The results of the current study indicate that allogeneic HCT can be delayed until 1st relapse in patients ≤ 60 years of age with cytogenetically defined intermediate-risk AML. The availability of a suitable donor in the control arm allowed to perform allogeneic HCT in all patients with reoccurring disease which lead to comparable overall survival with both strategies. This optimized salvage procedure allowed to compensate for the higher incidence of relapse in the control arm. However, this means that patients relapsing after chemotherapeutic consolidation had to undergo salvage therapies and conditioning and were subject to higher cumulative doses of cytotoxic treatment. Furthermore, a considerable proportion of patients had favorable risk according to the ELN2017 classification and were therefore likely to respond to salvage chemotherapy.
With the advent of sensitive and specific techniques to monitor disease burden during the course of treatment, the majority of patients currently and in the future will have the option to be stratified according to on-therapy disease dynamics. 19,20 As the routine incorporation of MRD studies in patients was only established during the accrual of the ETAL1 trial21, quantitative NPM1-PCR values could be attributed to 45 patients (80% of NPM1 mutated cases). The percentage of patients with detectable MRD by the time of randomization was 73% (n = 11/15) in the HCT arm vs. 62% (n = 10/16) in the control arm. The number of patients with detectable NPM1 levels after six and twelve months, was 2 out of 10 and 2 out of 8 in the HCT arm. The corresponding numbers were 8 out of 12 and 6 out of 11 after cytarabine consolidation, respectively. Due to limited number of patients with complete MRD data, a formal comparison between treatment arms and an analysis of the prognostic relevance of MRD positivity on outcome parameters was not feasible.
Furthermore, an improved safety and thereby efficacy of allogeneic HCT with reduced-intensity conditioning and lower treatment-related mortality has been be observed even in older patients in recent analyes.22,23 In parallel, donor availability has improved with many suitable donors being enlisted and the increasing use of post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCY) after mismatched or haploidentical HCT procedures enables transplantation in almost all patients.24,25 All this contributes to an increased likelihood to detect imminent relapse early and to perform HCT in the majority of patients with AML relapse after conventional consolidation.
Prospective randomized trials as well as retrospective cohort studies have demonstrated that the choice of conditioning therapy affects the likelihood of relapse and that MRD status should be regarded as an important variable for allocating the intensity of conditioning therapy.26,27 Whether more unspecific strategies like hypomethylating agents, targeted therapies or immunotherapeutic approaches are most effective in achieving and maintaining a second MRD negative state is an important question for future clinical research. The positive results of tyrosine-kinase inhibitors after allogeneic HCT in patients with FLT3-ITD/TKD mutations is an example to improve efficacy of HCT for relapsed patients by maintenance strategies.28,29
The ETAL-1 study has several weaknesses. First, the trial had to be stopped prematurely, due to slow accrual. Reasons for slow recruitment are potentially multifactorial and not fully clear, but according to the screening log patients obviously tend to refuse leaving a decision for an intensive and potentially life-threatening procedure like allogeneic HCT to a computer-based randomization algorithm. In line with our experience, a similar UK Medical Research Council (MRC) trial which had intended to randomize patients with a matched sibling donor had to be terminated prematurely due to lack of accrual with only 40 patients being randomized.30 Furthermore, the use of a cytogenetic classifier by the time, of trial initiation in 2012 lead to the inclusion of ELN favorable risk patients for whom current guidelines would not recommend allogeneic HCT in first CR3. Still, the analysis of intermediate-risk patients according to ELN revealed exactly the same results. Finally, the routine use of MRD studies before and after allogeneic HCT had been developed but not standardized in 2012 and were not a mandatory part of the trial protocol. As assumed, the available quantitative NPM1 data suggest a higher probability of MRD negativity after primary allogeneic HCT.
An important and rewarding finding of this trial was the low non-relapse mortality after both treatment strategies even in a multicenter setting in patients with a median age of > 50 years. This achievement is clearly due to the availability of less toxic but still effective conditioning therapies and modern antiviral and antifungal prophylaxis.12 Although the returns of the QOL remained below our expectations, it was interesting to appreciate that except a temporal physical dysfunction, other QOL parameters did not differ between both treatment arms. Such a finding is of practical relevance and can be incorporated into future patient counseling. Expectedly, the duration of hospitalization was significantly longer for patients who underwent 2–3 cycles of consolidation chemotherapy. This information is of major relevance for the patient and their families and needs to be factored in when shared decision making is pursued. As mentioned previously, and additional 38 patients in the control had to be rescued by allogeneic HCT. These patients have been exposed to several cycles of high-dose chemotherapy plus additional salvage regimens before allogeneic HCT in 14 cases. Therefore, the cumulative exposure to chemotherapy may get considerable and should be kept in mind when patients with a considerable risk of relapse are advised pro or contra allogeneic HCT in first CR. In order to accommodate the preferences with regard to conditioning regimen, four different RIC were offered for patients > 40 or for younger patients with comorbidities. Although the majority of patients received Fludarabine combined with 8Gy TBI (n = 34), Treosulfan (n = 2) or Melphalan (n = 9), still 16 patients (26%) in arm A were conditioned with Fludarabine plus two days of Busulfan. As this regimen (FluBU2) has been shown to be associated with an excess incidence of relapse27, the differential anti-leukemic activity of the chosen regimens has to be kept in mind when interpreting the outcome data in the experimental arm.
In conclusion, the results of this randomized prospective trial support the notion that patients ≤ 60 years intermediate-risk AML, as defined by MRC cytogenetic criteria, despite an improved disease-free survival, do not benefit from allogeneic HCT in first CR with regards to overall survival. The early identification of a suitable donor allows timely rescuing those patients with relapse after conventional consolidation therapy. Future studies, applying longitudinal monitoring of residual disease dynamics will help to personalize the ideal time-point for allogeneic HCT in the majority of patients.