Depression prevention is an urgent health priority. 1 Major depressive disorder (MDD) surpasses asthma, diabetes, and lung cancer as a “high impact” medical condition (Medicare) and is the second most costly illness in the US2 accounting for 8% of years lived with disability.3 Indeed, MDD is projected to be the largest contributor to global disease burden by 2030.4 Despite decades of research refining depression treatments, many patients still do not engage in or respond to treatment. Further, as each depressive episode increases risk of MDD recurrence5–7 and chronic debilitation, it is critical to intervene before an episode occurs and increases chronicity and treatment-resistance. Prevention of depression, as opposed to treatment, is exponentially more impactful in reducing disease burden, and needs to be the prevailing public health strategy.
How can a strategy of depression prevention be achieved? Current approaches to MDD prevention are limited by at least two factors. First, prevention trials require very large patient samples, which creates a bottleneck at the provider-level, thus requiring cost-prohibitive large multisite trials.8 Second, patient populations toward whom depression prevention should be targeted have been poorly defined. Universal prevention that targets the general public is implausible to implement on a universal scale and is cost-ineffective.
Prevention efforts should target known at-risk populations based on potential mechanisms underlying risk.9 Traditionally, studies targeting ‘at-risk’ populations tend to treat patients with early signs of the disorder (moderate, subclinical depressive symptoms), thus limiting implications for primary prevention. Given that depression prevention is more cost-effective than treatment,9 and that experiencing MDD increases its likelihood of chronicity, there is a critical need to identify a well-defined population for prevention and to develop treatment models that are scalable and easily disseminated.
Insomnia as a point of entry for depression prevention. While sleep disturbance is a common symptom of depression, it often occurs independently and even precedes development of depressive symptoms. Insomnia is characterized by significant difficulties falling and/or staying asleep, which occur ≥ 3 nights a week for ≥ 3 months to warrant a diagnosis.10 Symptoms must also lead to impairments during wakefulness, including increased health-related morbidity, reduced quality of life, and impaired work performance (absenteeism, reduced productivity).11,12 Insomnia disorder is the most prevalent and burdensome sleep disorder affecting 10–20% of the population, with greater prevalence among women, the elderly, racial minorities, patients with comorbid psychiatric and or medical disorders, and those with low socioeconomic status.13
A meta-analysis of > 20 studies identified insomnia as a reliable precursor of MDD such that people with insomnia are 3 times more likely to develop depression relative to good sleepers.14 As insomnia precedes about half of incident and relapse depression cases,15,16 insomnia can serve as an ideal entry point for depression prevention. Notably, once depressive symptoms present, insomnia exacerbates the severity and course of depressive episodes, is the primary residual symptom during depression remission, and residual insomnia increases likelihood of depression relapse.16–23 Moreover, insomnia disorder is a robust risk factor for suicide.24–27 Thus, occurrences of clinical insomnia represent critical periods throughout the trajectory of MDD that not only have important predictive value for this debilitating disorder, but also serve as opportunities for targeting a modifiable risk factor to prevent the onset and recurrence of MDD.
Emerging evidence including preliminary data collected by our team demonstrate that insomnia treatment directly alleviates non-sleep related depressive symptoms.28,29 Notwithstanding its significant risk, associated morbidity, and direct relationship to MDD, insomnia remains an undertreated condition and its effects on prevention of MDD remain unsubstantiated.30
Cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia. Insomnia is typically treated with medications that have significant risks for daytime residual impairment,31 falls in the elderly,32,33 abuse liability,34 and other hazards.35 Cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia (CBT-I) is the guideline recommended treatment of choice as it has advantages regarding long-term effectiveness and safety over pharmacotherapy.36,37 As a standardized approach, CBT-I involves 6 modules: psychoeducation; sleep restriction; stimulus control; sleep hygiene; relaxation; and cognitive therapy. CBT-I effectiveness data have been summarized in several meta-analyses37–40 and reviews,41–44 which conclude that CBT-I produces large improvements in sleep by substantially increasing patient-reported sleep efficiency and reducing dysfunctional beliefs about sleep.
However, the benefits of CBT-I are not limited to sleep symptoms. CBT-I has been shown to alleviate comorbid depression in insomnia patients with comorbid depression.45–49 Additionally, and highly relevant to depression prevention, CBT-I also reduces mild or moderate (but subclinical) depressive symptoms and even depressogenic thinking with posttreatment gains durable for at least 6 months.50,51 These data suggest that CBT-I may protect against the development of depression via improving sleep as well as depressogenic cognitions. These findings suggest that insomnia treatment is likely to prevent MDD development, and that improving sleep and reducing even mild depressive symptoms and negative cognitions may help protect against future MDD. Given the safety and effectiveness of CBT-I for insomnia and depression,52,53 it represents an ideal intervention strategy to investigate MDD prevention through treatment of insomnia. We hypothesize that improving insomnia with CBT-I has the potential to prevent development of MDD.
Preliminary support for CBT-I in MDD prevention. Despite the possibility that treating insomnia may prevent depression, few trials have been undertaken, mostly due to the large sample sizes and long follow-up durations needed to achieve adequate power. For example, in one of the few studies to have tested depression prevention through insomnia treatment, no differences were detected, likely due to the low incidence of depression over the 6-month follow-up period.20 Two recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs) supported depression prevention through CBT-I, but depression caseness was operationalized as clinically significant symptoms on self-report surveys.54,55 In another recent RCT published in 2022, CBT-I reduced risk for clinician diagnosed incident MDD in adults aged 60 years and older.56
Taken together, these results highlight the immense promise that insomnia therapeutics can have in MDD prevention. The next step is to examine whether insomnia treatment can reduce incident and relapse of clinician diagnosed MDD in a broader patient population, including young, middle, and older adults. Moreover, prevention strategies should be implemented into real-world settings where they will reach the most patients likely to benefit from this strategy.
Barriers to MDD prevention from insomnia treatment. Despite its promise, CBT-I has limitations including an insufficient number of credentialed behavioral sleep medicine (BSM) clinicians to meet demand. Nearly 20% of U.S. adults have insomnia,57 yet there are under 1,000 board-certified BSM providers in the US, the majority working in specialty clinics in urban areas.58 While CBT-I delivered by non-psychologists shows promise,59,60 real world uptake is slow and these modalities still cannot be adequately scaled to meet the population need. These barriers contribute to limited access to care, reduced usage, and low adherence, especially among clinically complex patients60,61 and for disadvantaged populations such as patients with low SES and racial minorities.62
Finally, and quite importantly, insomnia and depression cases are typically identified and treated in primary care where access to CBT-I specialists is often limited, thereby leaving first-line behavioral options underutilized. Thus, although CBT-I effectively decreases insomnia and depression and shows promise for preventing depression, the limited availability of BSM specialists and challenges to underserved populations represent critical barriers to the scalability of clinician-led CBT-I as a first-line treatment or preventative intervention.
Digital CBT-I as a first line treatment. To improve access to CBT-I, web and mobile technology was utilized to develop digital CBT-I (dCBT-I). dCBT-I reduces cost, therapist time, is scalable, and empowers users to manage their own health and healthcare. dCBT-I also avoids the stigma of traditional therapy, most relevant for vulnerable populations (i.e., minority and low SES).63 Over a decade of numerous RCTs conclude that dCBT-I64 is nearly as efficacious as in-person CBT-I.65
Even so, the field struggles with its implementation, particularly in relationship with primary care, where insomnia and depression are typically identified and treated. To maximize the implementation and reach of dCBT-I, we must (1) determine the effectiveness of treating insomnia with dCBT-I when integrated into primary care, and (2) evaluate its effectiveness in preventing MDD. Without such information, the therapeutic potential of dCBT-I to prevent MDD will not be realized.
Despite the success of dCBT-I, it has important limitations. Primarily, dCBT-I has limited capacity to promote treatment buy-in and to tailor specific treatment components to the needs of unique patients, potentially limiting efficacy for clinically complex cases. Thus, treatment strategies that enhance scalability while retaining the flexibility and personalization of specialty care are critically needed.
Stepped-care approaches may be ideal for delivering insomnia treatments by capitalizing on the strengths of both digital and clinician-led CBT-I treatment modalities while minimizing their disadvantages.66,67 Stepped-care begins with a least-restrictive intervention and then utilizes intensive specialist treatment only in patients who do not benefit initially. Our proposed stepped-care model uses dCBT-I as a least-restrictive and cost-effective first-line treatment, but then follows with CBT-I with a clinician specialist only for non-remitters needing a more personalized and flexible approach after inadequately responding to digital treatment.
The stepped-care model maximizes patient access to care in Step 1, while also maximizing personalization for patients who require specialty care in Step 2. With growing evidence showing that sequencing insomnia treatments improves patient outcomes for patients who do not remit with first-stage therapy,68 a prevention trial that utilizes stepped-care for insomnia treatment has immense potential to maximize patient outcomes for insomnia and depression prevention.
In a stepped-care approach for insomnia treatment, Step 1 can leverage primary care and digital technology to maximize the reach of CBT-I to many patients who otherwise would have difficulty accessing care if only given the option to seek treatment in specialty clinics, where access is severely limited by providers. And critically, ~ 50% of insomnia patients remit from dCBT-I.65
Step 2 leverages the clinical expertise and flexibility of CBT-I specialists to treat resistant patients (did not remit in Step 1) who may be more clinically complex and may benefit from the more individualized approach that clinician-led CBT-I provides. A sophisticated stepped-care model integrated into primary care that capitalizes on cutting edge internet health technology and highly trained specialty care carries immense potential for population-level depression-prevention efforts and wide dissemination.69
This stepped-care model for insomnia treatment has yet to be tested in a large-scale pragmatic trial (i.e., real-world), but has the potential to improve outcomes and transform the limited approach currently in place.70 As early identification and treatment of both MDD and insomnia typically occur in primary care, a stepped-care insomnia treatment approach will leverage existing integrated care processes and be implemented where sleep problems are initially identified.
The specific aims for the Sleep to Reduce Incident Depression Effectively (STRIDE) trial are:
AIM 1. Assess the effectiveness of stepped-care treatment for insomnia in primary care. Step 1 will involve randomization to dCBT-I or online sleep education control. dCBT-I patients who do not remit will then be re-randomized in Step 2 to either clinician-led CBT-I or sleep education control.
AIM 2. Determine the effectiveness of stepped-care insomnia treatment on prevention of MDD. The effects of our stepped-care model on the 2-year rate of MDD incidence and relapse will be determined.
AIM 3. Test rumination as a mediator of treatment response. Lastly, we aim to identify behaviors that facilitate treatment (mediators). Our hypothesis is that reducing rumination (operationalized here as negative repetitive thinking) will mediate the effects of dCBT-I/CBT-I on reduced insomnia symptoms and on prevention of depression. A prior RCT showed that dCBT-I reduces ruminative thinking, which mediated nearly half of preventive effects on preventing the development of clinically significant depressive symptoms.71 In this proposal, we will test reducing rumination as a therapeutic mechanism by which insomnia treatment reduces insomnia symptoms and risk for MDD incidence and relapse.