2.1. Analysis of standing tree traits
Tables 1 and Appendix C list the basic information of the different traits of the 20 E. camaldulensis families; growth traits: tree height (H) varied from 2.0 m to 17.9 m, with an average value of 10.52 cm and its CV of 30%. The average DBH of the families was 10.45 cm, the average individual volume per tree was 51.40 dm3, and the CV was 59%. The average BT was 6.02 mm, and its CV was the smallest among the growth traits. Although some coefficients of variation were relatively large, there were no significant differences in growth traits among the different families.
Table 1
Basic Descriptive statistics and analysis of variance (ANOVA) among families.
Traits | Minimum | Maximum | Means | Std.dev. | CV/% | Skewness | Kurtosis | F-Ratio | P-value |
H/m | 2.0 | 17.9 | 10.52 | 3.16 | 30.1 | -0.60 | -0.05 | 1.157 | 0.300 |
DBH/cm | 3.3 | 17.3 | 10.45 | 2.80 | 26.8 | -0.29 | -0.20 | 1.213 | 0.252 |
VOL/dm3 | 3.71 | 165.60 | 51.40 | 30.33 | 59.0 | 0.69 | 0.51 | 1.080 | 0.376 |
BT/mm | 0.00 | 16.20 | 6.02 | 1.89 | 31.4 | 0.89 | 4.14 | 1.272 | 0.207 |
WDB/g/cm3 | 0.171 | 0.653 | 0.442 | 0.043 | 9.7 | -0.16 | 11.44 | 1.793 | 0.027 |
PN | 8.0 | 17.8 | 13.21 | 1.67 | 12.64 | 0.16 | 7.32 | 1.238 | 0.232 |
FP/µs | 390 | 615 | 497.51 | 47.46 | 9.5 | 0.30 | -0.56 | 6.471 | 0.000 |
FL/mm | 0.49 | 0.70 | 0.58 | 0.04 | 6.6 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 3.309 | 0.000 |
FW/µm | 21.3 | 30.1 | 25.29 | 1.27 | 5.0 | -0.04 | 0.76 | 2.957 | 0.000 |
FLW | 19.8 | 27.9 | 22.92 | 1.48 | 6.5 | 0.44 | 0.20 | 1.362 | 0.152 |
LC/% | 19.37 | 26.89 | 22.95 | 2.02 | 8.8 | -0.24 | -0.67 | 50.215 | 0.000 |
HC/% | 76.91 | 82.84 | 79.83 | 1.70 | 2.1 | 0.25 | -1.13 | 137.768 | 0.000 |
CC/% | 42.26 | 55.13 | 47.97 | 3.25 | 6.8 | 0.15 | -0.72 | 143.063 | 0.000 |
MOR/MPa | 26.8 | 103.1 | 76.4 | 12.7 | 16.7 | -0.50 | 0.53 | 10.180 | 0.000 |
MOE/MPa | 3987.0 | 10498.0 | 7132.0 | 1350.0 | 18.9 | -0.21 | -0.26 | 6.094 | 0.000 |
SSG/MPa | 11.3 | 39.3 | 25.1 | 5.1 | 20.2 | -0.11 | 0.23 | 14.472 | 0.000 |
CP/MPa | 32.5 | 59.3 | 46.4 | 5.6 | 12.1 | -0.23 | -0.48 | 18.209 | 0.000 |
WD1/ score | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 53.5 | 2.43 | 7.51 | 1.858 | 0.018 |
WD2 /score | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.61 | 0.78 | 128.1 | 2.46 | 10.68 | 1.456 | 0.102 |
WD3/ score | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.68 | 1.12 | 165.6 | 2.09 | 4.19 | 1.588 | 0.059 |
WD4/ score | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.65 | 1.35 | 81.6 | 1.88 | 1.87 | 2.238 | 0.003 |
WD5/ score | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.87 | 0.37 | 20.0 | 0.20 | -1.35 | 1.728 | 0.036 |
Wood density and non-destructive testing properties of wood: the maximum WBD reached 0.653 g/cm3, the average value was 0.442 g/cm3, and the CV was 9.7%. The average PN value was 13.2, and its CV was 12.64%. The average FP of standing trees was 497.51 µs. The kurtosis coefficient of WBD (11.4) was greater than three, and the box plot in Appendix C showed that the WBD data were concentrated, while the CV of FP was 9.5%, but there were significant differences in WBD and FP among different families. |
Fibre morphology and content: FL was between 0.49–0.70. The average FL was 0.58 mm, and its CV was only 6.6%. However, the FW means was 25.29 µm in the range of 21.3–30.1 µm with 5.0% CV. Therefore, the CV of FLW was also small (6.5%). Nevertheless, there were significant differences in FL and FW among different families. Further analysis results showed that LC varied from 19.37–26.89%, the average content of LC was 22.95%, the minimum of HC was 76.91%, the maximum value was 82.84%, and the average HC was 79.83%. The CC was 42.26–55.13%, with an average of 47.97%. Similarly, the LC, HC, and CC contents in different families were significantly different.
Physical and mechanical properties of wood: the results showed that MOR ranged from 26.8 to 103.1 MPa with an average of 76.4 MPa, and CV of MOR was 16.7%. MOE ranged from 3,987.0 to 10,498.0 MPa with an average of 7,132.0 MPa, and its CV was 18.9%. The minimum value of SSG was 11.3 MPa, the maximum SSG was 39.3 MPa, and the average value was 25.1 MPa. CP minimum value was 32.5 MPa, CP maximum value was 59.3 MPa, the average value was 46.4 MPa, and the CV was 12.1%. There were obvious differences among the different E. camaldulensis families.
Wind damage indices of standing trees: due to different typhoons with different strengths, the wind damage of eucalyptus stands at different ages was different. As shown in Table 1, WD1 and WD3 scores of different families were mainly 1 and 2, respectively. The average scores of WD1, WD2, and WD3 were 1.50, 0.61, and 0.68, respectively. The average WD5 was 1.87. In general, there were significant differences in WD among families, especially in WD4 and WD5, and the wind damage scores of CA21, CA22, CA26, and CA27 from Australia (CA seedlot) were significantly lower than those from India (C0 seedlot).
2.2 Correlation analysis of each trait
It can be seen from the correlation matrix in Fig. 1 that the clustering was based on the correlation degree of different traits: the wind damage indices of WD1-WD2 and WD3-WD5 were in one class; growth traits such as H, DBH, VOL, and BT were in one class; non-destructive testing properties of FP and PN were in one class; physical and mechanical properties of MOE, SSR, and CP were in one class; fibre morphology and content of LC, HC, CC, FL, and other wood properties, including FW and FLW, were in one class. Strong correlation within the same category. For example, the correlation coefficient between wood properties was more than 0.6 and with a significant correlation at the 0.01 level. Similarly, the non-destructive testing properties of wood and wood fibre properties were the same. The wind damage indices had a very high correlation with growth traits (H, VOL, and PN) and FL.
2.3 Principal Component Analysis of traits
According to the PCA of 17 traits other than wind damage index, it can be seen from Table 2 that the contribution rates of the five principal components (PCs) were 33.457%, 16.088%, 12.446%, 10.812%, and 7.427%, respectively, and the cumulative contribution rate was 80.230%. The five PCs represented over 80% of the total variation, therefore, the original 17 traits were transformed into five new independent comprehensive indices or five PCs. PC1 had a strong positive correlation with MOE, MOR, WBD, CP, and SSG, with an eigenvalue of 5.688, which mainly reflected the physical and mechanical properties of standing wood. PC2 had the largest positive correlation with DBH and BT, with an eigenvalue of 2.735, which mainly reflected the growth status of standing wood. PC3 had the largest positive correlation with DBH and BT. There was a strong correlation between CC and FL, with an eigenvalue of 2.116, and mainly reflected the chemical composition of the fibre and its morphological index of standing wood. PC4 was positively correlated with HC, FW, and LC, which were mainly wood fibre traits. PC5 was closely correlated with FLW and LC, which are also related to wood fibres. PC3, PC4, and PC5 mainly belonged to the chemical composition and fibre morphology traits of standing wood.
Table 2
Eigenvectors and percentages of the accumulated contribution of principal components (PCs).
Traits | Principal component |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
H | -0.297 | 0.590 | 0.038 | -0.217 | -0.330 |
DBH | -0.249 | 0.763 | -0.136 | 0.317 | 0.313 |
VOL | -0.287 | 0.869 | -0.023 | 0.207 | -0.022 |
BT | -0.504 | 0.710 | 0.068 | 0.140 | 0.221 |
MOR | 0.876 | 0.253 | 0.064 | -0.194 | 0.182 |
MOE | 0.892 | 0.056 | 0.113 | -0.124 | 0.099 |
SSG | 0.735 | 0.279 | 0.253 | -0.241 | -0.099 |
CP | 0.750 | 0.271 | 0.344 | -0.260 | 0.102 |
WBD | 0.822 | 0.285 | 0.193 | -0.208 | 0.122 |
LC | -0.058 | 0.104 | -0.446 | -0.532 | 0.536 |
HC | 0.513 | 0.111 | 0.417 | 0.638 | -0.038 |
CC | 0.006 | -0.094 | 0.812 | 0.291 | -0.095 |
FL | 0.576 | 0.177 | -0.604 | 0.350 | -0.309 |
FW | 0.476 | -0.098 | -0.415 | 0.640 | 0.242 |
FLW | 0.281 | 0.328 | -0.376 | -0.215 | -0.681 |
FP | -0.759 | 0.243 | 0.358 | -0.230 | -0.094 |
PN | -0.615 | -0.073 | 0.125 | 0.022 | 0.053 |
Eigenvalue EV | 5.688 | 2.735 | 2.116 | 1.838 | 1.263 |
Contribution rate (%) CR | 33.457 | 16.088 | 12.446 | 10.812 | 7.427 |
Cumulative contribution rate (%) CCR | 33.457 | 49.545 | 61.991 | 72.803 | 80.230 |
2.4 Tree-pulling test of standing trees
The wind damage data of 20 standing trees were simulated and obtained using a tree-pulling test. The pulling forces of the E. camaldulensis C033 family tree were observed when the standing tree was pulled and released in the whole tree pulling test (Appendix D). Since the tested trunk was a bioelastic body and wind disturbance to the crown occurred, the tree had a certain vibration, leading to a small range of variation in the pulling force. In general, with the increase in pulling force, the pulling force was linearly related to the elastic deformation X1 and inclination angles X2 and X3 of the trunk. The variables were obtained via a tree-pulling test, and their fitted models were performed using DataFit software (version 9.0 [43]); the results are shown in Table 3. A significant correlation was observed between the pulling force (Y) of the standing tree and the trunk deformation degree (X1), the inclination angle between the standing tree and the vertical direction of the tensile direction (X2), and the inclination angle of the standing tree in the tensile direction (X3). Therefore, the fitting regression equation (y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d) can be established between Yforce and X1, X2, and X3. The R2 of E. camaldulensis regression equations ranged from 0.6371 to 0.9673, and all fitting equations reached an extremely significant level (P < 0.01). These results showed that the equations could accurately reflect the dynamic relationship between Yforce and X1, X2, and X3. The larger the fitting equation coefficient “a” was, the greater Yforce of standing trees would be under the same deformation degree. The larger the fitting equation coefficient “b” was, the greater the pulling Yforce is under the same vertical inclination angle of the standing stand and the pulling force direction. The larger the parameter “c” of the fitting equation, the greater the pulling force of the standing tree will be under the inclined angle of the same pulling force direction.
According to the different equations of the standing tree (Table 3), the deformation X1 and inclination angles X2 and X3 of the standing tree were obtained when Yforce was maximum in the tree-pulling test (Appendix E), due to the differences in tree shape, size, and physical properties, the Yforce maximum was also different, and the elastic deformation X1, inclination angle, and direction (X2 and X3) were different.
Table 3
Regression equations and regression statistics of pull tree and three factors in pull tree simulation wind damage tree test.
Family | Fitted equation | a | b | c | d | SEE | R2 | DF | SS | MS | F value |
CA26 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0003 | -0.1739 | 0.0492 | -0.1720 | 0.1028 | 0.9050 | 3 | 847.75 | 282.58 | 26753.22 |
CA21 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | 0.0000 | 0.1172 | 0.0433 | 0.0164 | 0.0744 | 0.8960 | 3 | 95.54 | 31.85 | 5744.26 |
CA22 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0004 | -0.1496 | 0.0656 | -0.0980 | 0.1066 | 0.8799 | 3 | 316.43 | 105.48 | 9283.49 |
CA28 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0000 | 0.1260 | -0.0742 | 0.0027 | 0.1935 | 0.7937 | 3 | 624.47 | 208.16 | 5558.42 |
CO46 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0005 | 0.0038 | -0.0342 | 0.2110 | 0.1221 | 0.6371 | 3 | 106.51 | 35.50 | 2380.32 |
C076 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0002 | -0.2320 | 0.0976 | -0.0517 | 0.1757 | 0.8977 | 3 | 1295.41 | 431.80 | 13990.91 |
C079 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0002 | 0.2355 | 0.0865 | 0.0013 | 0.1012 | 0.9600 | 3 | 1301.67 | 433.89 | 42330.83 |
C05 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0007 | -0.2068 | 0.1115 | 0.0601 | 0.0736 | 0.8983 | 3 | 221.38 | 73.79 | 12659.10 |
CA27 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0003 | 0.0020 | -0.0011 | 0.0115 | 0.1019 | 0.8431 | 3 | 184.66 | 61.55 | 5923.75 |
C013 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0003 | -0.0114 | 0.0140 | 0.6598 | 0.3941 | 0.8472 | 3 | 610.34 | 203.45 | 1309.79 |
C033 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0011 | 0.3382 | 0.7866 | -0.0618 | 0.1284 | 0.8396 | 3 | 405.45 | 135.15 | 8190.75 |
C04 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0006 | -0.0075 | -0.0128 | -0.0142 | 0.1013 | 0.9110 | 3 | 262.88 | 87.63 | 8542.76 |
C036 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0003 | 0.0028 | 0.0588 | -0.0133 | 0.1151 | 0.9120 | 3 | 731.80 | 243.94 | 18421.70 |
CA9 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0010 | 0.4044 | -0.0487 | 0.1034 | 0.1390 | 0.9673 | 3 | 1618.50 | 539.50 | 27926.84 |
CA16 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | 0.00005 | -0.0241 | 0.1146 | -0.0058 | 0.1780 | 0.7077 | 3 | 259.10 | 86.67 | 2727.01 |
C023 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0002 | -0.2123 | 0.0994 | 0.0188 | 0.0982 | 0.9737 | 3 | 3309.73 | 1103.24 | 114199.56 |
CA8 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0003 | -0.04238 | 0.0564 | 0.0264 | 0.1347 | 0.9158 | 3 | 2668.23 | 889.41 | 49009.53 |
CA7 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | 0.0016 | -0.0546 | 0.03386 | -0.0204 | 0.0852 | 0.9322 | 3 | 112.88 | 37.63 | 5187.85 |
C014 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0005 | 0.0999 | 0.0053 | -0.0013 | 0.0670 | 0.9325 | 3 | 434.90 | 144.97 | 32238.10 |
CO80 | Y = aX1 + bX2 + cX3 + d | -0.0019 | 0.1972 | -0.0247 | 0.0038 | 0.0876 | 0.8848 | 3 | 338.73 | 112.91 | 14699.96 |
2.5 CCA
Due to the obvious differences among E. camaldulensis families of different forest ages and the apparent differences in typhoon loading on standing trees, the correlation between different characters and wind damage indices in several typhoon hits was not strong (Fig. 1).The correlation analysis between single-factor variables cannot provide the real cause of forest wind resistance. CCA was performed between the five PC1-PC5 obtained from the PCA of wind resistance-related traits and the four variables, Yforce, X1, X2, and X3, from wind damage simulated by the tree-pulling test, to obtain the key traits affecting tree wind resistance.
As shown in Table 4, the first two canonical correlation coefficients were 0.9547 and 0.9012, respectively, which were highly correlated at extremely significant levels in the statistical test (P < 0.01). The first two pairs of canonical covariates were used to analyse the relationship between standing tree traits and variables in the tree-pulling test (Table 5). For eucalyptus trait variables, the first covariate U1 in the set1 data was highly affected by PC2 (-0.7820), and the second covariate U2 was strongly affected by PC4 (-0.6311). For tree-pulling variables, the first covariate V1 consisted of X2 (0.5432), X3 (-0.5354), X1 (0.3086), and Yforce (-0.2399), while the second covariate V2 was highly correlated with X3 (0.6384), X1 (0.6213), X2 (0.5819), and Yforce (0.5348).
Table 4
Statistical analysis of canonical correlation.
Dimension | Correlation coefficient | Wilk's | F | Chi-square value | Df | P value |
1 | 0.9547 | 0.0116 | 5.3046 | 37.4328 | 20 | 5.7641×10− 6 |
2 | 0.9012 | 0.1310 | 3.0857 | 32.0405 | 12 | 5.3751×10− 3 |
3 | 0.5446 | 0.6979 | 0.8536 | 26.0000 | 6 | 0.5411 |
4 | 0.0883 | 0.9922 | 0.0550 | 14.0000 | 2 | 0.9467 |
Table 5
PCs of eucalyptus traits and coefficient of variables in canonical correlation analysis of pull tree test factor.
Set1 | PCA1 | PCA2 | PCA3 | PCA4 | PCA5 |
U1 | 0.1745 | -0.7820 | 0.1571 | 0.4747 | -0.3053 |
U2 | -0.4526 | -0.5936 | 0.0290 | -0.6311 | 0.2806 |
U3 | -0.1410 | 0.1589 | 0.4683 | -0.3105 | -0.7867 |
U4 | 0.8602 | -0.1008 | -0.0641 | -0.5312 | -0.0283 |
Set2 | X1 | X2 | X3 | Yforce | |
V1 | 0.3086 | 0.5432 | -0.5354 | -0.2399 | |
V2 | 0.6213 | 0.5819 | 0.6384 | 0.5348 | |
V3 | 1.1045 | -0.6617 | -0.2802 | 0.4875 | |
V4 | 0.4110 | 0.0038 | -0.5879 | 1.1334 | |
2.6 Estimated Path analysis model
The five PC1-PC5 and the four variables of Yforce, X1, X2, and X3 were obtained when the maximum Yforce in the tree-pulling test was used for path analysis using the traditional PA-OV model (Fig. 2). In the model, the PC variables (PC1-PC5) were obtained by PCA, which was uncorrelated and related to the residuals of the tree-pulling variables (X1, X2, X3, and Yforce).
The correlation coefficients of the two variable residuals from the four tree-pulling variables are shown in Fig. 2. The maximum value (absolute value) of the correlation coefficients was − 0.457 from X1 and Yforce, which indicated that the two variables were related but not significant (P = 0.070). The remaining of model 2 (Fig. 3) showed that the influence effect (absolute value) of PC1-PC5 on X1 ranked from high to low was PC4 > PC2 > PC1 > PC3 = PC5, and its effect on X2 was PC4 > PC1 > PC2 > PC5 > PC3; PC4 had the strongest effect on Yforce with − 0.907 coefficient, and other variables showed no significant difference; among them, the path of PC4 → X1 (P = 0.048), PC4 → X2 (P = 0.002), PC1 → X2 (P = 0.013), and PC2 →X3 (P < 0.001) reached significant levels. PC4 was an important factor for the stability of standing trees, followed by PC1.
Considering the causal relationship between the model variables, the path diagram of model 2 was modified from that of model 1(Fig. 2). In Fig. 2, the values close to the four tree-pulling variables were the square value of the multiple correlation coefficient (R2), which was the explanatory variation of predictive variables to standard variables. The five PCs could explain 30.2% of X1, 51.1% of X2, 74.3% of X3, and 29.5% of Yforce. Figure 3 and Table 6 suggest that model 2 could significantly improve the explained variance of X1 and Yforce; their R2 increased from 0.302 (model 1) to 0.410 (model 2), and from 0.295 (model 1) to 0.614 (model 2), respectively. Therefore, the regression weight calculation of estimated model 2 based on the maximum likelihood method is described below.
The direct effects from model 2 on each tree-pulling variable were as follows:
X1 = -0.242*PC1 -0.280*PC2 + 0.161*PC3 -0.617*PC4 + 0.161*PC5 -0.468*X2 -0.073*X3 (1)
X2 = -0.399*PC1 + 0.207*PC2-0.131*PC3 -0.503*PC4 + 0.197*PC5 (2)
X3 = 0.099*PC1 -0.853*PC2 -0.046*PC3 -0.04*PC4 + 0.039*PC5 (3)
Yforce = -0.256*PC1 + 0.313*PC2 -0.198*PC3 -0.907*PC4 + 0.385*PC5 -0.654*X1 -0.618*X2 + 0.241*X3 (4)
The indirect effects from model 2 on tree-pulling variables were as follows:
X1 = 0.179*PC1 -0.035*PC2 + 0.065*PC3 + 0.238*PC4 -0.095*PC5 (5)
Yforce = 0.311*PC1-0.128*PC2-0.078*PC3 + 0.548*PC4-0.156*PC5 + 0.306*X2 + 0.047*X3 (6)
The total effects from model 2 on X1 and Yforce were as follows:
X1 = -0.063*PC1 -0.315*PC2 + 0.226*PC3 -0.379*PC4 + 0.066*PC5 -0.468*X2 -0.073*X3 (7)
Yforce = 0.055*PC1 + 0.1485*PC2-0.276*PC3-0.359*PC4 + 0.229*PC5-0.653*X1-0.312*X2 + 0.288*X3 (8)
Table 6
Regression weights of model 2 estimated by maximum likelihood method.
Path | Standardised weights | Std.Error | C.R. | P value |
X1←PC1 | -0.242 | 0.206 | -1.173 | 0.241 |
X1←PC2 | -0.28 | 0.35 | -0.798 | 0.425 |
X1←PC3 | 0.161 | 0.18 | 0.897 | 0.37 |
X1←PC4 | -0.617 | 0.217 | -2.841 | 0.004 |
X1←PC5 | 0.161 | 0.183 | 0.879 | 0.379 |
X2←PC1 | -0.399 | 0.16 | -2.484 | 0.013 |
X2←PC2 | 0.207 | 0.16 | 1.291 | 0.197 |
X2←PC3 | -0.131 | 0.16 | -0.817 | 0.414 |
X2←PC4 | -0.503 | 0.16 | -3.134 | 0.002 |
X2←PC5 | 0.197 | 0.16 | 1.23 | 0.219 |
X3←PC1 | 0.099 | 0.116 | 0.846 | 0.397 |
X3←PC2 | -0.853 | 0.116 | -7.331 | *** |
X3←PC3 | -0.046 | 0.116 | -0.392 | 0.695 |
X3←PC4 | -0.04 | 0.116 | -0.34 | 0.734 |
X3←PC5 | 0.039 | 0.116 | 0.335 | 0.738 |
Yforce←PC1 | -0.256 | 0.173 | -1.481 | 0.139 |
Yforce←PC2 | 0.313 | 0.288 | 1.085 | 0.278 |
Yforce←PC3 | -0.198 | 0.149 | -1.334 | 0.182 |
Yforce←PC4 | -0.908 | 0.21 | -4.326 | *** |
Yforce←PC5 | 0.385 | 0.151 | 2.544 | 0.011 |
X1←X2 | -0.468 | 0.252 | -1.857 | 0.063 |
X1←X3 | -0.073 | 0.347 | -0.209 | 0.835 |
Yforce←X1 | -0.654 | 0.186 | -3.519 | *** |
Yforce←X2 | -0.618 | 0.222 | -2.786 | 0.005 |
Yforce←X3 | 0.241 | 0.282 | 0.854 | 0.393 |
In Formula (8) from model 2, PC4 had a significant effect on total effect X1 (regression coefficient = -0.379) and total effect Yforce (regression coefficient = -0.359) with a negative effect. In terms of the standardised coefficient (absolute value) from formulas (7) and (8), the effect rank of PCs on X1 from high to low was PC4 > PC2 > PC3 > PC5 > PC1, while that of Yforce was PC4 > PC3 > PC5 > PC2 > PC1. Repeatedly, PC4 was the most important factor affecting the stability of standing trees. |
2.7 Goodness of fit
There were no single statistical test methods or parameters to evaluate a model of structural equation modelling (SEM); instead, different combined methods have been developed to assess the results. The commonly used fit indices in the literature include the CMIN, goodness of fit index (GFI), adjusted goodness of fit index (AGFI), comparative fit index (CFI), Tukey-Lewis index (TLI), normed fit index (NFI), incremental fit index (IFI), and root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA). GFI, AGFI, CFI, TLI, NFI, and IFI measures equal to or greater than 0.95, indicating that the model had a good fit. In addition, an RMSEA less than 0.05 displayed the most acceptable fitting index.
Table 7 shows that the fitting effect of the two models and the observed data was good, with P values of 1.000, and there was no significant difference (P > 0.05), indicating no significant difference between the observed values and the covariance matrix. Other goodness of fit indices (RMSEA = 0.000, GFI = 1.000, AGFI = 0.999, CFI = 1.000, NFI = 2.139, NFI = 1.000, IFI = 1.194) also showed that our models were acceptable, and the overall goodness of fit of the estimated model was good enough (Table 7).
Table 7
Summary of initial and final model fit.
Goodness-of-Fit Index | Recommended Value | Model 1 | Model2 | Fitness test |
P value | Non-significant at p < 0.05 | 1.000 | 1.000 | Yes |
CMIN/DF | < 2 | 0.000 | 0.002 | Yes |
Root mean square error of approximation (RMSE) | < 0.08 | 0.000 | 0.000 | Yes |
Goodness-of-fit index (GFI) | > 0.90 | 1.000 | 1.000 | Yes |
Adjusted goodness-of-fit index (AGFI) | > 0.90 | 0.999 | 0.999 | Yes |
Comparative fit index (CFI) | > 0.90 | 1.000 | 1.000 | Yes |
Tucker-Lewis coefficient (TLI) | > 0.90 | 2.139 | 2.139 | Yes |
Normed fit index (NFI) | > 0.90 | 1.000 | 1.000 | Yes |
incremental fit index (IFI) | > 0.90 | 1.194 | 1.194 | Yes |