95% CI, 0.46–0.90, p=0.010), Cl–≥100.39 mmol/L (OR, 0.52, 95% CI, 0.36–0.73, p<0.001), or Ca2+≥2.31 mmol/L (OR, 0.70, 95% CI, 0.51–0.96, p=0.028) were not inclined to have LNM. Fibrinogen≥3.805 g/L (OR, 1.71, 95% CI, 1.23–2.30, p<0.001) also indicated a high risk of LNM. Other features which were not related to LNM in univariate analysis were shown in additional file 1.
Table 2. The factors associated with pelvic/para-aortic LNM in univariate analysis.
Parameters
|
Total
(N=827)
|
Pelvic/para-aortic LNM (N=264)
|
No pelvic/para-aortic LNM
(N=563)
|
OR (95% CI)
|
p value
|
CA125≥432.15 U/ml, n (%)
|
412 (49.8)
|
216 (81.8)
|
196 (34.8)
|
8.43 (5.89–12.05)
|
<0.001
|
CEA≥2.46 ng/ml, n (%)
|
199 (24.1)
|
49 (18.6)
|
150 (26.6)
|
0.63 (0.44–0.90)
|
0.011
|
CA199≥28.31 U/ml, n (%)
|
235 (28.4)
|
58 (22.0)
|
177 (31.4)
|
0.61 (0.44–0.86)
|
0.005
|
Neutrophil count ≥2.965*109/L, n (%)
|
661 (79.9)
|
243 (92.0)
|
418 (74.2)
|
4.01 (2.47–6.51)
|
<0.001
|
Lymphocyte count <1.30*109/L, n (%)
|
288 (34.8)
|
125 (47.3)
|
163 (29.0)
|
2.22 (1.64–2.94)
|
<0.001
|
Monocyte count ≥0.415*109/L, n (%)
|
383 (46.3)
|
161 (61.0)
|
222 (39.4)
|
2.40 (1.78–3.24)
|
<0.001
|
MCV≥91.85 fl, n (%)
|
232 (28.1)
|
58 (22.0)
|
174 (30.9)
|
0.63 (0.45–0.89)
|
0.008
|
MCH≥29.35 pg, n (%)
|
363 (43.9)
|
91 (34.5)
|
272 (48.3)
|
0.56 (0.42–0.76)
|
<0.001
|
RDW-CV ≥12.65%, n (%)
|
579 (70.0)
|
167 (63.3)
|
412 (73.2)
|
0.63 (0.46–0.86)
|
0.004
|
PLT≥284.5*109/L, n (%)
|
349 (42.2)
|
145 (54.9)
|
204 (36.2)
|
2.14 (1.59–2.89)
|
<0.001
|
PDW≥12.75 fl, n (%)
|
414 (50.1)
|
117 (44.3)
|
297 (52.8)
|
0.71 (0.53–0.96)
|
0.024
|
MPV≥9.75 fl, n (%)
|
618 (74.7)
|
181 (68.6)
|
437 (77.6)
|
0.63 (0.45–0.87)
|
0.005
|
Thrombocytocrit ≥0.285%, n (%)
|
368 (44.5)
|
152 (57.6)
|
216 (38.4)
|
2.18 (1.62–2.94)
|
<0.001
|
AST≥18.95 U/L, n (%)
|
452 (54.7)
|
173 (65.5)
|
279 (49.6)
|
1.94 (1.43–2.62)
|
<0.001
|
ALB≥38.22 g/L, n (%)
|
504 (60.9)
|
128 (48.5)
|
376 (66.8)
|
0.47 (0.35–0.63)
|
<0.001
|
TBIL≥9.29 umol/L, n (%)
|
359 (43.4)
|
98 (37.1)
|
261 (46.4)
|
0.68 (0.51–0.92)
|
0.012
|
Na+≥138.825 mmol/L, n (%)
|
646 (78.1)
|
192 (72.7)
|
454 (80.6)
|
0.64 (0.46–0.90)
|
0.010
|
Cl–≥100.39 mmol/L, n (%)
|
659 (79.7)
|
190 (72.0)
|
469 (83.3)
|
0.52 (0.36–0.73)
|
<0.001
|
Ca2+≥2.31 mmol/L, n (%)
|
285 (34.5)
|
77 (29.2)
|
208 (36.9)
|
0.70 (0.51–0.96)
|
0.028
|
Glucose ≥5.175 mmol/L, n (%)
|
328 (39.7)
|
118 (44.7)
|
210 (37.3)
|
1.36 (1.01–1.83)
|
0.043
|
Fibrinogen ≥3.805 g/L, n (%)
|
376 (45.5)
|
144 (54.5)
|
232 (41.2)
|
1.71 (1.23–2.30)
|
<0.001
|
Abbreviations: OR odds ratios, CI confidence interval, MCV mean corpuscular volume, MCH mean corpuscular hemoglobin, RDW-CV coefficient of variation of RBC distribution width, PLT platelet, PDW platelet distribution width, MPV mean platelet volume, AST aspartate aminotransferase, ALB albumin; TBIL total bilirubin, LNM lymph node metastases,
In this study, we aimed to predict the risk of LNM in OC patients before surgery. Thus, we only enrolled the significant factors which could be obtained preoperatively into multivariate logistic regression analysis. According to the multivariate analysis, we found ascites (OR, 3.022, 95% CI, 2.058–4.438, p<0.001), BMI≥23.23 kg/m2 (OR, 2.082, 95% CI, 1.448–2.995, p<0.001), CA125≥432.15 U/ml (OR, 4.665, 95% CI, 3.158–6.891, p<0.001), neutrophil count≥2.965*109/L (OR, 2.882, 95% CI, 1.606–5.172, p<0.001), lymphocyte count<1.30*109/L (OR, 1.554, 95% CI, 1.086–2.223, p=0.016) , and monocyte count≥0.415*109/L (OR, 1.506, 95% CI, 1.047–2.166, p=0.027) were independent risk factors of LNM (Table 3).
Table 3. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of risk factors for pelvic/para-aortic LNM in OC patients.
Parameters
|
B
|
SE(B)
|
Wald
|
OR (95% CI)
|
p value
|
BMI≥23.23 kg/m2
|
0.734
|
0.185
|
15.645
|
2.082 (1.448–2.995)
|
<0.001
|
Ascites
|
1.106
|
0.196
|
31.308
|
3.022 (2.058–4.438)
|
<0.001
|
CA125≥432.15 U/ml
|
1.540
|
0.199
|
59.882
|
4.665 (3.158–6.891)
|
<0.001
|
Neutrophil count ≥2.965*109/L
|
1.058
|
0.298
|
12.585
|
2.882 (1.606–5.172)
|
<0.001
|
Lymphocyte count <1.30*109/L
|
0.441
|
0.183
|
5.827
|
1.554 (1.086–2.223)
|
0.016
|
Monocyte count ≥0.415*109/L
|
0.410
|
0.185
|
4.875
|
1.506 (1.047–2.166)
|
0.027
|
Abbreviations: OC ovarian cancer, OR odds ratios, CI confidence interval, BMI body mass index, SE standard error,
Through integrating the six risk factors above, the AUC of predicting LNM in OC patients was 0.836 (95% CI, 0.808–0.864) (Fig.1a). The performance of this regression model was also promising in predicting LNM in OC patients with early-stage (stage I-II) (AUC, 0.809, 95% CI, 0.619–1.000) and advanced-stage (stage III-IV) (AUC, 0.764, 95% CI, 0.723–0.805) (Fig.1b-1c). The LNM rates for OC patients with 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 risk factors were 0, 4.13%, 12.88%, 28.34%, 50.30%, 65.25%, and 77.78% respectively (p<0.001) (Table 4) (Fig.2). Patients with 0–3 risk factors had significantly lower LNM rates than those of patients with 4–6 risk factors (15.40% vs 58.92%, p<0.001).
Table 4. Distribution of OC patients with pelvic/para-aortic LNM in different risk groups.
Number of risk factors
|
N (%)
|
Pelvic/para-aortic LNM, n (%)
|
No pelvic/para-aortic LNM, n (%)
|
p value
|
0
|
42 (5.08)
|
42 (100.00)
|
0 (0.00)
|
<0.001
|
1
|
121 (14.63)
|
116 (95.87)
|
5 (4.13)
|
|
2
|
163 (19.71)
|
142 (87.12)
|
21 (12.88)
|
|
3
|
187 (22.61)
|
134 (71.66)
|
53 (28.34)
|
|
4
|
169 (20.44)
|
84 (49.70)
|
85 (50.30)
|
|
5
|
118 (14.27)
|
39 (33.05)
|
79 (65.25)
|
|
6
|
27 (3.26)
|
6 (22.22)
|
21 (77.78)
|
|
Abbreviations: OC ovarian cancer, LNM lymph node metastases