This is a preprint, a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Research article
Minh Dac Tran
Flinders Medical Centre
Corresponding Author
ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-8288
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Background
To investigate and validate previously published associations between time to prostate-specific antigen nadir and the time-to-nadir after radical prostatectomy with biochemical recurrence and to extend this analysis to overall survival and prostate cancer-specific mortality risk.
Methods
This is a retrospective analysis of 1796 men from the South Australian Prostate Cancer Clinical Outcomes Collaborative database treated with radical prostatectomy between 1998-2018 with available prostate-specific antigen nadir data within 1-6 months after surgery. Uni- and multivariable analyses of prostate-specific antigen nadir, time-to-nadir, biochemical recurrence and death were performed with Cox and competing risks models (adjusted for age, surgery year, tumour features and preoperative prostate-specific antigen).
Results
The univariable analysis demonstrated those with shorter time-to-nadir <3 months had a decreased risk of biochemical recurrence (log-rank, p=0.0098) compared to those with longer time-to-nadir 3-6 months. For men with a time-to-nadir <3 months, a Log-rank test showed a decreased risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality (p=0.026) compared to time-to-nadir 3-6 months, without a difference in overall survival. Multivariable competing risk analyses indicated that biochemical recurrence was more likely when time-to-nadir was 3-6 months compared to <3 months (sHR=1.43, CI 1.01-2.02, p=0.04).
Conclusions
Among men undergoing radical prostatectomy, a shorter post-operative time-to-nadir <3 months is associated with decreased risk of biochemical recurrence compared to time-to-nadir 3-6 months. Following adjustment for confounders and competing risks, there was no significant difference in time-to-nadir for mortality outcomes.
Keywords
Early Detection of Cancer, Prostatectomy, Prostate-specific antigen, Prostatic Neoplasms, Survival Analysis
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This is a preprint, a preliminary version of a manuscript that has not completed peer review at a journal. Research Square does not conduct peer review prior to posting preprints. The posting of a preprint on this server should not be interpreted as an endorsement of its validity or suitability for dissemination as established information or for guiding clinical practice.
Research article
Minh Dac Tran
Flinders Medical Centre
Corresponding Author
ORCiD: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-8288
Badges
Prescreen
This manuscript passed our Prescreen assessment
Complete author information
Appropriate declaration statements
Potential risks to human health
Prescreen
History
CURRENT STATUS: Posted
Version 1
Posted 18 Mar, 2020
No community comments so far
Metrics
Comments: 0
PDF Downloads: ...
HTML Views: ...
Subject Areas
Urology & Nephrology
License:
This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License. Read Full License
Background
To investigate and validate previously published associations between time to prostate-specific antigen nadir and the time-to-nadir after radical prostatectomy with biochemical recurrence and to extend this analysis to overall survival and prostate cancer-specific mortality risk.
Methods
This is a retrospective analysis of 1796 men from the South Australian Prostate Cancer Clinical Outcomes Collaborative database treated with radical prostatectomy between 1998-2018 with available prostate-specific antigen nadir data within 1-6 months after surgery. Uni- and multivariable analyses of prostate-specific antigen nadir, time-to-nadir, biochemical recurrence and death were performed with Cox and competing risks models (adjusted for age, surgery year, tumour features and preoperative prostate-specific antigen).
Results
The univariable analysis demonstrated those with shorter time-to-nadir <3 months had a decreased risk of biochemical recurrence (log-rank, p=0.0098) compared to those with longer time-to-nadir 3-6 months. For men with a time-to-nadir <3 months, a Log-rank test showed a decreased risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality (p=0.026) compared to time-to-nadir 3-6 months, without a difference in overall survival. Multivariable competing risk analyses indicated that biochemical recurrence was more likely when time-to-nadir was 3-6 months compared to <3 months (sHR=1.43, CI 1.01-2.02, p=0.04).
Conclusions
Among men undergoing radical prostatectomy, a shorter post-operative time-to-nadir <3 months is associated with decreased risk of biochemical recurrence compared to time-to-nadir 3-6 months. Following adjustment for confounders and competing risks, there was no significant difference in time-to-nadir for mortality outcomes.
Figure 1
This is a list of supplementary files associated with this preprint. Click to download.
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