Comparison of demographic and clinical baseline data among the asymptomatic infection and mild groups combined, moderate group, and severe and critical groups combined
A total of 184 adult COVID-19 patients from the COVID-19 Treatment Center in Heilongjiang Province at the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University between January 2020 and March 2021 were included and divided into asymptomatic infection group (n = 16), mild group (n = 23), moderate group (n = 105), severe group (n = 33), and critical group (n = 7) according to the Diagnosis and Treatment of New Coronavirus Pneumonia (9th edition). Age, number of comorbidities, WBC, NEUT%, LYMPH, LYM%, PLT, CRP, AST, ALB, TB, IBIL, D-Dimer, LCR, and SOFA score showed significant difference among groups (P = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.021, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.014, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, respectively). No significant differences were observed in the remaining demographic and clinical baseline data, including gender, hypertension, diabetes, RDW, ALT, SCr, and DBIL (Table 1).
Table 1
Comparison of demographic and clinical baseline data among the asymptomatic infection and mild groups, moderate group, and severe and critical groups
|
Asymptomatic infection and mild groups
|
Moderate group
|
Severe and critical groups
|
Z/F/Χ2
|
P
|
Age
|
42.00 (31.00, 56.00)
|
62.00 (48.00, 67.00) a
|
68.00 (58.25, 75.75) ab
|
37.382
|
0.000
|
Gender (F/M)
|
19/20
|
61/44
|
22/18
|
1.016
|
0.602
|
Hypertension (Y/N)
|
6/33
|
38/67
|
14/26
|
5.989
|
0.052
|
Diabetes (Y/N)
|
1/38
|
15/90
|
8/32
|
5.626
|
0.060
|
Number of comorbidities
|
0 (0, 1)
|
1 (1, 3) a
|
3 (1, 4.75) ab
|
36.277
|
0.000
|
WBC
|
6.38 ± 2.04
|
5.29 ± 2.03 a
|
5.36 ± 2.47 a
|
3.930
|
0.021
|
NEUT%
|
62.37 ± 10.40
|
61.40 ± 11.92
|
73.63 ± 17.25 ab
|
13.397
|
0.000
|
LYMPH
|
1.50 (1.19, 1.83)
|
1.24 (0.89, 1.63)
|
0.65 (0.42, 0.99) ab
|
45.062
|
0.000
|
LYM%
|
25.37 ± 9.27
|
27.37 ± 9.85
|
15.85 ± 8.99 ab
|
21.281
|
0.000
|
RDW
|
40.20 (38.70, 42.20)
|
41.00 (38.40, 43.15)
|
41.55 (38.00, 43.93)
|
0.282
|
0.868
|
PLT
|
228.00 (177.00, 271.00)
|
174.00 (140.00, 228.00) a
|
148.00 (121.50, 209.25) a
|
16.799
|
0.000
|
CRP
|
4.57 ± 8.03
|
21.23 ± 38.73 a
|
52.76 ± 47.98 ab
|
17.474
|
0.000
|
ALT
|
23.60 (17.70, 36.89)
|
25.60 (17.50, 36.75)
|
28.61 (18.15, 38.70)
|
0.660
|
0.791
|
AST
|
19.50 (16.80, 24.83)
|
25.60 (19.36, 37.65) a
|
32.94 (20.50, 51.67) a
|
20.579
|
0.000
|
SCr
|
61.20 (48.99, 73.88)
|
62.25 (53.20, 73.75)
|
63.79 (51.10, 86.28)
|
0.376
|
0.829
|
ALB
|
42.93 ± 4.63
|
39.74 ± 5.00 a
|
34.85 ± 5.75 ab
|
25.551
|
0.000
|
TB
|
8.80 (4.55, 10.80)
|
7.80 (6.13, 11.71)
|
11.00 (7.74, 16.41) ab
|
15.929
|
0.000
|
DBIL
|
1.70 (0.00, 2.30)
|
2.00 (0.00, 3.10)
|
2.65 (0.00, 4.68)
|
5.685
|
0.058
|
IBIL
|
7.00 (3.13, 8.80)
|
6.74 (4.30, 8.81)
|
8.46 (5.67, 12.48) ab
|
8.519
|
0.014
|
D-Dimer
|
0.56 (0.47, 0.72)
|
0.74 (0.54, 1.01) a
|
1.17 (0.67, 3.01) ab
|
27.192
|
0.000
|
LCR
|
9554.14 (2560.61, 27000.00)
|
1404.96 (575.52, 4941.62) a
|
140.42 (71.32, 420.27) ab
|
76.498
|
0.000
|
SOFA score
|
0 (0, 0)
|
0 (0, 1)
|
3 (2, 5) ab
|
80.893
|
0.000
|
*a and b represents significant differences compared to asymptomatic infection and mild groups and moderate group, respectively. |
Comparison of demographic and clinical baseline data between asymptomatic infection and mild groups combined, and moderate, severe and critical groups combined
Age, hypertension, diabetes, number of comorbidities, WBC, LYMPH, PLT, CRP, AST, ALB, DBIL, D-Dimer, LCR, and SOFA score showed significant difference between groups (p = 0.000, = 0.015, = 0.029, = 0.000, = 0.001, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.033, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, respectively), while no significant differences were seen in the remaining demographic and clinical baseline data, including gender, NEUT%, LYM%, RDW, ALT, SCr, TB, and IBIL (Table 2).
Table 2
Comparison of demographic and clinical baseline data between asymptomatic infection and mild groups, and moderate, severe and critical groups
|
Asymptomatic infection and mild groups
|
Moderate, severe and critical groups
|
Z/t/Χ2
|
P
|
Age
|
42.00 (31.00, 56.00)
|
64.00 (50.50, 70.00)
|
-5.335
|
0.000
|
Gender (F/M)
|
19/20
|
83/62
|
0.904
|
0.342
|
Hypertension (Y/N)
|
6/33
|
52/93
|
5.970
|
0.015
|
Diabetes (Y/N)
|
1/38
|
23/122
|
4.792
|
0.029
|
Number of comorbidities
|
0 (0, 1)
|
2 (1, 3)
|
-5.058
|
0.000
|
WBC
|
5.98 (4.92, 7.46)
|
5.00 (3.85, 6.26)
|
-3.302
|
0.001
|
NEUT%
|
62.37 ± 10.40
|
64.77 ± 14.61
|
-0.963
|
0.337
|
LYMPH
|
1.50 (1.19, 1.83)
|
1.07 (0.67, 1.59)
|
-3.688
|
0.000
|
LYM%
|
25.37 ± 9.27
|
24.19 ± 10.89
|
0.619
|
0.537
|
RDW
|
40.20 (38.70, 42.20)
|
41.00 (38.35, 43.15)
|
-0.422
|
0.673
|
PLT
|
228.00 (177.00, 271.00)
|
168.00 (138.00, 224.00)
|
-3.722
|
0.000
|
CRP
|
1.68 (0.50, 6.02)
|
13.98 (3.94, 34.87)
|
-6.137
|
0.000
|
ALT
|
23.60 (17.70, 36.89)
|
27.00 (17.63, 36.90)
|
-0.608
|
0.543
|
AST
|
19.50 (16.80, 24.83)
|
27.30 (19.80, 42.04)
|
-4.162
|
0.000
|
SCr
|
62.20 (48.99, 73.88)
|
62.30 (52.35, 74.20)
|
-0.097
|
0.923
|
ALB
|
42.93 ± 4.63
|
38.39 ± 5.64
|
4.623
|
0.000
|
TB
|
8.80 (4.55, 10.80)
|
8.80 (6.55, 13.35)
|
-1.690
|
0.091
|
DBIL
|
1.70 (0.00, 2.30)
|
2.10 (0.00, 3.35)
|
-2.138
|
0.033
|
IBIL
|
7.00 (3.13, 8.80)
|
7.09 (4.40, 9.69)
|
-1.128
|
0.259
|
D-Dimer
|
0.56 (0.47, 0.72)
|
0.80 (0.56, 1.24)
|
-4.031
|
0.000
|
LCR
|
9554.14 (2560.61, 27000.00)
|
733.77 (241.72, 3629.01)
|
-6.211
|
0.000
|
SOFA score
|
0 (0, 0)
|
1 (0, 2)
|
-4.500
|
0.000
|
Analysis of the related factors to classify COVID-19 patients into moderate, severe and critical groups
The related factors to classify COVID-19 patients into moderate, severe and critical groups included age, number of comorbidities, WBC, LCR, and AST. With every unit change in age, number of comorbidities, WBC, LCR, and AST, the possibility of classifying COVID-19 patients into moderate, severe and critical groups was 1.054, 1.814, 0.719, 0.9999, and 1.064 of the original rates, respectively. Among these factors, number of comorbidities showed the greatest effect, and only WBC and LCR were protective factors (Table 3). The area under ROC curve of LCR to classify COVID-19 patients into moderate, severe and critical groups was 0.176 (Fig. 2 and Table 4). The cut-off value of LCR, and the sensitivity and specificity of ROC curve were 1780.7050, 84.6% and 66.2%, respectively.
Table 3
Analysis of the related factors to classify COVID-19 patients into moderate, severe and critical groups
|
B
|
SE
|
Wald
|
P value
|
OR
|
95% CI
|
Lower bound
|
Upper bound
|
Age
|
0.052
|
0.017
|
9.088
|
0.003
|
1.054
|
1.019
|
1.090
|
Number of comorbidities
|
0.595
|
0.265
|
5.038
|
0.025
|
1.814
|
1.078
|
3.051
|
WBC
|
-0.331
|
0.129
|
6.609
|
0.010
|
0.719
|
0.558
|
0.924
|
LCR
|
-0.00089
|
0.00025
|
12.359
|
0.000
|
0.9999
|
0.99986
|
0.99996
|
AST
|
0.062
|
0.027
|
5.335
|
0.021
|
1.064
|
1.009
|
1.122
|
Constant
|
-1.081
|
1.169
|
0.855
|
0.355
|
0.339
|
|
|
Table 4
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve
Area
|
SE
|
Asymptotic, P value
|
Asymptotic 95% CI
|
Lower Bound
|
Upper Bound
|
0.176
|
0.034
|
0.000
|
0.108
|
0.243
|
Comparison of demographic and clinical baseline data between asymptomatic infection, mild and moderate groups combined and severe and critical groups combined
Significant differences were obtained in age, number of comorbidities, NEUT%, LYMPH, LYM%, PLT, CRP, AST, ALB, TB, IBIL, D-Dimer, LCR, and SOFA score between groups (p = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.008, = 0.000, = 0.004, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.004, = 0.000, = 0.000, = 0.000, respectively), while no significant difference was observed in the remaining demographic and clinical baseline data, including gender, hypertension, diabetes, WBC, RDW, ALT, SCr, and DBIL (Table 5).
Table 5
Comparison of demographic and clinical baseline data between asymptomatic infection, mild and moderate groups combined and severe and critical groups combined
|
Asymptomatic infection, mild and moderate groups
|
Severe and critical groups
|
Z/t/Χ2
|
P
|
Age
|
55.50 (42.25, 66.00)
|
68.00 (58.25, 75.75)
|
-4.331
|
0.000
|
Gender (F/M)
|
80/64
|
22/18
|
0.004
|
0.950
|
Hypertension (Y/N)
|
44/100
|
14/26
|
0.286
|
0.592
|
Diabetes (Y/N)
|
16/128
|
8/32
|
2.181
|
0.140
|
Number of comorbidities
|
1 (0, 2)
|
3 (1, 4.75)
|
-4.529
|
0.000
|
WBC
|
5.27 (3.99, 6.78)
|
4.85 (3.79, 5.87)
|
-1.225
|
0.221
|
NEUT%
|
61.55 (53.95, 69.33)
|
75.8 (66.95, 85.08)
|
-5.249
|
0.000
|
LYMPH
|
1.35 (0.99, 1.69)
|
0.65 (0.42, 0.99)
|
-6.403
|
0.000
|
LYM%
|
26.82 ± 9.71
|
15.85 ± 8.99
|
6.424
|
0.000
|
RDW
|
40.8 (38.50, 42.88)
|
41.55 (38.00, 43.93)
|
-0.426
|
0.670
|
PLT
|
198.00 (149.75, 238.75)
|
148.00 (121.50, 209.25)
|
-2.668
|
0.008
|
CRP
|
6.30 (1.70, 14.48)
|
35.49 (20.90, 68.05)
|
-7.012
|
0.000
|
ALT
|
25.37 (17.55, 36.78)
|
28.61 (18.15, 38.70)
|
-0.685
|
0.494
|
AST
|
23.36 (18.00, 34.17)
|
32.94 (20.50, 51.67)
|
-2.873
|
0.004
|
SCr
|
62.08 (52.45, 73.16)
|
63.79 (51.10, 86.28)
|
-0.609
|
0.542
|
ALB
|
40.60 ± 5.09
|
34.85 ± 5.75
|
6.152
|
0.000
|
TB
|
8.10 (5.93, 10.98)
|
11.00 (7.74, 16.41)
|
-3.940
|
0.000
|
DBIL
|
1.85 (0.00, 3.00)
|
2.65 (0.00, 4.68)
|
-1.600
|
0.110
|
IBIL
|
6.77 (4.20, 8.78)
|
8.455 (5.67, 12.48)
|
-2.898
|
0.004
|
D-Dimer
|
0.69 (0.52, 0.94)
|
1.17 (0.67, 3.01)
|
-4.284
|
0.000
|
LCR
|
2407.47 (640.31, 8755.06)
|
140.42 (71.32, 420.27)
|
-7.621
|
0.000
|
SOFA score
|
0 (0, 1)
|
3 (2, 5)
|
-8.721
|
0.000
|
Analysis of the related factors to classify COVID-19 patients into severe and critical groups
The related factors to classify COVID-19 patients into severe and critical groups included number of comorbidities, PLT, LCR, and SOFA score. With every unit change in number of comorbidities, PLT, LCR, and SOFA score, the possibility of classifying COVID-19 patients into severe and critical groups was 1.466, 1.009, 0.9996, and 3.56 of the original rates, respectively. Among these factors, SOFA score showed the greatest effect, and only LCR was protective factor (Table 6). The area under ROC curve of LCR to classify COVID-19 patients into severe and critical groups was 0.106 (Fig. 3 and Table 7). The cut-off value of LCR and the sensitivity and specificity of ROC curve were 571.2200, 81.3% and 90.0%, respectively.
Table 6
Analysis of the related factors to classify COVID-19 patients into severe and critical groups
|
B
|
SE
|
Wald
|
df
|
P value
|
Exp(B)
|
95% C.I.
|
Lower
|
Upper
|
Number of comorbidities
|
0.382
|
0.180
|
4.527
|
1.000
|
0.033
|
1.466
|
1.031
|
2.084
|
PLT
|
0.009
|
0.004
|
4.002
|
1.000
|
0.045
|
1.009
|
1.000
|
1.018
|
LCR
|
-0.00039
|
0.00020
|
3.847
|
1.000
|
0.050
|
0.99960
|
0.99920
|
0.99999
|
SOFA score
|
1.270
|
0.256
|
24.542
|
1.000
|
0.000
|
3.560
|
2.154
|
5.884
|
Constant
|
-4.881
|
1.107
|
19.438
|
1.000
|
0.000
|
0.008
|
|
|
Table 7
Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve
Area
|
SE
|
Asymptotic, P value
|
Asymptotic 95% CI
|
Lower Bound
|
Upper Bound
|
0.106
|
0.026
|
0.000
|
0.054
|
0.157
|