2.1 Study Area
The Hamp watershed in Seonath sub-basin of upper Mahanadi basin was selected for the present study with Andhiyarkhore gauging station of Central Water Commission (CWC) as its outlet. Hamp River is the main stream of the Hamp watershed as shown in Fig. 1. It originates from Kawardha district and passes through newly formed Bemetara district and joins Seonath River at Raipur district of Chhattisgarh state, India. The study area lies between 810 01’ E to 810 36’ E and 210 45’ N to 220 30’N with an altitude ranging from 267–1193 m above the mean sea level (MSL) covering a total geographical area of 2210 km2. Hamp River is situated at the uppermost boundary of the Mahanadi basin and the area is dominated by upland farming situations promoting soil loss with poor crop productivity. Farming situation of Chhattisgarh agro-climatic zone is divided into four types viz Bhata (Entisols), Matasi (Inceptisols), Dorsa (Alfisols) and Kanhar (Vertisols). Bhata lands are the uplands governed by slope > 5%, soil depth of less than 30 cm with soil texture of loamy fine sand to silt loam. In recent years, most soil loss from upland areas occurs as gully erosion(Römkens et al., 2015). The soils having low infiltration capacity pose challenges for management of runoff and erosion (Mishra et al., 2018). Therefore, the Hamp watershed of upper Mahanadi River basin was selected as study watershed to estimate the soil loss for identifying and prioritizing critical sub-watersheds and its critical HRU for effective control of sediment and nutrient loss.
2.2 Meteorological data
Long term daily rainfall data for 31 years (1983–2013), measured at the outlet of the Hamp watershed at Andhiyarkhore gauging station of Central Water Commission (CWC), Bhubaneswar, Government of India were collected and analysed to determine the mean monthly rainfall. Maximum and minimum air temperatures recorded at the meteorological observatory of Andhiyarkhore gauging station (1983–2013) was also acquired from the CWC, Bhubaneswar. Daily rainfall data (2004–2013) were also collected from the Hydrology Data Center, Department of Water Resources, Government of Chhattisgarh for six rainfall gauging stations namely Goreghat, Hamp-Pandariya, Balod, Chhirpani, Pandariya and Saroda, which were lying within the Hamp watershed. Nearly more than 10 years rainfall data was available for all the gauging stations and were used in the study. Observed data (2004–2013) on rainfall, maximum and minimum temperatures, sunshine hour, relative humidity and wind velocity were also acquired from Bilaspur meteorological observatory, which was close to the Hamp watershed. Due to non-availability of observed data for other meteorological parameters (solar radiation, wind velocity and relative humidity) for the above mentioned six rainfall gauging stations, the same was downloaded from Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resource (POWER) climatology resource for Agro-climatology website. Monthly average values for 10 years (2004–2013) for the rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, wind velocity and solar radiation for Hamp watershed was used in the study. The rainfall data from all the stations was averaged using Thiessen polygon method and other parameters were also averaged.
2.3 Hydrological and sediment data
Daily river discharge and sediment yield data (2004–2013) recorded at the outlet of the Hamp watershed, i.e., Andhiyarkhore gauging station was acquired from CWC Regional office, Mahanadi & Eastern Rivers Organization, Bhubaneswar for the study. A large number of missing data were observed during the monsoon period of year 2009, and hence, it was not considered for both calibration and validation periods.
2.4 Digital elevation model
In this study, Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) Digital Elevation Model (DEM) of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) was used. The Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research- Consortium for Spatial Information (CGIAR-CSI) GeoPortal provides SRTM 90m/ 30m Digital Elevation Data for most part of the globe (http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org/). The SRTM data was available at 1 arc second (approximately 30 m spatial resolution) DEMs for the study area (Fig. 2).
Before using the downloaded DEM, it is required to apply the geometric correction. Therefore, the SRTM DEM was re-projected to Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) co-ordinate system with Datum WGS 1984 (Zone-44) with spatial resolution of 30 m.
2.5 Land Use/Cover
The cloud free LANDSAT (TM) imagery of 20/10/2008 and 31/10/2013 of the study area was downloaded from Earth Explorer website (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov) with a spatial resolution of 30 m. The approximate scene size was 170 km north-south by 183 km east-west and the whole study area was covered in one scene only. The land use/cover map of the study area was generated using ERDAS IMAGINE 2016. Most common land use classification method, the supervised classification was used in this study. Maximum Likelihood Classifier (MLC) module was used for classifying the land uses. The classification was carried out using Ground Control Points (GCPs). These GCPs were taken with the help of hand-held Global Positioning System (GPS) during field visit of the study area. Each pixel in the image data set was then categorized into the land use class it most closely resembled. The classified land use/cover classes were water body, rainfed paddy, irrigated paddy, soybean, sugarcane, maize, barren land, settlement and forest. The area covered by each class as identified by supervised classification is given in Table 1. Land use land cover data of 2008 was used for the delineation of watershed and sub-watersheds.
Table 1
Pixel based land use/cover classification along with Accuracy assessment of Landsat satellite False Color Composite (FCC) data.
Land use classes
|
Pixel Based classification
|
2008
|
2013
|
% Area Change
|
Area (ha)
|
% Area
|
Producers Accuracy
|
Users Accuracy
|
Area (ha)
|
% Area
|
Producers Accuracy
|
Users Accuracy
|
|
Water
|
886.5
|
0.4
|
100%
|
100%
|
986.5
|
0.45
|
100%
|
100%
|
0.05
|
Forest-mixed
|
55401.0
|
25.07
|
88%
|
84%
|
51401.0
|
23.26
|
90%
|
80%
|
-1.81
|
Sugarcane
|
16257.4
|
7.36
|
76%
|
93%
|
22356.3
|
10.12
|
79%
|
86%
|
2.76
|
Rice- irrigated
|
21179.5
|
9.58
|
79%
|
95%
|
21978.9
|
9.95
|
79%
|
77%
|
0.36
|
Soybean
|
26658.0
|
12.06
|
97%
|
97%
|
33917.7
|
15.35
|
91%
|
97%
|
3.29
|
Barren
|
6953.2
|
3.15
|
50%
|
100%
|
4833.7
|
2.19
|
77%
|
70%
|
-0.96
|
Settlement
|
21787.2
|
9.86
|
100%
|
50%
|
22737.5
|
10.29
|
93%
|
98%
|
0.43
|
Rice – rainfed
|
31932.3
|
14.45
|
77%
|
91%
|
24942.8
|
11.29
|
91%
|
87%
|
-3.16
|
Maize
|
39949.2
|
18.08
|
86%
|
86%
|
37849.6
|
17.13
|
89%
|
80%
|
-0.95
|
Total
|
221004.3
|
100
|
|
|
221004.3
|
100
|
|
|
0
|
Overall Classification accuracy
|
90.81%
|
|
89.71%
|
|
Overall Kappa Statistics
|
0.87
|
|
0.885
|
|
2.6 Soil
The soil texture map of the Chhattisgarh state, which was prepared by National Bureau of Soil Survey and Land Use Planning (NBSSLUP), Nagpur using 10 km2 grid sampling, was used in the study. The map was further refined and reclassified based on the soil sample analysis and point data of soil health card acquired for Dept. of Agriculture, Govt. of Chhattisgarh. The soil texture found in the study area were clay, gravelly sandy loam, clay loam, silty clay, gravelly sandy clay loam, sandy clay loam and sandy loam.
2.7 Delineation of watershed and sub-watersheds using ArcSWAT
Many hydrological models require a watershed to be subdivided into smaller areas sub-watersheds. Each sub-watershed is assumed as homogeneous, with parameters representative of entire sub-watershed. However, the size of a sub-watershed affects the homogeneity assumption, since larger sub-watershed is more likely to have variable conditions within the sub-watershed. Runoff volume was not affected appreciably by the number and size of the sub-watersheds, whereas annual fine sediment yield produced from upland areas was very sensitive to the level of watershed subdivisions (Bingner et al., 1997). Sub-watershed classification refers to the assessment and management category assigned to a sub-watershed (Tripathi et al., 2003). The ArcSWAT uses standard methodology which is based on the eight-pour point algorithm (Jenson & Domingue, 1988) to delineate streams from DEM. With the help of the automatic watershed delineator of ArcSWAT model, streams from the raster DEM were extracted and based on this the sub-watersheds were delineated.
The sub-watershed delineation is performed by a process of tracing the flow direction from each grid cell until either an outlet cell or the edge of the DEM grid extent is encountered. The interface is provided with two additional setting tools i.e., DEM properties and threshold area in hectares used for the calculation of geomorphic parameters. The boundary of Hamp watershed and its sub-watersheds were delineated using DEM and drainage network of the study area. The delineated watershed and 14 sub-watersheds are shown in Fig. 3(a-b) and were named as WS1 to WS14. Watershed and sub-watershed boundaries were also delineated automatically with the help of ArcSWAT using DEM. In this study, automatically-delineated watershedhaving 2210 km2 areas was decomposed into 14 sub-watersheds and based on the similar land cover, soil layers and DEM, the watershed was classified into 207 HRUs. Afterwards, area of each sub-watersheds and length of stream reaches were calculated and stored as attributes of derived vector themes.
2.8 SWAT model
Research ArcSWAT is a semi-distributed parameter model that operates on a daily or sub-daily time step basis. The first step in the calibration and validation process in ArcSWAT is the determination of the most sensitive parameters for a given watershed or sub-watershed (Arnold et al., 2012). The hydrology model is based on the water balance equation:

Where, SW is the soil water content minus the 15-bar water content, t is time in days, and R, Q, ET, P, and QR are the daily amounts of precipitation, runoff, evapotranspiration, percolation, and return flow respectively; all units are in mm. Since the model maintains a continuous water balance, complex basins are subdivided to reflect differences in ET for various crops and soils. Thus, runoff is predicted separately for each sub-area and routed to obtain the total runoff for the basin. This increases accuracy and gives a much better physical description of the water balance. SWAT predicts surface runoff for daily rainfall by using the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) Curve Number (CN) method. Sediment yield was computed for each sub-basin with the Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation (MUSLE).
Sensitivity analysis was performed using the SUFI-2 algorithm of SWAT-CUP. The parameter producing the highest average percentage change in the objective function value is ranked as most sensitive. SWAT-CUP uses the SWAT input files and runs the SWAT simulations by modifying the given parameters. Sensitivity analysis was conducted using a combined method of Latin Hypercube (LH) sampling and One-Factor-At-a-Time (OAT). Each variable was varied within the prescribed range keeping other constant. The output of model simulated runoff and sediment yield were analyzed to determine their variation with respect to their respective counterpart observer’s values. From sensitivity analysis it was possible to decide which variables need to be precisely estimated to make accurate predictions of the runoff and sediment yields.
The model was calibrated during the monsoon season (June to October) for the years 2004-2008, including three years of warm-up period (2001-2003) using daily average monthly values of the observed runoff and sediment yield along with average seasonal nutrient loss comprising of nitrate nitrogen (NO3-N) and total phosphorous. The model was validated during the monsoon season (June to October) for the years 2010-2013. Annual runoff, sediment and nutrient losses were simulated for each sub-watershed of Hamp watershed using adequately tested calibrated and validated ArcSWAT model for identification and prioritization of critical sub-watersheds. Thereafter from the prioritized critical sub watershed, the critical HRU was prioritized based on the runoff, sediment yield and nutrient loss. Priorities were fixed on the basis of ranks assigned to each critical sub-watersheds based on the susceptibility to erosion (Singh et al., 1992). Also, for nutrient losses a threshold value of 10 mg/l for nitrate nitrogen and 0.5 mg/l for dissolve phosphorous as described by USEPA (USEPA, 1976) were considered as criterion for identifying the critical sub-watersheds.
2.9 Criteria for Model Evaluation
Several types of statistics provide useful numerical measures of the degree of agreement between models simulated and recorded quantities. The numerical criteria as described in Table 2 was used in the study. In this study, criterion suggested by Moriasi et al. (Moriasi et al., 2007) has been adopted to analyze the performance of the SWAT model as shown in Table 3.
Table 2
Details of Criteria for Model Evaluation.
S. No.
|
Criteria for Model Evaluation
|
Equation
|
References
|
1
|
Coefficient of determination (R2)
|
\({\text{R}}^{2}={\left[\frac{{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{N}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{m}\text{e}\text{a}\text{n}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}\right)\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{s}\text{i}\text{m}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{m}\text{e}\text{a}\text{n}}^{\text{s}\text{i}\text{m}}\right)}{{\left[{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{N}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{m}\text{e}\text{a}\text{n}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}\right)\right]}^{0.5}{\left[{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{N}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{s}\text{i}\text{m}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{m}\text{e}\text{a}\text{n}}^{\text{s}\text{i}\text{m}}\right)2\right]}^{0.5}}\right]}^{2}\)z
|
Vishwakarma et al., 2022; Willmott, 1981
|
2
|
Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (ENS)
|
\({\text{E}}_{\text{N}\text{S}}=1-\left[\frac{{{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{n}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{s}\text{i}\text{m}}\right)}^{2}}{{{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{n}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{m}\text{e}\text{a}\text{n}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}\right)}^{2}}\right]\)
|
Nash & Sutcliffe, 1970; Shukla et al., 2021
|
3
|
Percent bias (PBIAS)
|
\(\text{P}\text{B}\text{I}\text{A}\text{S}=\left[\frac{{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{n}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}-{\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{s}\text{i}\text{m}}\right)\times 100}{{\sum }_{\text{i}=1}^{\text{n}}\left({\text{Y}}_{\text{i}}^{\text{o}\text{b}\text{s}}\right)}\right]\)
|
Gupta et al., 1999
|
Table 3
General performance ratings for recommended statistics
Performance rating
|
ENS
|
PBIAS (%)
|
PBIAS (%)
|
Unsatisfactory
|
ENS< 0.50
|
PBIAS > ± 25
|
PBIAS > ± 55
|
Satisfactory
|
0.50 < ENS< 0.65
|
± 15 < PBIAS < ± 25
|
± 30 < PBIAS < ± 55
|
Good
|
0.65 < ENS< 0.75
|
± 10 < PBIAS < ± 15
|
± 15 < PBIAS < ± 30
|