4.1. The Impact of Yield and Fertilization on the LCA Results
Based on the LCA results, yield is one of the key factors affecting the environmental performance of soapberry cultivation. The estimation of yield from year 12 to year 20 can determine which of the two modes has less of an impact on the environment. As Fig. 2 indicates, at the low yield level, the impact per ton of fruit in mode 1 presents a 52.85-495.60% higher value than that in mode 2 for all impact categories. However, the impact per ton of fruit in mode 1 with high yield is 10.49-19.23% lower than that in mode 2 with low yield for GWP, PED, AP, EP and ADP. This phenomenon is consistent with the results of previous studies on other biodiesel feedstocks. As the seed yield is enhanced, the carbon balance of jatropha oil and jatropha biodiesel in China is improved [30]. In arid and semi-arid lands, the seed yield of Jatropha curcas needs to reach 8.6 – 13.9 t hm-2 year-1 to repay the C debt caused by the transformation from shrub to jatropha plantations in 30 years [31], but the current seed yield of Jatropha curcas is far from that [30, 32, 33]. Therefore, increasing the yield of fruits (or seeds) is of vital importance for forest-biodiesel feedstocks. According to a field survey, the yield of soapberry clonal plantations in Jianning County is 1.00,1.91 and 2.72 t ha-1 in the 4th, 5th and 6th year after grafting, respectively. Compared with the yield data in Table 3, the fruit yield of clonal plantations in the sixth year after grafting is 2.6-fold of that of seedling plantations in the same year, but the amount of chemicals inputs is the same. At present, the soapberry clonal plantation area is only 3.3 ha and these plantations were only built 4 years ago; therefore, there is not enough yield data, but the advantages of clonal plantations in terms of yield are evident.
The higher environmental impact observed for most impact categories in the studied modes is mainly related to fertilization in the productive stage, especially nitrogen application. As Figs. 4 and 5 indicate, fertilization, including production, transportation and in-field emissions, contributes 81.19-95.66% to GWP, PED, AP, EP and ADP in mode 1 and 59.76-88.47% to all studied impact categories in mode 2. For GWP, the main source was N2O emissions from N fertilizers applied to the plantation in the productive stage, which contributed 56.82% (mode 1) and 55.05% (mode 2) of the total GHG emissions, followed by GHG emissions from fertilizer production. For most biofuel pathways, GHG emissions caused by fertilization account for a large proportion during both the feedstock stage and the whole life cycle of biofuels [18, 34-36]. Therefore, fertilization is also a crucial factor affecting the environmental performance of biofuels. The sensitivity analysis was performed as the % variation per impact category with organic fertilizer replacing 50% of chemical fertilizers in the productive stage of soapberry cultivation in comparison to the base cases, without considering biogenic CO2 fixation (Fig. 6). The use of organic fertilizer in productive years of plantations reduces GWP by 45% and 43%, PED by 43% and 41%, AP by 39% and 44%, EP by 45 and 44%, ADP by 43% and 44% and ODP by 11% and 30% for mode 1 and mode 2, respectively. ODP is affected not only by fertilization but also by pesticides in mode 1, so the reduction rate in mode 1 is less than that in mode 2.
4.2. GHG Balance
For soapberry cultivation, the GHG balance is determined jointly by CO2 fixed by tree growth and GHG emissions from agricultural management. The amount of fixed CO2 in soapberry plantations is 5.65 t (ha year)-1 and 3.71-5.11 t CO2eq can be stored per ha year by subtracting the emissions. Compared with Jatropha plantations in China [33], these plantations can absorb more GHG per ha during the feedstock stage. According to section 2.1, the areas of mode 1 and mode 2 are 1391.7 ha and 2505.0 ha, respectively, in Jianning. With the 20-year time boundary, the total CO2eq stock is 1.03 ×105 t and 2.56 ×105 t for mode 1 and mode 2, respectively.
As the yield increases, the amount of CO2 absorbed by soapberry plantations allocated to produce per ton of fruit decreases. However, with constant chemical inputs, GHG emissions from producing 1 t of fruits would also decrease as the yield increases. However, what happens to the GHG balance of soapberry cultivation? Fig. 7 presents the net CO2eq stock of soapberry cultivation in the life cycle by changing the yield of fruit per hectare of 20 years in mode 1 and mode 2. The net CO2eq stock decreases as the yield increases and is infinitely close to but greater than zero in the two modes. That is, the soapberry cultivation process is a net carbon sink. For example, when the yield increases by 0.5-, 1- and 2-fold based on the average yield, the net CO2 stock of mode 1 is 1.57, 1.17 and 0.78 t and that of mode 2 is 5.30, 3.97 and 2.64, respectively.
4.3. Recommendations on Soapberry Plantations in Southeast China
Based on the results, we can conclude that mode 1 (plantations with a relatively high cultivation intensity) in Southeast China is less environmentally sustainable than mode 2 (plantations with a relatively low cultivation intensity) since the chemical inputs (especially fertilizer) during the cultivation process in mode 1 are much higher. However, mode 2 is not the preferred mode for soapberry cultivation because of its low yield. Therefore, it is of great significance to conduct classified management and directional cultivation of soapberry plantations to increase yield and reduce cultivation costs and environmental impacts.
For plantations over 10 years old (plantations in the period of stable fruit production based on local experience) in mode 1 and mode 2, reasonable thinning, stable fertilization and pest control should be conducted to prolong the lifespan of the plantations and ensure a stable yield. For the remaining plantations in mode 1, more efforts should be focused on increasing yield and reducing the use of chemical fertilizers. It is essential for stakeholders to implement other kinds of fertilizers (e.g., slow-release fertilizers, organic fertilizers or green manure) instead of NPK fertilization to reduce the environmental impacts [36, 37]. Increasing the frequency of fertilization and reducing the amount of fertilizer used in each application can improve fertilizer use efficiency and reduce N2O emissions from applied N fertilizer. At the same time, a reasonable fertilization strategy based on the growth stages of soapberry tree (appropriate N application rate, formulation, timing of application and placement) should be studied [38, 39]. Furthermore, stakeholders should pay attention to recent technology research to increase the yield of soapberry. For example, soapberry trees with three backbone branches, a 60° opening angle and with 16-18 fruiting branches per m2 crown projection area could most effectively improve the yield by one- or two-fold [40]. Spraying 3% sucrose 3 times (with an interval of 7 days) before the physiological fruit-dropping period could increase the yield by 3- to 5-fold, and auxiliary pollination by bees with 3 beehives per hectare could increase the yield by 1.2-fold [8, 39]. For unmanaged plantations and other plantations in mode 2, the cultivation purpose should be changed to ecological forests to reduce costs and carbon sink increases. For the future construction of raw material plantations, clonal plantations should be given priority to shorten the juvenile phase and maintain a stable yield as it can effectively increase the yield of soapberry, as discussed in section 4.1.