AACES Phase 1 Accrual
Of 1,720 potential participants interviewers attempted to contact, 1,199 (70%) were actively reached. Of these, 592 (49%) were interviewed, and 388 (32%) actively refused. Using rapid case ascertainment, the average and median time from diagnosis to the baseline survey interview for participants in phase 1 was 7.1 and 5.8 months, respectively.
Among the 592 patients in phase 1, 540 agreed to provide their medical record and tissue sample (91%). Of these, 497 medical records were obtained (92%) and 437 FFPE tumor tissue samples (81%) were obtained. Phase 1 participants have been followed annually through 2016 and again in 2021, with 228 (39%) participants who remain alive and 364 (61%) participants deceased as of the latest update in 2021. For all women with EOC, overall survival ranged from 0.5 years to 10.6 years with a median of 4.8 years. A total of 577 (97%) participants survived at least 10 months past diagnosis. The mean and median time to the first follow-up survey was 1.6 and 1.2 years, respectively. Participants with 2 or more follow-up survey completions (N = 104) had an average time to first follow-up of 1.3 years (median: 1.2 years).
The participants who did not complete any follow-up survey (N = 294) are further described according to whether they died before being contacted or rather were lost to follow-up. During phase 1, interviewing ended in April 2016, and therefore, 70 (24%) participants who were interviewed at baseline in April 2015 or later were not eligible to complete follow-up surveys until phase 2 had begun but were deceased upon the start of phase 2. An additional 67 (23%) participants who did not complete a follow-up survey died within a year of their baseline interview over the course of phase 1, and 157 (53%) did not complete a follow-up survey due to other reasons (i.e. no answer on the phone, phone number no longer in service, active refusal, passive refusal via failing to schedule an interview, passive refusal via failing to attend a scheduled interview).
As shown in Table 1, AACES phase 1 participants demonstrated better survival than age-standardized Black women in SEER but were virtually the same after conditioning on survival of at least 10 months. Comparing survival of this age-standardized group of Black women in SEER to that of age-standardized White women in SEER (when looking at unrestricted survival and when conditioning on at least a 10-month survival time), Black women have consistently poorer survival (p-value < 0.0001) (Fig. 3).
Table 1
Overall Survival (OS) Rates for AACES and SEER, Black and White EOC
| AACES 2010–2015 | SEER AAa,b 2008–2013 | SEER AAa,b 2008–2013, given ≥ 10 months survival | SEER Whiteb,c 2008–2013 | SEER Whiteb,c 2008–2013, given ≥ 10 months survival |
Months | %, N = 592 | %, N = 1,828 | %, N = 1,342 | %, N = 16,630 | %, N = 14,296 |
12 | 97 | 73 | 97 | 87 | 98 |
24 | 81 | 61 | 80 | 76 | 86 |
36 | 67 | 52 | 67 | 67 | 75 |
48 | 56 | 45 | 58 | 59 | 67 |
60 | 49 | 39 | 51 | 53 | 60 |
aBlack women diagnosed with first primary ovarian cancer, restricted to histology codes eligible in AACES 1 |
bAge standardized to AACES age distribution |
cWhite women diagnosed with first primary ovarian cancer, restricted to histology codes eligible in AACES 1 |
Note: 14% (N = 2,334) of White women died within 10 months, while 27% (N = 486) of Black women died within 10 months. |
Survey Results. The distributions of the epidemiological, clinical and tumor characteristics of the phase 1 participants in AACES are summarized in Table 2 and include sociodemographic characteristics, other inflammatory-related exposures and comorbidities, and tumor and clinical characteristics. Due to some participants opting to complete an abbreviated version of the survey, variables not included in this version, such as insurance status and annual family income, are missing at higher rates (N = 51; 9%).
Table 2
–Characteristics by Follow-Up Completion
| | Follow-Up Status |
| Group 1: Full Baseline Cohort (N = 592) | Group 2: Completed ≥ 1 Follow-Up (N = 298) | Group 3: No Follow-Up (N = 294) | p-value |
| N (%) | N (%) | N (%) | |
SES-Related & other Demographic Characteristics | | |
Age at diagnosis (years) | | | | 0.45 |
20–40 | 29 (4.9) | 13 (4.4) | 16 (5.4) | |
41–60 | 309 (52.2) | 163 (54.7) | 146 (49.7) | |
61–75 | 254 (42.9) | 122 (40.9) | 132 (44.9) | |
Education | | | | 0.95 |
High School or less | 302 (51.0) | 155 (52.0) | 147 (50.0) | |
Some college | 106 (17.9) | 51 (17.1) | 55 (18.7) | |
College Graduate | 112 (18.9) | 56 (18.8) | 56 (19.1) | |
Graduate/Professional School | 72 (12.2) | 36 (12.1) | 36 (12.2) | |
Marital Status | | | | 0.61 |
Single/never married | 142 (24.0) | 65 (21.8) | 77 (26.2) | |
Married/living as married | 195 (32.9) | 103 (34.6) | 92 (31.3) | |
Divorced/separated | 166 (28.0) | 86 (28.9) | 80 (27.2) | |
Widowed | 89 (15.0) | 44 (14.8) | 45 (15.3) | |
Insurance status (before diagnosis) | | | | 0.39 |
Uninsured or Medicaid | 172 (31.9) | 85 (30.2) | 87 (33.7) | |
Other | 367 (68.1) | 196 (69.8) | 171 (66.3) | |
Missing | 53 (-) | 17 (-) | 36 (-) | |
Total Family Income (year before diagnosis) | | | | 0.39 |
Less than $10,000 | 115 (21.7) | 52 (18.7) | 63 (24.9) | |
$10,000 to $24,999 | 125 (23.5) | 72 (25.9) | 53 (20.9) | |
$25,000 to $49,999 | 132 (24.9) | 74 (26.6) | 58 (22.9) | |
$50,000 to $74,999 | 79 (14.9) | 39 (14.0) | 40 (15.8) | |
$75,000 to $100,000 | 48 (9.0) | 26 (9.4) | 22 (8.7) | |
More than $100,000 | 32 (6.0) | 15 (5.4) | 17 (6.7) | |
Missing | 61 (-) | 20 (-) | 41 (-) | |
Rural-Urban Commuting Area | | | | 0.01 |
Metropolitan | 467 (86.6) | 251 (88.4) | 216 (84.7) | |
Micropolitan | 44 (8.2) | 14 (4.9) | 30 (11.8) | |
Small Town | 18 (3.3) | 11 (3.9) | 7 (2.7) | |
Rural | 10 (1.9) | 8 (2.8) | 2 (0.8) | |
Missing | 53 (-) | 14 (-) | 39 (-) | |
Inflammation-Related Factors | | | | | | | |
Anti-Inflammatory Medications before diagnosis | | | | |
Aspirin | 90 (16.9) | 41 (14.6) | 49 (19.3) | 0.15 |
other NSAID | 117 (21.9) | 63 (22.5) | 54 (21.3) | 0.73 |
BMI (kg/m2 – self-reported at initial interview) | | | | 0.86 |
< 18.5 | 5 (0.9) | 2 (0.7) | 3 (1.0) | |
[18.5, 25) | 81 (13.8) | 44 (14.8) | 37 (12.7) | |
[25, 30) | 155 (26.4) | 78 (26.3) | 77 (26.5) | |
30+ | 347 (59.0) | 173 (58.2) | 174 (59.8) | |
Missing | 4 (-) | 1 (-) | 3 (-) | |
Smoking status | | | | 0.15 |
Never | 327 (55.2) | 176 (59.1) | 151 (51.4) | |
Former | 205 (34.6) | 96 (32.2) | 109 (37.1) | |
Current | 60 (10.1) | 26 (8.7) | 34 (11.6) | |
Talc Use | | | | 0.97 |
Never | 221 (37.3) | 111 (37.2) | 110 (37.4) | |
Ever | 371 (62.7) | 187 (62.8) | 184 (62.6) | |
Physical Inactivity | | | | 0.88 |
Less than 2 hours weekly | 331 (61.5) | 172 (61.2) | 159 (61.9) | |
2 + hours weekly | 207 (38.5) | 109 (38.8) | 98 (38.1) | |
Missing | 54 (-) | 17 (-) | 37 (-) | |
Hormonal- and Reproductive-Related Factors | | |
PMH duration | | | | 0.58 |
None | 488 (83.0) | 250 (84.5) | 238 (81.5) | |
< 5 years | 61 (10.4) | 27 (9.1) | 34 (11.6) | |
5 + years | 39 (6.6) | 19 (6.4) | 20 (6.8) | |
Missing | 4 (-) | 2 (-) | 2 (-) | |
OC Duration | | | | 0.80 |
Never | 178 (30.4) | 86 (29.2) | 92 (31.7) | |
< 5 years | 234 (40.0) | 120 (40.7) | 114 (39.3) | |
5 + years | 173 (29.6) | 89 (30.2) | 84 (29.0) | |
Missing | 7 (-) | 3 (-) | 4 (-) | |
Parity | | | | 0.83 |
0 | 109 (18.4) | 54 (18.1) | 55 (18.7) | |
1 | 105 (17.7) | 48 (16.1) | 57 (19.4) | |
2 | 143 (24.2) | 74 (24.8) | 69 (23.5) | |
3 | 113 (19.1) | 57 (19.1) | 56 (19.0) | |
4+ | 122 (20.6) | 65 (21.8) | 57 (19.4) | |
Other Comorbidities | | |
Previous Cancer Diagnosis | | | | |
Prior cancer (excludes breast cancer) | 27 (4.6) | 11 (3.7) | 16 (5.4) | 0.30 |
Prior breast cancer* | 39 (6.6) | 25 (8.4) | 14 (4.8) | 0.08 |
Charlson Comorbidity Index1 | | | | 0.30 |
0 | 216 (36.5) | 113 (37.9) | 103 (35.0) | |
1 | 136 (23.0) | 75 (25.2) | 61 (20.7) | |
2 | 99 (16.7) | 44 (14.8) | 55 (18.7) | |
3+ | 141 (23.8) | 66 (22.1) | 75 (25.5) | |
Clinical Characteristics | | | | |
Time between Baseline & Follow-Up (months) | | | | |
Median [Min, Max] | | 14.93 [6.18, 108.00] | | |
Mean (SD) | | 19.13 (14.48) | | |
Time Between Diagnosis & Death or Last Contact (years) | | | | |
Median [Min, Max] | 4.81[0.45, 10.59] | 6.21 [1.77, 10.59] | 2.74 [0.45, 10.18] | |
Mean (SD) | 4.79 (2.62) | 5.95 (2.33) | 3.63 (2.38) | < 0.01 |
Vital Status as of 2021 | | | | < 0.01 |
Alive | 228 (38.5) | 141 (47.3) | 87 (29.6) | |
Deceased | 364 (61.5) | 157 (52.7) | 207 (70.4) | |
Stage* | | | | 0.09 |
Localized | 131 (23.8) | 79 (27.5) | 52 (19.7) | |
Regional | 52 (9.4) | 27 (9.4) | 25 (9.5) | |
Distant | 368 (66.8) | 181 (63.1) | 187 (70.8) | |
Missing | 41 (-) | 11 (-) | 30 (-) | |
FIGO Stage | | | | 0.51 |
I | 130 (25.6) | 74 (27.4) | 56 (23.5) | |
II | 57 (11.2) | 31 (11.6) | 26 (10.9) | |
III | 227 (44.7) | 121 (44.8) | 106 (44.5) | |
IV | 94 (18.5) | 44 (16.3) | 50 (21.0) | |
Unknown/Unstaged | 84 (-) | 28 (-) | 56 (-) | |
Histotype* | | | | 0.08 |
High-Grade Serous | 397 (67.7) | 204 (68.5) | 193 (67.0) | |
Low-Grade Serous | 17 (2.9) | 9 (3.0) | 8 (2.8) | |
Endometrioid | 57 (9.7) | 32 (10.7) | 25 (8.7) | |
Clear Cell | 23 (3.9) | 17 (5.7) | 6 (2.1) | |
Mucinous2 | 29 (4.9) | 13 (4.4) | 16 (5.6) | |
Carcinosarcoma | 18 (3.1) | 7 (2.4) | 11 (3.8) | |
Other Epithelial | 45 (7.7) | 16 (5.4) | 29 (10.1) | |
Missing | 6 (-) | 0 (-) | 6 (-) | |
Debulking Status, CA125* | | | | 0.07 |
Optimal | 255 (66.6) | 151 (72.6) | 104 (63.8) | |
Suboptimal | 116 (30.3) | 57 (27.4) | 59 (36.2) | |
No debulking surgery | 12 (3.1) | 1 (-) | 11 (-) | |
Missing | 209 (-) | 89 (-) | 120 (-) | |
*p < 0.10; **p < 0.05 when comparing follow-up to no follow-up |
1Charlson index uses the following comorbidities: asthma, arthritis, diabetes, digestive issues, heart trouble, HIV/AIDs, kidney disease, liver disease, & stroke |
2includes both invasive and borderline |
Sociodemographic and health care access characteristics of the AACES population have potential importance with regards to determinants of health disparities. The highest level of education of approximately half of the participants was high school or less (51%), almost half reported a total family income of less than $24,999 annually (45%), one third of participants were married or living as married (33%), and close to one-third of participants were uninsured or had Medicaid coverage (32%) (Table 2). Among women reporting the lowest annual family income in phase 1 (<$10,000), participants were more likely to have Medicaid or no insurance (63%) and have a high school education or less (77%).
There were no clear differences in SES-related factors and other basic demographic characteristics by women who completed at least one follow-up survey and those who did not. However, participants who were deceased before the follow-up survey were older at diagnosis than those who could not be followed for other reasons, with a mean age of 61 years (SD = 10.8) compared to 55 years (SD = 11.2) (\({\chi }^{2}\) p < 0.001), respectively.
Overall, almost a quarter of AACES participants had high Charlson scores (≥ 3 comorbid conditions, 24%), more than half reported being obese (BMI one year prior to diagnosis ≥ 30 kg/m2, 59%), more than half reported never smoking (55%), almost two-thirds reported previous talc use (63%), almost two-thirds reported less than 2 hours of physical activity per week (62%), the majority reported never using post-menopausal hormones (83%), and the majority reported ever using oral contraceptives (70%) (Table 2).
Of note, obesity did not differ according to participation in the follow-up survey (Table 2). Those who did not participate in the follow-up survey were more likely to report they were a current smoker and less likely to have never smoked compared to those who participated in at least one follow-up survey (current: 37% vs 32%; never: 51% vs 59%) (Table 2). Participants who were deceased before follow-up were more likely to have higher scores on the Charlson comorbidity index than those who were lost to follow-up for other reasons, with 70% and 61% reporting a non-zero Charlson score, respectively (p = 0.086).
Tumor and Clinical Data. The distribution of the tumor characteristics including stage at diagnosis and histotype is shown in Table 2. Most participants were diagnosed at FIGO stage III/IV (63%), a major determinant of poor survival, and most had high-grade serous tumors (68%). The least common histotypes were low-grade serous (3%) and carcinosarcoma (3%).
Those who completed at least one follow-up survey were less likely to have stage III/IV disease compared to those who did not participate, 61% vs 66%, respectively. When comparing participants who completed at least one follow-up survey to those who did not complete a follow-up survey, participants were slightly more likely to be diagnosed with FIGO stage I disease, 27% vs 24%, respectively, and slightly less likely to be diagnosed with FIGO stage IV disease, 16% vs 21%, respectively. The distribution of histologic subtypes was similar across the baseline and follow-up groups, with most women having high-grade serous ovarian cancer.
Half of the women with high-grade serous ovarian cancer who were lost to follow-up were deceased at the first attempt of follow-up (50%), and this was the highest rate among the five major histotypes. Similarly, approximately half of the women diagnosed at FIGO stage III/IV were lost to follow-up because they were deceased at the first attempt to contact (51%). More than half of participants who had suboptimal debulking were lost to follow-up because they were deceased at the first attempted contact (56%).
The proportion of the five major histotypes among participants in AACES compared to the proportion in SEER data for Black women, respectively, are similar: 75.9% vs 77.8% HGS, 3.3% vs 2.7% LGS, 10.9% vs 7.4% endometrioid, 4.4% vs 4.6% clear cell, and 5.5% vs 7.5% mucinous (p > 0.10). Supplemental Fig. 1 shows Kaplan-Meier survival curves by the five major histotypes in AACES and in SEER. The poorest overall survival is seen for women with high-grade serous ovarian cancer, while women with endometrioid tumors have the best survival. To date in AACES, more than two-thirds of women who were diagnosed with high-grade serous ovarian cancer are deceased (69%), compared with approximately one-fifth of women diagnosed with endometrioid ovarian cancer (19%). When comparing these to the similar Kaplan-Meier estimates from SEER data, we see similar survival for women with high-grade serous, mucinous, and endometrioid cancers.
After medical record abstraction, 12 participants did not receive debulking surgery. Of the remaining 580, information on residual disease/debulking status was available on 340 participants (59%). Among women who were missing this information and whose CA125 level at the end of adjuvant chemotherapy was used as a proxy for debulking status (n = 43), 32 women were classified as having optimal debulking (CA125 < 35 units/mL), and 11 women were classified as having suboptimal debulking (CA125 ≥ 35 units/mL). By incorporating CA125 levels, information on debulking status was available on 383 participants (65%), and the missing data was reduced to 209 participants (35%).
At baseline, approximately one-third of the participants had any residual disease, while one-third had no gross residual disease. However, no information on residual disease was recorded for approximately one-third of the participants. Comparing participants by follow-up survey completion, women who completed at least one follow-up survey were more likely to have no residual disease. Optimal debulking status, which is correlated with residual disease, was also highest among those who participated in at least one follow-up survey. In Supplemental Fig. 3, we also show that the survival curve among those with missing debulking status fell in-between those whose debulking status was either optimal or suboptimal. This suggests that data were missing at random with respect to debulking status, and therefore imputation of the missing data would likely be unbiased.
Participants with optimal, suboptimal, and missing debulking status have a median survival of 7.1, 3.0, and 4.9 years, respectively. In preliminary analysis, we find a similar hazard ratio (HR) for the complete-case group analysis (HR = 0.43; 95% CI = 0.32, 0.60) compared with the estimate computed using multiple imputation (HR = 0.46; 95% CI = 0.36, 0.60).
Based on the baseline survey data, except for having reported a prior breast cancer diagnosis, comorbid conditions were similar irrespective of participation in at least one follow-up survey. The proportion of those with a prior breast cancer diagnosis was greatest among those who completed at least one follow-up survey. There was a trend for a higher distribution of the Charlson Comorbidity Index among those who did not participate in the follow-up survey compared to those who did.
Genetic Variants and Tumor Biomarkers. AACES has contributed significantly and will continue to contribute to the genetic susceptibility and tumor biomarker research of ovarian cancer in Black women. Our GWAS findings were reported by Manichaikul et al. [41] suggesting similarities and differences in genetic association in Black compared to White women. Future plans include assessing genetic variation in AACES phase 2. Initial results from multiplex immunofluorescence staining of immune markers and survival of Black women in AACES are found in Peres et al. [42]