PAAD is one of the most aggressive cancers with a mortality rate almost equal to its morbidity. Moreover, the PAAD incidence and mortality are rising in many countries, inducing a substantial global burden. However, its treatment remains challenging. Currently, only limited treatment options are available for PAAD patients, providing modest improvements in their prognosis (12). At present, a trustworthy molecular marker with a high prognostic value has not yet been determined for PAAD, and clinical staging and histopathological classification are the main criteria for prognosis. However, patients with similar clinical features have a different prognosis, which implies that these traditional methods are not enough for precise prognosis predictions. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to investigate the significance of immune checkpoint-related genes in PAAD prognosis and identify their unique prognostic significance in PAAD patients.
It has been reported that immune-related genes constitute robust prognostic indicators. The tumor immune microenvironment indicates the effects of immunotherapy and is closely related to patients’ prognoses (13). Additionally, previous studies have evaluated the value of genetic signatures based on immune-related genes for malignancy tumors (14-16). For example, our previous study regarding colon cancer presented a risk score model derived from four immune cells and was an independent predictive factor (11). Yi et al constructed a prognostic immune signature for lung adenocarcinoma comprehending 17-immune-related genes and validated its predictive capability (17). Moreover, immune checkpoints-based scoring systems can be used to predict prognosis and select adjuvant therapies for tumor patients. Zelin Hou et al reported a high expression level of the novel immune checkpoint protein- V-domain Ig suppressor of T cell activation (VISTA) in tumor-infiltrating CD68+ macrophages in PAAD (18). In this study, VISTA was associated with a favorable PAAD prognosis. However, since immunosuppression in the tumor environment is not only affected by a single factor, the accuracy of experiments based on only one molecule is not satisfactory. The complexity of tumor biology and the immune environment of PAAD make it unlikely to define a single biomarker for prognosis (19). A previous study integrated multiple immune checkpoints to establish a comprehensive immune scoring system that can help to improve prognosis prediction accuracy in gastric cancer (20). Therefore, it was meaningful to investigate a prognostic evaluation model for PAAD patients based on multiple immune checkpoints.
PAAD has been labeled as nonimmunogenic cancer due to its unique tumor microenvironment, consisting of a dense fibrotic stroma and a scarcity of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (21, 22). Therefore, despite the promising results of novel immunotherapies in multiple solid tumors, trials with single-agent immunotherapies in PAAD have been disappointing (23). Moreover, several cell types such as macrophages, myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSC), T regulatory cells (Tregs) as well as fibroblasts have been reported to contribute to the immunosuppressive pancreatic cancer microenvironment (23). In the present study, PAAD tissues demonstrated only a modest difference in the numbers of TIICs compared with normal tissues. This further demonstrated the highly tolerant and “immune quiescent” tumor microenvironment of PAAD.
Hence, a detailed and comprehensive evaluation of immune checkpoint gene expression in PAAD was performed on data derived from the TCGA database. In our current study, the expression of 12 immune checkpoint genes (CD40, TNFRSF4, CD86, LAIR1, TNFRSF14, HAVCR2, CD244, TMIGD2, TNFRSF9, KIR3DL1, TNFRSF8, and CD48) were downregulated in PAAD tissues compared with the normal group. It has been reported that CD40 and PLAU are involved in pancreatic cancer pathogenesis. Also, these genes play an important role in prognosis prediction (24, 25). It was reported that CD40 agonists can mediate tumor regression in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in mice and patients (26), in which the underlying immune mechanism can be both T-cell-dependent and T-cell-independent. In the present study, CD40 was downregulated in PAAD groups compared with normal tissues. Three immune checkpoint genes, OX40 (TNFRSF4), TNFSF14, and KIR3DL1, were filtered using the LASSO method to build a three-gene immune-related risk score model with maximum prognostic value. Satisfyingly, in the validation dataset, this risk score model showed a good prediction value with AUC = 0.941 for 3-year OS and 0.865 for 5-year OS. The risk score for each patient was also calculated. The KM curves showed significant differences between high-risk and low-risk patients. The immune checkpoint-related risk scoring model demonstrated strong predicting ability in the training, testing, and total sets. This risk score model was also applied to a GEO dataset for validation. When clinicopathological factors (age, gender, grade, and TNM stages) were combined, both univariate and multivariate Cox analyses showed that this immune-related risk score acted as an independent factor for PAAD prognosis. Finally, a nomogram was established for clinical practice based on the multivariate Cox analysis coefficients.
We explored the expression pattern of three filtered genes in single-cell level in TISCH and CancerSCEM database. TNFRSF4, TNFRSF14 and KIR3DL1 had specifc expression characteristics which expression is relatively high in immune cells compared to malignant cells. Relatively higher TNFRSF4 expression level was observed in CD8 T cells,endothelial cells, and B/plasma cells. TNFSF14 and KIR3DL1 were mainly expressed on CD8 T cells. T-SNE plot showed same trend of these three genes expression in the pancreatic cancer. It was reported OX40 was expressed predominantly on activated CD4+ /CD8+ T cells, neutrophils, and NK cells (27). In PAAD CRA001160 of TISCH and PDAC-027 of CancerSCEM, OX40 expression was relatively high on endothelial cells, which might explain the heterogeneity in pancreatic cancer microenvironment.
Furthermore, this immune checkpoints-based risk score model presented links to TIICs in our manuscript. The CIBERSORT algorithm was used to estimate the relative abundance of 22 TIICs in each PAAD sample. Our results showed that immune infiltration levels of naive B cells, CD8+ T cells, and Tregs decrease in the high-risk group, which was associated with longer survival. Meanwhile, the infiltration levels of M2 macrophages, resting NK, and resting mast cells increased and were associated with poorer survival. Consistent with previous studies, the infiltration level of CD8 T cells was associated with better OS. Nonetheless, the role of Tregs and resting mast cells in PAAD prognosis remains unclear.
Functional enrichment analysis was performed with GSEA to identify the most significant functional items. The high-risk group was significantly associated with different immune pathways including glycolysis, IL-2-STAT5, IL-6-STAT3, and mTORC1 signaling (28). Additionally, we found that the tumor mutation burden and ICD-related genes were markedly different between high and low-risk score groups. These results might partly explain the model’s predictive value.
In the present study, OX40, TNFSF14, and KIR3DL1 were related to a good PAAD prognosis. The immune checkpoint OX40 acts as a key costimulatory molecule whose expression depends on complete T cell activation (29). OX40 activation on T cells needs interaction with OX40L. Then, the OX40/OX40L signaling transmits a costimulatory signal and promotes T cells development, differentiation, and physiological functions. Recently, anti-OX40 was proved to enhance CD8+ T cells and reduce Treg infiltration in different tumors (30-32). Moreover, OX40 was postulated as an independent PAAD prognostic predictor in our study and related with infiltration of several immune cells. Then, we validated the prognostic ability of OX40 in our PAAD clinical specimens. Higher OX40 expression anticipates a favorable outcome in PAAD patients. Thus, OX40 can be a potential molecular target for PAAD treatments. Further experiments are needed to determine the function and mechanism of OX40 in PAAD.
Additionally, we identified TNFSF14, also known as LIGHT, in PAAD samples. The TNFSF14 expression was largely found on immune cells such as activated T cells, NK, and immature DCs as well as several cancer cells (33). Besides, tumor expression of TNFSF14 has a significant impact on host anti-tumor immune responses and contributes to tumor microenvironment remodeling (34). TNFSF14 also helps establish anti-tumor memory by stimulating the function of effector and CD8+ T cells infiltration. It has been shown that targeting TNFSF14 signaling might enhance tumor lymphocyte infiltration (35). A previous study showed that adipose-derived stem cells pre-loaded with TNFSF14-expressing myxoma virus mediate improved tumor regression in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (36).
Killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptors (KIRs) are a family of transmembrane glycoproteins. The expression of KIRs was found on NK and T cells subpopulations. NK cell-mediated cytotoxicity is regulated by the inhibitory KIRs (37, 38) and a previous study found PAAD patients with elevated KIR3DL1 expression on NK cells (39).
Overall, the present study represents a novel strategy based on the combination of immune checkpoints to evaluate the prognosis of PAAD patients. The immune checkpoint score was able to distinguish PAAD patients with different prognoses. Also, this immune signature shed new light on PAAD molecular mechanisms and prognosis predictions. Finally, we identified OX40 as a novel prognostic gene for PAAD, which can be integrated for precise prognosis prediction and risk stratification in the future.