Discriminatory ability and prognostic evaluation of presepsin for sepsis-related acute respiratory distress syndrome

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.2.24243/v1

Abstract

Background Sepsis-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) has worse clinical outcomes than non-sepsis-related ARDS. Early identification of sepsis-related or non-sepsis-related ARDS is challenging. Presepsin is known to be elevated in sepsis, but little is known about its discriminatory ability and prognostic evaluation in patients with sepsis-related ARDS.

Methods This study was a multicenter prospective cohort study of 225 consecutive patients, enrolled based on the Berlin criteria for ARDS between September 2017 and August 2019. The patients were stratified into two groups: sepsis-related ARDS and non-sepsis-related ARDS. Plasma presepsin and serum procalcitonin (PCT) were measured, and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores were calculated to evaluate disease severity.

Results Patients with sepsis-related ARDS had higher presepsin levels at admission than patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS (P<0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of presepsin (0.81) was significantly greater than that of PCT (0.62) in diagnosing sepsis-related ARDS (P=0.001). Among patients with sepsis-related ARDS, presepsin levels were significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors (P<0.001). Presepsin was found to be an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in sepsis-related ARDS. Based on ROC analysis, the addition of presepsin improved discrimination based on SOFA or APACHE II scores from 0.77 to 0.87 or 0.73 to 0.85 (all P<0.05), respectively. The levels of plasma presepsin were positively correlated with disease severity, as determined by the SOFA score in the sepsis-related ARDS group (P<0.001).

Conclusions Presepsin is a valuable biomarker for early stratification of sepsis-related ARDS. Higher plasma presepsin levels are associated with increased mortality in sepsis-related ARDS.

Background

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is characterized by acute respiratory failure with severe hypoxemia and diffuse pulmonary infiltrates, which may occur after severe pulmonary and systemic injuries of septic and non-septic causes [1, 2]. Despite the advances in supportive care strategies and significant efforts invested in research and clinical trials for ARDS, its mortality rate remains high, especially among patients with sepsis [3, 4]. It may be favorable to characterize between septic and non-septic causes of ARDS because there is evidence to suggest that discrimination of these two subgroups might lead to improvements in future research and management of ARDS [5, 6]. Early identification of sepsis-related or non-sepsis-related ARDS is challenging because patients with originally non-septic causes treated in intensive care units (ICUs) frequently acquire bacterial infection.

Biomarkers, which were recently introduced among inflammatory variables in the diagnostic criteria for sepsis [7], could contribute to the prompt identification of patients with sepsis who might benefit from quick and appropriate therapy. Among different biomarkers that have been suggested as sepsis biomarkers, presepsin appears quite promising in the early stages of the septic process [811]. Presepsin is a highly specific biomarker for diagnosing bacterial infections because it is produced in association with bacterial phagocytosis and cleavage of microorganisms by lysosomal enzymes [8, 12]. Procalcitonin (PCT) has been used as a biomarker in sepsis, but has limited specificity and can be elevated in other predisposing scenarios of ARDS [11, 13]. Presepsin appears to have superior capacity to diagnose sepsis compared to PCT [8, 11, 14].

Previous clinical studies have confirmed that plasma presepsin levels are significantly increased in patients with sepsis, and are positively correlated with the severity of sepsis [8, 10, 14]. To date, no studies have queried whether presepsin differs between relevant subgroups in ARDS (i.e. sepsis and non-sepsis). Based on these premises, we designed a multicenter prospective study to determine whether presepsin levels differed between sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related ARDS and to investigate the diagnostic role and prognostic power of presepsin in an adult population of sepsis-related ARDS and non-sepsis-related ARDS.

Methods

Study design and patient inclusion

Study patients were recruited from four ICUs (two respiratory ICUs, one medical ICU, one emergency ICU) in Jinling Hospital and Nanjing First Hospital between September 2017 and August 2019. All the consecutively admitted patients were screened for enrolment if they were undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), had a PaO2/FiO2 ratio of 300 or less, and exhibited bilateral infiltrates on chest radiography that were present concurrently. Enrolled patients were further evaluated on the basis of the Berlin criteria of ARDS [15]. Patients with predisposing conditions for ARDS, including sepsis, pneumonia, trauma, aspiration or pancreatitis, were further divided into sepsis-related ARDS and non-sepsis-related ARDS groups.

The exclusion criteria were as follows: < 18 years old, the presence of ARDS for more than 48 hours before admission, terminal stage of disease (malignant cancer of any type, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, end-stage liver or renal disease), and refusal of consent to inclusion by the patient or relatives.

Paired blood samples were obtained simultaneously from age- and sex-matched healthy volunteers. Participants of legally authorized surrogates provided written informed consent. This study was approved by the Jinling Hospital and Nanjing First Hospital Ethics Committee (Approval Number: JLYY: 2013021).

Data collection and definitions

Patient demographic and baseline clinical characteristics were recorded on study enrolment. Vital signs, laboratory values, imaging scans and other data in the first 24 hours of ARDS onset were collected. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores were calculated to assess disease severity [16, 17].

Sepsis was defined according to the third international consensus definition for sepsis and septic shock (Sepsis-3) criteria [18]. The infections in our study were clinically established on the basis of clinical features, laboratory findings, and imaging studies according to the criteria of the International Sepsis Forum Consensus Conference on Definitions of Infection [19]. We defined sepsis-related ARDS as ARDS developing in patients with sepsis and non-sepsis-related ARDS as that developing after non-septic injuries, such as aspiration and pancreatitis. Causes of ARDS were determined based on the treating physician’s clinical judgment. We considered ARDS developing in patients with pneumonia who fulfilled the sepsis criteria as sepsis-related ARDS and excluded patients with pneumonia who did not meet the sepsis criteria. Patients with both sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related risks for ARDS were excluded from analysis.  

Patients were followed up until death or discharge from the ICU. We used all-cause in-hospital mortality as the primary outcome. Patients with sepsis-related ARDS were classified into surviving and non-surviving groups according to in-hospital survival. The secondary outcomes were measured in ventilator-free days and length of ICU stay.

Biomarkers measurement  

Venous blood samples were obtained as soon as possible within 24 hours to measure presepsin and to determine other clinical parameters. Presepsin was measured in plasma. Blood samples were collected in tubes containing ethylenediamine tetraacetate and centrifuged at 2000 rpm for 15 minutes. Plasma was separated and stored at -80℃. The plasma presepsin measurements were carried out blindly in duplicate using enzyme-linked immuno-sorbent assay (ELISA) kits (BioVision. Inc., USA). PCT was measured in serum samples using ELISA kits (Cusabio, Wuhan, P.R. China). After coagulation at 4℃, serum was separated by centrifugation at 2000 rpm for 15 minutes and immediately stored at -80℃ until measurement.

Statistical analysis

  All continuous variables were non-normally distributed and thus expressed as the median (interquartile range [IQR]). Differences between groups were evaluated using either the nonparametric Mann-Whitney U test for two groups or the Kruskal-Wallis analysis of variance for more than two groups. Categorical variables presented as frequencies and percentages were compared using Pearson’s X2 or Fisher’s exact test. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) were determined. Optimal thresholds were determined based on ROC curve analysis. Diagnostic AUCs were compared by Z-test. The test standard was Z0.05=1.96 and Z0.01=2.58. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was applied to determine the independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in sepsis-related ARDS. The odds ratios (ORs), 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and P values for individual variables were obtained. Correlations were assessed using linear regression or Spearman analysis. All data were analyzed using SPSS 24.0 software, and P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Study subjects

Figure 1 illustrates the enrolment and follow-up of the study patients. A total of 671 patients with IMV were screened, of which 322 did not meet the ARDS criteria. After excluding 32 patients with the presence of ARDS for more than 48 hours, 10 patients with terminal-stage disease, 9 patients with pneumonia who did not meet the sepsis criteria, and 73 patients who exhibited both sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related ARDS risk factors, 225 patients remained for analysis and were followed up until discharge.

The demographic and clinical characteristics of the study patients revealed a male predominance (70.2%) (Table 1). Regarding predisposing conditions, 168 (74.7%) patients had sepsis, and 57 (25.3%) had non-septic injuries. Among patients with sepsis, 114 (67.9%) had septic shock, and 70 (41.7%) patients had pneumonia. Among patients with non-septic injuries, 30 (52.6%) had pancreatitis, 22 (38.6%) had aspiration, and 5 (8.8%) had trauma.

The characteristics of patients with sepsis-related ARDS and non-sepsis-related ARDS are shown in Table 1. No significant differences were found in age and sex between the two groups. Compared to patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS, those with sepsis-related ARDS were more likely to have diabetes (P=0.006). Patients with sepsis-related ARDS also had significantly higher APACHE II scores (P<0.001), higher SOFA scores (P=0.014), greater WBC counts (P=0.015), lower serum albumin levels (P=0.016), and a greater frequency of vasopressor use at admission (P=0.001) than patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS. Patients with sepsis-related ARDS had worse clinical outcomes than patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS, with significantly fewer ventilator-free days (P<0.001), longer ICU days (P=0.001), and higher in-hospital mortality rates (P=0.007).

Discriminatory ability of presepsin

The levels of presepsin and PCT were significantly elevated in patients with ARDS compared to those in healthy controls (all P<0.001) and were different between sepsis-related ARDS and non-sepsis-related ARDS (Figure 2). Presepsin levels were markedly higher in patients with sepsis-related ARDS [700.2 pg/mL (342.1 pg/mL-1304.0 pg/mL)] than in patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS [262.0 pg/mL (156.9 pg/mL-377.2 pg/mL)] (P<0.001). Patients with sepsis-related ARDS had significantly higher PCT levels [5.13 ng/mL (1.21 ng/mL-15.49 ng/mL)] than patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS [2.73 ng/mL (1.33 ng/mL-4.04 ng/mL)] (P=0.006); meanwhile, there was a clear overlap between the two groups regarding serum PCT levels. Compared with those in the healthy control group, presepsin and PCT levels were also obviously higher in patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS. The ROC curves of presepsin and PCT for diagnosing sepsis-related ARDS are shown in Figure 3. The AUC of presepsin [0.81 (95% CI 0.76-0.87)] was significantly higher than that of PCT [0.62 (0.55-0.70)] (P<0.01).  

Prognostic Evaluation of Presepsin

In patients with sepsis-related ARDS, the median levels of presepsin were significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors [1136 pg/mL (704.9 pg/mL to 5476.0 pg/mL) vs. 470.3 pg/mL (259.6 pg/mL to 993.8 pg/mL); P < 0.001] (Figure 4). In multivariate regression analysis, age (OR 1.08; 95% CI 1.01-1.39), presepsin (OR 1.51; 95% CI 1.05-2.16), SOFA score (OR 1.78; 95% CI 1.18-2.68), APACHE II score (OR 1.58; 95% CI 1.06-2.35), and number of organ failures (OR 2.01; 95% CI 1.12-3.56) were found to be independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis-related ARDS (Table 2).

The AUC of presepsin for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis-related ARDS was 0.72, which was slightly lower than that of the SOFA score (0.77) and APACHE II score (0.73). The AUCs of presepsin in combination with the SOFA and APACHE II scores were 0.87 and 0.85, respectively, which were more statistically significant compared with those of presepsin alone (all P < 0.05). There was also substantially superior performance for the combination of presepsin and the SOFA or APACHE II scores compared with that of the SOFA or APACHE II score alone (all P < 0.05). The detailed results are illustrated in Table 3 and Figure 5.

Correlation of presepsin with SOFA

The SOFA score at ICU admission is a good indicator of prognosis and appears to be a particularly useful predictor of outcome [17]. We noted a significant positive correlation between the SOFA score and presepsin levels with a regression coefficient (r) of 0.57 (P<0.001; Figure 6a). To demonstrate that plasma presepsin levels are associated not only with disease severity but also with mortality, the patients were classified into four groups with increasing quartiles of the SOFA score. For each group, the mortality rate and plasma presepsin levels were calculated. As shown in Figure 6b, presepsin levels were significantly correlated with in-hospital mortality (P<0.001).  

Discussion

ARDS onset is often rapid and progressive, resulting from either septic or non-septic insults [20]. Sepsis as the most commonly encountered cause of ARDS is generally associated with higher mortality than other risk factors [3, 2123]. Our study demonstrated that sepsis- and non-sepsis- related ARDS present differently in terms of clinical characteristics, with higher severity of illness and worse clinical outcomes in sepsis-related ARDS. Response to treatment and clinical outcomes differ on the basis of sub-phenotype [24]. Early recognition of individual patients with sepsis-related ARDS is recommended during ICU treatment in order to establish targeted therapies.

However, the diagnosis and stratification of ARDS are based on clinical definitions that lack both sensitivity and specificity. Clinical symptoms and signs can be misleading, especially in patients with variable clinical characteristics or several comorbidities; thus, early diagnosis of sepsis-related ARDS is not straightforward. Recent interest has focused on blood biomarkers, which might capture aspects of pathophysiology that are not otherwise well captured in clinical data, and generally contribute more prominently to the sub-phenotype determination in clinical work [25].

Presepsin, a 13-kDa fragment of sCD14, is released in the plasma as a consequence of cellular phagocytosis after bacterial infection and appears to be a novel biomarker of sepsis [26]. It has been used for early diagnosis, risk stratification and prognostic evaluation of sepsis in recent years [8, 9, 11, 14]. However, no studies have tested the possible value of presepsin in patients with sepsis who have developed ARDS. Thus, we designed a multicenter prospective study to validate the diagnostic and prognostic role of presepsin in sepsis-related ARDS; and compare it with the clinical value of PCT.

As our results show, compared to that in healthy controls, presepsin increases considerably in patients with ARDS. Subpopulation analysis showed a significant correlation between presepsin levels and the different populations in the ARDS group (sepsis-related ARDS and non-sepsis-related ARDS). Presepsin was invariably elevated in patients with sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related ARDS. Patients with sepsis-related ARDS had notably higher plasma presepsin levels than patients with non-sepsis-related ARDS. The difference was present in the early phase of evolving ARDS, thereby allowing the discrimination between sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related ARDS before the results of microbiological testing are generally available. Presepsin seems to be a diagnostic tool for differentiating between septic and non-septic underlying disease in early ARDS.

Although serum PCT has been used as a biomarker in the diagnosis of sepsis, PCT is also increased in other risk conditions of ARDS, such as multiple trauma, extensive burns, pancreatitis, organ transplantation, and major surgery [13]. In our setting, PCT was elevated in both patient groups with a substantial overlap between patients with sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related ARDS patients. The median levels of PCT were significantly more elevated in sepsis-related ARDS, while ROC curve analysis showed that PCT concentrations had less valuable diagnostic capacity for sepsis-related ARDS than presepsin. Therefore, PCT shows limited value for distinguishing sepsis from other etiologies in patients with ARDS.

Higher levels of plasma presepsin were associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with sepsis [8, 27, 28]. In our patients with sepsis-related ARDS, presepsin concentrations were higher in decedents than in survivors. Analysis of mortality in sepsis-related ARDS showed that a significant correlation between presepsin levels and mortality at early stages. Measurements of presepsin levels revealed valuable prognostic capacity to predict all-cause in-hospital mortality. After adjustments for other clinical variables, presepsin retained acceptable prognostic value for in-hospital mortality. However, we are not suggesting the application of presepsin as the sole marker for predicting mortality, but merely emphasizing its association with mortality and the associated implications for potentially contributing to risk stratification in combination with other clinical tools (such as risk-prediction scores).

The SOFA score, a complex score evaluaing six different organ systems and addressing diverse clinical parameters, predicts the severity and mortality of critically ill patients with high accuracy [17]. A significant correlation was found between presepsin levels and the SOFA score in patients with sepsis-related ARDS. Additionally, the prognostic accuracy of presepsin appeared to be similar to that of the SOFA score for early mortality in patients with sepsis-related ARDS. It is enticing that the power of presepsin as a robust circulating biomarker for patient prognosis is comparable to that of the complex SOFA score in sepsis-related ARDS.

To the best of our knowledge, the results presented herein are the first with regard to the discriminative value and prognostic capacity of presepsin for sepsis-related ARDS. Presepsin may add to diagnostic accuracy and facilitate early recognition of patients with sepsis-related ARDS who are likely to benefit from promptly appropriate broad-spectrum antibiotics. Our results also pointed out the possible prognostic role of presepsin in promptly identifying high-risk patients with sepsis-related ARDS and predicting in-hospital mortality. The application of presepsin in ARDS sub-phenotypes (sepsis-related and non-sepsis-related) might be a useful tool to stratify patients in future clinical research trials, which might be advantageous for future differential treatments.

A major strength of this study is that it was conducted in two large, well-defined centers and four ICUs. All data were collected prospectively to avoid recall biases. Nevertheless, several limitations should be acknowledged. First, the number of patients was relatively small; subsequent studies with large-scale and independent cohorts should confirm and validate the clinical indications for presepsin in sepsis-related ARDS. Second, the study design limited patients to those who required IMV, thereby not generalising patients who met the ARDS criteria but only received non-IMV. Third, only one measurement of presepsin was available. Dynamic monitoring of circulating biomarkers is more vital and rewarding during the management of disease. Finally, we were not able to perform the commonly accepted Cox regression because of limitations in our data.

Conclusions

Our study is the first to assess presepsin in ARDS of sepsis or non-sepsis etiology. Elevated presepsin levels, when measured in the early course of ARDS, provided excellent discrimination for the clinical diagnosis of sepsis-related ARDS compared to PCT; and were also associated with an increased risk of mortality among patients with ARDS due to sepsis injury. Although further confirmatory studies are warranted, presepsin seems to be a promising biomarker for early differentiation of septic underlying disease in ARDS and evaluation of prognosis in sepsis-related ARDS.

Abbreviations

ARDS: Acute respiratory distress syndrome; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; APACHE II: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ICU intensive care unit; IMV: invasive mechanical ventilation; PCT procalcitonin; WBC white blood cell; CRP C-reactive protein; No. of organ failures includes only non-pulmonary organ failures; VFDs: ventilator-free days ALI: acute lung injury; ICU: intensive care unit; EMR: electronic medical record; VFDs: ventilator-free days; WBC: white blood cell; ROC: receiver operating characteristic; AUC: areas under the curves; ELISA: enzyme linked immune-sorbent assays; OR: odds ratios; CI: confidence interval; n.s. non-significant; IQR: interquartile range.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate: Informed consent was obtained from patients’ legal representatives. The protocol was approved by the ethics committee of Jinling Hospital and Nanjing First Hospital (Approval Number: JLYY: 2013021).

Consent for publication: Not applicable

Availability of data and material: All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this published article.

Competing interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Funding: the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81470206)

Authors' contributions: Jiangnan Zhao and Yi Shi take responsibility for the accuracy of the data analysis and drafting the manuscript. Yan Tan and Li Wang were responsible for study design and revision of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Acknowledgements: This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81470206). We thank Binchan He, Jiajia Jin and Yu Gu for collaboration in the survey.

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Tables

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of study groups

Variables 

ARDS

(n=225)

Sepsis-related ARDS

(n=168)

Non-Sepsis-related ARDS

(n=57)

P value

Age, years

58 (40-75)

58 (40-73)

59 (39-76)

0.499

Male sex

158 (70.2)

117 (69.6)

41 (71.9)

0.867

Current smokers

78 (34.7)

57 (33.9)

21 (36.8)

0.748

History of alcohol abuse

41 (18.2)

27 (16.1)

14 (24.6)

0.167

APACHE II score

25 (22-30)

26 (23-31)

22 (20-28)

<0.001

SOFA score

7 (6-10)

8 (6-10)

6 (5-9)

0.014

Predisposing conditions

 

 

 

 

Pneumonia

70 (31.1)

70 (41.7)

0

<0.001

Sepsis without shock

54 (24.0)

54 (32.1)

0

<0.001

Septic Shock

114 (50.7)

114 (67.9)

0

<0.001

Aspiration

22 (9.8)

0

22 (38.6)

<0.001

Pancreatitis

30 (13.3)

0

30 (52.6)

<0.001

Trauma

5 (2.2)

0

5 (8.8)

<0.001

Comorbidities

 

 

 

 

Hypertension

75 (33.3)

51 (30.4)

24 (42.1)

0.108

Diabetes

44 (19.6)

40 (23.8)

4 (7.0)

0.006

Coronary heart disease

21 (9.3)

15 (8.9)

6 (10.3)

0.794

Cerebrovascular disease

24 (10.7)

17 (10.1)

7 (12.3)

0.626

Chronic renal disease

40 (17.8)

28 (16.7)

12 (21.1)

0.548

COPD or asthma

23 (10.2)

16 (9.5)

7 (12.3)

0.614

Cancer

21 (9.3)

14 (8.3)

7 (12.3)

0.430

Laboratory values on ICU admission

 

 

 

 

PCT, ng/ml

3.71 (1.26-11.2)

5.13 (1.21-15.49)

2.73 (1.33-4.04)

0.006

CRP, mg/L

98.0 (40.7-158.4)

103.5 (36.7-162.1)

86.8 (43-147.4)

0.485

WBC count, ×109/L

8.8 (6.7-13.3)

9.1 (6.9-14.4)

8.1 (5.9-10.5)

0.015

Hematocrit, %

0.27 (0.24-0.33)

0.28 (0.25-0.34)

0.27 (0.22-0.31)

0.052

Platelet count, ×109/L

199 (135-284)

194 (129-283)

218 (146-302)

0.269

Albumin, g/L

30.4 (27.3-34.3)

30.1 (26.8-33.5)

32 (28.3-35.4)

0.016

Bilirubin, μmol/L

13.8 (8.2-27.7)

14.1 (8.1-28.8)

12.8 (8.2-26.8)

0.601

Creatinine, μmol/L

77.7 (52.9-140.4)

77.8 (54.4-143.1)

77.1 (49.1-130.4)

0.662

Berlin categories

 

 

 

0.039

Mild

72 (32.0)

45 (26.8)

27 (47.4)

 

Moderate

110 (48.9)

92 (54.8)

18 (31.6)

 

Severe

43 (19.1) 

31 (18.4)

12 (21.0)

 

No. of organ failures

2 (1-3)

3 (2-4)

1 (1-2)

<0.001

Vasopressors use at admission

69 (30.7)

61 (36.3)

8 (14.0)

0.001

Clinical outcomes

 

 

 

 

VFDs in 28 d

11 (3-15.5)

9 (2-14)

14 (11-21)

<0.001

Days in ICU of survivors

17 (10-28)

18 (11-33)

13 (8-20)

0.001

Hospital mortality

68 (30.2)

59 (35.1)

9 (15.8)

0.007

Data are presented as median (25th-75th percentile) or No.(%). ARDS acute respiratory distress syndrome; SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; APACHE II Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ICU intensive care unit; PCT procalcitonin; WBC white blood cell; CRP C-reactive protein; No. of organ failures includes only non-pulmonary organ failures; VFDs: ventilator-free days

 

 

Table 2. Performance of multivariate-logistic regression for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis-related acute respiratory distress syndrome

Variables

OR

95% confidence interval

P value

Lower limit

Upper limit

Age

1.08

1.01

1.39

<0.001

Presepsin

1.51

1.05

2.16

0.027

SOFA score

1.78

1.18

2.68

0.008

APACHE II score

1.58

1.06

2.35

0.026

No. of organ failures

2.01

1.12

3.56

0.019

SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; APACHE II Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; No. of organ failures includes only non-pulmonary organ failures; OR odds ratio

 

 

Table 3. Areas under the curves of various parameters for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis-related acute respiratory distress syndrome

Variables

AUC

95% confidence interval

P value

Lower limit

Upper limit

Presepsin

0.72

0.65

0.80

<0.001

SOFA score

0.77

0.70

0.84

<0.001

APACHE II score

0.73

0.65

0.81

<0.001

Presepsin + SOFA score

0.87

0.81

0.93

<0.001

Presepsin + APACHE II score

0.85

0.78

0.91

<0.001

AUC areas under the curves; SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; APACHE II Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II