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Behiye Cavusoglu
Near East University: Yakin Dogu Universitesi
Corresponding Author
ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0561-4514
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Trade openness and export promotion policies such as export expansion grants are the furthermost competent yardstick for measuring growth and development, approved by various countries since 1970s. Looking at the Nigeria economy whose depends almost largely on external trade is inclusive. Therefore, this analysis explores the effects of trade openness and export expansion grants on Nigerian economy using annual data from 1986-2019. This analysis makes use of coefficient covariance metrics, stability leverage plots and pairwise granger causality and quantile regression to portray the impact of trade openness and export expansion grants on Nigerian economic growth. The outcomes confirm that, there was a positive relationship between trade openness (TOPN) and economic growth (GDPR) in the first and last quantiles (seventh) quantile while the remaining quantiles has negative effect on GDP growth rate of Nigeria and were statistically insignificant during the study era. While the coefficients of export expansion grants (EEXG) have positive effect on GDP growth rate of Nigeria in all quantiles but statistically significant only in sixth as well seventh quantile. Also, the result of pairwise granger causality showed strong bi-directional causality between trade openness and GDPR at 5% level of significance as well as uni-directional causality running from GDPR to export expansion grants. Therefore, it recommended that, Nigerian government should adjust the structure of its trade through concentrating on high value-added products instead of exporting semi-finished goods as well by given more support to domestic industries (such as subsidies, tax holiday, more export expansion grants) to compete internationally. Also, government should maintain stable exchange rate as well policies through effective monetary policies that would reduce inflation rate in the economy in order to attain Nigeria's Economic Recovery and Growth Plan which is in line with SDGs goal of 2023 in Nigeria.
Keywords
Trade openness, Export expansion grants, Economic growth, Nigeria
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This is a preprint, a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Research
Behiye Cavusoglu
Near East University: Yakin Dogu Universitesi
Corresponding Author
ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0561-4514
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
History
CURRENT STATUS: Posted
Version 1
Posted 18 Jan, 2021
No community comments so far
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
Subject Areas
Other Economics
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Trade openness and export promotion policies such as export expansion grants are the furthermost competent yardstick for measuring growth and development, approved by various countries since 1970s. Looking at the Nigeria economy whose depends almost largely on external trade is inclusive. Therefore, this analysis explores the effects of trade openness and export expansion grants on Nigerian economy using annual data from 1986-2019. This analysis makes use of coefficient covariance metrics, stability leverage plots and pairwise granger causality and quantile regression to portray the impact of trade openness and export expansion grants on Nigerian economic growth. The outcomes confirm that, there was a positive relationship between trade openness (TOPN) and economic growth (GDPR) in the first and last quantiles (seventh) quantile while the remaining quantiles has negative effect on GDP growth rate of Nigeria and were statistically insignificant during the study era. While the coefficients of export expansion grants (EEXG) have positive effect on GDP growth rate of Nigeria in all quantiles but statistically significant only in sixth as well seventh quantile. Also, the result of pairwise granger causality showed strong bi-directional causality between trade openness and GDPR at 5% level of significance as well as uni-directional causality running from GDPR to export expansion grants. Therefore, it recommended that, Nigerian government should adjust the structure of its trade through concentrating on high value-added products instead of exporting semi-finished goods as well by given more support to domestic industries (such as subsidies, tax holiday, more export expansion grants) to compete internationally. Also, government should maintain stable exchange rate as well policies through effective monetary policies that would reduce inflation rate in the economy in order to attain Nigeria's Economic Recovery and Growth Plan which is in line with SDGs goal of 2023 in Nigeria.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
The full text of this article is available to read as a PDF.
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