DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1473383/v1
Objectives: This paper aims to describe the prevalence, patterns and factors associated with multimorbidity, by both self-report and clinical assessment/screening methods in community-dwelling older people living in rural Tanzania.
Methods: A randomised frailty-weighted sample of non-institutionalised adults aged ≥60 years underwent comprehensive geriatric assessment and in-depth assessment. The comprehensive geriatric assessment consisted of a history and focused clinical examination. The in-depth assessment included standardised questionnaires, screening tools and blood pressure measurement. The prevalence of multimorbidity was calculated for self-report and non-self-reported methods (clinician diagnosis, screening tools and direct measurement). Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more conditions. The socio-demographic associations with multimorbidity were investigated by multivariate logistic regression.
Results: A sample of 235 adults participated in the study, selected from a screened sample of 1207. The mean age was 75 years (range 60 to 110) and 136 (57.8%) were women. Adjusting for frailty-weighting, the prevalence of self-reported multimorbidity was 26.1% (95% CI 16.7-35.4), and by clinical assessment/screening was 67.3% (95% CI 57.0-77.5). Adjusting for age, sex, education and frailty status, multimorbidity by self-report increased the odds of being financially dependent on others threefold (OR 3.3 [95% CI 1.4-7.8]), and of a household member reducing their paid employment nearly fourfold (OR 3.8. [95% CI 1.5-9.2]).
Conclusions: Multimorbidity is prevalent in this rural lower-income African setting and is associated with evidence of household financial strain. Multimorbidity prevalence is higher when not reliant on self-reported methods, revealing that many conditions are underdiagnosed and undertreated.
Multimorbidity, taken as the presence of two or more chronic conditions is common in low and middle income countries (LMICs), including African countries [1, 2]. In African countries, as elsewhere, multimorbidity prevalence increases with age, is higher among women, and is negatively associated with educational attainment [1]. Multimorbidity in the continent is of particular public health importance given the successes of becoming the fastest ageing world region [3], and the changing HIV epidemic, leading to a generation living and ageing with the condition [4]. The limited multimorbidity research from the continent which focuses on older adults has reported wide variance in prevalence estimations; from 65% in adults ≥ 60 years in Burkino Faso [5], to 2.5% for discordant multimorbidity in urban-dwelling adults ≥ 40 years in Tanzania [6]. Outcomes associated with multimorbidity in LMICs include reduced quality of life, difficulty with the Activities of Daily Living (ADLs) and depression [7]. Multimorbidity has also been shown to impact on hospitalisation and healthcare costs, including out-of-pocket expenditure [6, 8, 9].
Overall, there is a stark imbalance between the prevalence of multimorbidity in LMICs and the region’s research output on the topic [10, 11]. This particular study aimed to address three research aims: First, to investigate the prevalence of multimorbidity by two different methods of data collection, allowing comparison between self-report and clinical assessment. Secondly, to explore the prevalence of geriatric syndromes, and their contribution to multimorbidity in this population, and thirdly, to examine the socio-economic associations with multimorbidity in this setting.
Ethical approval was granted by two local ethics committees; the National Institute of Medical Research and Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College Research Ethics Committee in Tanzania, and Newcastle University Research Ethics Committee in the UK. Verbal and written information was given to participants and their close relatives regarding the study, and the implications of taking part. A consent form was read aloud and discussed, to overcome difficulties in reading, either due to low educational attainment, poor vision or cognitive impairment. Consent forms were completed by signature or thumbprint, depending on literacy status. Where participants lacked capacity to consent, assent was obtained from a close family member.
Cross-sectional data were collected between 24th February and 9th August 2017 in the Hai district demographic surveillance site (DSS), located in the Kilimanjaro region of Northern Tanzania. Five villages were randomly selected. From within these villages and census enumerators were asked to identify all adults aged ≥60 years. This list was cross-checked with the most recent census (2009), and with the village chairman and other community leaders, and refined to produce a denominator population for each village. All names listed were invited to participate in the study.
Data were collected on hand-held tablet computers using data collection forms developed in Open Data Kit (ODK) software. Data were uploaded daily to a secure encrypted server. Data collection started with recruiting and screening the denominator population of adults aged ≥60 years living in the five randomly selected villages using the “Brief Frailty Instrument for Tanzania” (B-FIT) [12]. A frailty-weighted randomisation procedure was then conducted using a random number list [13]. All participants who were found to be frail by the B-FIT screen (scoring 5-6), and a random sample of approximately 50% of pre-frail participants (scoring 2-4) and a random sample of approximately 10% of non-frail participants (scoring 0-1), were selected and invited for Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) and in-depth assessment. This method of weighted randomisation has been used by our team to estimate the prevalence of dementia in the same region [14].
Details regarding the procedures undertaken in performing the CGA and in-depth assessments have been previously published [13, 15]. The CGA was conducted by a UK-based clinician with experience of geriatrics and global health work, alongside a Tanzanian clinical officer or junior doctor. The assessment included a thorough history of the participant’s current physical symptoms and their past medical history. Where relevant, a collateral history or focused physical examination was performed. This allowed the assessing clinicians to make a diagnosis of frailty, or not, and to formulate a list of probable diagnoses, independent of whether the participant had previously been given a diagnosis. In order to reduce the impact of confirmation bias, the clinicians were blind to the participant’s responses to the self-reported diagnoses. This list of probable diagnoses was then categorised by body system.
A separate in-depth assessment was carried out by trained local researchers. A series of standardised questionnaires were conducted alongside physical measurements detailed below:
Participants were asked “Have you ever been told you have a diagnosis of any of the following?” and seventeen different health conditions were listed. Local Kiswahili expressions were used to improve lay understanding, for example, to refer to cataracts, the familiar expression “ugonjwa wa mtoto wa jicho” which literally translates as ‘the disease of children of the eyes’, was used.
Frailty syndromes: Continence problems were derived from answers to the Barthel Index [16], and defined as requiring assistance with toileting or having at least occasional incontinence of bladder or bowel. Self-reported hearing difficulty was recorded based on an affirmative answer to the question “Do you think you have a hearing problem?”. The number of self-reported falls over the preceding year was recorded, where a fall was defined as “unintentionally coming to rest on the floor, ground or other lower level” [17].
Mental health morbidity: Cognition was assessed by the IDEA cognitive screen [18]. The following categorisations were used: 0-4 from a possible 12, indicating ‘probable dementia’, 5-7, ‘possible dementia’, 8-12, ‘no dementia’. Symptoms of depression were assessed using the EURO-D scale, with a total score of ≥ 5 indicative of depression [19, 20]. These validated screening tools do not confer a clinical diagnosis, but were used to diagnose probable cognitive impairment and/or depression as an alternative to self-report.
Physical disability: The Barthel Index [21], which is used to grade an individual’s independence completing a range of ADLs and their mobility was carried out. ADL disability was classified as being unable to carry out any one of the activities independently.
Self-reported multimorbidity: The total number of self-reported health conditions (1. diabetes, 2. hypertension, 3. stroke, 4. cataracts, 5. arthritis, 6. heart disease, 7. Respiratory disease, 8. HIV, 9. TB, 10. anaemia, 11. depression, 12. dementia, 13. (other) mental health condition, 14. gastro-intestinal disease, 15. epilepsy 16. cancer or 17. urological disease) were summed, with a possible range from 0 to 17. Self-reported multimorbidity was defined as reporting two or more health conditions. These 17 health conditions were assigned to one of the three multimorbidity domains: mental health (MH), non-communicable disease (NCD) and communicable disease categories (CD).
Non-self-reported multimorbidity: The same diagnostic categories were formed from the documentation of the assessing clinician. Due to the limitations of making clinical diagnoses in these circumstances, without access to laboratory tests or psychiatric expertise, no diagnoses were made fitting the categories of ‘anaemia’ or ‘(other) mental health condition’. Rather, a category for ‘other’ diagnoses made clinically, such as orthostatic hypotension and essential tremor was included. (A full list of the ‘other clinical diagnoses’ is included in the supplemental material table 1). Therefore, non-self-reported multimorbidity was calculated from a maximum of 16 possible health conditions.
Discordant multimorbidity: The total number of domains (from CD, NCD and MH) with at least one condition present were summed, with a possible range from 1 to 3. Discordant multimorbidity was defined as having at least one condition in two or more health domains.
Geriatric multimorbidity: In order to encompass the common ‘frailty syndromes’ [22], ‘geriatric multimorbidity’ was defined as ≥2 of the following: ≥2 falls in the previous year (by self-report), continence problems (derived from answers to the Barthel Index), self-reported hearing difficulty, CGA-diagnosed cataracts, CGA-diagnosed arthritis and cognitive impairment by the IDEA screen.
Self-reported quality of life: the CASP-19 scale, which has been used widely, including in African settings, [23] was translated into Kiswahili by a qualified linguist and back-translated to ensure equivalence of meaning. The CASP-19 scores were calculated as per standard recommendations producing a score between 0-57 [24]. Mean and standard deviations for CASP-19 scores have been presented by socio-demographic or health characteristic and for the multivariate analysis, a categorical variable was produced, dividing the score distribution by quartiles.
Blood pressure (BP) was measured three times in the participant’s right arm with the participant sitting, using an A&D Medical UA-704 digital blood pressure monitor. High BP was categorised by an elevated average systolic BP and/or diastolic BP (Systolic BP ≥140 mmHg and/or diastolic BP ≥90 mmHg). While a single episode of BP measurement would be inadequate to make a clinical diagnosis of hypertension, for the purposes of this study a high average BP was categorised as hypertension by non-self-report.
In order to examine the impact of the older person’s multimorbidity on the household’s finances, the participant or their close relative was asked; ‘Are you/Is the participant completely financially/materially dependent on family?’, if no, we recorded whether they were in receipt of a pension. The following question aimed to gauge the opportunity-cost of multimorbidity on households; ‘In the past year, have any of your household members had to reduce their paid employment in order to spend time caring for you/r older relative?’. In order to investigate the impact of multimorbidity on the household’s competing expenditures we asked ‘In the last 1 year, has the cost of healthcare for the participant affected the ability to pay for other things like school fees?’.
Statistical analyses were supported by IBM SPSS for Windows version 26 (IBM Corp, Armonk, NY, USA) and StataIC 16 (64-bit) software. Descriptive statistical analysis used standard summary measures depending on the nature of the data. Descriptive data were presented by sex, as being female, of a low socio-economic status and low educational attainment are all known risk-factors for multimorbidity [11]. When calculating the prevalence of self- and non-self-reported conditions, the random frailty-weighted stratification (based on B-FIT score) was taken into account, using inverse proportions (described in the methods section and published in detail previously [13]). To calculate confidence intervals, bootstrapping (Stata command ‘svyset’) was used to control for clustering by village and to adjust for the stratified weighting [13]. Proportional Venn diagrams were used (Stata command ‘pvenn’) to illustrate the comparative size and overlap of ‘discordant’ multimorbidity. In order to compare means in CASP-19 scores, independent t-testing was used for binary variables and one way ANOVA for categorical variables. Multivariate inferential analysis of variables associated with multimorbidity used odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to summarise the extent of the interactions. Significance was assumed at the 5% level. There were few missing values, except for the CASP-19 where four participants failed to complete the questionnaire and data were analysed for the complete questionnaires. For variables where one or two data points were missing, these were imputed using zero or constant imputation.
A total of 1,207 participants underwent screening, following randomisation, 236 were selected to receive CGA and in-depth assessments. The flow diagram for recruitment has been published previously [13]. Data from 235 individuals were included in this analysis as one participant withdrew from the study after their CGA. The mean age was 75 years (60 to 110) and 136 (57.8%) were women. Demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the frailty-weighted sample by sex revealed that 60.3% of women were widowed, while 68.7% of men remained married. Almost half of the women had received no formal education and were illiterate, while the majority of men had attended or completed primary school. A minority lived alone or were in receipt of a pension, see Table 1. When adjusted for frailty-weighting, the prevalence of self-reported multimorbidity was 26.1% (95% CI 16.7-35.4), and by clinical assessment/screening was 67.3% (95% CI 57.0-77.5), see Table 2. For all health conditions, except diabetes, the adjusted prevalence was higher when the diagnosis was based on non-self-reported methods, rather than self-report (supplemental material Figure 1). The adjusted prevalence of the experimental construct ‘geriatric multimorbidity’ was 34.9% (95% CI 29.3-40.5).
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Figures 1 and 2 illustrate the size and proportional overlap in each domain, producing discordant multimorbidity between CD, NCD and MH domains. The proportional Venn diagrams included in the supplemental material (Figures 2 and 3), illustrate that frailty, disability and multimorbidity are distinct and overlapping. CASP-19 scores were available for 231 of participants, (mean 24.5 SD 11.6 range 0-53). Univariate analysis showed significantly higher mean scores in women, older age groups, the frail and multimorbid (supplemental material Table 4). Multimorbidity was also associated with higher odds of having difficulty with one or more ADLs, and with poorer CASP-19 quality of life scores, yet significance was lost after adjusting for age, sex, education and frailty status (Table 3).
When adjusting for age, sex, education and frailty status, multimorbidity by self-report increased the odds of being financially dependent on others threefold (OR 3.3 [95% CI 1.4-7.8]), and of a household member reducing their paid employment nearly fourfold (OR 3.8. [95% CI 1.5-9.2]).
<Insert tables here>
The prevalence of multimorbidity is higher when not reliant on self-reported methods.
Most of the large epidemiological studies of multimorbidity conducted in LMICs have been reliant on self-reported survey data and symptom-based questions combined with a diagnostic algorithm for conditions such as angina pectoris (employed in the World Health Organization’s multi-country Study on global AGEing and adult health (WHO SAGE)) [1, 7–9, 25]. Rarely have large community-based studies been able to conduct direct diagnostic testing, however when this has been achieved, a large burden of undiagnosed and untreated disease is revealed. For example, a cross-sectional study conducted in Malawi found 40% of people with diabetes were undiagnosed, and almost 60% with hypertension were unaware of their diagnosis [26]. Similarly, in a community study of adults aged ≥ 60 years in Burkina Faso, 42% of adults with hypertension and 21% of adults with diabetes received their diagnosis for the first time as study participants [5]. In this study, the adjusted prevalence of hypertension by self-report was 25.4% (95% CI 19.3–31.5), however, by direct measurement 48.1% (95% CI 38.4–57.8) were hypertensive (supplemental material Table 3). A similar pattern can be seen with almost every condition measured, which inevitably has an important impact on identifying and characterising the patterns of multimorbidity, particularly in settings of poorly resourced health systems. It may also explain some of the variance in multimorbidity prevalence estimates between studies: The prevalence of non-self-reported multimorbidity in this study was 67.3% (95% CI 57.0-77.5). This is much higher than the mean multimorbidity prevalence of 21.3% for those aged over 65 years from the World Health Survey [1]. Our study reports a multimorbidity prevalence similar to a comparative study conducted in Burkina Faso, that found 65% of their study participants had two or more chronic conditions [5]. This concordance is likely due to employing similar methods, combining questionnaires with a review of medical notes and clinical assessment for 389 adults aged ≥ 60 years. In a comparison between self-reported diagnoses of NCDs and criterion-based or symptom-based reporting, it was found that reliance on self-reported diagnoses tended to give rise to positive socio-economic state gradients, whereas symptom-based or criterion-based measures tended to display less positive gradients or even negative gradients (with higher prevalence in lower socio-economic groups) [27]. These authors suggest reasons for this underestimation include a lack of access to diagnostics and healthcare services, lack of awareness of NCDs and low levels of literacy, all likely to be problems for rural-dwelling older people served by a poorly-resourced healthcare system.
The prevalence of discordant multimorbidity was relatively low in this study, and CD multimorbidity was strikingly not found, such that the discordant multimorbidity was largely accounted for by MH and NCDs. A recent multimorbidity study in a large sample of adults aged ≥ 40 years (mean age 53) in the commercial capital of Tanzania, Dar es Salaam, found a quarter of their population had multimorbidity (defined as two or more conditions by self-report, from a total of eight) [6]. Theirs was a younger, more educated, and urban-dwelling population with higher rates of both HIV (5.2%) and TB (10.5%), but NCDs remained the most prevalent domain. The difference between this and our study’s CD prevalence is likely to reflect a lower regional prevalence. HIV prevalence in Kilimanjaro region is 2.6% for all adults above 15 years, but is lower in older age groups [28]. The relatively high prevalence of discordant multimorbidity (of NCD and MH conditions) is important, as it has previously been associated with poorer outcomes of greater frailty, and worse quality of life in a study of older adults in Burkina Faso [29].
Geriatric syndromes contribute to multimorbidity in this population.
Patterns or clusters of multimorbidity have been described by three patterns of multimorbidity derived from a systematic review of the literature; either cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, mental health disorders or musculoskeletal conditions [30]. This study found that the construct of ‘geriatric multimorbidity’, inclusive of arthritis, dementia, incontinence, cataracts and falls, had an adjusted prevalence of around one third. There has been little research investigating syndromes associated with frailty in lower-income African settings, however a small cross-sectional study of people aged ≥ 60 years in Blantyre, Malawi, found a high proportion of those reporting falls in the previous year also reported memory problems and incontinence [31]. Analysis from the WHO SAGE study has shown that risk factors for falls-associated injury in LMICs include multimorbidity, depression, and cognitive impairment [32]. Further work should be undertaken to investigate this observed pattern of multimorbidity in lower-income African settings, which could help clarify whether the speculative term ‘geriatric multimorbidity’ is a helpful construct. In the authors’ view, quantifying the contribution of frailty syndromes to multimorbidity in older African populations may promote the development of better integrated geriatric healthcare, which falls far behind demand across the continent [33]. Tanzania’s national ageing policy recognises the difficulties facing older people, particularly living rurally, in accessing quality healthcare [34].
Multimorbidity is associated with household financial strain.
Multivariate analysis demonstrated that having multiple chronic medical problems is likely to put the household under financial strain, limiting both the individual with multimorbidity, and their family members’ ability to earn. In this setting, subsistence farming is the primary source of food and income, using manual farming methods on small family-owned plots of land. There is currently no universal state pension in Tanzania [35], and the minority in this study were in receipt of a pension. These findings are in line with the recent Dar es Salaam study, which found a significant association between multimorbidity and household food insecurity and hospitalisation, markers of both household financial strain and increased healthcare spending [6]. When comparing households affected by chronic illness (defined as any illness lasting ≥ 6 months), with households not affected by chronic illness in Tanzania, an increased out-of-pocket expenditure of 22% was found [36]. In a study of 1018 adults aged ≥ 60 in Tanzania, factors associated with out-of-pocket healthcare expenditure were visual impairment, functional disability, lack of formal education and traditional healer visits [37]. Secondary analysis of WHO SAGE data revealed that multimorbidity is associated with greater primary and secondary healthcare utilisation and consequent greater financial burden, driven in some cases by higher out-of-pocket expenditures, for example in order to purchase medicines [8]. This study’s findings highlight the need both for better integrated and more equitable healthcare, in order to address the healthcare needs of older people in lower-income settings.
The cross-sectional nature of this study means that causal inference is not possible and the influence of reverse causality could account for some of the findings. However, our interpretations, for example of the socioeconomic factors, are resonant with other studies of the financial impact of multimorbidity in Tanzania and other LMIC countries [8, 37]. Some of the chronic conditions included as part of our multimorbidity condition list, have elsewhere been seen as outcomes of chronic multimorbidity, for example depression [7], however this is reflective of the heterogeneity of methods and definitions found in multimorbidity research [11].
Clinical diagnoses from the participant’s CGA were based on the history/collateral history and focused examination of the assessing clinician. This will have introduced certain biases, for example towards conditions with more evident physical signs, such as joint deformity in arthritic conditions, and away from diagnoses which require laboratory diagnostics, for example diabetes mellitus and anaemia.
This study is a valuable contribution to the limited research to date investigating the prevalence, pattern and associations with multimorbidity in older adults living in lower-income settings. There are very few studies which have succeeded in allowing a comparison between self-reported and alternative methods for identifying multimorbidity, especially while including such an extensive list of conditions, across CD, NCD and MH domains, and in such an understudied population. These findings suggest that under-diagnosis and consequent under-treatment are huge challenges facing lower-resourced health systems. The novel concept of ‘geriatric multimorbidity’ requires further investigation, but may be useful, particularly when seeking to develop integrated health services designed to address multimorbidity in older people.
Multimorbidity is highly prevalent in this population, as is the underdiagnosis and undertreatment of many contributing conditions. Frailty syndromes were notably important to multimorbidity in this study and this is a topic ripe for further investigation and characterisation. Addressing the health challenges posed by multimorbidity in older African populations will require developing more integrated and accessible healthcare.
Ethical approval and consent to participate
All methods were carried out in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations having gained ethical approvals from the local (Kilimanjaro Christian Medical University College Research Ethics Committee) and national Tanzanian ethical boards (National Institute of Medical Research) as well as from Newcastle University, UK. Informed consent was obtained from all subjects included in the study.
Consent for publication
Not applicable
Availability of data and materials
The dataset generated and/or analysed during the current study are available in the Newcastle University data repository, [https://data.ncl.ac.uk/].
Competing interest
None to declare
Funding
EGL was funded to conduct this research by a Teaching and Research Fellow position sponsored by Northumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust. The British Geriatrics Society awarded an BGS StR Start Up Grant which funded the research. The sponsors had no role in the design, methods, subject enrolment, data collection, analysis or preparation of this paper.
Authors' contribution
Authors EGL, WKG, CD, RW and SU were involved in study concept and design. Author EGL assisted in the enrolment and assessment of participants. EGL, WKG, CD and RW were involved in the analysis and interpretation of data, and all authors assisted in the preparation, drafting and approval of the manuscript.
Acknowledgments
We would like to remember our colleague Dr John Kissima who was an invaluable senior member of the research team who sadly died in March 2021. We gratefully acknowledge the Newcastle University MRes students who assisted with data collection: Greta Wood, Louise Whitton, Harry Collin and Selina Coles. Thanks also to Drs Kate Howorth, Louise Mulligan and Bhavini Shah, for volunteering to assist with the CGAs. We would like to thank the Tanzanian data collection team: Aloyce Kisoli, Antusa John Kissima, Paulina Elias Tukay, Dr Joyce Mkodo, Dr Deborah Mdegella, Dr Ali Mohammed Ali, Dr Francis Zerd and Dr Ally Mohamed Imani. We are grateful for the technical support of Kilimanjaro Clinical Research Institute, Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, and Hai District Hospital. Professor Witham acknowledges support from the NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre. We would like to acknowledge the important role of the village chairmen, enumerators and health committee members for their patient and public involvement work, including dissemination activities. Thanks of course, go to all of the older adults and their relatives who participated.
Author information
Affiliations
Emma Grace Lewis,
Population Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom
Richard Walker, Catherine Dotchin, William Gray,
Northumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, North Tyneside General Hospital, North Shields, United Kingdom
Sarah Urasa,
Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, Moshi, Kilimanjaro, Tanzania
Miles Witham,
AGE Research group, NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre, Translational Clinical Research Unit, Newcastle University and Newcastle upon Tyne NHS Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom
Demographic/health characteristic |
Men N=99 |
Women N=136 |
Age category: 60-69 70-79 ≥ 80 years |
38 (38.4) 28 (28.3) 33 (33.3) |
49 (36.0) 40 (29.4) 47 (34.6) |
Marital status: Married Widowed Separated/ divorced Single (never married) |
68 (68.7) 19 (19.2) 10 (10.1) 2 (2.0) |
43 (31.6) 82 (60.3) 9 (6.6) 2 (1.5) |
Education: University Secondary school Primary school Some primary No formal education |
5 (5.1) 5 (5.1) 40 (40.4) 36 (36.4) 13 (13.1) |
3 (2.2) 3 (2.2) 24 (17.6) 48 (35.3) 58 (42.6) |
Literacy: Reads and/or writes easily Reads and/or writes with difficulty Not able to read and/or write |
60 (60.6) 20 (20.2) 19 (19.2) |
39 (28.7) 37 (27.2) 60 (44.1) |
Lives alone |
8 (8.2) |
15 (11.1) |
Pension |
10 (10.1) |
7 (5.1) |
In the last 1 year, have any of your household members had to reduce their paid employment in order to spend time caring for your older relative? |
17 (17.2) |
30 (22.1) |
In the last 1 year, have any of your household members had to stop their paid employment in order to spend time caring for your older relative? |
7 (7.1) |
17 (12.5) |
Household difficulty paying school fees |
8 (8.1) |
18 (13.2) |
CGA- diagnosed frailty: Frail Not frail |
34 (34.3) 65 (65.7) |
57 (41.9) 79 (58.1) |
CASP-19 (Mean 24.48, range 0-53, SD 11.63) Mean (SD) |
22.38 (12.5) |
26.0 (10.7) |
ADL disability: Difficulty with ≥1 ADLs |
26 (26.3) |
57 (41.9) |
Non-self-reported MH multimorbidity: None Depression or Dementia Depression and Dementia |
61 (61.6) 31 (31.3) 7 (7.1) |
53 (39.0) 64 (47.1) 19 (14.0) |
Self-reported mental health multimorbidity: None Depression or Dementia (or other MH diagnosis) Depression and Dementia (or other MH diagnosis) |
90 (90.9) 9 (9.1) 0 (0.0) |
116 (85.3) 16 (11.8) 4 (2.9) |
Non-self-reported diagnoses: (from 16)* None 1 diagnosis 2 diagnoses 3 diagnoses 4 diagnoses 5 diagnoses 6 diagnoses |
13 (13.1) 21 (21.2) 26 (26.3) 24 (24.2) 12 (12.1) 3 (3.0) 0 (0.0) |
7 (5.1) 20 (14.7) 31 (22.8) 39 (28.7) 26 (19.1) 9 (6.6) 4 (2.9) |
Self-reported diagnoses: (from 17)** None 1 diagnosis 2 diagnoses 3 diagnoses 4 diagnoses 5 diagnoses 6 diagnoses 7 diagnoses |
39 (39.4) 36 (36.4) 8 (8.1) 13 (13.1) 3 (3.0) 0 0 0 |
41 (30.1) 42 (30.9) 29 (21.3) 11 (8.1) 5 (3.7) 5 (3.7) 2 (1.5) 1 (0.7) |
Non-self-reported NCD multimorbidity (from 12) 1 NCD condition 2 NCD condition ≥3 NCD condition |
34 (34.3) 29 (29.3) 21 (21.2) |
36 (26.5) 46 (33.8) 42 (30.9) |
Self-reported NCD multimorbidity (from 12 excluding depression, dementia and other mental health disorders) 1 NCD condition 2 NCD conditions ≥3 NCD conditions |
33 (33.3) 14 (14.1) 10 (10.1) |
42 (30.9) 29 (21.3) 19 (14.0) |
Non-self-reported CD None TB or HIV TB and HIV |
95 (96.0) 4 (4.0) 0 |
132 (97.1) 4 (2.9) 0 |
Self-reported CD None TB or HIV TB and HIV |
96 (97.0) 3 (3.0) 0 |
133 (97.8) 3 (2.2) 0 |
Geriatric multimorbidity***: None One Two Three Four Five |
28 (28.3) 28 (28.3) 21 (21.2) 20 (20.2) 0 2 (2.0) |
27 (19.9) 34 (25.0) 41 (30.1) 24 (17.6) 9 (6.6) 1 (0.7) |
Non-self-reported ‘discordant’ multimorbidity: NCD or CD or MH diagnosis NCD and/or MH and/or CD diagnoses NCD and MH and CD diagnoses |
47 (47.5) 38 (38.4) 1 (1.0) |
48 (35.3) 80 (58.8) 1 (0.7) |
Self-reported ‘discordant’ multimorbidity: NCD or CD or MH diagnosis NCD and/or MH and/or CD diagnoses |
51 (51.5) 9 (9.1) |
77 (56.6) 18 (13.2) |
*Depression by EURO-D (using cut off ≥5/12 for probable depression), cognitive impairment by IDEA tool (IDEA screening tool ≤4/12), hypertension (recorded when average systolic BP and/or diastolic BP were elevated (Systolic BP ≥140 mmHg and/or diastolic BP ≥90 mmHg) and the following diagnostic categories; epilepsy, cancer, urological, HIV, TB, arthritis, respiratory disease, heart disease, gastro-intestinal conditions, stroke, cataracts, diabetes and other diagnoses.
**The number of chronic diseases was derived from self-reported diagnoses of any of the following; (diabetes, hypertension, stroke, cataracts, arthritis, heart disease, respiratory disease, HIV, TB, anaemia, depression, dementia, other mental health conditions, gastro-intestinal conditions, epilepsy, cancer, urological conditions).
***Geriatric multimorbidity ≥2 of the following: ≥2 falls in the previous year, continence problems, self-reported hearing difficulty, CGA-diagnosed cataracts or arthritis and cognitive impairment by the IDEA tool.
Condition/type of multimorbidity |
Self-report N from 235 (%) |
Self-report adjusted prevalence (95% CI) |
Non-self-report N from 235 (%) |
Non-self-report adjusted prevalence (95% CI) |
Multimorbidity |
77 (32.8) |
26.09 (16.7-35.5) |
174 (74.0) |
67.28 (57.1-77.5) |
MH multimorbidity |
4 (1.7) |
0.57 (-0.4-1.6) |
26 (11.1) |
3.41 (2.3-4.6) |
NCD multimorbidity |
72 (30.6) |
23.02 (15.6-30.4) |
138 (58.7) |
49.50 (41.6-57.4) |
Discordant multimorbidity |
27 (11.5) |
9.58 (3.2-16.0) |
120 (51.0) |
40.81 (34.2-47.5) |
Geriatric multimorbidity |
118 (50.2) |
34.88 (29.3-40.5) |
|
MH=Mental health, NCD=Non-communicable disease, CI=Confidence interval
|
No multimorbidity N=158 (%) |
Multimorbidity N=77 (%) |
Crude OR (95% CI) P value |
Adjusted OR* (95% CI) P value |
CGA frailty (n=91) |
49 (31.0) |
42 (54.5) |
2.66 (1.4-4.7) p=0.0005 |
3.05 (1.4-6.5) p=0.002* |
ADL disability (n=83) |
45 (28.4) |
38 (49.3) |
2.44 (1.3-4.3) p=0.001 |
1.4 (0.6-3.0) p=0.3 |
CASP-19 (N=231) scores >75th percentile |
33 ( 21.1) |
26 (34.7) |
1.9 (1.0-3.6) p=0.02 |
1.4 (0.7-3.0) p=0.3 |
CASP-19 (N=231) Scores>50th percentile |
72 (46.1) |
48 (64.0) |
2.0 (1.2-3.7) p=0.01 |
1.5 (0.8-3.1) p=0.2 |
Socio-economic factors |
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No health insurance (n=174) |
117 (74.5) |
57 (74.0) |
0.9 (0.5-1.8) p=0.93 |
1.0 (0.5-2.1) p=0.9 |
Financially dependent (n=104) |
52 (32.9) |
52 (67.5) |
4.2 (2.2-7.8) p=<0.0001 |
3.3 (1.4-7.8) p=0.002 |
A household member has reduced their paid employment to provide care for the older person (n=47) |
19 (12.0) |
28 (36.3) |
4.1 (2.0-8.4) p=<0.0001 |
3.8 (1.5-9.2) p=0.001 |
A household member has stopped their paid employment to provide care for the older person (n=24) |
10 (6.3) |
14 (18.1) |
3.2 (1.3-7.9) p=0.004 |
1.7 (0.6-4.7) p=0.2 |
The cost of healthcare for the older person has affected the ability to pay for school fees (n=26) |
12 (7.5) |
14 (18.1) |
2.7 (1.1-6.2) p=0.01 |
2.3 (0.9-5.8) p=0.06 |
*Adjusted for age, sex, education status and CGA-diagnosed frailty, except for calculating the adjusted odds of multimorbidity in frailty.