Clinical features
The median follow-up time was 50 months (range:6-118 months). Of all patients included in this study, 43 (39.8%) received IC followed by CCRT, 65 (60.2%) received CCRT;83 (76.9%) were male and 25 (23.1%) were female. Nonkeratinizing undifferentiation was the most common histological type (73.1%), the proportion of nonkeratinizing differentiation was 26.9%. More patients with stage N1 were administrated with IC followed by CCRT (67.4%) and patients with N0 were more like to be received CCRT (52.3%), but the distribution biases was eliminated after propensity score-matching (PSM). Only 9 patients (8.3%) had more than 1000 copies of EBV DNA in this study. The median of primary tumor and lymph node were 52.60cc (range: 11.70–232.00 cc) and 2.13cc (range: 0-66.68cc), respectively. TP was the most common IC regimen (74.4%), the second was GP (16.2%).
treatment outcomes
At the last follow-up time, there were total of 19 deaths, including 5 of 43(11.6%) patients in IC followed by CCRT group and 14 of 65 (21.5%) patients in CCRT group. Treatment failure patterns included only locoregional recurrence (4 patients), only distant metastasis (13 patients) and locoregional recurrence combined with distant metastasis (2 patients). Four-year OS, DFS, LRFS and DMFS were 82.2%, 72.8%, 94.4% and 86.0%, fore entire cohort. IC followed by CCRT failed to improve OS and DFS compared with CCRT in the initial analysis. Unadjusted 4-year OS and DFS were 89.5% and 75.7% for IC followed by CCRT compared with for 77.6% and 70.3% CCRT alone (OS, HR:0.41, 95%CI:0.16–1.04, P = 0.100; DFS, HR:0.62, 95%CI:0.30–1.30, P = 0.231) (Fig. 1). 4-year LRFS and DMFS were 93.9% and 84.5% for IC followed by CCRT compared with for 94.8% and 87.0% CCRT alone (LRFS, HR:0.97, 95%CI:0.16–5.77, P = 0.973; DMFS, HR:0.93,95%CI:0.33–2.58, P = 0.884) (Fig. S1).
After analysis of well-balanced propensity score-matched cohort, IC followed by CCRT provided superior OS than CCRT alone. Adjusted 4-year OS was 89.5% for IC followed by CCRT vs. 71.1% for CCRT (HR:0.30, 95%CI:0.11–0.80, P = 0.027) (Fig. 1). However, adjusted 4-year DFS, LRFS and DMFS were not significant differences between IC followed by CCRT (75.7%, 93.9% and 84.5%) and CCRT (64.3%, 94.9% and 85.0%) (Fig. 1 and Fig. S1). Subgroup analysis adjusted by propensity score-match showed IC followed by CCRT could provide better OS than CCRT for patients with>45 year (88.9% vs. 63.0%, P = 0.017) and primary tumor volume ≦ 52.60cc (90.9% vs. 65.0%, P = 0.024) (Fig. 2). For nonkeratinizing differentiation subgroup, IC followed by CCRT significantly improved DFS (P = 0.031) and DMFS (P = 0.015) (Fig. S2-3). Patients with N1 stage were more likely to have the death when they accepted CCRT alone (31%) instead of IC followed by CCRT (13.87%), but statistically significant difference was not achieved (Fig. 2).
Multivariate analysis
Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify the independent prognostic factors using the following covariates: sex, age, histological type, T stage, N stage, treatment, EBV DNA copies, primary tumor volume, lymph nodes volume. In multivariate analysis, EBV DNA copies was an independently prognostic factor for DMFS (HR: 0.18, 95%CI: 0.04–0.85, P = 0.03). For OS and DFS, there were not independently prognostic factor with significant differences detected by multivariate analysis (Table 2).
Table 1
Characteristic of patients in two groups.
Characteristic
|
Primary cohort
|
PSM cohort
|
|
IC+CCRT
|
CCRT
|
P Value |
IC+CCRT
|
CCRT
|
P Value |
Total
|
43
|
65
|
|
43
|
43
|
|
Sex
|
|
|
0.626
|
|
|
0.802
|
Male
|
32(74.4%)
|
51(78.5%)
|
|
32(74.4%)
|
33(76.7%)
|
|
Female
|
11(25.6%)
|
14(21.5%)
|
|
11(25.6%)
|
10(23.3%)
|
|
Age(years)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median age(range)
|
48(23–65)
|
51(18–83)
|
0.495
|
48(23–65)
|
49(18–83)
|
0.867
|
≤ 45
|
16(37.2%)
|
20(30.8%)
|
0.487
|
16(37.2%)
|
16(37.2%)
|
0.488
|
> 45
|
27(62.8%)
|
45(69.2%)
|
|
27(62.8%)
|
27(62.8%)
|
|
Histological types
|
|
|
0.809
|
|
|
0.802
|
nonkeratinizing
undifferentiation
|
32(74.4%)
|
47(72.3%)
|
|
32(74.4%)
|
33(76.7%)
|
|
nonkeratinizing
differentiation
|
11(25.6%)
|
18(27.7%)
|
|
11(25.6%)
|
10(23.3%)
|
|
T stage
|
|
|
0.930
|
|
|
0.776
|
T3
|
7(16.3%)
|
11(16.9%)
|
|
7(16.3%)
|
8(18.6%)
|
|
T4
|
36(83.7%)
|
54(83.1%)
|
|
36(83.7%)
|
35(81.4%)
|
|
N stage
|
|
|
0.043
|
|
|
1.000
|
N0
|
14(32.6%)
|
34(52.3%)
|
|
14(32.6%)
|
14(32.6%)
|
|
N1
|
29(67.4%)
|
31(47.7%)
|
|
29(67.4%)
|
29(67.4%)
|
|
EBV DNA copies
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≤ 1000
|
41(95.3%)
|
58(89.2%)
|
0.312
|
41(95.3%)
|
36(83.7%)
|
0.156
|
> 1000
|
2(4.7%)
|
7(10.8%)
|
|
2(4.7%)
|
7(16.3%)
|
|
Primary tumor volume(cc)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median(range)
|
52.6(12.3-200.7)
|
52.6(11.7–232.0)
|
0.559
|
52.6(12.3-200.7)
|
57.2(23.2–232.0)
|
0.355
|
≤ 52.60
|
22(51.2%)
|
33(50.8%)
|
0.968
|
22(51.2%)
|
20(46.5)
|
0.666
|
> 52.60
|
21(48.8%)
|
32(49.2%)
|
|
21(48.8%)
|
23(53.5%)
|
|
Lymph nodes volume(cc)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Median(range)
|
2.32(0.0-66.7)
|
0.66(0.0-17.4)
|
0.100
|
2.32(0.0-66.7)
|
3.8(0.0-17.4)
|
0.765
|
≤ 2.13
|
19(44.2%)
|
35(53.8%)
|
0.326
|
19(44.2%)
|
17(39.5)
|
0.662
|
> 2.13
|
24(55.8%)
|
30(46.2%)
|
|
24(55.8%)
|
26(60.5)
|
|
IC regimen
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TP
|
32(74.4%)
|
|
|
32(74.4%)
|
|
|
GP
|
7(16.3%)
|
|
|
7(16.3%)
|
|
|
TPF
|
3(7.0%)
|
|
|
3(7.0%)
|
|
|
PF
|
1(2.3%)
|
|
|
1(2.3%)
|
|
|
IC, induction chemotherapy; CCRT, concurrent chemoradiotherapy. |
Table 2
Summary of univariable and multivariable analyses of prognostic factors
Endpoints
|
Univariate analysis
HR (95% CI) P value
|
Multivariate analysis
HR (95% CI) P value
|
Overall survival
|
Sex*
|
0.74(0.26–2.10)
|
0.571
|
0.74(0.22–2.53)
|
0.635
|
Age†
|
0.47(0.15–1.45)
|
0.189
|
0.36(0.11–1.20)
|
0.097
|
Histology type‡
|
1.33(0.71–2.49)
|
0.369
|
1.15(0.28–4.67)
|
0.848
|
T stage††
|
0.53(0.12–2.33)
|
0.403
|
0.48(0.10–2.23)
|
0.348
|
N stage§
|
0.58(0.19–1.78)
|
0.342
|
0.72(0.15–3.44)
|
0.680
|
Treatment¶
|
0.36(0.13–1.04)
|
0.058
|
0.34(0.11–1.02)
|
0.055
|
EBV DNA copies††
|
0.49(0.14–1.74)
|
0.273
|
0.87(0.18–4.11)
|
0.857
|
Primary tumor volume||
|
1.03(0.40–2.66)
|
0.956
|
1.07(0.39–2.99)
|
0.891
|
Lymph nodes volume**
|
0.52(0.18–1.48)
|
0.223
|
0.50(0.12–2.05)
|
0.335
|
Disease-free survival
|
Sex*
|
1.15(0.46–2.85)
|
0.763
|
1.13(0.42–3.05)
|
0.809
|
Age†
|
0.79(0.36–1.77)
|
0.572
|
0.65(0.27–1.55)
|
0.334
|
Histology type‡
|
1.15(0.73–1.81)
|
0.549
|
0.97(0.34–2.74)
|
0.951
|
Tstage††
|
0.76(0.26–2.20)
|
0.613
|
0.67(0.22–2.04)
|
0.477
|
N stage§
|
0.65(0.28–1.55)
|
0.336
|
0.87(0.26–2.95)
|
0.824
|
Treatment¶
|
0.58(0.27–1.26)
|
0.170
|
0.61(0.27–1.37)
|
0.229
|
EBV DNA copies††
|
0.53(0.18–1.56)
|
0.251
|
0.60(0.18–2.02)
|
0.405
|
Primary tumor volume||
|
0.83(0.39–1.76)
|
0.622
|
0.87(0.40–1.90)
|
0.726
|
Lymph nodes volume**
|
0.61(0.27–1.35)
|
0.221
|
0.64(0.21–1.93)
|
0.424
|
Distant metastasis-free survival
|
Sex*
|
1.32 (0.62–2.80)
|
0.472
|
2.15(0.42–10.86)
|
0.356
|
Age†
|
1.37(0.46–4.09)
|
0.570
|
1.13(0.32-4.00)
|
0.852
|
Histology type‡
|
0.80(0.24–2.61)
|
0.711
|
0.48(0.12–2.03)
|
0.321
|
T stage††
|
0.78(0.17–3.52)
|
0.746
|
0.68(0.13–3.55)
|
0.645
|
N stage§
|
1.21(0.40–3.71)
|
0.734
|
3.31(0.53–20.84)
|
0.202
|
Treatment¶
|
0.74 (0.25–2.22)
|
0.597
|
0.89(0.28–2.83)
|
0.837
|
EBV DNA copies††
|
0.32(0.09–0.93)
|
0.044
|
0.18(0.04–0.85)
|
0.030
|
Primary tumor volume||
|
0.80(0.27–2.37)
|
0.681
|
0.80(0.25–2.58)
|
0.710
|
Lymph nodes volume**
|
0.80 (0.26–2.45)
|
0.698
|
0.41(0.07–2.39)
|
0.319
|
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; *Male vs. female; †≤45 vs.>45; ‡ nonkeratinizing undifferentiation vs. nonkeratinizing differentiation; ††T3 vs. T4; §N0 vs. N1; ¶Induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy vs. concurrent chemoradiotherapy;††≤ 1000 vs. > 1000;||≤ 52.60cc vs. > 52.60cc; **≤2.13cc vs. >2.13cc. |
Adverse events of treatment
After complete the whole treatment course, 24 of 108 (22.2%) patients had grade 3 or grade 4 adverse effect. The most common hematological toxicities included leukopenia (56.5%) and anemia (70.4%). Grade 4 neutropenia was more likely to occur in patients receiving IC followed by CCRT (4.7%) than CCRT (0%). The incidence of nausea and vomiting were not different between two groups. Most patients experienced mucositis (79.6%) and dry mouth (79.6%) during radiotherapy course, but the incidences were not differences between two groups. Overall, only a few patients presented hepatotoxic events (10.2%) and nephrotoxic events (6.5%) (Table 3).
Table 3
Adverse effects between two groups in entire treatment course
Events
|
IC + CCRT
|
CCRT
|
P Value
|
Leukopenia
|
|
|
0.544
|
0
|
15(34.9%)
|
10(23.3%)
|
|
1
|
8(18.6%)
|
10(23.3%)
|
|
2
|
12(27.9%)
|
17(39.5%)
|
|
3
|
8(18.6%)
|
6(14.0%)
|
|
Neutropenia
|
|
|
0.755
|
0
|
25(58.1)
|
26(60.5%)
|
|
1
|
5(11.6%)
|
5(11.6%)
|
|
2
|
8(18.6%)
|
8(18.6%)
|
|
3
|
3(7.0%)
|
4(9.3%)
|
|
4
|
2(4.7%)
|
0(0)
|
|
Anemia
|
|
|
0.533
|
0
|
5(11.6%)
|
5(11.6%)
|
|
1
|
26(60.5%)
|
29(67.4%)
|
|
2
|
11(25.6%)
|
9(20.9%)
|
|
3
|
1(2.3%)
|
0(0)
|
|
Thrombocytopenia
|
|
|
0.317
|
0
|
19(44.2%)
|
24(55.8%)
|
|
1
|
19(44.2%)
|
15(34.9%)
|
|
2
|
5(11.6%)
|
3(7.0%)
|
|
3
|
0(0)
|
1(2.3%)
|
|
Nausea
|
|
|
0.686
|
0
|
7(16.3%)
|
6(14.0%)
|
|
1
|
15(34.9%)
|
19(44.2%)
|
|
2
|
21(48.8%)
|
18(41.9%)
|
|
Vomiting
|
|
|
0.644
|
0
|
13(30.2%)
|
14(32.6%)
|
|
1
|
23(53.5%)
|
24(55.8%)
|
|
2
|
7(16.3%)
|
5(11.6%)
|
|
Radiation dermatitis
|
|
|
0.831
|
1
|
27(62.8%)
|
26(60.5%)
|
|
2
|
15(34.9%)
|
16(37.2%)
|
|
3
|
1(2.3%)
|
2(2.3%)
|
|
Mucositis
|
|
|
0.732
|
1
|
3(7.0%)
|
7(16.3%)
|
|
2
|
33(76.7%)
|
27(62.8%))
|
|
3
|
7(16.3%)
|
9(20.9%)
|
|
Dry mouth
|
|
|
0.812
|
1
|
12(27.9%)
|
13(30.2%)
|
|
2
|
31(72.1%)
|
30(69.8%)
|
|
Hepatotoxic event
|
|
|
0.754
|
Table 3
Events
|
IC + CCRT
|
CCRT
|
P Value
|
0
|
37(86.0%)
|
38(88.4%)
|
|
1
|
5(11.6%)
|
4(9.3%)
|
|
2
|
1(2.3%)
|
1(2.3%)
|
|
Nephrotoxic event
|
|
|
0.722
|
0
|
39(90.7%)
|
40(93.0%)
|
|
1
|
4(9.3%)
|
2(4.7%)
|
|
2
|
0(0)
|
1(2.3%)
|
|
IC, induction chemotherapy; CCRT, concurrent chemoradiotherapy. |