Patient characteristics
A total of 630 patients with cirrhosis underwent Doppler echocardiography to measure TRPG. Sixty-one patients were excluded from this analysis due to a lack of data on BNP measurements. A further 83 patients were excluded due to the presence of left heart failure or atrial fibrillation. Thus, 486 patients were analyzed in this study with baseline characteristics shown in Table 1. The patients comprised 265 males and 221 females, with a median age of 72 (range, 22–92) years. The median Child–Pugh score was 6 (range, 5–13) points. The numbers of patients with Child–Pugh class A, B, and C were 307, 125, and 54, respectively. The median ALBI score was −2.42 (range, −3.67–0.14). The median TRPG value was 22.0 (range, 4.0–91.2) mmHg. Of the 486 patients, 51 (10.5%) had TRPG ≥35 mmHg (Supplementary Fig. 1). The median BNP level was 39.5 (range, 3.3–712.0) pg/mL (Supplementary Fig. 2). Ninety-one (18.7%) patients reported shortness of breath.
Comparison of baseline characteristics between patients with TRPG <35mmHg and ≥35mmHg
Table 2 shows a comparison of baseline characteristics between patients with TRPG <35 mmHg and ≥35 mmHg. There were no significant differences in Child–Pugh score, ALBI score, or prothrombin time between the two groups (p = 0.699, 0.326, and 0.194, respectively; Fig. 1a–c). BNP levels were higher in patients with TRPG ≥35 mmHg (p = 1.15 × 10−3; Fig. 1d). The proportion of females among patients with TRPG ≥35 mmHg was higher than that among patients with TRPG <35 mmHg (p = 0.025; Fig. 1e). The prevalence of reported shortness of breath was higher in patients with TRPG ≥35 mmHg (p = 3.76 × 10−6; Fig. 1f).
An optimal cut-off BNP value for predicting TRPG ≥35 mmHg and prevalence of TRPG ≥35mmHg according to the cut-off BNP value
Using the ROC curve analysis, the optimal cut-off value of BNP for predicting TRPG ≥35 mmHg was 49.0 pg/mL [area under the curve (AUC), 0.639; sensitivity, 62.8%; specificity, 60.5%]. Next, patients were divided into two groups using this cut-off BNP value. The prevalence of TRPG ≥35 mmHg in patients with BNP ≥49.0 pg/mL was significantly higher than that in patients with BNP <49.0 pg/mL (14.9% vs.7.4%; p = 0.010).
Factors associated with TRPG ≥35 mmHg
To investigate factors associated with TRPG ≥35 mmHg, multiple regression analysis was performed. Shortness of breath (odds ratio [OR] = 4.067, p = 8.81 × 10−6), BNP ≥49 pg/mL (OR = 2.066, p = 0.019), and female gender (OR = 1.862, p = 0.047) were significantly and independently associated with TRPG ≥35 mmHg (Table 3). Based on these results, a risk score model for predicting TRPG ≥35 mmHg was constructed: risk score = −3.230 + 0.622 × gender (female: 1, male: 0) + 1.403 × shortness of breath (presence: 1, absence: 0) + 0.726 × BNP (≥ 49pg/mL: 1, <49 pg/mL: 0).
An optimal risk score to predict TRPG ≥35 mmHg
The optimal cut-off value of the risk score for predicting TRPG ≥35 mmHg was −1.882 (AUC, 0.731; sensitivity, 68.6%; specificity, 70.6%; Fig. 2a). Next, patients were divided into two groups using this cut-off risk score. The prevalence of TRPG ≥35 mmHg in the patients with a risk score ≥−1.882 was significantly higher than that in patients with a risk score <−1.882 (21.5% vs. 5.0%; p = 7.02 × 10−8; Fig. 2b).
Prevalence of TRPG ≥35 mmHg according to risk scores
Fig. 3 shows the prevalence of TRPG ≥35 mmHg according to risk scores (range, −3.230 to −0.479) in patients with cirrhosis. Among patients with a risk score <−1.882, the prevalence of TRPG ≥35 mmHg was 4 of 139 (2.9%) with −3.230, 5 of 84 (6.0%) with −2.504, and 7 of 100 (7.0%) with −2.608. Meanwhile, among patients with a risk score ≥−1.882, the prevalence of TRPG ≥35 mmHg was 12 of 72 (16.7%) with −1.882, 4 of 19 (21.1%) with −1.827, 6 of 27 (22.2%) with −1.205, 7 of 23 (30.4%) with −1.101, and 6/22 (27.3%) with −0.479.
Characteristics including risk scores in patients diagnosed with PoPH by pulmonary artery catheterization
Of the 51 patients with TRPG ≥35 mmHg, 15 consented to pulmonary artery catheterization for a definitive diagnosis of PoPH. All15 patients had a risk score ≥−1.882 and were found to have PoPH (Supplementary Table 1).