Main Objectives
The main objectives of the AZTEC-FU are to compare respiratory, neurodevelopmental, growth and mortality outcomes at one and two years of corrected age in infants who received azithromycin or placebo in the early neonatal period.
The specific aims are to compare between the treated and placebo groups (Figure2):
Mortality:
- Total number of deaths occurring from birth to one- and two-year corrected age will be reported as will those occurring (a) from birth to 36 weeks’ PMA (which will have been reported in the AZTEC trial), (b) 36 weeks to never discharged, and (c) after discharge.
Respiratory
The main outcome will be parent reported wheezing at one year of corrected age. The following outcomes will also be reported:
- Length of the initial neonatal stay in hospital
- Number of children discharged home on domiciliary ambulatory oxygen
- Length of oxygen supplementation (including at home)
- Parent reported wheeze from discharge to two years of corrected age
- Number of respiratory hospital admissions up to one year and two years of corrected age
- Number of prescribed respiratory drugs.
- Survival (from birth) without parent reported wheeze at one year of and two years of corrected age
Neurodevelopmental
The main outcome will be survival (from birth) without combined moderate/severe neurodevelopmental disability at two years of corrected age. The following outcomes will also be reported at two years of corrected age:
- Moderate/severe neurodevelopmental disability
- The proportion of infants who develop moderate-severe neurodevelopmental impairment, defined as Parent Report of Children’s Abilities–Revised (PARCA-R) questionnaire score of <44
- Overall motor skills as well as fine and gross motors scores
- Overall language scores as well as expressive and receptive language scores
- Overall cognition score
Combined moderate/severe neurodevelopmental will be defined, as previously(28, 29) as any of the following:
- moderate or severe visual impairment (reduced vision uncorrected with aids, blindness in one eye with good vision in the contralateral eye, or blindness or light perception only)
- moderate or severe hearing impairment (hearing loss corrected with aids, some hearing loss uncorrected by aids, or deafness)
- moderate or severe gross motor impairment (inability to walk or sit independently)
- moderate or severe cognitive impairment will be defined using PARCA-R or by using clinical data if PARCA-R scores are missing. Total PARCA-R scores of less than 44 (range, 0 to 158, with lower scores indicating greater impairment) will be used to identify children with moderate or severe developmental impairment
Growth
- Weight, height and head circumference will be reported at one and two years of corrected age after adjusting for sex and gestation.
Adverse Events
- We shall also report the rates of reported pyloric stenosis in the active treatment and placebo groups at one year of corrected age.
Biological Sample Analysis
- The respiratory and stool samples collected during the AZTEC trial(27) will additionally be analysed to investigate whether, when compared to the placebo group, azithromycin alters the cytokine, proteomic and microbiome profiles in lung or stool samples as well as any modification that occurs in those colonised by Ureaplasma spp.
Design
AZTEC is a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial using azithromycin or placebo as previously described(27). The AZTEC-FU will continue to follow up the infants recruited to AZTEC up to two years of corrected age. The participants and researchers will continue to remain blinded for the AZTEC-FU.
Data between 36 weeks’ PMA and discharge from the neonatal unit are collected from a dedicated discharge clinical record form (CRF); neonatal discharge summaries and clinic letters; NDAU data; and from the parents. When the infants enrolled in the AZTEC trial reach one-year and two years of corrected age, we are contacting the parents/guardians by mailing them a validated (a) respiratory and (b) neurodevelopmental questionnaire. In addition, we are asking the parents/guardians for (c) information on any hospital admissions; and (d) growth data of their babies from the Red Book system in the UK which records growth data by Health Visitors and at local hospital follow up clinics. An option is available to complete the questionnaire on a secure online site. In parallel, we are contacting local hospitals for clinic letters from which relevant data are extracted: including a) respiratory symptoms, b) developmental progress, c) growth, d) hospital admissions, and e) any medication especially respiratory and antibiotic usage. In addition, we are also contacting the General Practitioners for clinic letters, discharge summaries and a copy of the GP record for the children to provide an additional route to collect the above information. Data will also be obtained from NHS Digital for information on hospital admissions and outpatients’ attendances and from the National Database Analyses Unit (NDAU) at Imperial College, a central repository where most of the UK neonatal units send their clinical data(30)(Figure 1).
Patient and Public Involvement
Input from parents of preterm-born children was given during the grant application on the design and conduct of the study and parents were part of the Trials Management Group and Trials Steering Committee. Parents with previous preterm-born children as well as senior neonatal nurses and doctors also reviewed the information sheets and questionnaires. Amendments were made after their input.
Setting
Infants have been enrolled on the AZTEC trial from 28 tertiary neonatal units and approximately 77 step-down units in the United Kingdom. Where parental consent permits, they are being followed up at one and two years of corrected age.
Inclusion Criteria
- Participation in the AZTEC trial.
- Survival at 36 weeks’ PMA
- Consent provided by the parents/guardians to be contacted for follow up at one and two years of corrected age.
Exclusion Criteria
- Withdrawal from AZTEC
- Parents/Guardians did not provide consent to follow up at one and two years corrected age
- Death prior to 36 weeks’ PMA
- Post-discharge Survival not confirmed
Trial Intervention
As previously described(27), infants born at <30 weeks’ gestation, within 72 hours of birth, were treated intravenously for ten days with 20 mg/kg azithromycin for 3 days, followed by a further 7 days of 10 mg/kg or with similarly constituted and administered placebo.
Trial Procedures
Site selection and training
Tertiary and step-down units who were involved in AZTEC have been invited to participate. Sites only need to provide copies of clinic letters and discharge summaries thus no formal training is required.
Participant Recruitment
During the AZTEC trial, the AZTEC-FU is also discussed, and consent obtained from the parents/guardians for follow up to two years of corrected age.
Screening and Consent
Eligible infants are being screened postnatally against the inclusion and exclusion criteria as previously described(27). At the initial consent procedure for inclusion in the AZTEC study, the parents/guardians optionally consent to follow up at one and two years of corrected age with an additional option to contact the infant’s general practitioner (GP). In addition, the parents/guardians can optionally consent for their babies’ data to be reviewed on relevant databases such as NHS Digital and NDAU. Any participant withdrawals or deaths during the initial neonatal unit stay are communicated by the AZTEC team to the AZTEC-FU team. Continued consent is also presumed if the parents/guardians complete and return the completed questionnaire at one and two years of corrected age. The parents/guardians right to withdraw from the study at any time without affecting their infant’s clinical care is clearly communicated.
Randomisation
The recruited infants were randomized to either active treatment or placebo as previously described(27). Double blinding is being maintained for the AZTEC-FU.
Data Collection
All collected data are securely and confidentially stored with restricted access on Cardiff University servers according to the University’s security policy.
Questionnaires at One- and Two-Year’s Corrected Age
For those who consented to follow up, a questionnaire including a covering letter explaining the study, an information sheet explaining the questionnaire, a stamped questionnaire return envelope and a
voucher to thank the parents for their baby’s participation in the study are mailed. The letter also contains a personalized Quick Response (QR) code and website URL link which they can use if they wish to complete the questionnaire via a secure online website(Online Surveys, Jisc, Bristol, UK).
The questionnaire at one-year corrected age captures respiratory symptoms, the infant’s and family history of atopy, number of course of antibiotics, number of hospital admissions, maternal smoking during pregnancy and current smoking in the family who share the house with the infant, information on siblings, as well as general developmental questions and entries for the infant’s weight, length/height and head circumference. The questionnaire also specifically asks if the infant has had pyloric stenosis(21).
At two years of corrected age, the questionnaire captures the same information as year one, but with greater detailed neurodevelopment data captured via using the PARCA-R questionnaire which has been validated against Bayley’s Scales of Infant Development Version III assessments(31).
Data from General Practitioners
At one and two years of corrected age for the infants whose parents/guardians have consented to the AZTEC-FU, the GPs are contacted for copies of the infant’s notes including medical or surgical consultations, hospital discharge summaries and outpatient clinic or in-patient letters. Data is being extracted from these records by the AZTEC-FU team including information on number of hospital admissions, diagnoses, duration of home oxygen therapy (if applicable) and drug history.
National Database Analyses Unit (NDAU)
NDAU collates neonatal data provided for each neonatal admission by almost units in the United Kingdom. Data collected includes information on initial neonatal admission as well as neurodevelopmental data at two years of corrected age, most commonly assessed by using Bayley’s Scales of Infant Development Version III, but during the COVID pandemic many units are increasingly using PARCA-R as a screening tool. Data are being provided annually by NDAU for each infant recruited to the AZTEC trial for infant’s whose parents/guardians have provided appropriate consent.
NHS Digital
It is anticipated that data for infants recruited to the AZTEC trial can be obtained from NHS Digital, once the relevant permissions have been obtained for infants whose parents/guardians have provided appropriate consent for access to the infant’s data from relevant databases. NHS Digital Data should provide additional and confirmatory data obtained from the various sources outlined above including hospital and general practitioner records.
Hospital Data
At one and two years corrected age the infant’s local hospital is being contacted if we have the relevant consent from the parents/guardians to supply the infant’s hospital discharge summaries and clinic letters.
Data Analysis
Sample size
The initial sample size was calculated for the main AZTEC trial: for 12% improvement of survival without CLD, with an alpha of 0.05 and power of 0.90, would require 796 including 10% drop out. The study recruitment completed in March 2022 recruiting 799 infants. For the current study, the power available will depend on returns of questionnaires and collection of data from a wide variety of sources. Mortality between 36+1 weeks and one year of corrected age is estimated to be <5% (with negligible occurring in the second year) and the baseline wheezing rate at one year of corrected age for children born ≤30 weeks’ gestation is estimated at 60-65%(6) and 50-55% for moderate/severe neurodevelopmental disability (28, 29). The tables show the effect size for the parent-reported wheezing at any time during first year of life (Table 1) and for survival without developing moderate/severe neurodevelopmental at two years corrected age (Table 2) at an alpha of 0.05 and power of 0.80 and 0.90. It is reasonable to expect approximately 70-75% outcome data from the anticipated 700-725 survivors at 36 weeks’ PMA for the follow up studies, i.e. approximately 500. These should be able to detect differences of 12.7% at power of 0.80 and alpha of 0.05 for parent reported wheezing at one-year corrected age between the azithromycin and placebo groups. A similar 12.7% difference should be detectable for in survival without developing moderate/severe neurodisability at two years of corrected age between the two treatment arms.
Table 1 – Estimated effect size for respiratory outcome (wheeze at any time during first year of life) for anticipated questionnaire returns:
Power 0.8, alpha 0.05, initial incidence of wheeze 65%
|
Size per group
|
Prevalence of wheezing after treatment
|
Detectable effect size
|
350
|
54.3%
|
10.7%
|
300
|
53.5%
|
11.5%
|
250
|
52.3%
|
12.7%
|
200
|
50.7%
|
14.3%
|
Power 0.9, alpha 0.05, initial incidence of wheeze 65%
|
|
Size per group
|
Prevalence of wheezing after treatment
|
Detectable effect size
|
350
|
52.7%
|
12.3%
|
300
|
51.7%
|
13.3%
|
250
|
50.4%
|
14.6%
|
200
|
48.5%
|
16.5%
|
Table 2 – Estimated effect size for neurodevelopmental outcome (survival at two years without moderate/severe neurodevelopmental impairment) for anticipated questionnaire returns:
Power 0.8, alpha 0.05, initial incidence of survival without moderate/severe neurodevelopmental impairment of 50%
|
Size per group
|
|
Detectable effect size
|
350
|
60.7%
|
10.7%
|
300
|
61.6%
|
11.6%
|
250
|
62.7%
|
12.7%
|
200
|
64.4%
|
14.6%
|
Power 0.9, alpha 0.05, initial incidence of survival without moderate/severe neurodevelopmental impairment of 50%
|
|
Size per group
|
|
Detectable effect size
|
350
|
62.3%
|
12.3%
|
300
|
63.3%
|
12.3%
|
250
|
64.6%
|
14.6%
|
200
|
66.4%
|
16.4%
|
Statistical Analysis
A statistical analysis plan will be developed prior to the end of the study. Baseline descriptors will be given. Data analyses will be conducted to identify any differences in the respiratory, neurodevelopmental, and growth outcomes; as well as hospital admissions between the placebo and the treatment group using two-by-two tables and Chi-square testing. We shall consider p<0.05 as statistically significant and report 95% confidence intervals. We shall also model the data, as in our previous publications(6), to identify early life factors that may result in long-term respiratory/neurodevelopmental abnormalities including presence/absence of Ureaplasma spp at baseline before intervention commenced in the neonatal period; and if the treatment effect is influenced by early life factors e.g. gestation, sex, use of mechanical ventilation, etc. Initially, we shall report the univariable data with a view to including any relevant factors into a model (using linear or logistic regression as appropriate). Missing data will be included in the analysis as missing data.
Secondary Analysis
Presence of Ureaplasma spp at baseline (i.e., before randomisation) will be added as an interaction term for the main analyses of parent reported wheezing at one-year corrected age and for survival without development of moderate/severe neurodevelopmental disability at two-year of corrected age. Main effects and interactions will be reported, as well as the p-value for the interaction term. Subgroup-specific estimates (with accompanying 95% confidence intervals) for each outcome will also be derived from model estimates.