The results of genetic analysis find a mean multilocus Ho of 0.578 and a mean He of 0.529 for 90 identified Qinling pandas. Although these values are greater than those in previous studies, this does not directly comparable between studies and necessarily mean that the genetic diversity of Qinling pandas has increased. This is because the number of microsatellite and sample sizes we used is different from those in previous studies.
He, namely the expected heterozygosity, refers to the proportion of expected heterozygous genotypes under Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium38. It is a common statistic for evaluating genetic variation within population. When the total number of genes to be examined is fixed, the number of loci and individuals matter to estimate the average He39. Ho, the observed heterozygosity, refers to the ratio of the number of observed heterozygous individuals to total number of sample individuals. Higher level of heterozygosity indicates greater genetic diversity of the species. Compared to studies16,34,37, we find more microsatellite alleles variants. Besides, all studies differentiated in sample sizes and sampling locations. Therefore, it cannot be directly concluded that the genetic diversity of Qinling panda has grown.
However, the Na, Ho, and He value gained (Table 3) may suggest that the genetic diversity of Qinling panda is not low. Our study makes use of 12 microsatellites to conduct the genetic analysis. The Ho is found greater than the He, suggesting that the population has not been significantly affected by inbreeding. This pattern is similar to previous studies on the Qinling pandas34,36,37, but different from Zhang35, in which Ho < He. The difference may be mainly due to the variation of sampling locations - we collected samples in four counties whereas Zhang only sampled in Foping Natural Reserve.
Furthermore, compared to the previous studies which found low genetic diversity of Qinling panda17,18 [17, 18], this study utilized microsatellite markers. Microsatellites, as co-dominant and highly polymorphic molecular markers, have basically replaced other markers in ecology and evolution research40, and outstand in the field of population genetic analysis as the most effective molecular markers41. The genetic richness of Qinling panda is influenced by the sensitivity of molecular markers. The microsatellite markers used in this study are found higher than that of isozyme markers (e.g. used in Ref.[18]) 42.
The possible changes in genetic diversity may come from the increase of the population size. Neutral theory predicts that there is a positive correlation between genetic diversity and effective population size43. According to the National Survey on Giant Pandas3, the number of Qinling pandas has increased from 275 (the third survey) to 345 (the fourth survey), and thus there is an increase reflected on the values.
Another fact worth mentioning is that the overall level of genetic diversity in Qinling panda population presents to be lower compared to four extant mountain populations (Qionglai, Liangshan, Daxiangling and Xiaoxiangling) in Sichuan Province37,44,45. In small populations, random genetic drift tends to reduce genetic variability and may eventually form a homozygosity in the population. In our study, some microsatellite loci present homozygous in samples from Liuba County. Because of habitat fragmentation in Qinling Mountains, very limited Qinling panda individuals are found in some habitat patches such as Qingmuchuan subpopulation (2), Taibaihe subpopulation (3) and Pingheliang subpopulation (7)3. Whether these subpopulations have undergone genetic drift is unknown. Therefore, continuing to pay attention to the relationship between population size and genetic diversity of Qinling pandas is one of the priorities in the future.
The study also finds that Qinling pandas in the country are genetically related (data unpublished). Estimation of He will be less accurate and precise when individuals are related or inbred, owing to increased dependence among allele copies in the sample46. Also, as we cannot determine the gender of all individuals, the parentage relationship has not been estimated. To date, the genetic relationship of wild Qinling pandas is lack of study and research addressing this issue is expected.
In this study, FIS value shows that these Qinling pandas presented a slight deviation from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium balance (FIS = -0.048). FIS values reflect deviation from Hardy-Weinberger equilibrium genotype frequencies and indirectly reflect relative population heterozygosity. The 6 of the 12 loci have FIS value lower than − 0.1, suggesting an excess of heterozygosity. Zhang showed that 4 loci exhibit heterozygous excess35. Ji 36 also found two loci deviated significantly from the Hardy-Weinberg balance at (p < 0.01) level, and two loci deviated significantly from the Hardy-Weinberg balance at (p < 0.05) level. The deviating loci do not show insufficient heterozygosity, indicating that the Qinling pandas have not been affected by inbreeding. The habitat changes have hindered genetic communication between individuals, which may be the reason why the Qinling pandas deviated from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.
Geographical isolation may lead to population genetic drift and reduce gene flow. The reduction of gene flow will lead to genetic differentiation between groups, resulting in the decline or even loss of genetic diversity of isolated small populations. As aforementioned, the Pingheliang and Tianhuashan habitats are isolated due to deforestation and agricultural production; the habitats of Tianhuashan and Xinglongling are isolated due to the disturbance of national highway 108 and human activities along the national highway; the agricultural production along the Xushui River has led to the isolation of the Niuweihe habitat from the Xinglongling habitat; the Qingmuchuan habitat is far away from several habitats of the Qinling Mountains, and cannot be connected with other habitat patches in Shaanxi4; the construction of Yangxian-Taibai highway has further exacerbated the habitat fragmentation at the two sides of the highway5. Based on geographic isolation, habitat disturbance and natural roads, the Fourth National Survey on Giant Pandas has suggested that the Qinling giant panda population is composed of six subpopulations3. Moreover, since the Third National Survey on Giant Pandas, the number of tourist attractions in the main distribution area and the surrounding areas of giant pandas has increased significantly, which has caused a significant threat to the giant panda habitat47. Although the number of Qinling pandas as well as habitat areas have increased since the third national survey, the threat to population development, population fragmentation and increased genetic pressure have not been removed47.
Geographically restricted gene flow forms genetic structure in which IBD is generated. IBD occurs in two cases. One is a continuously distributed population in which dispersal of germ cells and/or oosperms is spatially restricted, and the other is subdivided populations in which the speed of gene exchange between subpopulations depends on the distance48.
The development of genetic structure in different IBD models can be described by Whight’s theoretical analysis of IBD22,49,50. IBD analyses may help understand the influence of population history which is different from persistent gene flow.On the other head, it can also test the credibility of different dispersal pathways51. Besides, the effect of geographic features or specific life-history traits on population differentiation can also be examined52. The Mantel test provides a approach to calculate the correlation between distance matrices53 and has been widely used in ecological and evolutionary studies. In this study, Mantel test found genetic distance and genetic distance are positively correlated (p = 0.001). This echoes with Ma et al.34. One reason for the result may be the dispersal mode of Qinling pandas. It is therefore indicated that the division of subpopulations in the fourth survey make sense for Qinling pandas. However, since the gender of wild giant pandas was not completely identified, our study does not have data for spatial autocorrelation analysis of giant pandas of different genders. It is also important to study the relationship between gender and IBD in the future.
For the propose of Qinling panda’s genetic diversity conservation, it is important to enhance the genetic exchange between different habitat patches in the Qinling Mountains. Subpopulations with very limited individuals (such as Qingmuchuan and Taibaihe population) should be given particular attentions.