Clinical Characteristics
The baseline characteristics of the enrolled patients were presented in Table 1. Of 902 patients recruited at the initial stage of the study, 799 patients were eligible for the study, including 240 patients with HCC (HCC group), 153 patients with cirrhosis (cirrhosis group), 248 patients with chronic hepatitis B (chronic hepatitis group) and 158 healthy adults (healthy control group). Of the enrolled patients, there were 637 male patients (79.7%, 637/799) and the median age was 46.0 years old (interquartile range: 36.0–56.0 years old). P values for comparisons between different groups was presented in Table 1. AFP level and AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio in the HCC group was significantly higher than that in other groups (all P values < 0.001). The flow chart of the study population was shown in Fig. 1.
Table 1
Baseline demographic data of the study population (n = 799 ).
Variable | HCC (n = 240) | Cirrhosis (n = 153) | Chronic Hepatitis (n = 248 ) | Healthy Group (n = 158 ) | P1 value | P2 value | P3 value |
Demographic | | | | | | | |
Age (years) | 53.0 (44.0–62.0) | 53.0 (47.0–62.0) | 42.0 (34.0–49.0) | 34.0 (28.0–45.0) | 0.26 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Sex, male | 221 (92.1%) | 110 (71.9%) | 197 (79.4%) | 109 (69.0%) | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Hematological data | | | | | | | |
HGB (g/L) | 139.0 (127.0-151.0) | 117.0 (97.0-134.0) | 142.0 (128.0-153.5) | 151.0 (136.0-158.0) | < 0.001 | 0.24 | < 0.001 |
PLT (10 9 /L) | 169.9 (120.0-224.0) | 89.0 (63.5-126.5) | 180.0 (139.0-229.0) | 251.0 (217.0-285.5) | < 0.001 | 0.08 | < 0.001 |
PT (s) | 13.8 (13.3–14.5) | 16.2 (14.7–18.5) | 14.4 (13.3–16.9) | 12.9 (12.4–13.3) | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Liver function tests | | | | | | | |
AST (IU/L) | 32.0 (25.0-48.8) | 49.0 (32.5–74.0) | 47.5 (27.0-213.5) | 19.0 (16.0–22.0) | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
ALT (IU/L) | 34.5 (24.0-49.8) | 35.0 (23.0-56.5) | 65.5 (27.0-413.8) | 19.0 (13.8–27.0) | 0.43 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
GGT (IU/L) | 55.5 (32.4–98.0) | 53.0 (35.0-136.0) | 47.0 (22.0-161.0) | 22.0 (16.0–34.0) | 0.42 | 0.20 | < 0.001 |
ALP (IU/L) | 85.0 (67.0-117.3) | 104.0 (81.0-147.0) | 86.5 (67.0-123.3) | 60.0 (48.0–68.0) | < 0.001 | 0.88 | < 0.001 |
Tumor markers | | | | | | | |
AFP (ng/mL) | 18.6 (4.8–200.0) | 5.1 (2.7–12.1) | 4.6 (1.9–36.5) | 2.8 (2.0-3.9) | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
AFP/(ALT × AST) (10− 3)# | 17.6 (4.3–122.0) | 3.3 (1.3–8.2) | 1.7 (0.3–4.6) | 8.6 (3.7–14.1) | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
Data were presented as median (interquartile range, 25th–75th percentile) or number (percentage). |
HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; HGB, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet count; PT, prothrombin time; AFP, alpha fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; GGT, gamma-glutamyl transferase. |
# For convenience of representation, the value of AFP/(ALT × AST) was 1000 times of the actual value. |
P1 value was given for the comparison of HCC and cirrhosis group; P2 value was given for the comparison of HCC and chronic hepatitis group; P3 value was given for the comparison of HCC and healthy control group. |
Factors associated with elevated serum AFP level in patients with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B groups
Table 2 showed the clinical and biochemical parameters correlated with elevated serum AFP level (> 20 ng/ml) in patients with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B. Univariable analysis showed that male gender (P = 0.01), ALT level (P < 0.001), AST level (P < 0.001), alkaline phosphatase level (P = 0.045), gamma-glutamyl transferase level (P < 0.001) and prothrombin time (P = 0.02) were significantly associated with elevated serum AFP level (> 20 ng/ml) in patients with hepatitis B without developing HCC. In multivariable analysis, only serum ALT level (P < 0.001) and gamma-glutamyl transferase level (P = 0.02) were significantly associated with abnormal elevated serum AFP level in patients with hepatitis B. Increased serum ALT level was significantly correlated with abnormal elevated AFP level (Rs = 0.395, P < 0.001) using Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient.
Table 2
Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis of factors associated with elevated AFP (≥ 20 ng/mL) in cohort with chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis (n = 401)
| Univariable | | Multivariable |
Variable | OR (95% CI) | P value | | OR (95% CI) | P value |
Age (years) | 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) | 0.95 | | | |
Sex, male | 2.52 (1.25, 5.11) | 0.01 | | | |
AST (IU/L) | 1.01 (1.00, 1.01) | <0.001 | | | |
ALT (IU/L) | 1.01 (1.00, 1.01) | <0.001 | | 1.00 (1.00, 1.01) | < 0.001 |
GGT (IU/L) | 1.01 (1.00, 1.01) | <0.001 | | 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) | 0.02 |
ALP (IU/L) | 1.01 (1.00, 1.01) | 0.045 | | | |
HGB (g/L) | 1.00 (1.00, 1.01) | 0.43 | | | |
PLT (10 9 /L) | 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) | 0.09 | | | |
PT (s) | 1.08 (1.02, 1.14) | 0.02 | | | |
AFP, alpha fetoprotein; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase; GGT, gamma-glutamyl transferase; HGB, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet count; PT, prothrombin time. |
Serum AFP level in patients with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B with different serum ALT level
Table 3 presented serum AFP level in cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B group with different serum ALT levels. The median value of serum AFP level was 4.0 ng/ml, 4.2 ng/ml, 38.6 ng/ml and 43.2 ng/ml in cirrhosis group with normal ALT level, 1 upper limit of normal (ULN) < ALT level ≤ 2ULN, 2 ULN < ALT level ≤ 5ULN and ALT level > 5ULN, respectively. The median value of serum AFP level in cirrhosis group with serum ALT level > 2ULN was significantly higher than those with serum ALT level ≤ 2ULN (P < 0.001) whereas there was not significant difference between the median value of AFP level in cirrhosis group with normal serum ALT level and those with IULN < serum ALT level ≤ 2ULN (P = 0.73).
Table 3
Values of serum AFP (ng/ml) level in patients with chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis (n = 401) with different alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels
ALT level (IU/L) | Cirrhosis (n = 153) | Chronic Hepatitis (n = 248 ) |
Normal | 4.0 (2.6–8.2) (n = 78) | 2.1 (1.5–3.5) (n = 86) |
1–2 × ULN | 4.2 (2.1–7.5) (n = 48) | 3.2 (1.6–7.2) (n = 44) |
2–5 ULN | 38.6 (8.5–94.5) (n = 19) | 6.6 (2.3–80.9) (n = 36) |
> 5 × ULN | 43.2 (20.5-149.1) (n = 8) | 42.7 (13.7-113.9) (n = 82) |
Data were presented as median (interquartile range, 25th–75th percentile). |
AFP, alpha fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; ULN, upper limit of normal. |
For chronic hepatitis B group, the median value of serum AFP level was 2.1 ng/ml, 3.2 ng/ml, 6.6 ng/ml and 42.7 ng/ml in chronic hepatitis group with normal ALT level, 1 upper limit of normal (ULN) < ALT level ≤ 2ULN, 2 ULN < ALT level ≤ 5ULN and ALT level > 5ULN, respectively. Similarly, the median value of serum AFP level in chronic hepatitis B group with serum ALT level > 2ULN was significantly higher than those with serum ALT level ≤ 2ULN (P < 0.001) whereas there was not significant difference between the median value of AFP level in chronic hepatitis B group with normal serum ALT level and those with IULN < serum ALT level ≤ 2ULN (P = 0.05).
Performance of serum AFP and AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio for the diagnosis of HCC in patients with different serum ALT levels
Comparison of accuracy of AFP and AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio for detecting HCC
The performance of AFP and AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio for diagnosis of HCC in patients with different ALT levels are shown in Table 4.
Table 4
Performance of AFP and AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio for diagnosis of HCC in patients with different ALT levels
Parameter | Cutoff | AUC (95% CI) | P value# | Sensitivity | Specificity | LR+ | LR- |
AFP (ng/ml) | | | < 0.001 | | | | |
Total cohort | 7.8 | 0.725 (0.691–0.756) | | 0.65 (0.58–0.71) | 0.72 (0.68–0.75) | 2.27 (2.0-2.5) | 0.49 (0.4–0.6) |
Cohort with ALT ≤ 2 × ULN | 7.8 | 0.806 (0.771–0.837) | | 0.63 (0.56–0.70) | 0.88 (0.84–0.91) | 5.07 (4.5–5.7) | 0.42 (0.3–0.6) |
Cohort with ALT > 2 × ULN | 88.3 | 0.611 (0.535–0.683) | | 0.52 (0.33–0.71) | 0.76 (0.68–0.83) | 2.15 (1.5–3.1) | 0.64 (0.4-1.0) |
AFP/(ALT × AST) (10− 3)& | | | 0.68 | | | | |
Total cohort | 18.0 | 0.769 (0.737–0.799) | | 0.50 (0.44–0.57) | 0.91 (0.88–0.93) | 5.32 (4.7–6.1) | 0.55 (0.4–0.7) |
Cohort with ALT ≤ 2 × ULN | 28.3 | 0.745 (0.707–0.780) | | 0.46 (0.40–0.53) | 0.95 (0.93–0.97) | 9.92 (8.6–11.5) | 0.56 (0.3–0.9) |
Cohort with ALT > 2 × ULN | 5.6 | 0.769 (0.700-0.829) | | 0.59 (0.39–0.77) | 0.86 (0.79–0.91) | 4.13 (3.0-5.6) | 0.48 (0.3–0.9) |
AFP, alpha fetoprotein; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; LR-, negative likelihood ratio; ULN, upper limit of normal. |
& For convenience of representation, the value of AFP/(ALT × AST) was 1000 times of the actual value. |
# P value was calculated for comparison of AUCs in patients with ALT ≤ 2 × ULN and those with ALT > 2 × ULN. |
In the total population (n = 799), the performance of AFP (AUC: 0.725; 95%CI 0.691–0.756) was significantly lower than that of AFP/(ALT × AST) (AUC: 0.769; 95%CI 0.737–0.799) in the diagnosis of HCC (P < 0.001). In patients with serum ALT level ≤ 2ULN, AFP showed better diagnostic accuracy compared to AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio (P < 0.001). In contrast, in patients with ALT level > 2ULN, the diagnostic performance of AFP/(ALT × AST) ratio is significantly higher than that of AFP for HCC (P < 0.001).