We utilised samples from the global multi-site Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN) cohort comprising adults at risk of, or having, symptomatic AD due to a confirmed ADAD mutation in their family. The participants comprise mutation carriers and non-carriers. In total, 184 plasma GFAP levels were analysed, as well as 60 paired serum and CSF samples (including 12 matched to plasma samples). Participant demographics, imaging measures, clinical assessments, and plasma, serum and CSF GFAP concentrations are presented in Table 1. Mean (± standard deviation) EYO and age of participants were − 11 (± 12) and 37 (± 12) years, respectively, for plasma samples. Mean EYO and age of participants was − 7 (± 13) and 40 (± 12) years, respectively, for serum and CSF samples. All characteristics were significantly different among the non-carrier, asymptomatic mutation carrier and symptomatic mutation carrier groups except for the Apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carrier frequency. No differences in plasma GFAP levels among APP, PSEN1 and PSEN2 mutation carriers were observed (Supplementary Fig. 1).
Table 1
Demographic, neuroimaging, cognition and GFAP levels in A.) plasma and B.) matched serum and cerebrospinal fluid in ADAD mutation carriers and non-carriers.
A. | N | Mutation non-carriers | Mutation carriers | P |
| | (n = 86) | Asymptomatic (n = 66) | Symptomatic (n = 32) | |
Age (years) | 184 | 36 ± 12 | 32 ± 8 | 47 ± 11 | < .0001 |
Female (n (%)) | 184 | 58 (67) | 36 (54) | 14 (44) | .046 |
Education (years) | 184 | 15 ± 3 | 15 ± 3 | 13 ± 4 | .020 |
Apolipoprotein-E ε4 (n (%)) | 184 | 28 (33) | 19 (29) | 13 (41) | .55 |
EYO (years) | 184 | -12 ± 12 | -16 ± 7 | 2 ± 6 | < .0001 |
Cortical PiB-PET SUVR | 147 (73, 56, 18) | 1.06 ± 0.07 | 1.45 ± 0.64 | 2.41 ± 0.89 | < .0001 |
PiB+ (cut-off = 1.25; n (%)) | 147 (73, 56, 18) | 1 (1) | 23 (41) | 16 (89) | < .0001 |
Hippocampal volume (cm3) | 168 (81, 62, 25) | 8.74 ± 0.66 | 8.90 ± 0.66 | 7.28 ± 1.20 | < .0001 |
Precuneus thickness (mm) | 168 (81, 62, 25) | 2.39 ± 0.14 | 2.39 ± 0.15 | 2.16 ± 0.20 | < .0001 |
Precuneus FDG-PET SUVR | 159 (75, 60, 24) | 1.91 ± 0.16 | 1.93 ± 0.19 | 1.75 ± 0.23 | < .0001 |
Cognitive composite score | 176 (84, 65, 27) | 0.24 ± 0.51 | 0.24 ± 0.52 | -1.10 ± 0.75 | < .0001 |
MMSE score | 182 (84, 66, 31) | 29 ± 1 | 29 ± 1 | 23 ± 7 | < .0001 |
CDR-SOB score | 184 | 0.1 ± 0.3 | 0.0 ± 0.1 | 4.4 ± 4.8 | < .0001 |
Plasma GFAP (pg/mL) | 184 | 77 ± 36 | 86 ± 52 | 211 ± 113 | < .0001 |
B. | N | Mutation non-carriers | Mutation carriers | P |
| | (n = 30) | Asymptomatic (n = 22) | Symptomatic (n = 8) | |
Age (years) | 60 | 45 ± 13 | 33 ± 8 | 43 ± 9 | < .0001 |
Female (n (%)) | 60 | 18 (60) | 6 (27) | 5 (62) | .042 |
Education (years) | 60 | 15 ± 3 | 16 ± 3 | 12 ± 2 | .005 |
Apolipoprotein-E ε4 (n (%)) | 60 | 14 (47) | 5 (23) | 4 (50) | .153 |
EYO (years) | 60 | -3 ± 14 | -16 ± 9 | 2 ± 3 | .0001 |
Cortical PiB-PET SUVR | 52 (26, 21,5) | 1.04 ± 0.08 | 1.59 ± 0.74 | 2.80 ± 1.02 | < .0001 |
PiB+ (cut-off = 1.25; n (%)) | 52 (26, 21,5) | 0 (0) | 11 (52) | 5 (100) | - |
Hippocampal volume (cm3) | 53 (27, 21,5) | 8.85 ± 0.71 | 9.33 ± 0.99 | 7.22 ± 1.81 | .0008 |
Precuneus thickness (mm) | 53 (27, 21,5) | 2.35 ± 0.17 | 2.39 ± 0.11 | 2.1 ± 0.3 | .023 |
Precuneus FDG-PET SUVR | 53 (27, 21,5) | 1.94 ± 0.18 | 1.86 ± 0.13 | 1.60 ± 0.32 | .005 |
Cognitive composite score | 60 | 0.28 ± 0.47 | 0.21 ± 0.41 | -1.62 ± 1.01 | < .0001 |
MMSE score | 60 | 29 ± 1 | 29 ± 1 | 20 ± 8 | < .0001 |
CDR-SOB score | 60 | 0.0 ± 0.1 | 0.0 ± 0.0 | 5.0 ± 3.8 | < .0001 |
Serum GFAP (pg/mL) | 60 | 65 ± 38 | 69 ± 34 | 217 ± 163 | .0001 |
CSF GFAP (pg/mL) | 60 | 7750 ± 3585 | 8002 ± 4202 | 11523 ± 4542 | .057 |
Among non-carriers, asymptomatic mutation carriers and symptomatic mutation carriers, the significance of the characteristic difference was calculated using linear mixed-effects models (for continuous outcomes) and generalized linear mixed-effects models with a logistic link (for categorical outcomes). All mixed models included a random family effect to account for the associations on the outcome measures between participants within the same family. Continuous measures are presented as mean ± SD. N: total number of participants (with numbers of mutation non-carriers, asymptomatic mutation carriers and symptomatic mutation carriers, respectively). EYO: estimated years to symptom onset; PiB: 11C-Pittsburgh compound B; PET: Positron Emission Tomography; FDG: 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose; SUVR: Standard Uptake Value Ratio; MMSE: Mini-Mental State Examination; CDR-SOB: Clinical Dementia Rating – Sum of Boxes; GFAP: glial fibrillary acidic protein. |
Plasma GFAP between mutation carriers and non-carriers
Plasma GFAP levels were higher in symptomatic mutation carriers compared with non-carriers (mean difference (95% Confidence Interval (CI)): 125 pg/mL (116–134); P < .0001) and asymptomatic mutation carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 107 pg/mL (100–114); P < .0001; Supplementary Fig. 2). Plasma GFAP levels were higher in asymptomatic mutation carriers compared with non-carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 18 pg/mL (16–19); P = .035).
When stratifying the asymptomatic mutation carriers by Aβ-/+ status, plasma GFAP was higher in symptomatic mutation carriers compared with Aβ + asymptomatic mutation carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 80 pg/mL (78–83); P = .002) and Aβ- asymptomatic mutation carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 124 pg/mL (123–126); p < .0001). Plasma GFAP was higher in Aβ + asymptomatic mutation carriers compared with non-carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 45 pg/mL (33–56); P = .0003) and compared with Aβ- asymptomatic mutation carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 44 (40–48); P = .002), however, no significant difference was observed between Aβ- asymptomatic mutation carriers and non-carriers (Fig. 1a).
An EYO was calculated for each participant based on the difference between each participant’s age and the average age of symptom onset for the specific mutation in that family for both mutation carriers and non-carriers 23. When investigating plasma GFAP as a function of EYO in mutation carriers versus non-carriers, plasma GFAP was significantly higher in mutation carriers compared with non-carriers at -10.0 EYO (Fig. 1b, Supplementary Fig. 3). Using the same methods to estimate the sequence of events, we found that the divergence of plasma GFAP between mutation carriers and non-carriers lies between aberrant Aβ accumulation (EYO − 18.4) and cognitive decline and structural neurodegeneration (EYO − 7.9 to -4.2, Fig. 1c).
Association of plasma GFAP with Aβ-PET and clinical progression in ADAD
In the mutation carriers, we observed a significant association between plasma GFAP and brain Aβ load, assessed by PET using the tracer Pittsburgh Compound B (PiB-PET) (β = 0.66, P < .0001). Upon stratifying mutation carriers by absence/presence of symptoms, the association of plasma GFAP levels with brain Aβ load was highly significant in the asymptomatic mutation carriers (β = 0.57, P < .0001) but not in the symptomatic mutation carriers (Supplementary Table 1A, Fig. 2). Additional adjustment for age did not have a major effect on these associations (Supplementary Table 1B). When stratifying this progression purely based upon cortical PiB-PET quartiles (Q1 ≤ 1.072, 1.072 < Q2 ≤ 1.264, 1.264 < Q3 ≤ 2.105) in mutation carriers, GFAP levels in PiB-PET quartiles 3 and 4 were significantly higher than GFAP levels in PiB-PET quartiles 1 and 2 (Fig. 3a). This could be attributed to all participants in Q3 and Q4 meeting the Aβ + threshold.
Using ROC curves, plasma GFAP levels classified absence/presence of aberrant brain Aβ load (Aβ-/+, PiB-PET SUVR ≥ 1.25 22) within the entire mutation carrier group with an area under the curve (AUC) = 84% (95% CI:74%-93%) (Fig. 3b). In the asymptomatic mutation carrier subset, GFAP was observed to have an AUC = 77% (95% CI:63%-91%) for distinguishing between Aβ-/+ status (Fig. 3c), similar to sporadic preclinical AD 20. Sensitivity and specificity along with model diagnostics (including optimal cut-off, accuracy, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value) are provided in Supplementary Table 2.
Additionally, we investigated plasma GFAP levels across clinical progression in mutation carriers, spanning the Aβ- cognitively normal status, Aβ + cognitively normal status and clinical dementia rating scale (CDR) > 0 symptomatic stages. Plasma GFAP levels increased with the onset of Aβ pathology in the asymptomatic stage and these levels increased further with disease severity (Fig. 3d).
Cross-sectional association of plasma GFAP with neurodegeneration, cerebral glucose metabolism, cognitive and functional performance in ADAD
Associations of plasma GFAP with hippocampal volume (β=-0.47, P < .0001), precuneus thickness (β=-0.47, P < .0001), precuneus 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG)-PET (β=-0.22, P = .004), a cognitive composite (β=-0.53, P < .0001), Mini-mental State Examination (MMSE, β=-0.46, P < .0001) and CDR-Sum of Boxes (CDR-SOB, β = 0.55, P < .0001) were observed after adjusting for sex (and education for cognition; Fig. 2, Supplementary Table 1). Within the mutation carriers, similar associations were observed (β between 0.27 and 0.66), while in the non-carriers no significant relationships were observed between GFAP and these markers (β between 0 and 0.12). As a sensitivity analysis, we adjusted the models for age. When adjusting for age, plasma GFAP levels and FDG-PET SUVR were no longer associated; all other associations persisted (Supplementary Table 1).
Association of plasma biomarkers with subsequent neurodegeneration, cerebral glucose hypometabolism, and cognitive and functional decline in ADAD
Prospective analyses were performed to investigate whether plasma GFAP was associated with subsequent neurodegeneration, cerebral glucose hypometabolism, cognitive and functional decline in mutation carriers with longitudinal MR (n = 36), FDG-PET (n = 36), cognitive composite (n = 36), MMSE (n = 38) and CDR-SOB (n = 38) data available. We observed that GFAP was predictive of future hippocampal atrophy (Unstandardised beta (B) in all mutation carriers = -0.20, P = .013), cortical thinning (B= -0.04, P = .001) and cognitive and functional decline based on performance on the MMSE (B= -0.72, P = .041) and CDR-SOB (B = 0.57, P = .013) adjusting for age and sex (and education for cognition) (Supplementary Table 3, Fig. 4). Plasma GFAP was not significantly associated with subsequent glucose hypometabolism represented by FDG-PET. Similar analyses were not performed for changes in brain Aβ load due to limited data.
Serum and CSF GFAP in ADAD
Serum and plasma GFAP collected from twelve overlapping participants yielded very similar levels, that were strongly correlated between these blood matrices (Spearman’s Rho = 0.902, P < .0001; Fig. 5a). CSF GFAP levels showed moderate correlations with the blood matrices (Spearman’s Rho = 0.64–0.65, P < .005; Fig. 5b-c). In line with the plasma results, serum GFAP was higher in symptomatic (mean difference (95% CI): 81 pg/mL (73–88)) and asymptomatic mutation carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 26 pg/mL (25–27)) compared with non-carriers (Fig. 5d). CSF GFAP was only higher in symptomatic mutation carriers (mean difference (95% CI): 3845 pg/mL (2811–4880)) compared with non-carriers (Fig. 5e). Serum, but not CSF, GFAP trajectory diverged between mutation carriers and non-carriers at EYO − 10.2 (Supplementary Fig. 3).
Serum GFAP (β = 0.38, P = .002), but not CSF GFAP (β = 0.15, P = .27), was associated with brain Aβ load, however, after stratifying for mutation carrier status, did not reach statistical significance thresholds (β = 0.32, P = .079). Serum GFAP was more strongly associated with neurodegeneration (hippocampal volume β=-0.46, P = .001; precuneus thickness β=-0.36, P = .009); cerebral glucose metabolism (β=-0.35, P = .008); cognition (cognitive composite β=-0.59, P < .001; MMSE β=-0.45, P < .001) and functional (CDR-SOB β = 0.46, P < .001) performance in all participants than CSF GFAP (hippocampal volume β=-0.39, P = .002; precuneus thickness β=-0.28, P = .040; cognitive composite β=-0.34, P = .006; MMSE β=-0.29, P = .019; CDR-SOB β = 0.28, P = .021, Supplementary Tables 4 and 5). Similar observations were found in the mutation carrier subset. Associations between serum, but not CSF, GFAP and hippocampal volume (β=-0.50, P = .006), cognitive composite (β=-0.37, P = .004), and CDR-SOB (β = 0.35, P = .029) persisted after correcting for age in mutation carriers.