The overall EP rate in our study conducted throughout a 10-year period, was 1.8% (95% CI 1.5–2.1) of all pregnancies. This rate is similar to the general population, where EPs account for 1–2% of all pregnancies [1]. Thus, our results do not suggest that patients who underwent MAP procedures have an increased risk of developing EP. The incidence noted in our study is also consistent with other recent contributions which evaluated EP rate in the ART population [4, 6, 32].
Importantly, over the years, we observed a decrease in EP incidence after frozen ET (Fig. 1). This trend could be the consequence of the changes in the Italian law regulating ART (i.e., law 40/2004) [33]. In fact, in 2009, the lawmaker revoked both the insemination limit to a maximum of three oocytes and the obligation to transfer all the obtained embryos at the same time [33]. In the first following years, a progressive increase in the number of frozen-thawed ET cycles occurred. However, the policy of elective single blastocyst transfer took a few more years to take hold. One can thus speculate that the higher incidence of EPs observed in the first part of the study period is due to the widespread practice of transferring two or more frozen-thawed embryos. In fact, the analysis of data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s United States ART Surveillance System showed a progressive increase in the risk of EP as the number of transferred embryos increases [4].
Having a positive history for pelvic adhesions was shown to have a relevant impact on the EP rate (aOR 2.24 95% CI 1.503.37, p < 0.001). The observed association was expected since tubal anatomy can be distorted after pelvic infections or endometriosis and it is well known that pelvic adhesions are a significant risk factor for EP in both natural and assisted conception [1, 4, 33]. In addition, the entity of this association was even more pronounced when the analysis was restricted to the fresh ET subgroup (aOR 2.49 95% CI 1.53–4.07 p < 0,001) (Table 4). This may be explained by the known modification of the hormonal balance. Indeed, the high estrogen levels may alter the uterine environment leading to a more pronounced uterine contractility and, as a consequence, to an increased risk of retrograde movement of the embryo in the fallopian tube [34, 35] [17, 32, 36], even if no significant impact of the serum dosage of estradiol at the trigger day on EP was detected in fresh cycles (calculated per 100 pg/ml ) (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00- 1.03, p = 0.089; aOR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99–1.03, p = 0.228). Likewise, high progesterone levels are supposed to be responsible for a dysfunctional tubal peristalsis that may lead to a higher EP rate in fresh cycles [37].
In our study, embryo transferred at blastocyst stage in fresh cycles emerged as a possible risk factor for EP (OR 1.34 95% CI 1.03–1.74, p = 0.030: aOR 1.32 95% CI 1.01–1.72, p = 0.043). A blastocyst has a higher implantation potential than a cleavage-stage embryo [38]. The combined effect of the higher blastocyst implantation potential and the increased uterine contractility in the fresh cycle environment may be a possible explanation to this finding. On the other hand, previous studies reported a reduced risk of EPs in frozen/thawed blastocyst ET [12, 21, 39]. Moreover, as reported in supplementary table 2, notably if the number of transferred blastocysts was one, the p was not significant, so that it was possible to conclude that the transfer of blastocyst embryos in fresh cycles could significantly influence the risk of EP only if the number of transferred blastocysts is more than one. Single fresh blastocyst transfers did not increase the risk of ectopic pregnancy. The factors influencing the choice between cleavage or blastocyst stage embryo transfer greatly vary from one fertility clinic to another and may act as further confounding factors. Future studies considering possible covariates are thus warranted before drawing conclusion about the impact of embryo stage on the risk of EP.
Results about the association between biomarkers of ovarian reserve and EP risk are conflicting.
On the one hand, we observed a lower EP risk in women in the high serum FSH category in fresh ET cycles (OR 0.88 95% CI 0.80–0.96, p = 0.005; aOR 0.87 95% CI 0.79–0.96, p = 0.003). This finding is not in line with most of the current literature [40–42] showing either a higher risk of EP in women with high FSH serum concentration or the lack of an association. [43–45].
On the other hand, in the frozen ET group, high serum AMH concentration resulted associated with a reduction (OR 0.77 95% CI 0.62–0.96, p = 0.022; aOR 0.81 95% CI 0.65–1.00, p = 0.048). This finding agrees with the previous contribution on this issue [46]. Combining these contradictory findings into a unique explanation is a difficult task. Considering the non-negligible prevalence of this condition, more studies specifically designed to address this issue should be carried out.
A difficult ET (i.e., an ET which required more than one attempt, cervical manipulation or that was associated with pain or bleeding) emerged as a possible risk factor in fresh cycles (aOR 1.86 95% CI 1.18–2.93, p = 0.007). It is well known that a difficult ET is associated with an increased risk of failed transfer. This occurs most commonly with a traumatic deposition of the embryo resulting from a difficult manipulation of the catheter inside the uterus, which may stimulate uterine contractions [47, 48]. These uterine contractions have been linked to a relocation of the embryo once placed in the uterus [48, 49]. The enhancement of uterine combinations favored by the concomitant ovarian stimulation could justify the observed association.
Therefore, a relevant attention should be put on the embryo transfer procedure, and on the possibility of better outcomes when the procedure is performed by an expert operator. This is described by a previous study which shows how the expertise of the operator performing embryo transfer is a crucial factor affecting the outcome of the ART cycle. [23]
Surprisingly, we failed to identify an association between tubal factor infertility and EP risk. Although tubal infertility is a known and well established risk factor for EP [1], its evaluation may be difficult [50]. Tubal receptivity and abnormal tubal contractility cannot be assessed in every day clinical practice. Furthermore, according to our protocols, women who have an a priori indication to IVF don’t routinely undergo tubal patency evaluation. Henceforth, an underestimation of tubal factor infertility cannot be excluded making the observed association poorly reliable.
Our results did not show any statistically significant difference in the association between fresh or frozen ET and EP rates in both univariable and multivariable analysis. These are in line with previous research which also failed to show a relationship between EP and the type of ET [6, 16].
Strengths, limitations, need for future research and main conclusion of the study
The strengths of our study include the large number of cycles analyzed and the length of the study period. In addition, thanks to our strict protocols, patients lost at follow-up were few, 13 over 7,365 pregnancies (0.17%). Moreover, differently from other large studies which used national ART registries, our internal web-based database enabled us to collect information on established risk factors for EP, including previous obstetric and gynecological history, smoking habits, and uterine surgeries.
However, there are also some limitations. First, owing to the retrospective study design, several data in the dataset could be either conflicting or potentially incorrect. Previous ectopic pregnancies may be an instance of misleading data, due to missing information on the time of its occurrence.
In addition, we did not consider biochemical pregnancies in our study. Biochemical pregnancies are considered a very early pregnancy loss, i.e. a pregnancy that does not develop normally and that fails to progress [51]. Therefore, biochemical pregnancies may be regarded as an early EP which results in no implantation and miscarriage [52]. Lack of inclusion of biochemical pregnancies may have, thus, led to a possible EP incidence underestimation.
On the other hand, we might also have overestimated EP incidence due to our pregnancy follow-up protocol. In fact, we routinely perform ultrasonography four weeks after fresh ET, FET or IUI procedures (6th week of gestation). In contrast, in the general non-infertile population, first trimester obstetric ultrasound, in the absence of specific indications, is usually performed later. Several naturally conceived EPs which undergo spontaneous resolution are thus erroneously classified as spontaneous miscarriage or biochemical pregnancies. Furthermore, pregnancies conceived using ART may be monitored more closely, which may result in more frequent identification of EP than in spontaneously conceived pregnancies. It is also possible that some misclassification of ectopic pregnancies and miscarriages may have occurred, due to allocation of pregnancies of unknown location.