PIK3CA Mutation Prevalence and Association with Clinical and Histopathological Parameters
In this cohort study, 88% of the patients were tested for single nucleotide substitutions at three hotspot positions in the PIK3CA gene, and we found a mutation prevalence of 26.7% (n = 300 of 1,123) at these positions. The mutation rates for the three hot spot sites were 58% (n = 174) for COSMIC C775 (H1047R), 28% (n = 85) for C763 (E545K) and 14% (n = 43) for C760 (E542K). Co-occurrence of mutations at C775 and C763 were found in two tumours, although PIK3CA mutations were significantly more frequent in well (G1, OR = 3.13, 95% CI 1.970–4.986, in relation to G3) or intermediately differentiated (G2, OR = 2.14, 95% CI 1.478–3.085) tumours. Tumours with PIK3CA mutations were more likely to be steroid hormone receptor-positive compared to HR-negative tumours (OR 3.38, 95% CI 2.103–5.438), and in HER2-negative than in HER2-positive tumours (OR 2.25, 95% CI 1.451–3.501). Considering immunohistochemistry (IHC) types, PIK3CA mutations were most prevalent (n = 259 of 824, 31.4%) in HR-positive, HER2-negative tumours (OR = 4.13, 95% CI 1.753–9.712). Only 11.7% of TNBC tumours were mutated in PIK3CA (15 of 128). There was no significant association with age, tumour size and nodal status. The characteristics of patients and tumours according to PIK3CA mutation status are reported in Table 1.
Tab. 1 PIK3CA-mutation prevalence (%) in selected clinical and histopathological groups
All
|
1,123
|
300
|
(26.7%)
|
|
|
|
Age at time of diagnosis
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≤ 50
|
293
|
68
|
(23.2%)
|
1
|
|
|
> 50
|
830
|
232
|
(28.0%)
|
1.284
|
0.941–1.751
|
0.115
|
Histological Type
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ductal
|
905
|
241
|
(26.5%)
|
2.132
|
0.993–4.578
|
0.058
|
lobular
|
163
|
51
|
(31.3%)
|
2.675
|
1.179–6.071
|
0.019
|
others
|
55
|
8
|
(14.5%)
|
1
|
|
|
Tumour size at time of diagnosis
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
< 2 cm
|
575
|
172
|
(23.0%)
|
1.4
|
1.073–1.828
|
0.013
|
≥ 2 cm
|
548
|
128
|
(18.9%)
|
1
|
|
|
Nodal status at time of diagnosis
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Node-negative
|
688
|
180
|
(26.2%)
|
1
|
|
|
Node-positive
|
435
|
120
|
(27.6%)
|
1.075
|
0.820–1.407
|
0.599
|
Tumour differentiation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
G1
|
154
|
57
|
(37.0%)
|
3.134
|
1.970–4.986
|
< 0.000
|
G2
|
703
|
201
|
(28.6%)
|
2.135
|
1.478–3.085
|
< 0.000
|
G3
|
266
|
42
|
(15.8%)
|
1
|
|
|
ER status
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ER positive (≥ 1%)
|
919
|
278
|
(30.3%)
|
3.588
|
2.255–5.708
|
< 0.00
|
ER negative (< 1%)
|
204
|
22
|
(10.8%)
|
1
|
|
|
PgR status
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PgR positive (≥ 1%)
|
776
|
245
|
(31.6%)
|
2.45
|
1.769–3.392
|
< 0.000
|
PgR negative (< 1%)
|
347
|
55
|
(15.9%)
|
1
|
|
|
HR status
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HR positive
|
935
|
279
|
(29.8%)
|
3.382
|
2.103–5.438
|
< 0.000
|
HR negative
|
188
|
21
|
(11.2%)
|
1
|
|
|
HER2 Status
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HER2 negative
|
952
|
274
|
(28.8%)
|
2.254
|
1.451–3.501
|
< 0.000
|
HER2 positive
|
171
|
26
|
(15.2%)
|
1
|
|
|
IHC-types
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HR positive and HER2 negative
|
824
|
259
|
(31.4%)
|
4.126
|
1.753–9.712
|
0.001
|
HER2 positive and HR positive
|
111
|
20
|
(18.0%)
|
1.978
|
0.748–5.231
|
0.169
|
HER2 positive and HR negative
|
60
|
6
|
(10.0%)
|
1
|
|
|
TNBC
|
128
|
15
|
(11.7%)
|
1.195
|
0.439–3.250
|
0.728
|
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio
bold: significant in prognostic parameters
|
|
|
|
|
|
Association with survival
Overall, we did not observe any significant association of the presence of PIK3CA mutations with RFI (event-free at 5 yrs 90.9% for mutated, 89.9% for wildtype; adjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.752–1.894, Fig. 2A) and OS (alive at 5 yrs 88.2% for mutated, 87.2% for wildtype; adjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.714–1.638, Fig. 2B), neither in univariate analysis nor after adjustment (Table 2, summary for the entire cohort and subgroups is presented in supplementary Table S 2 A, B).
Tab. 2 Univaraite and multivariate analysis of RFI and OS for all patients with regard to selected parameters

Next, we studied the subgroups with the highest frequency of PIK3CA mutations. A part of the hormone receptor-positive and HER2-negative patient group, was treated with aromatase inhibitors (AIs) in monotherapy (n = 220). We detected in a multivariate analysis a significant 3.7 times higher occurrence of RFI-influencing events for patients harbouring a PIK3CA mutation (n = 70) compared to patients with PIK3CA-wildtype (n = 150), (95% CI 1.240-11.112) (Fig. 2C). Regarding OS, PIK3CA mutations were merely associated with a trend towards impaired performance (Fig. 2D). In contrast, no correlation between PIK3CA mutation status and RFI or OS was observed for luminal patients who had been treated with tamoxifen in monotherapy (fig. S1 C, D)).
Considering all patients with a positive steroid hormone receptor status (irrespective of HER2 status, n = 935) 8.5% of the patients with PIK3CA-mutations suffered events within 5 years of RFI analysis as compared to 6.2% with PIK3CA-wildtype (adjusted HR = 1.64, 95% CI 0.958–2.807, p = 0.071). Overall survival probability at 5 years was 88.1% and 90.5%, respectively (adjusted HR = 1.37, 95% CI 0.867–2.152). We found numerically more RFI events at 5yrs in patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative and PIK3CA mutated tumours than in patients with PIK3CA-wildtype tumours (7.9% and 6.0%, resp., supplementary Fig. S 1 A). Notably, more patients died if their tumours were PIK3CA mutated in this group (11.4% and 8.5%, resp., supplementary Fig. S1 B). However, the effect was not significant, neither in univariate, nor in multivariate analyses.
In the hormone receptor-negative group (irrespective of HER2 status), patients with PIK3CA mutated tumours (n = 21 of 188, 11.2%) showed numerically fewer RFI-events (3 of 21 versus 43 of 167) consistent with a better disease specific outcome (84.4% versus 72.9%; adjusted HR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.152–1.597; supplementary Fig. S 1 C). Similarly, in TNBC, 84% patients were without any BC-related recurrences after five years if they were PIK3CA-mutated compared to only 71.5% for those with wildtype PIK3CA (adjusted HR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.103–1.822, Fig. 2E). These observations were similar after exclusion of patients without adequate (neo)adjuvant therapy. For the HER2-positive group, we did not observe any significant impact of PIK3CA mutations on RFI or OS (supplementary Fig. 1G, H). Interestingly, patients with HR-negative tumours who were either of the TNBC or HER2-positive subtypes experienced a better overall survival if a PIK3CA mutation was detected (Fig. 2F, supplementary Fig. S 1 F, H). The different impact of PIK3CA mutation status on RFI in relation to steroid hormone receptor- and HER2 expression is visualized in the corresponding forest plot (supplementary Fig. S 2).
In order to identify homogenous risk groups with regards to PIK3CA mutation status, we used a recursive partitioning procedure (Fig. 3). In node-negative, HR-positive and undifferentiated (G3) tumours, patients with a PIK3CA-mutation (n = 14) had a worse 5 year-RFI (70.5%) than those with wildtype PIK3CA (5 year RFI 96.4%, HR = 11.92; 95% CI 1.724–82.461, p = 0.012). In contrast, in HR-negative, larger tumours (≥ 2cm), patients with PIK3CA mutations (n = 14) had a better 5yrs-RFI probability (85.7%) than those with the wildtype (5 yrs RFI 66.1%, HR = 2.75; 95% CI 0.657–11.527). The survival differences are substantial and are relevant for 18.9% of all patients.