Classification of glioma patients
We collected 35 tumor samples and 87 TISF samples from 32 glioma patients and performed tumor DNA or TISF ctDNA sequencing. At least one mutation was detected in all of samples. The high positive rate was consistent with our previous research work(5). All patients had at least two TISF samples collected. We assessed the tumor status between two adjacent TISF collections according to RENO criteria. Patients 1–14 experienced tumor progression (disease progression, PD) during surveillance. Patients 24–32 experienced tumor stabilization (including disease stabilization SD, partial remission PR, and complete remission CR) during surveillance. And patients 15–23 experienced tumor stabilization and progression phases successively. Patients were divided into progressive or non-progressive groups according to their imaging performance, and the relevant clinical characteristics are shown in Table 1. In addition to standard chemotherapy, Patient 1,8,10,14,15,23 received bevacizumab (BEV) after tumor recurrence, and patient 2 received apatinib during postoperative radiotherapy.
Table 1
Characteristic
|
Progression(N = 23)
|
without progression(N = 18)
|
|
Age (y); median (range)
|
51.74(21–78)
|
52.61(26–78)
|
|
Sex, n (%)
|
|
|
Male
|
15(65.2)
|
10(55.6)
|
|
Female
|
8(34.8)
|
8(44.5)
|
|
Histopathology, n (%)
|
|
|
|
Glioblastoma, IDH-wild
|
12(52.2)
|
12(66.7)
|
|
Astrocytoma, IDH-mutant
|
6(26.1)
|
3(16.7)
|
|
Oligodendrocytoma, IDH-mutant
|
5(21.7)
|
3(16.7)
|
|
WHO grade, n (%)
|
|
|
|
IV
|
13(56.5)
|
12(66.7)
|
|
II &III
|
10(43.5)
|
6(33.3)
|
|
IDH status, n (%)
|
|
|
|
wild type
|
12(52.2)
|
12(66.7)
|
|
mutant type
|
11(47.8)
|
6(33.3)
|
|
Aftertreatment, n (%)
|
|
|
|
Chemoradiotherapy
|
10(43.5)
|
9(50.0)
|
|
Chemotherapy
|
13(56.5)
|
9(50.0)
|
|
Location, n (%)
|
|
|
|
Frontal lobe
|
7(36.4)
|
6(33.3)
|
|
Temporal lobe
|
8(43.2)
|
7(38.9)
|
|
Parietal lobe
|
6(11.4)
|
5(27.8)
|
|
Midline
|
1(4.5)
|
0(0.0)
|
|
Cerebellum
|
1(4.5)
|
0(0.0)
|
|
TISF ctDNA reflects the tumour genomic alterations
To clarify whether ctDNA testing of TISF can accurately reflect genomic alterations in tumors, We compared recurrent tumor samples from two patients who underwent secondary surgery and had TISF samples collected before secondary surgery. Patient 10 and Patient 16 collected TISF samples 9 days and 1 day before surgical resection of the recurrent tumor, respectively. We found that 100% (33/33) of the mutations with variant allele frequency (VAF) > 5% found in the recurrent tumors were detectable in the TISF samples (Fig. 1a and 1c). More importantly, there was a significant correlation between recurrent tumors VAFs and the TISF ctDNA VAFs (R2 = 0.9029, 0.9189) (Fig. 1b and 1d). At the same time, it has been demonstrated in large sample paired tumor studies that most initial gliomas (85%) have clonal structures that persist into recurrence (7). We further analyzed the similarity of trunk clonal structures in paired initial tumors and subsequent TISF samples from patients with four or more shared mutation pairs (VAF > 5%). Correlation analysis of three paired samples from Patient 10 and Patient 12 suggested that ctDNA in TISF provided similar clonal structural information to the initial tumor (R2 = 0.3882, 0.6309, 0.9807). These data suggest that TISF ctDNA can provide information on the subclonal genomic structure of gliomas.
TISF ctDNA is associated with tumor progression
We compared mutations in TISF before tumor progression or stabilization (baseline) with those after tumor progression or stabilization (PN) (if patients had multiple tumor progression or stabilization, only the last one was counted). The highest VAF detected in each TISF was selected as the representative VAF. Among progressive patients (Patients 1–23), between baseline and PN, paired sample analysis showed an increase in VAF in 16 patients and a decrease in VAF in 7 patients. the mean increase in VAF was 7.9% (194%), which was statistically significant (P = 0.0114, Fig. 2a). Between baseline and PN, paired sample analysis showed an increase in NOA in 20 cases and a decrease in NOA in 3. The mean increase in NOA was 19 (235%), which was statistically significant (P = 0.0065; Fig. 2b).
The correlation between TISF ctDNA and tumor was more pronounced when progressive patients were compared with non-progressive patients (Patients 15–32). At baseline, we observed no difference in VAF and NOA between progressive and non-progressive patients (P = 0.7097, P = 0.3923; Fig. 2c, Fig. 2d). However, at PN, VAF and NOA were significantly higher in progressive patients (P = 0.0100, P = 0.0103; Fig. 2e, Fig. 2f). In addition, when comparing ctDNA changes in individual patients, a significant decrease in VAF and NOA was observed in non-progressive patients (P = 0.0086, P = 0.0005; Fig. 2g, Fig. 2h). In conclusion, these data suggest a correlation between TISF ctDNA and tumor progression.
TISF ctDNA levels affect patient prognosis
We analyzed patients' progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) based on pre-progression (baseline) TISF ctDNA. The 23 patients who showed tumor progression during the monitoring period were divided into high VAF group (VAF < 1%) and low VAF group (VAF ≥ 1%) according to median VAF, and high NOA group (NOA ≥ 4) and low NOA group (NOA < 4) according to median NOA. PFS and OS were calculated using baseline as the starting point, and PFS and OS were longer in patients with low VAF glioma compared to patients with high VAF glioma (P = 0.0004, P = 0.0035; Fig. 3a, Fig. 3b). On the other hand, patients with low-NOA glioma had longer survival compared to patients with high-NOA glioma (P = 0.0008, P = 0.0024; Fig. 3c, Fig. 3d).
We further performed univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox risk proportional hazard models to evaluate the association of TISF ctDNA with PFS. Univariate Cox analysis suggested that elevated VAF and NOA were associated with worse PFS (HR = 1.054, 95% CI: 1.019–1.091, P = 0.002; Fig. 3e) & (HR = 1.020, 95% CI: 1.004–1.036, P = 0.013; Fig. 3e). In addition, we investigated the effect of age, IDH mutation, MGMT methylation and WHO grade on prognosis. Next, we investigated the effects of IDH mutation, WHO grade, NOA and VAF on prognostic factors in patients in a multivariate Cox model. The results confirmed that VAF and NOA were associated with survival independently of these prognostic factors in patients with glioma (HR = 1.057, 95% confidence interval 1.015-1.100, P = 0.007; Fig. 3e) & (HR = 1.017, 95% confidence interval 1.001–1.033, P = 0.037; Fig. 3e).
To investigate the sensitivity and specificity of VAF and NOA in TISF ctDNA as predictive biomarkers of prognosis for patients with glioma, we generated receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) using median PFS (282 days) as benchmark. The area under the curve for VAF was 0.803 (95% confidence interval 0.603-1.000; Fig. 3f) and for NOA was 0.792 (95% confidence interval 0.603–0.980; Fig. 3f). Overall, these survival analyses suggest that TISF ctDNA is associated with survival in glioma patients, and therefore is predictive as a biomarker.
Alterations in critical genes and pathways of the population
The above results suggest that elevated TISF ctDNA are associated with glioma progression and worse prognosis. To further explore the specific alterations in TISF ctDNA in glioma recurrence, we compared individual genes before and after tumor progression in the progressive patient population (Patients 1–23) and observed significant changes in NOA between baseline and PN for the following genes, including KIT (P = 0.0078), NF1 (P = 0.0015), TSC2 (P = 0.0313), FAT1 (P = 0.0195) and SMO (P = 0.0313). The changes in NOA across time points for KIT, NF1, TSC2, FAT1 and SMO are shown in Figure S1a-S1e.
When shifting the perspective to changes in the signaling pathway, we observed an average increase in NOA for RTK/RAS/PI3K from baseline and PN (average increase 7.17), with paired analysis showing significant changes in RTK/RAS/PI3K between the two time points (P = 0.0005, Figure S1h). While no statistically significant alterations were found in other glioma classical pathways, such as TP53 signaling pathway (P = 0.7925), RB1 signaling pathway (P = 0.1719).
Other notable changes were in the mismatch repair genes (MMR), including MLH1, MSH2, MSH6 and PMS2, which all showed a mean increase between baseline and PN (average increase 1.39), with statistically significant changes in paired analysis (P = 0.0234, Figure S1i).
Longitudinal analysis of individual glioma evolutionary characteristics
The altered genomic landscape of the population suggests genetic selection for glioma recurrence. We further analyzed the tumor evolutionary trajectory of 23 progressive patients longitudinally from an individual perspective, and the results suggest that there is a genetic correlation and heterogeneity between recurrent and initial tumors. We detected a total of 107 mutations in the initial tumors, with an average of 4.65 mutations. Of these, 54 mutations (50.47%) were detectable in TISF samples, and the shared mutations in WHO Ⅱ-Ⅲ glioma mainly are trunk mutations, including IDH (100%), TP3 (87.5%), ATRX 37.5%, PIK3CA (25%). Shared mutations in WHO grade IV gliomas include PTEN (42.9%), TP3 (28.6%). We detected a total of 660 mutations in TISF samples (only the final TISF samples were counted in patients with multiple TISF samples), with an average of 28.70 mutations. Notably, VAF of shared mutations was much higher than VAF of private mutations in both the initial tumor and TISF (P = 0.0025, P < 0.0001). This suggests that shared mutations, as the "bridge" between the initial and recurrent tumors, are the main cause of tumorigenesis and recurrence at the population level, while most other private mutations are probably just "bystanders”. However, private mutations with high VAF values were found in the TISF of some patients, in particular, the appearance of these private mutations was temporally related to tumor progression. We identified those private mutations as de novo dominant subclonal mutations and divided the patients into three groups by the ratio of the highest VAF of private mutations to the highest VAF of shared mutations in TISF (private/share): the "trunk" group included 5 patients with recurrent tumor genomes dominated by trunk mutations (private/share = 0-0.283). The "subclone" group consisted of 10 patients with recurrent tumor genomes containing subclonal mutations with high VAF values (private/share = 0.341–51.4), and we infer that the dominant subclonal mutations might be involved in tumor recurrence. The "naive" group was the 8 patients without shared mutations. Although further comparison of progression-free survival (PFS) between the groups did not reveal significant differences (P = 0.8305), we infer that the "trunk" and "subclonal" groups represent two patterns of glioma recurrence.
Trunk mutations cause tumor recurrence
As described above, the genomes of the recurrent tumors in the " trunk" group included Patient 11, 8, 2, 19, and 9 which were dominated by trunk mutations. Patients 11 had the same mutational profile in TISF as the initial tumor, while Patients 2, 9, 19 and 8 developed de novo mutations, but the private/share was low, 0.091, 0.283, 0.051, 0.032 and 0.018, respectively. The typical case was Patient 8, who underwent surgery and had a pathological diagnosis of glioblastoma, WHO grade IV. Recurrence was soon observed on imaging after 132 days (Fig. 4a). Only BRAF:p.V600E and HIST1H3C:p.K37M present as shared mutations between the three TISF samples and the initial tumor sample. In particular, we found only this two shared mutations with high VAF in TISF 3 samples sampled at recurrence (BRAF:p.V600E/54.5% and HIST1H3C:p.K37M/35.4%, Fig. 3b), and other de novo mutations consistently had VAF ≤ 1% in all samples. This suggests that recurrent tumors have the same driver mutations as the initial tumors. Notably the NCCN clinical practice guidelines in Oncology: Central Nervous System Cancers (v1.2021) recommend the use of BRAF/MEK inhibitors for glioblastomas carrying the BRAF:p.V600E mutation: dabrafenib/ trametinib, and vimofenib/Cobimetinib as relapse therapy (Class 2A recommendation).
We collected 4 samples in patient 11, including 2 tumor tissue samples and 2 TISF samples. The pathological diagnosis of this patient was: astrocytoma, WHO grade II (Fig. 4c). The genetic profile during tumor progression in Patient 11 was identical (Fig. 4d) which suggest that glioma grew in exactly the same pattern. In addition we show the heat map of other patients in the "trunk" group in Figs. 4e to 4h.
Patients with tumor recurrence induced by trunk mutations have a relatively simple mutation in the evolutionary history of the tumor, and this type of tumor has driver mutations that account for the bulk of the tumor, which also means that targeted therapy targeting the driver mutation is expected to produce promising results
Analysis of TISF ctDNA reveals clonal evolution of glioma in vivo
The VAF value of de novo mutations was significantly higher in the "subclonal" group than in the "trunk" group, suggesting subclonal selection in recurrent tumors of "subclone" group. The comparison of dominant subclonal mutations with trunk mutations is shown in Table 2. In addition, we further compared the imaging presentation and treatment strategy with genomic alterations from longitudinal collected TISF samples. The results suggest that the emergence of dominant subclones represents elevated tumor malignancy and treatment resistance, and was related to tumor progression.
Table 2
Dominant subclonal mutations and shared mutations in the "subclonal" group
Patient no.
|
Shared mutations/VAF%
|
Dominant subclonal mutation/VAF%
|
Private/ Share
|
18
|
TP53:p.R248W/0.7
|
NOTCH1:p.F937L/10.7
|
15.286
|
12
|
TP53:p.E258K/78.8
|
MSH2:p.Q337*/39.3
|
0.506
|
10
|
PDGFRA:p.V658I/49.3
|
PDGFRA:p.V536E/23.5
|
0.477
|
5
|
PDGFRA:p.E997Q/15.4
|
MSH6:p.W970*/87.9
|
5.708
|
16
|
ATRX:c.5567-2A > G/55.4
|
ATRX:p.R2059K/26.3
|
0.475
|
6
|
CDKN2A:c.151-1G > T/2.3
|
GNAQ:p.T96S/15.2
|
6.609
|
13
|
PTEN:p.Y16*/4.1
|
NF1:p.G1678Efs*3/1.4
|
0.341
|
14
|
TP53:p.I195T/0.5
|
GNAQ:p.T96S/25.7
|
51.4
|
20
|
BRAF:p.V600E/0.5
|
KLF4:p.S196L/0.9
|
1.8
|
23
|
SETD2:p.R1543W/6.9
|
TERT:c.-124C > T/11.3
|
1.637
|
Patient 10 was initially diagnosed with multiple lesions in the right frontal lobe and left cerebral peduncle by imaging, then Patient 10 underwent the first surgery to resect the lesions in the right frontal lobe, the pathological diagnosis was diffuse mesenchymal astrocytoma, WHO grade III. We collected TISF 1 samples at 127 days after diagnosis and detected only 5 mutations with VAF less than 1%. This was consistent with the slow progression of the tumour on imaging up to Day 157. 263 days after diagnosis, the patient underwent a second surgical resection of the left cerebral peduncle lesion due to progressive symptoms, TISF 2 and TISF 3 samples were collected preoperatively and postoperatively, respectively (Fig. 5a). The pathology of the left cerebral peduncle lesion was identical to that of the right frontal lobe, suggesting a common origin of the two tumors. Further analysis revealed a large number of subclonal mutations that appeared after the initial tumor in this patient's TISF samples, most of which had significantly lower VAFs compared to trunk mutations and probably faded away. For example: PMS2 p.E5K in TISF 1 samples and PIK3CA p.V346E in TISF 2 samples, which were detected with very low VAF values in only one TISF sample and disappeared at the next sample (Fig. 5b). In addition, we also observed that some subclonal mutations did not disappear during tumor progression and their load increased further to near or above the trunk mutation. For example, PDGFRA:p.V536E and CDKN2A:p.L16Pfs*9 mutations in TISF 2 and TISF 3 samples (Fig. 5b). PDGFRA:p.V536E VAF increased from 5.6–23.5%. In particular, PDGFRA:p.V536E is an activating mutation and can overactivate RTK/RAS/PI3K pathway (8). The CDKN2A:p.L16Pfs*9 mutation is a frame shift mutation, and its VAF increases from 2.0–19.3%. The frame shift mutation from the 16th amino acid is likely to cause severe damage to protein function. And this further would cause activation of cell cycle protein-dependent kinase, leading to tumor cell growth and proliferation(9). Meanwhile the tumor load increased rapidly on imaging after the second surgery. This suggests a correlation between the appearance of these dominant subclones and tumor progression.
In addition, MLH1:p.S627F and MSH2:p.Q337* in Patient 12 and MSH6:p.w970* in Patient 5 also showed an increased load (Fig. 6). In particular, the VAF of MSH6:p.w970* from Patient 5 increased from 26.1% in the TISF 1 sample to 87.9% in the TISF 2 sample, which far exceeded the VAF of the shared mutation PDGFRA:p.E997Q and other mutations. What's more, this patient developed intracranial metastases when the TISF 1 sample was obtained, and the tumor growth rate increased in imaging after this period (Fig. 5d). Note that MSH2:p.Q337*, MSH6:p.w970* are nonsense mutations, which produce termination codon and cause early termination of protein coding. Whereas MLH1, MSH2 and MSH6 are important components of the MMR, MMR dysfunction is a feature of TMZ resistance(10).
Overall, these dominant subclonal alterations give the corresponding subclonal groups a stronger competitive edge and allow them to gradually dominate the tumor progression and lead to recurrence, malignant progression and distant metastasis, which also suggests the importance of treatment targeting those mutations.
Characteristic molecular trajectory changes under treatment stress
The alkylating agent TMZ is widely used in the treatment of glioma as the prominent treatment for glioma other than surgery. However, the persistence of TMZ-induced O6MeG in DNA can lead to C > T/G > A transitions during DNA replication(10, 11). We defined these C > T/G > A transitions found in TISF samples and not detected in the initial tumor as TMZ-associated mutations, and further investigated the characteristics of these mutations.
As mentioned above, Patient 12 and Patient 5 had TMZ-associated dominant subclonal mutations, and further exploration revealed that the generation of these dominant subclones may be part of the characteristic alterations under TMZ treatment. Patient 12 underwent surgical resection and was diagnosed with oligodendrocytoma, WHO grade III. Prior to the collection of TISF 1 sample, the tumor remained stable, and accordingly, all 33 mutations detected in TISF 1 samples had VAF values less than 1.5%. Thereafter, the tumor load gradually increased on imaging and the overall VAF of TISF 2 was significantly higher than that of TISF 1 (P = 0.004, Fig. 6c). Meanwhile, MLH 1: p.S627F and MSH 2: p.Q337* mutations representing treatment resistance were detected in the TISF 2 sample. Day 161 Patient 10 was treated with BEV, while tumor volume reduction on imaging and decreased mutational load in TISF 3 sample. However, soon thereafter the tumor progressed significantly again and 184 mutations was observed in TISF 4 (Fig. 6b). In addition, except for shared mutations, the proportion of total TMZ-associated mutation VAFs in Patient 10's TISF 1 was 36.3%, while this proportion increased to 99.93% and 96.24% in TISF 2 and TISF 4 samples, suggesting a progressive dominance of TMZ-associated mutations in all de novo tumor mutations (Fig. 5f).
Likewise, Patient 5 underwent surgical resection and was diagnosed with glioblastoma, WHO grade IV. As previously described, this patient had a dominant subclonal mutation of MSH6:p.W970*, which VAF is 26.1% in the TISF 1 sample, and distant metastases occurred at the time of collection of the TISF 1 sample (Fig. 6d). After that, rapid tumor progression was observed on imaging, with MSH6:p.W970* mutation VAF reaching 87.9% in the subsequent TISF 2 sample (Fig. 6d and 6e). In addition, the proportion of TMZ-associated mutation VAFs in TISF 1 and TISF 2 were 99.93% and 96.24%, the number of TMZ-associated mutations in TISF 1 and TISF 2 were 188 and 263, respectively. The molecular evolutionary trajectory of these two patients reflected the TMZ-induced features, i.e., a survival advantage of MMR alterations and a progressive increase in the number and proportion of C > T/G > A transition mutations, eventually extensive mutations in the genome occur.
More importantly, in Patient 12's TISF 2 sample there has not yet been an explosion of mutations emerging, but MMR mutations have emerged as the dominant subclone and TMZ-associated mutations account for 99.93% of all mutations. This may be an early warning message of TMZ-induced extensive mutations, because at this time TMZ-associated mutations start to dominate and MMR dysfunction eliminates the opportunity to repair O6MeG-induced mismatches during DNA replication. The subsequent extensive mutations detected in the TISF 4 samples confirmed this conjecture.
Two features were found in TISF samples before and after Patient 12 received BEV: (i) the number of mutations and overall VAF decreased significantly in TISF 3 samples after BEV treatment, and the MMR dominant subclonal mutations were suppressed. However, TISF 4, which was collected only 4 months after TISF 3, has an explosive increase in the number of TMZ-associated mutations (Fig. 6b and 6f). The reason is presumed to be the continued accumulation of O6MeG in DNA caused by TMZ, and the presence of large amounts of O6MeG could lead to a dramatic increase of de novo mutations; (ii) the dominant subclonal mutations and trunk mutations other than IDH in the TISF 2 samples did not appear in the TISF 3 and TISF 4 samples after BEV treatment (Fig. 6b), which indicates that the tumor clonal structure is changed after BEV application. However, BEV is currently thought to affect the tumor microenvironment rather than the tumor cells and has no effect on overall survival(12). Whether the altered tumor clonal structure comes from the application of BEV remains to be discussed. On the other hand, it also suggests the presence of ancestral clones containing IDH trunk mutations, and this clonal population is resistant to alkylating agent treatment and targeted therapy (13).