TT and IDA are two recognized causes of two prevalent microcytic anemias in pregnant women, and these two hematologic disorders are comparable in different clinical and research contexts. Physiological changes during pregnancy exacerbate the severity of anemia and are significantly associated with the increased risk of pregnancy outcomes. Early identification of TT and IDA among pregnant women is important for genetic counseling and appropriate therapeutic intervention. Misdiagnosis of TT has an impact on possible homologous offsprings. In addition, routine iron supplementation may lead to adverse outcomes for pregnant women with TT. Currently, the screening method for TT is based on an increase in HbA2, while the diagnosis of IDA is based on an increase in Total Iron binding capacity (TIBC) and a decrease in serum ferritin (SF). Since 1973, different mathematical formulas using only complete blood counts have been consistently proposed to identify TT and IDA. These formulas have shown different clinical utility, but no single formula is recommended in the guidelines, nor are they confirmed in pregnant women.
Previous studies often selected data from patients with microcytic hypochromic anemia to construct or validate formulas[44] , and there were two misunderstandings: the first was to ignore the group of TT combined with IDA;[29] the other was ignoring the group with TT or ID without anemia. However, anemia during pregnancy develops progressively, which means anemia may not occur in the first trimester but the second and later stages of pregnancy. In addition, human bodies may adapt to environmental changes. With the changes in hormone levels during pregnancy, the increase in blood volume leads to a decrease in Hb dilution. The mother will achieve a new dynamic balance through self-regulation. The consistent and uninterrupted division of various blood cells generates new cells all the time, and divides immediately. However, when the growth rate maintains 100%, the cell expansion in unit time (24 hours) has a limit of at most 2.71828 times with the value of e. Therefore, according to the fission limit to growth principle of blood cells, this study constructed a logarithm-based formula with e as the base by combining the hematological parameters and the mode of human self-adaptation, which can improve the discriminative diagnosis efficiency of TT and IDA. Furthermore, the diagnosis of TT was made based on genetic analysis in our study. Most of the discriminant formulas described in previous literature are individually formulated for diagnosis based on genetic testing. This may be an important factor contributing to the difference in diagnostic performance between our results and others.
In addition, many formulas have been clarified for the scope of usage since being published. For example, the England and Fraser formula is used in people suspected of having microcytosis, and is of little significance to people with normal MCV. [17]Formulas like England and Fraser[17], Mentzer[22], Srivastava[23], Shine and Lal[24], and Ehsani[16] are not suitable for the identification of anemia due to bleeding, hemolysis or pregnancy. Some formulas have other requirements, such as the Huber–Herklotz[28] formula for people with MCV <73, the Kerman II[14] and Nishad [32]formulas for people with MCV <80, the Wongprachum[33] formula for vegetarians, and the Pornpraser[35] and Sirachainan[36] formulas for students or children. Although Roth (SVM)[42] formula is suitable for fertile women, it cannot discriminate iron-deficiency anemia in the original study, and it was slightly inferior to the newer formula XS-1 in this study. In this study, the group of TT combined with IDA was excluded, and pregnant women with Hb>110g/L were included, so the performance of most formulas was relatively low, which is consistent with Keikhaei's[31] research, and a certain sensitivity can also be achieved by changing the critical value of the formula and specificity.[21]
Clinical empirical research was performed on the 43 proposed formulas with data from 430 pregnant women, and compare was made with the newly introduced XS-1 formula. An ideal formula for identifying thalassemia should have very high sensitivity and relatively good specificity to detect the largest number of TT patients while excluding IDA patients. Among the 44 formulas, only 13 formulas had AUC > 0.9. The sensitivity and specificity of the newly introduced formula XS-1 were 82.10 and 89.05 with the Youden Index ranking first, showing the new formula better than the general discriminant formula. Except for Shine and Lal and Roth..SVM. formulas, the discriminative abilities of other formulas in this study are lower in this study than in the original results.
Although the 10 hematological parameters of TT and IDA in this study were statistically different, considering the current laboratory blood cell detection methods, only RBC, Hb, and HCT are the measurement results, while MCV, MVH, MCHC, RDW-CV are calculated from the previous values. And some studies have found that MCV does not accurately reflect erythropoiesis. [45] In any progressive iron depletion, the latest red blood cell volume is the smallest, while thalassemia is not iron deficient, so its red blood cell MCV does not change.[10] A significant correlation was found in previous studies between MCV with might β-TT and the severity of the thalassemia mutation, implying that various β-TTs were associated with different MCV values[46], so MCV is not a good indicator for differentiating TT from IDA. Therefore, in this study, only three indicators: RBC, Hb, and HCT, were selected to be presented on the primary screening webpage. It is suggested that the source and calculation method of hematological parameters should be considered in future research.
Limitations of our study include the small number of pregnant women with TT and IDA and single-centered data. Furthermore, we did not construct a validation group to varify, and more clinical studies should be conducted in different populations to evaluate the performance of the XS-1 formula.