Patients, Recruitment, and Follow-up
The flow diagram of patients enrolled in this study is displayed in Supplementary Fig. 2. A total of 106 patients were included and randomly assigned to either the TIPS group (52 patients) or the endoscopic + β-blocker group (54 patients) after a median of 5 days from index bleeding (interquartile range [IQR]: 3–8). Among them, the most common distribution of etiology was HBV-related HCC (78%). Portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) classification[20], the proportion of Vp2, Vp3, Vp4 were 52, 29 and 19%, respectively, in the TIPS group and 54, 33 and 13%, respectively, in the endoscopic + β-blocker group (P = 0.658, Table 1). The baseline variables were comparable between the two groups. Two (4%) of the fifty-four patients who were randomized to the endoscopic + β-blocker group crossed over to the TIPS group due to refractory ascites. The median follow-up time was 16.1 months (range, 4.2–24.6 months) for the endoscopic + β-blocker group and 16.2 months (range, 13.0-28.8 months) for the TIPS group (P = 0.186, Table 2). Three patients (3%; 2 in the endoscopic + β-blocker group, 1 in the TIPS group) were lost-to-follow-up after a median of 14.2 months (range, 5.2–20.3 months).
Table 1
Patient Demographics and Clinical Parameters
Variables | Endoscopic + β-blocker group | TIPS group | P value |
(n = 54) | (n = 52) |
Age (years), (Mean ± SD) | 53.72 ± 1.27 | 57.31 ± 1.25 | 0.456 |
Male (n, %) | 46 (86.79) | 42 (79.25) | 0.842 |
Etiology (n, %) | | | 0.896 |
HBV | 43(79.62) | 40(76.92) | |
HCV | 3(5.56) | 3(5.77) | |
Alcohol | 3(5.56) | 2(3.85) | |
Other | 5(9.26) | 7(13.46) | |
Child-Pugh-Turcotte class (n, %) | | | 0.579 |
A | 5 (9.26) | 2 (3.85) | |
B | 37 (68.52) | 36 (69.23) | |
C | 12 (22.22) | 14 (26.92) | |
Child-Pugh-Turcotte score (Mean ± SD) | 7.87 ± 2.63 | 8.16 ± 2.12 | 0.412 |
β-blocker prophylaxis before index bleed (n, %) | 8 (15.09) | 5 (9.43) | 0.337 |
Ascites (n, %) | 37 (68.51) | 39(75.00) | 0.459 |
Previous episode of hepatic encephalopathy (n, %) | 3(5.56) | 0 (0) | 0.255 |
Hemoglobin at enrollment (g/L), (Mean ± SD) | 62.7 ± 10.7 | 64.2 ± 9.1 | 0.153 |
INR, median, (range) (P25, P75) | 1.20(1.13–1.31) | 1.31(1.16–1.48) | 0.349 |
Median Alanine Transaminase (U/L) | 54 (32- 89.5) | 54 (33-107.5) | 0.162 |
Median Bilirubin (µmol/L) (P25, P75) | 23.55(16.48–50.33) | 29.55(20.48–40.98) | 0.482 |
Albumin (g/L), (Mean ± SD) | 30.44 ± 0.58 | 31.67 ± 1.15 | 0.645 |
Median Platelet Count (109/L) (P25, P75) | 95.50(66.00-146.00) | 93.00(56.00-173.70) | 0.255 |
Location of varices at index gastroscopy | | | 0.240 |
Esophageal varices only | 42 (77.78) | 45 (86.54) | |
Esophageal and gastric varices | 12 (22.22) | 7 (13.46) | |
Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage | | | 1.000 |
C | 54(100) | 52(100) | |
Portal vein tumor thrombus | | | 0.658 |
Vp2 | 29(53.70) | 27(51.92) | |
Vp3 | 18(33.33) | 15(28.85) | |
Vp4 | 7 (12.97) | 10(19.23) | |
Endoscopic treatment at time of index bleeding | | | 0.583 |
Band ligation (n, %) | 37 | 33 | |
Injection sclerotherapy (n, %) | 17 | 19 | |
Vasoactive-drug therapy at time of index bleeding | | | 0.963 |
Octreotide (n, %) | 26 | 27 | |
Somatostatin (n, %) | 21 | 19 | |
Terlipressin (n, %) | 7 | 6 | |
Targeted therapy drugs | | | 0.327 |
Sorafenib (n, %) | 20 (37.04) | 15 (28.84) | |
Lenvatinib (n, %) | 34 (62.96) | 37 (71.16) | |
Prior treatment (n, %) | 28(51.85) | 27(50.00) | 0.994 |
Resection | 4 | 3 | |
RFA | 7 | 12 | |
TACE | 13 | 12 | |
HBV, hepatitis B virus; HCV, hepatitis C virus; INR, international normalized ratio; RFA, radiofrequency ablation. |
Table 2
Summary of outcome measurements
Variables | Endoscopic + β-Blocker Group | TIPS Group | P value |
(n = 54) | (n = 54) |
Median follow-up time(month), (P25, P75) | 16.1 (4.2–24.6) | 16.2 (13.0-28.8) | 0.186 |
Overall survival rate, % | | | < 0.001 |
6 months | 35 | 95 | |
12 months | 21 | 81 | |
18 months | 15 | 73 | |
Progression free survival, % | | | < 0.001 |
6 months | 23 | 91 | |
12 months | 19 | 51 | |
18 months | 15 | 33 | |
Rebleeding, n (%) | 14 (25.92) | 3 (5.56) | < 0.001 |
Chang of Child-Pugh scores | | | < 0.001 |
Improving | 8 (14.81) | 41(75.92) | |
Stable | 12(22.22) | 5(9.26) | |
Worsening | 34(62.96) | 8(14.82) | |
Rebleeding time (month), (Mean ± SD) | 4.1 ± 1.01 | 7.2 ± 1.47 | 0.556 |
Treatment failure, n (%) | 12 (22.22) | 1(1.85) | < 0.001 |
Death individual, n (%) | 38 (70.37) | 11(20.37) | < 0.001 |
Causes of death, n (%) | | | 0.032 |
Variceal rebleeding | 14/38(36.84) | 0(0) | |
Sepsis/pneumonia | 3/38(7.89) | 1/11(9.09) | |
Liver failure | 7/38(18.42) | 4/11(36.36) | |
HCC progression | 14/38(36.84) | 6/11(54.55) | |
Maintenance TKI full dose, n (%) | 3 (7.41) | 28 (51.85) | < 0.001 |
TKIs dose reduction, n (%) | 26 (48.15) | 18 (33.33) | 0.118 |
Sorafenib | 7 | 9 | |
Lenvatinib | 19 | 9 | |
TKI discontinuation, n (%) | 25 (46.29) | 8 (14.82) | < 0.001 |
Sorafenib | 12 | 4 | |
Lenvatinib | 13 | 4 | |
IQR, interquartile range; TKI, tyrosine kinase inhibitor. |
Treatments
In the endoscopic + β-blocker group, a total of 129 upper endoscopies (mean, 2.8 ± 2.4 per patient) were performed in the first year after randomization. The majority (71%) of procedures included EVL with placement of a mean 4.6 bands per procedure, 8% included injection N-butyl cyanoacrylate therapy, and in 21% no treatment was considered necessary. Propranolol slow release, titrated on heart rate and/or tolerance, was used for all but 3 patients.
In the TIPS group, 52 patients received one stent and 2 patients two stents. Median time from bleeding to TIPS was 7 days (IQR, 4–12). Twenty-three patients received TIPS within the first 6 days of the index bleeding, and 31 underwent TIPS after 7 days or later (median, 9). Collateral embolization was performed in 4 patients. The 1-year patency rate was 94.6%; 3 patients underwent a successful revision of the TIPS for partial/complete occlusion.
Primary Endpoints: Rebleeding
During follow-up, 14 (27%) patients in the endoscopic + β-blocker group experienced a total of 20 variceal rebleeds compared to 3 (5.6%) patients in the TIPS group who experienced a total of 3 variceal rebleeds (P < 0.001; Fig. 1A and Table 2). Among the 14 patients with rebleeding in the endoscopic + β-blocker group, 6 patients experienced the first rebleed during follow-up, 8 patients experienced the second rebleed and received TIPS as a rescue therapy, of whom two died. Among the 3 patients with rebleeding in the TIPS group, all switched to receive a TIPS revision with embolization of varices. Univariate analysis revealed that 2 factors were significantly related to rebleeding after initial intervention. In the multivariate analyses, only the endoscopic + β-blocker (HR 7.548; 95% CI: 2.513–22.668; P < 0.001) was an independent poor predictor of rebleeding after initial intervention (Table 3).
Table 3
Univariate and Multivariate Analysis of Rebleeding
| Univariate | | Multivariate |
| HR (95% CI) | P value | | HR (95% CI) | P value |
Treatment, endoscope/TIPS | 1.90 (1.24, 2.90) | < 0.001 | | 7.55 (2.51–22.67) | < 0.001 |
Lenvatinib, yes/no | 1.20 (0.79, 1.82) | 0.139 | | | |
Age > 60, yes/no | 1.26 (0.83, 1.91) | 0.279 | | | |
Child-Pugh-Turcotte C, yes/no | 1.47 (0.96, 2.26) | 0.078 | | | |
Albumin > 35, yes/no | 0.52 (0.34, 0.80) | 0.033 | | 0.56 (0.18–1.79) | 0.329 |
Total bilirubin > 17.1, yes/no | 1.68 (1.01, 2.80) | 0.267 | | | |
Platelet > 100⋅109/L, yes/no | 0.99 (0.66, 1.46) | 0.728 | | | |
Ascites, yes/no | 1.14 (0.74, 1.75) | 0.704 | | | |
Vp3 and/or Vp4, yes/no | 1.09 (0.72, 1.66) | 0.302 | | | |
HR, hazard risk; TIPS, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt; Vp3: presence of the thrombus in the first-order branches; Vp4: tumor thrombus in the main trunk of the portal vein and/or a portal vein branch contralateral to the primarily involved lobe. |
Secondary Endpoints: Mortality and Discontinuation of TKI
Thirty-eight (73%) patients in the endoscopic + β-blocker group died, compared to 11
(20%) patients in the TIPS group (P < 0.001; Table 2). The causes of death in the endoscopic + β-blocker group included HCC progression in 14/38 (37%), rebleeding in 14/38 (37%), liver failure in 7/38 (18%), sepsis/pneumonia in 3/38 (8%), and in the TIPS group they included HCC progression in 6/11 (55%), liver failure in 4/11 (36%), sepsis/pneumonia in 1/11 (9%) (Table 2). There was a significant difference in the mortality from rebleeding between the two groups (P = 0.032; Table 2). The 6-, 12- and 18-month OS rates after initial intervention were 23, 19 and 15%, respectively, in the endoscopic + β-blocker group and 91, 51 and 33%, respectively, in the TIPS group (P < 0.001, Table 2 and Fig. 1C). Univariate analysis identified 6 factors that were significantly related to OS. In the multivariate analyses, the endoscopic + β-blocker (HR 11.05 95% CI: 4.73–25.82; P < 0.001), discontinuation of TKIs (HR 9.07; 95% CI: 3.54–23.12; P < 0.001), Child-Pugh-Turcotte C (HR 3.42; 95% CI: 1.36–8.63; P = 0.009) and rebleeding (HR 2.97; 95% CI: 1.50–6.89; P = 0.036) were identified as independent poor predictors of OS (Table 4).
Table 4
Univariate and Multivariate Analysis of overall survival and progression free survival
| Overall survival | | Progression free survival |
| Univariate | | Multivariate | | Univariate | | Multivariate |
| HR (95% CI) | P value | | HR (95% CI) | P value | | HR (95% CI) | P value | | HR (95% CI) | P value |
Treatment, endoscopy / TIPS | 8.91 (4.46, 17.80) | < 0.001 | | 11.05 (4.73–25.82) | < 0.001 | | 3.31 (2.03, 5.40) | < 0.001 | | 3.31 (1.89–5.80) | < 0.001 |
TKI discontinuation, yes/no | 8.17 (4.16, 14.37) | < 0.001 | | 9.07 (3.54–23.12) | < 0.001 | | 1.27 (0.69, 3.36) | 0.023 | | 1.05 (0.54–2.12) | 0.857 |
Age > 60, yes/no | 1.63 (0.87, 3.08) | 0.131 | | | | | 1.38 (0.83, 2.28) | 0.214 | | | |
Child-Pugh-Turcotte C, yes/no | 0.44 (0.21, 0.91) | 0.026 | | 3.42 (1.36–8.63) | 0.009 | | 1.88 (1.08, 3.30) | 0.027 | | 1.98 (1.06–3.70) | 0.032 |
Albumin > 35, yes/no | 2.38 (1.24, 4.57) | 0.007 | | 1.55 (0.64–3.73) | 0.333 | | 2.05 (1.23, 3.41) | 0.005 | | 0.82 (0.44–1.53) | 0.537 |
Total bilirubin > 17.1, yes/no | 1.14 (0.55, 2.36) | 0.717 | | | | | 1.21 (0.62, 2.36) | 0.578 | | | |
Platelet > 100⋅109/L, yes/no | 0.65 (0.37, 1.15) | 0.135 | | | | | 0.78 (0.49, 1.25) | 0.293 | | | |
Ascites, yes/no | 1.73 (0.86, 3.46) | 0.119 | | | | | 1.68 (0.96, 2.94) | 0.066 | | | |
Vp3 and/or Vp4, yes/no | 2.26 (0.98, 3.93) | 0.023 | | 1.27(0.499–3.896) | 0.634 | | 1.65 (1.00, 2.72) | 0.048 | | 1.64 (0.84–3.19) | 0.149 |
Variceal rebleeding, yes/no | 2.43 (1.33, 4.42) | 0.004 | | 2.97(1.499–6.896) | 0.036 | | 1.72 (0.98, 3.03) | 0.056 | | | |
HR, hazard risk; TIPS, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt; TKI, tyrosine kinase inhibitor; Vp3: presence of the thrombus in the first-order branches; Vp4: tumor thrombus in the main trunk of the portal vein and/or a portal vein branch contralateral to the primarily involved lobe. |
Fifty (96%) patients with TKIs treatment in the endoscopic + β-blocker group were down-dosed, compared to 26 (48%) patients in the TIPS group (P < 0.001; Table 2). Among them, 25 patients (48%) in the endoscopic + β-blocker group and 8 patients (15%, P < 0.001, Table 2) in the TIPS group were permanently discontinuation. The causes of permanently discontinuation of TKIs in the endoscopic + β-blocker group included rebleeding in 14 (58%), HCC progression in 6 (25%), TKIs-related AEs in 3 (12%), and severe liver function deterioration in 2 (8%), and in the TIPS group HCC progression in 3 (37%), TKIs-related AEs in 3 (37%), hepatic Encephalopathy in one (13%), and rebleeding in one (13%). Compared to the endoscopic + β-blocker group, the TIPS group had a greater proportion of patients receiving full dose of TKI (52% vs. 4%, P < 0.001, Table 2), and a lower proportion of patients with discontinuation of TKIs (15% vs. 48%, P < 0.001, Table 2). After all the patients who interrupted TKIs therapy due to variceal bleeding had undergone the endoscopic + β-blocker or TIPS, and were back to TKI therapy again, 8 (8/28, 29%) receiving sorafenib and 9 (9/65, 14%) receiving lenvatinib experienced at least one variceal rebleeding (P = 0.085, Fig. 1B).
Secondary Endpoints: Treatment Failure, Hepatic Encephalopathy, and PFS
Twelve (23%) patients in the endoscopic + β-blocker group had a treatment failure, 6 patients switched to TIPS as rescue therapy and 8 patients died during hospitalization, compared to one patient in the TIPS group, of whom died during hospitalization (P < 0.001; Table 2). HE occurred in 16 patients (16/106, 15%) in total, including 11(11/54, 20%) in the TIPS group (one case of grade Ⅲ, 4 grade Ⅱ, and 6 grade Ⅰ) and 5(5/52, 9%) in the endoscopic + β-blocker group (2 grade Ⅱand 3 grade Ⅰ, P = 0.122; Table 5). Treatments consisted of lactulose (n = 12) and/ or rifaximin (n = 3) and shunt closure in one TIPS-treated patient with refractory encephalopathy.
Table 5
Adverse events of secondary prophylaxis after variceal bleeding
Variables | Endoscopic + β-Blocker Group | TIPS Group | P value |
(n = 54) | (n = 54) |
No. of Patients (%) | 31 (57.41) | 24 (44.44) | 0.178 |
Complication of portal hypertension | | | |
Hepatic encephalopathy | 5/54(9.26) | 11/54(20.37) | 0.104 |
Ascites | 15/54(27.78) | 2/54(3.70) | < 0.001 |
Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis | 2/54(3.70) | 1/54(1.85) | 1.000 |
Hepatorenal syndrome | 7/54(12.97) | 2/54(3.70) | 0.161 |
Acute-on-chronic liver failure | 4/54(7.41) | 3/54(5.56) | 0.959 |
Sepsis/pneumonia | 3/54(5.56) | 1/54(1.85) | 0.363 |
Other serious adverse events | | | |
Bleeding from banding ulcer | 4/54(7.41) | 0/54(0) | 0.118 |
Peptic ulcer/gastritis | 2/54(3.70) | 2/54(3.70) | 1.000 |
Urinary retention | 0/54(0) | 1/54(1.85) | 1.000 |
Oesophageal stenosis | 2/54(3.70) | 0/54(0) | 0.495 |
Deep venous thrombosis | 1/54(1.85) | 3/54(5.56) | 0.618 |
TIPS, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. |
The 6-, 12- and 18-month PFS rates after initial intervention were 23, 19 and 15%, respectively, in the endoscopic + β-blocker group and 91, 51 and 33%, respectively, in the TIPS group (P < 0.001, Table 2 and Fig. 1D). Univariable Cox regression analysis identified 4 factors associated with the risk of PFS. In the multivariate analysis, the endoscopic + β-blocker (HR 3.31; 95% CI: 1.89–5.80; P < 0.001) and Child-Pugh-Turcotte C (HR 1.98; 95% CI: 1.06–3.70; P = 0.032) were identified as independent progression factor of PFS (Table 4).
Changes in the Child–Pugh-Turcotte stages
One month after initial intervention, the distribution of the Child-Pugh-Turcotte improving, stabling, and worsening was were 76, 9 and 15%, respectively, in the TIPS group and 12, 23 and 65%, respectively, in the endoscopic + β-blocker group (Table 2). The TIPS group had a significantly higher rate of postoperative Child-Pugh-Turcotte stage improving than that of the endoscopic + β-blocker group (76% [41/54] vs 15% [8/54]; P < 0.001, Table 2).
Safety Profile
During follow-up, 31 (31/52, 60%) patients in the endoscopic + β-blocker group and 24 (24/54, 44%; P = 0.118) in the TIPS group experienced at least one severe adverse event (AEs). The most common severe AEs in the endoscopic + β-blocker group were ascites (29%), hepatorenal syndrome (14%), HE (9.6%), liver failure (7.7%) and bleeding from banding ulcer (7.7%). In the TIPS group, HE (20%), liver failure (6%), deep venous thrombosis (6%), peptic ulcer/gastritis (4%) and hepatorenal syndrome (4%) were reported. There were no significant differences in the number of patients who experienced a specific AEs except ascites (P < 0.001) between both groups (Table 5).
The specific adverse event of TKI
No differences in TKI-related AEs were observed in either group (Supplementary Table 1). In the TIPS group, a total of 70 complications were observed in 36 patients. Three patients (8%) stopped using TKI due to intolerance. Seventy-six complications were observed in 39 patients in the endoscopic + β-blocker group. Three patients (8%) stopped using TKI due to intolerance.