The cohort consisted of 161 male and 124 female patients, with mean age 68.55 years, median age 69 years, mode 70 years, range 30-94 years. All variables analyzed in the study are summarized in Supplementary table 1. Results of 10 years OS and CSS analysis are summarized in Table 1, 5 years OS and CSS in Table 2. Kaplan-Meier curves showing prognostic impact of SATB2 negativity, CK7 positivity and PD-L1 positivity are shown in Figure 2.
The patients with SATB2- tumors (n=54) displayed significantly shorter both OS (restricted mean/rmean = 4.921 years versus 6.943 years, hazard ratio=0.511, p=0.00042) and CSS (rmean = 5.633 years versus 7.648 years, HR=0.452, p=0.00027) compared to those with SATB2+ tumors (n=231) in 10 years follow-up. Analyzing 5 years of follow-up, there was significantly shorter both OS (rmean = 3.157 versus 4.008 years, HR=0.46, p=0.00019) and CSS (rmean = 3.494 versus 4.171 years, HR=0.464, p=0.0012) in the patients with SATB2- tumors.
In the 10 years follow-up, CK7 expression showed detrimental prognostic impact with borderline insignificantly shorter OS (rmean 4.9 years versus 6.677 years, HR=1.695, p=0.077) and significantly shorter CSS (rmean = 5.468 years versus 7.412, HR=1.999, p=0.035) comparing CK7+ (n=19) with CK7- (n=266) cases. In the 5 years follow-up, there was negative prognostic impact of CK7 expression with significantly shorter both OS (rmean = 3.124 versus 3.898, HR=2.128, p=0.012) and CSS (rmean = 3.378 versus 4.096 years, HR=2.28, p=0.012).
In 10 years follow up, PD-L1 expression showed insignificantly shorter OS (rmean = 5.527 years versus 6.670 years, HR=1.46, p=0.15) and no significant difference in CSS (rmean = 7.29 years versus 7.329 years, HR=0.984, p=0.97) between PD-L1+ (n=28) and PD-L1- (n=257) CRCs. In 5 years follow up, PD-L1+ tumors displayed insignificantly shorter OS (rmean = 3.261 versus 3.91 years, HR=1.522, p=0.156) and no differences in CSS (rmean = 3.948 versus 4.063, HR-1.016, p-0.97) compared to PD-L1- cases.
PD-L1 was further analyzed categorizing the patients according to percentage of tumor cell PD-L1 expression with following results (Table 3, Figure 3ab): negative cases (0%) and weak expressors (1%) comprising 261 cases displayed significantly longer OS compared to both moderate (2-49%, n=20) and strong (50-100%, n=4) expressors (rmean = 3.927 versus 3.136 versus 2.148 years, respectively, p=0.021). Analyzing CSS with PD-L1 percentage categorization, there were no significant differences (rmean = 4.077 versus 3.747 versus 3.838, p=0.78).
Prognostic impact of PD-L1 status was additionally calculated according to optimal cutpoint at 2% of positive tumor cells (Table 3, Figure 3cd). In this analysis, patients with CRC expriming PD-L1 in >2% of tumor cells (n=19) showed significantly shorter OS (rmean = 2.675 versus 3.930 years, p=0.0018) compared to those with PD-L1 negative tumors or weak expressors (n=266). The patients with CRC expriming PD-L1 in >2% of tumor cells displayed also shorter CSS compared to PD-L1 negative cases and weak expressors (rmean = 3.583 versus 4.078 years, p=0.3) but the difference lacked statistical significance (Table 3).
Among traditional prognostic variables, there was a significant negative prognostic impact of advanced UICC stage (p<0.0001), and grade 3 (p=0.013) on 10 years of OS. Concerning 10 years of CSS, there was a significant worsening effect of MMR-proficient status (p=0.0091), advanced UICC stage (p<0.0001), grade 3 (p=0.021), and borderline insignificant effect of right-sided tumor site(p=0.064) - see Table 1. In 5 years survival analysis, OS was significantly shorter in case of advanced UICC stage (p<0.0001), grade 3 (p=0.0031), right sided tumors (p=0.012), and carcinomas with mucinous or signet ring cell morphology (p=0.046), whereas CSS was worse in tumors with advanced UICC stage (p<0.0001), grade 3 (p=0.012), right sided tumors (p=0.012), and MMR-proficient CRCs (p=0.028) - see Table 2.
Table 1
10 years follow up - survival analysis - univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test, Cox regression
|
n
|
%
|
All deaths
|
Restricted mean OS (years)
|
OS Hazard ratio
|
OS
p value
|
CRC related deaths
|
Restricted mean CSS (years)
|
CSS Hazard ratio
|
CSS p value
|
SATB2 >= 40%
|
54
|
18.9
|
36
|
4.921
|
0.511
|
0.00042
|
28
|
5.633
|
0.452
|
0.00027
|
SATB2 >40%
|
231
|
81.1
|
104
|
6.943
|
70
|
7.648
|
CK7 >=10%
|
19
|
6.7
|
12
|
5.163
|
1.585
|
0.127
|
10
|
5.468
|
1.999
|
0.035
|
CK7 negative
|
266
|
93.3
|
135
|
6.751
|
88
|
7.412
|
PD-L1 >= 1%
|
28
|
9.8
|
16
|
5.527
|
1.46
|
0.15
|
8
|
7.329
|
0.984
|
0.97
|
PD-L1 negative
|
257
|
90.2
|
124
|
6.670
|
90
|
7.290
|
MMR-deficient
|
25
|
8.8
|
9
|
7.81
|
1.652
|
0.145
|
2
|
9.237
|
5.285
|
0.0091
|
MMR-proficient
|
260
|
91.2
|
131
|
6.44
|
96
|
7.107
|
UICC I+II
|
143
|
50.2
|
51
|
7.769
|
2.371
|
<0.0001
|
24
|
8.757
|
4.081
|
<0.0001
|
UICC III+IV
|
142
|
49.8
|
89
|
5.34
|
74
|
5.83
|
Adenocarcinoma NOS
|
269
|
94.4
|
130
|
6.654
|
0.566
|
0.084
|
6
|
6.287
|
0.685
|
0.37
|
Mucinous+signet ring carcinoma
|
16
|
5.6
|
10
|
4.967
|
92
|
7.338
|
Grade 1+2
|
205
|
73.0
|
93
|
6.954
|
1.569
|
0.013
|
63
|
7.649
|
1.65
|
0.021
|
Grade 3
|
76
|
27.0
|
44
|
5.570
|
32
|
6.412
|
Right sided CRC
|
112
|
39.3
|
60
|
5.924
|
0.745
|
0.084
|
44
|
6.641
|
0.688
|
0.064
|
Left sided CRC
|
173
|
60.7
|
80
|
6.973
|
54
|
7.705
|
Table 2
5 years follow up - survival analysis - univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test, Cox regression
|
n
|
%
|
All deaths
|
Restricted mean OS (years)
|
OS Hazard ratio
|
OS
p value
|
CRC related deaths
|
Restricted mean CSS (years)
|
CSS Hazard ratio
|
CSS p value
|
SATB2 >= 40%
|
54
|
18.9
|
31
|
3.157
|
0.46
|
0.00019
|
24
|
3.493
|
0.464
|
0.0012
|
SATB2 >40%
|
231
|
81.1
|
76
|
4.008
|
59
|
4.171
|
CK7 >=10%
|
19
|
6.7
|
12
|
3.124
|
2.128
|
0.012
|
10
|
3.378
|
2.28
|
0.012
|
CK7 negative
|
266
|
93.3
|
95
|
3.898
|
73
|
4.096
|
PD-L1 >= 1%
|
28
|
9.8
|
13
|
3.261
|
1.522
|
0.156
|
7
|
3.948
|
1.016
|
0.968
|
PD-L1 negative
|
257
|
90.2
|
94
|
3.910
|
76
|
4.063
|
MMR-deficient
|
25
|
8.8
|
5
|
4.317
|
2.162
|
0.085
|
2
|
4.672
|
4.255
|
0.028
|
MMR-proficient
|
260
|
91.2
|
102
|
3.801
|
81
|
3.992
|
UICC I+II
|
143
|
50.2
|
33
|
4.383
|
2.879
|
<0.0001
|
19
|
4.624
|
4.289
|
<0.0001
|
UICC III+IV
|
142
|
49.8
|
74
|
3.306
|
64
|
3.477
|
Adenocarcinoma NOS
|
269
|
94.4
|
98
|
3.894
|
0.505
|
0.046
|
77
|
4.071
|
0.592
|
0.21
|
Mucinous+signet ring carcinoma
|
16
|
5.6
|
9
|
3.051
|
6
|
3.620
|
Grade 1+2
|
205
|
73.0
|
67
|
4.038
|
1.81
|
0.0031
|
52
|
4.206
|
1.776
|
0.012
|
Grade 3
|
76
|
27.0
|
38
|
3.348
|
29
|
3.647
|
Right sided CRC
|
112
|
39.3
|
51
|
3.502
|
0.619
|
0.013
|
41
|
3.695
|
0.578
|
0.012
|
Left sided CRC
|
173
|
60.7
|
56
|
4.070
|
42
|
4.278
|
Table 3
5 years follow up - survival analysis according to percentage of PD-L1 expression - univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test, Cox regression
|
n
|
%
|
All deaths
|
Restricted mean OS (years)
|
OS
p value
|
CRC related deaths
|
Restricted mean OS (years)
|
CSS p value
|
PD-L1 50-100%
|
4
|
1.4%
|
3
|
3.927
|
0.021
|
1
|
3.838
|
0.78
|
PD-L1 2-49%
|
20
|
7.0%
|
10
|
3.136
|
6
|
3.747
|
PD-L1 <= 1%
|
261
|
91.6%
|
94
|
2.148
|
76
|
4.077
|
PD-L1 >= 2%
|
19
|
6.7%
|
12
|
2.675
|
0.0018
|
6
|
3.583
|
0.3
|
PD-L1 <2%
|
266
|
98.3%
|
95
|
3.930
|
77
|
4.078
|
Logistic regression analysis (Pearson's chi-squared test) revealed following significant associations: SATB2- tumors proned more to be in advanced stage (35/107 seu 24.6/75.4% were SATB2-/SATB2+ in UICC stages I+II and 19/127 seu 13.3/86.7% were SATB2-/SATB2+ in UICC stages III+IV, Odds ratio=0.468, p=0.016), high-grade (20/56 seu 26.3/73.7% were SATB2-/SATB2+ with grade 3 and 32/173 seu 15.6/84.4% were SATB2-/SATB2+ with grades 1+2, OR=0.518, p=0.042), with variant mucinous or signet-ring cell morphology (47/222 seu 17.5/82.5% were SATB2-/SATB2+ conventional adenocarcinomas and 7/9 seu 43.8/56.2% were SATB2-/SATB2+ mucinous or signet ring cell carcinomas, OR=3.674, p=0.014), right-sided (29/83 seu 25.9/74.1% were SATB2-/SATB2+ in right sided CRCs and 25/148 seu 14.5/85.5% were SATB2-/SATB2+ in left sided CRCs, OR=2.068, p=0.017), and cytokeratin 7 positive (13/6 seu 68.4/31.6% were SATB2-/SATB2+ CK7+ tumors and 41/225 seu 15.4/84.6% were SATB2-/SATB2+ CK7- tumors, OR=0.084, p<0.001, Figure 4). Furthermore, there was a borderline insignificant association of SATB2 negativity with PD-L1 expression in CRC (9/19 seu 32.1/67.9% were SATB2-/SATB2+ PD-L1+ tumors and 45/212 seu 17.5/82.5% were SATB2-/SATB2+ PD-L1- tumors, OR=0.448, p=0.066, Figure 5). A relationship between PD-L1 expression and MMR status was without significant difference (7/18 seu 28/72% were SATB2-/SATB2+ MMR deficient tumors and 47/213 seu 18.1/81.9% were SATB2-/SATB2+ MMR proficient tumors, OR=1.762, p=0.232).
CK7 positive tumors were more frequently high-grade (10/66 seu 13.2/86.8% were CK7+/CK7- with CRC grade 3 and 9/196 seu 4.4/95.6% were CK7+/CK7- with CRC grade 1+2, OR=3.3, p=0.013). No association of CK7 expression with UICC stage, morphology, laterality, PD-L1 status, and MMR status was found.
PD-L1+ CRCs were more frequently MMR-deficient compared to the PD-L1- tumors (6/19 seu 24/76% were PD-L1+ MMRdef/MMRprof and 22/238 seu 8.5/91.5% were PD-L1- MMRdef/MMRprof, OR=0.0293, p=0.018). No association of PD-L1 positivity with UICC stage, grade, morphology, laterality, and CK7 status was identified.
The significant association of CK7 expression and SATB2 negativity and the borderline insignificant association of PD-L1 expression with SATB2 negativity were described above.
In the next step, prognostic impact of SATB2 and CK7 on 5years CSS and the impact of PD-L1 status on 5years OS (since the PD-L1-impact on CSS was not significant) was analyzed in multivariate Cox regression adjusting these on associated variables. 5years survival was analyzed in multivariate analysis due to higher level of statistical significance compared to 10years survival.
In the multivariate analysis, SATB2 negativity remained a significant poor 5 years CSS predictor if adjusted on patient's age (HR=0.469, p=0.002), UICC stage (HR=0.557, p=0.17), histopathological grade (HR=0.497, p=0.005), mucinous and signet ring cell morphology (HR=0.481, p=0.003), laterality (HR=0.499, p=0.005), CK7 expression (HR=0.53, p=0.016), and PD-L1 status (HR=0.469, p=0.002). In multivariate Cox regression, CK7 expression remained an independent detrimental 5 years CSS predictor if adjusted on patient´s age (HR=2.365, p=0.011), histopathological grade (HR=2.066, p=0.036), and SATB2 negativity (HR=0.53, p=0.016), as mentioned above. PD-L1 positivity of all percentages remained a borderline insignificant predictor of shorter 5years OS if adjusted on MMR status (HR=1.452, p=0.215).
In summary, our study revealed significantly shorter OS and CSS in patients with SATB2- and CK7+ CRC independently from associated analyzed factors, and borderline insignificantly shorter OS in patients with PD-L1+ CRC. SATB2 negative tumors were significantly more frequently CK7+, right-sided and presented in the advanced UICC stage. Association of SATB2 loss with PD-L1 expression was borderline insignificant (p=0.066). PD-L1 expression is borderline insignificant negative OS predictor without significant predictive value of CSS. Strong and moderate PD-L1 expression (>2% of tumor cells) is a significantly detrimental OS predictor without impact on CSS.