Participants
Participants were 1,281 individual twins recruited as a part of the LTS, an ongoing longitudinal study of temperament and intellectual development in twins (Davis et al., 2019). All twins were recruited from the Louisville, Kentucky metropolitan area. Participants were primarily White (91.5%) and were recruited to represent the socioeconomic composition of the Louisville metropolitan area at participant enrollment. Twin zygosity was determined by blood serum analysis. Over the 36-year course of the LTS, there were 1,770 individuals (885 pairs) listed as participating at least once. Twins missing zygosity information will not be included in analyses (n = 120). Of those remaining, 1,637 had at least one physical measurement. As is typical in twin studies, we restricted analyses to monozygotic and same-sex dizygotic twins (n = 1,287). Finally, provided my focus on typical physical development, we removed all individuals with height, weight, or head circumference measurements greater than 4 SD above or below the population mean (n = 6). Thus, the final sample is 1,281 (52.3% female).
Procedure
Data were collected between 1957 and 1993. Physical measurements were collected by trained examiners during laboratory visits at the University of Louisville at 16 time points between 3 months and 15 years (0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 15 years). Most individuals in the study did not have data at all 16 points, but 88.2% had four or more weight measurements, 84.7% had four or more height measurements, and 87.3% had four or more head circumference measurements. All study procedures were approved by the University of Louisville Institutional Review Board. Informed consent was obtained from all participants included in this study.
Measures
Physical development. Physical measurement procedures are described in detail elsewhere (Wilson, 1974, Wilson, 1979). Birth length, weight, and head circumference measurements were obtained from birth certificates. All subsequent physical measurements were taken during assessments conducted at the University of Louisville. Infant weights between 3 and 24 months were taken with the infant lying undressed on a balance scale. After 24 months, infants were weighed wearing a light garment using a platform scale calibrated in four-ounce increments. All weights were recorded to the nearest ounce and were subsequently converted to kilograms. Height was measured to the nearest millimeter. Recumbent length was use as a proxy for height between 3 and 24 months. After 24 months, standing height was measured using a wall-mounted metric scale. Head circumference was measured to the nearest eighth of an inch and converted to metric measurements for analyses (Wilson, 1974). Raw height, weight, and head circumference measurements were converted into age-standardized z-scores using Center for Disease Control (CDC) growth charts based on 2000 norms (Kuczmarski, 2000). Z-scores are calculated separately for males and females and, therefore, are also standardized by sex. The 2000 CDC growth charts were based on United States population surveys conducted between 1963 and 1994, which overlaps with the timeline of data collection in the LTS.
Covariates. Baseline household SES was measured based on the Hollingshead Four Factor Index of Socioeconomic Status, which is based on parental occupation, education, sex, and income (Hollingshead, 1975). Hollingshead scores are based on a continuous zero to 100-point scale. Gestational age (in weeks) was calculated based on maternal report of last menses. Maternal age (in years) at birth and child sex were also included as covariates in growth models. Continuous covariates were standardized to have a mean of 0 and SD of 1, and sex was centered. A quadratic SES term was created by squaring the standardized SES term. We centered the quadratic SES term to ensure it had a mean of 0.
Data Analysis
Nonlinear Growth Modeling. We considered a variety of growth models to describe typical trajectories of height and head circumference including polynomial (linear, quadratic, and cubic), exponential, and sigmoid-shaped (Logistic, Gompertz, Richard’s, Weibull, and Morgan-Fercer-Flodin) growth models. Because models were not nested, the best fitting model was determined by comparing Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) values across models with lower values indicating better overall model fit. We review the characteristics of the Weibull and Morgan-Mercer-Flodin growth models as these models fit the physical growth data best.
Weibull Growth Model. The Weibull growth model is a nonlinear, asymptotic curve derived from the Weibull distribution (Ratkowsky, 1983). Using this model, the predicted height for individual we at time t is estimated using the following equation.
$${HEIGHT}_{\text{i}\text{t}}={\text{b}}_{1\text{i}} - ({\text{b}}_{1\text{i}} - {\text{b}}_{0\text{i}})\bullet \text{e}\text{x}\text{p}(-{\text{b}}_{2\text{i}}\bullet {\text{t}}^{{\text{b}}_{3\text{i}}})+{\text{e}}_{it}$$
In this model, b0 corresponds to the intercept, or estimated weight when time equals zero (i.e., birth weight). b1 corresponds to the upper asymptote, or an individual’s maximum estimated weight. b2 reflects the average rate at which an individual approaches their upper asymptote. Finally, b3 is a shaping parameter that controls the inflection point of the curve or the point at which growth is the fastest. In cases where b3 is less than 1, the Weibull curve approximates an exponential shape, and when b3 is greater than 1, the Weibull curve takes a sigmoid shape. Using the b3 parameter, the age of most rapid growth can be calculated using the following equation:
$$Age of Inflection= \left(\frac{1}{{b}_{2}}\right)*{\left(\frac{ {b}_{3}-1}{{b}_{3}}\right)}^{\left(\frac{1}{{b}_{3}}\right)}$$
In cases where the inflection scaling parameter is less than 1, the age of inflection is not defined as it is negative in cases where \(\left(\frac{1}{{b}_{3}}\right)\) is odd and not a real number when \(\left(\frac{1}{{b}_{3}}\right)\) is even.
Morgan-Mercer-Flodin Model. Using a Morgan-Mercer-Flodin model, the predicted head circumference for individual we at time t can be estimated using the following equation (Morgan et al., 1975).
$${HEAD}_{ij}={b}_{1i} - \frac{{b}_{1i} - {b}_{0i}}{\left(1+{\left({b}_{2}\bullet \text{t}\right)}^{{b}_{3i}}\right)}+{\text{e}}_{it}$$
In the Morgan-Mercer-Flodin model, b0 corresponds to the intercept, b1 is the upper asymptote, b2 is the average rate of growth. The inflection point scaling parameter (b3) can be used to calculate the age at which growth is the fastest using the following equation:
$$Age of Inflection= {\left(\frac{{b}_{3}-1}{{b}_{3}+1}\right)}^{\frac{1}{{b}_{3}}}$$
Nonlinear growth functions were estimated in a structural equation modeling framework using a Taylor Series expansion to generate a linear function of the target function (Grimm et al., 2013). Specifically, this is done by fixing the factor loadings to the partial derivative of each parameter in the target function (i.e., b0 – b3). All growth models were fit using Mplus version 8.4 (Muthén & Muthén, 2017).
Genetic analyses. A multilevel approach (individual twins nested within families) was used to decompose the variance estimates of the growth parameters into additive genetic, shared environmental, and nonshared environmental components (McArdle & Prescott, 2005). Following a classical twin model, additive genetic (A), shared environmental (C), and nonshared environmental (E) contributions to individual differences in the growth parameters can be derived using the following equations.
MZwithin = E
MZbetween = A + C
DZwithin = 0.5*A + E
DZbetween = 0.5*A + C
Environmental correlates of height and head circumference catch-up. Constrained growth models were fit by regressing the height, weight, and head circumference growth parameters onto the study covariates. Because all study covariates were consistent across twin pair, the covariates were included at the between-pair level of the model.
Missing Data
Due to the longitudinal nature of the study, there were missing physical growth measurements at each age (see Supplementary Table I). Missing data were handled using full information maximum likelihood estimation (FIML) in Mplus. FIML assumes that data are missing at random (MAR). When data are MAR, missingness may be related to other observed variables (e.g., family SES), but not to the missing value itself (e.g., extremely short children are more likely to have missing heights). To explore patterns of missingness, we fit a series of logistic regression models using study covariates, birth year, zygosity, and observed physical measurements at the previous age to predict the likelihood of missing height or head circumference measurements at a given age. As height, weight, and head circumference measurements across childhood are relatively stable over time (see Supplementary Figs. 1–3, respectively), using the previous measurement to predict missingness at the subsequent assessment (e.g., height at 3 months predicting missing height at 6 months) allowed us to approximate if missingness was related to the missing value. There was evidence that height and head circumference measurements were MAR (see supplementary Tables 2–4). Missingness did not appear consistently biased by smaller or larger children and birth year emerged as a consistent significant predictor of missing height, weight, and head circumference measurements. In general, children born later were more likely to be missing all physical growth measurements, which may reflect a change in the focus of the LTS from physical development in the 1950s to cognitive development in later decades or a loss of study funding in the 1990s (see supplementary Fig. 4). Birth year was included in all models as a predictor of measured height and head circumference at each age to avoid generating biased parameter estimates (Enders, 2013).
Descriptive Statistics And Intercorrelations
Means and standard deviations of height, weight, head circumference, and study covariates are presented in Supplementary Tables 5–8, respectively. The LTS sample was of average SES, and family SES was approximately evenly distributed across quintiles (22.0%, 20.2%, 19.0%, 25.9%, and 12.8% in the first through fifth quintiles, respectively). The average length of gestation was 37.2 weeks (SD = 2.6 weeks; mediation gestation = 38 weeks). About a third of the infants (33.6%) were born prematurely (less than 37 weeks gestation) and 3.4% were born very prematurely (less than 32 weeks gestation). At birth, the average twin was 1.59 SD lighter, 0.78 SD shorter, and had head circumference measurements that were 1.35 SD below the population mean. By 15 years, the average height-for-age z-score was 0.03 (SD = 0.98) and the average weight-for-age z-score was 0.19 (SD = 0.95). Average head circumference z-scores at 36 months (the last head circumference measurement) were 0.43 (0.89). Sequential height, weight, and head circumference measurements were highly correlated, suggesting strong stability of physical measurements over time (r’s .50-.99; see Supplementary Figs. 1–3 for height, weight, and head circumference intercorrelations across study waves, respectively).
Height Catch-up
Model fit – height. Model fit statistics for the height catch-up curves are presented in Supplementary Table IX. Based on BIC values, the Weibull curve fit the data better than other growth models. Moreover, relative fit indices suggested that the Weibull curve fit the data acceptably (RMSEA = 0.08, TLI = 0.92). The estimated intercept of -0.66 indicates that the average twin was approximately two thirds of a standard deviation below the population mean in terms of birth length. The upper asymptote was estimated to be -0.11, indicating that the average twin caught up to within approximately a tenth of a standard deviation of the population mean. The inflection point was calculated to be 1.75 (95% C.I. 1.54, 1.84), indicating that height catch-up was most rapid in early toddlerhood. Estimates for all growth parameters are presented in Table I and Fig. 1 depicts the average trajectory of height catch-up.
Table I Parameter Estimates: Height Catch-Up Growth |
Parameter | Mean [95% C.I.] | Within-Pair Variance MZ [95% C.I.] | Between-Pair Variance MZ [95% C.I.] | Within-Pair Variance DZ [95% C.I.] | Between-Pair Variance DZ [95% C.I.] |
Intercept (b0) | -0.66 [-0.75, -0.58] | 0.13 [0.09, 0.16] | 0.79 [0.68, 0.90] | 0.26 [0.19, 0.32] | 0.66 [0.53, 0.78] |
Upper Asymptote (b1) | -0.11 [-0.18, -0.03] | 0.05 [0.04, 0.06] | 0.91 [0.81, 1.01] | 0.44 [0.35, 0.53] | 0.52 [0.40, 0.63] |
Rate of Growth (b2) | 0.31 [0.28, 0.34] | 0.02 [0.01, 0.03] | 0.17 [0.10, 0.24] | 0.05 [0.03, 0.08] | 0.13 [0.08, 0.19] |
Inflection Point Scaling Parameter (b3) | 1.60 [1.42, 1.78] | 1.15 [0.52, 1.79] | 9.17 [5.40, 12.93] | 2.06 [0.83, 3.29] | 8.27 [4.76, 11.78] |
| Biometric Contributions |
| Additive Genetic (A) [95% C.I.] | Shared Environment (C) [95% C.I.] | Nonshared Environment (E) [95% C.I.] |
Intercept (b0) | 0.26 [0.11, 0.41] | 0.53 [0.35, 0.71] | 0.13 [0.09, 0.16] |
Upper Asymptote (b1) | 0.78 [0.60, 0.95] | 0.13 [-0.05, 0.31] | 0.05 [0.04, 0.06] |
Rate of Growth (b2) | 0.07 [0.03, 0.11] | 0.10 [0.05, 0.15] | 0.02 [0.01, 0.03] |
Inflection Point Scaling Parameter (b3) | 1.80 [-0.31, 3.92] | 7.34 [3.80, 10.93] | 0.20 [0.10, 0.30] |
Note. Estimates that are significantly different from 0 at p < .05 are presented in bold. |
Biometric analyses – height. Biometric contributions to individual differences in height catch-up are presented in Table I. Shared environmental factors accounted for 57.7% of the variance in the intercept of height whereas additive genetic and nonshared environmental factors accounted for 28.3% and 13.9% of the variance, respectively. Additive genetic factors accounted for the majority of individual differences in the upper asymptote of height (81.4% of the variance). Individual differences in the rate of height catch-up were associated with a combination of additive genetic (37.0% of the variance) and shared environmental factors (52.5% of the variance). Shared environmental factors accounted for the majority of individual Predicted Height Catch-Up Based on the Weibull Function
Environmental correlates – height. Relative to females, males had lower initial lengths, had a slower average rate of growth, and demonstrated an earlier inflection point. Thus, males started off farther behind than females and caught up by growing slower and for a longer period of time (see Fig.
2a). Importantly, sex was not significantly related to the upper asymptote of height, indicating that males made up their initial height deficit relative to females. Family SES was not linearly related to any of the height catch-up parameters. There was a significant quadratic association between SES and the upper asymptote of height. The quadratic association suggests that SES is most strongly related to the upper asymptote of height at the extremes. Accordingly, children in the poorest homes (-2 SD) and wealthiest homes (+ 2 SD) had the highest upper asymptotes (see Fig.
2b). Gestational age was strongly associated with the intercept of height (i.e., birth length). Moreover, a longer gestation was associated with a slower rate of growth and a later inflection point. Gestational age was not significantly associated with the upper asymptote of height. Therefore, children born prematurely had substantial early height deficits, but caught up both to their full-term peers and the population mean by growing faster (see Fig.
2c). Maternal age was positively associated with the intercept of height, but was not significantly associated with any other growth parameters (see Fig.
2d). All associations between study covariates and height catch-up are presented in Table II.
Table II Correlates of Height Catch-Up |
Predictor Variable | Intercept (b0) B [95% C.I.] | Upper Asymptote (b1) B [95% C.I.] | Rate of Change (b2) B [95% C.I.] | Inflection Point Scaler (b3) B [95% C.I.] |
Sex | -0.21 [-0.36, -0.05] | 0.10 [-0.05, 0.25] | -0.15 [-0.24, -0.06] | -0.85 [-1.61, -0.09] |
Family SES | 0.02 [-0.07, 0.13] | -0.01 [-0.09, 0.07] | 0.00 [-0.05, 0.05] | 0.03 [-0.30, 0.37] |
Family SES2 | 0.08 [-0.01, 0.17] | 0.10 [0.02, 0.18] | -0.03 [-0.08, 0.02] | 0.23 [-0.09, 0.56] |
Gestational Age | 0.40 [0.27, 0.53] | 0.10 [-0.00, 0.20] | -0.10 [-0.17, -0.03] | 0.91 [0.52, 1.29] |
Maternal Age | 0.10 [0.02, 0.19] | 0.03 [-0.05, 0.11] | 0.03 [-0.02, 0.08] | 0.18 [-0.18, 0.54] |
Note. Coefficients that are significant at the p < .05 level are highlighted in bold. Prior to centering, sex was coded such that males = 1 and females = 0. |
As an approximation of effect size, we calculated the proportion of the shared environmental variance explained by measured shared environmental constructs (i.e., family SES, gestational age, etc.). This was calculated by subtracting the unstandardized shared environment variance in the constrained model from the shared environmental variance in the unconstrained model and dividing the difference by the shared environmental variance in the unconstrained model (Singer et al., 2003). Study covariates accounted for 24.0% of the shared environmental variance for the intercept, 23.6% of the variance in the upper asymptote, 4.0% of Environmental Correlates of Height Catch-Up Growth
Weight Catch-up
Model fit – weight. Model fit information for the growth curve models fit to weight can be found in Supplementary Table X. Based on the BIC values, the Weibull growth model fit the data best. Although the Weibull model fit the data best relative to the other growth models, the RMSEA value (.10) and TLI value (.88) indicated that the Weibull curve did not fit the data well. Growth curve models were initially fit following a traditional approach to modeling the residual structure: residual variances were freely estimated and covariances between residuals were omitted. Modeling the structure of the residuals by including different variance constraints or autocorrelations can improve model fit (Grimm & Widaman, 2010). There are several approaches to modeling the covariance structure of the residuals in the growth curve model, and it is generally recommended to select a structure that balances parsimony and model fit (Wolfinger, 1993). We used a banded structure to model the residual structure of the Weibull growth model fit to weight (Wolfinger, 1993; see below for a simplified covariance matrix). Using a banded structure, residual variances for each measured variable were freely estimated and covariances between sequential residuals (e.g., between 3 and 6 months) were freely estimated. However, all other residuals remained uncorrelated (e.g., 3 months and 15 years).
$$\left[\begin{array}{cccc}{{\sigma }}_{1}^{2}& {{\sigma }}_{5}& 0& 0\\ {{\sigma }}_{5}& {{\sigma }}_{2}^{2}& {{\sigma }}_{6}& 0\\ 0& {{\sigma }}_{6}& {{\sigma }}_{3}^{2}& {{\sigma }}_{7}\\ 0& 0& {{\sigma }}_{7}& {{\sigma }}_{4}^{2}\end{array}\right]$$
A Satorra-Bentler chi-square difference test (Satorra, 2000) revealed that the model including structured autocorrelations between the residuals fit significantly better than the model without (X2 = 815.94, df = 17, p < .001). The final Weibull growth model fit the data acceptably (X2 = 992.07, df = 124, p < .001; RMSEA = .07; TLI = .93). Parameter estimates for the final Weibull model are presented in Table III. The average twin had an intercept of -1.57, indicating that at birth the average twin was in the 6th percentile for weight. The upper asymptote was − 0.11, indicating that the average twin caught up to within about a tenth of a standard deviation of the population mean (see Fig. 3). As the scaling parameter was estimated to be less than 1, we were unable to calculate the age of inflection.
Table III Parameter Estimates: Weight Catch-Up Growth |
Parameter | Mean [95% C.I.] | Within-Pair Variance MZ [95% C.I.] | Between-Pair Variance MZ [95% C.I.] | Within-Pair Variance DZ [95% C.I.] | Between-Pair Variance DZ [95% C.I.] |
Intercept (b0) | -1.58 [-1.64, -1.52] | 0.14 [0.08, 0.21] | 0.44 [0.37, 0.52] | 0.17 [0.05, 0.30] | -1.58 [-1.64, -1.52] |
Upper Asymptote (b1) | -0.13 [-0.20, -0.05] | 0.09 [0.07, 0.11] | 1.00 [0.85, 1.14] | 0.49 [0.37, 0.61] | -0.13 [-0.20, -0.05] |
Rate of Growth (b2) | 0.81 [0.72, 0.90] | 0.13 [0.06, 0.21] | 2.18 [1.20, 3.16] | 0.91 [0.48, 1.33] | 0.81 [0.72, 0.90] |
Inflection Point Scaling Parameter (b3) | 0.80 [0.73, 0.86] | 0.08 [0.04, 0.11] | 1.01 [0.77, 1.26] | 0.37 [0.22, 0.51] | 0.80 [0.73, 0.86] |
| Biometric Contributions |
| Additive Genetic (A) [95% C.I.] | Shared Environment (C) [95% C.I.] | Nonshared Environment (E) [95% C.I.] |
Intercept (b0) | 0.06 [-0.21, 0.34] | 0.38 [0.11, 0.66] | 0.14 [0.08, 0.21] |
Upper Asymptote (b1) | 0.80 [0.55, 1.04] | 0.20 [-0.03, 0.43] | 0.09 [0.07, 0.11] |
Rate of Growth (b2) | 1.55 [0.78, 2.32] | 0.63 [0.02, 1.23] | 0.13 [0.06, 0.21] |
Inflection Point Scaling Parameter (b3) | 0.58 [0.29, 0.87] | 0.43 [0.12, 0.74] | 0.08 [0.04, 0.11] |
Note. Estimates that are significantly different from 0 at p < .05 are presented in bold. |
Biometric analyses – weight. Unstandardized and standardized biometric components are presented in Table III. Shared environmental factors contributed to the majority of the variance in the intercept (65.5%) and did not contribute significantly to the upper asymptote. On the other hand, additive genetics did not contribute significantly to the intercept of weight, but accounted for most of the variance in the upper asymptote (73.4%). Additive genetics and shared environmental factors accounted for a significant portion of the variance in the rate of growth (67.1% and 27.3% of the variance, respectively) and inflection point (53.2% and 39.4% of the variance, respectively).
Environmental correlates – weight. Males had a significantly higher intercept than females, suggesting that male twins were born closer to the population mean. However, males and females were statistically indistinguishable at the upper asymptote. Females had a faster rate of catch-up growth and an earlier inflection point than males (see Fig. 4a). The quadratic, but not the linear SES term was associated with the intercept and upper asymptote of weight catch-up. At birth, children in very low (-2 SDs) or very high (+ 2 SDs) SES homes were born the heaviest (Supplementary Fig. 5 depicts weight trajectories over the first year). By adolescence, children at very low SES had the highest weights and were continuing to grow towards an upper asymptote above the population mean whereas children in very high SES homes were approximately average (see Fig. 4b). Gestational age was positively associated with the intercept and upper asymptote of weight. Twins born at an earlier gestational age displayed a quicker rate of growth, which resulted in a narrowing of the weight gap between premature and full-term twins (see Fig. 4c). However, full-terms twins retained a slight weight advantage at the upper asymptote. Maternal age was positively associated with the inflection point of weight catch-up growth; children born to older mothers had a later inflection point (see Fig. 4d). See Table IV for all associations between covariates and weight catch-up growth.
Table IV Correlates of Weight Catch-Up |
Between-Pair Effects |
Predictor Variable | Intercept (b0) B [95% C.I.] | Upper Asymptote (b1) B [95% C.I.] | Rate of Change (b2) B [95% C.I.] | Inflection Point (b3) B [95% C.I.] |
Sex | 0.16 [0.07, 0.25] | -0.00 [-0.17, 0.16] | -0.33 [-0.60, -0.05] | 0.30 [0.10, 0.50] |
Family SES | 0.03 [-0.02, 0.09] | -0.10 [-0.19, 0.00] | 0.07 [-0.08, 0.22] | 0.04 [-0.06, 0.14] |
Family SES2* | 0.08 [0.02, 0.13] | 0.11 [0.01, 0.20] | -0.04 [-0.20, 0.11] | -0.04 [-0.15, 0.08] |
Gestational Age | 0.49 [0.44, 0.53] | 0.10 [0.00, 0.18] | -0.17 [-0.31, -0.04] | -0.01 [-0.13, 0.11] |
Maternal Age | 0.04 [-0.01, 0.10] | -0.01 [-0.10, 0.07] | 0.13 [-0.05, 0.26] | 0.13 [0.03, 0.23] |
Note. Coefficients that are significant at the p < .05 level are highlighted in bold. *Family SES2 is the residual of family SES squared regressed onto family SES. |
Study covariates accounted for 54.6% of the shared environmental variance in the intercept, 24.7% of the variance in the upper asymptote, 14.7% of the variance in the rate of growth, and 6.7% of the variance in the inflection point.
Head Circumference Catch-up
Model fit – head circumference. Fit statistics for the growth curves fit to the head circumference data are presented in Supplementary Table XI. The Morgan-Mercer-Flodin growth curve fit the data best based on BIC values and fit the data well (RMSEA = .07, TLI = .96). The average twin had a intercept of -1.53 and grew to an upper asymptote of 0.40 (see Table V for all parameter estimates). The age of inflection was calculated to be 0.63. Therefore, the average twin is growing most rapidly at approximately 7.5 months of age. The average twin reached the population mean (i.e., had an estimated z-score of 0) by 9.5 months (95% C.I. 7.6, 12.9 months). Figure 5 depicts the average head circumference catch-up trajectory.
Table V Parameter Estimates: Head Circumference Catch-Up Growth |
Parameter | Mean [95% C.I.] | Within-Pair Variance MZ [95% C.I.] | Between-Pair Variance MZ [95% C.I.] | Within-Pair Variance DZ [95% C.I.] | Between-Pair Variance DZ [95% C.I.] |
Intercept (b0) | -1.47 [-1.59, -1.36] | 0.22 [0.16, 0.28] | 0.70 [0.55, 0.86] | 0.30 [0.22, 0.38] | 0.63 [0.47, 0.79] |
Upper Asymptote (b1) | 0.46 [0.38, 0.53] | 0.05 [0.04, 0.07] | 0.76 [0.66, 0.86] | 0.43 [0.33, 0.54] | 0.38 [0.27, 0.50] |
Rate of Growth (b2) | 2.28 [2.08, 2.48] | 0.31 [0.15, 0.48] | 1.45 [0.83, 2.06] | 0.92 [0.55, 1.30] | 0.84 [0.27, 1.41] |
Inflection Point Scaling Parameter (b3) | 1.97 [1.79, 2.14] | 0.67 [0.34, 1.00] | 1.25 [0.77, 1.73] | 0.67 [0.34, 1.00] | 1.25 [0.77, 1.73] |
| Biometric Contributions |
| Additive Genetic (A) [95% C.I.] | Shared Environment (C) [95% C.I.] | Nonshared Environment (E) [95% C.I.] |
Intercept (b0) | 0.63 [0.47, 0.79] | 0.15 [-0.04, 0.34] | 0.55 [0.34, 0.76] |
Upper Asymptote (b1) | 0.38 [0.27, 0.50] | 0.75 [0.54, 0.97] | 0.01 [-0.20, 0.21] |
Rate of Growth (b2) | 0.84 [0.27, 1.41] | 1.22 [0.53, 1.91] | 0.23 [-0.49, 0.94] |
Inflection Point Scaling Parameter (b3) | 1.25 [0.77, 1.73] | 0* | 1.25 [0.77,1.73] |
Note. Estimates that are significantly different from 0 at p < .05 are presented in bold. *The additive genetic variance for b3 was constrained to 0 as it was initially estimated to be negative and non-significantly different than 0. |
Biometric analyses – head circumference. Individual differences in head circumference at birth were significantly related to shared environmental (59.4% of the variance) and nonshared environmental factors (24.0% of the variance), but were not significantly related to additive genetic factors. As with height, additive genetic factors accounted for the majority of the variance in the upper asymptote of head circumference (92.6% of the variance). Additive genetic factors also accounted for the majority of the variance in the rate of head circumference catch-up (69.3% of the variance). Additive genetic factors associated with individual differences in the inflection point of head circumference catch-up were constrained to be 0 as this parameter was initially estimated to be (non-significantly) negative. Individual differences in the inflection point of head circumference catch-up were primarily associated with shared environmental factors (65.1% of the variance). See Table V for the biometric factors associated with head circumference catch-up.
Environmental correlates – head circumference. Relative to females, males had higher head circumference measurements at birth. However, sex was not significantly related to the upper asymptote of head circumference. Females had a significantly faster rate of head circumference growth than males (see Fig. 6a for head circumference trajectories by sex). SES was linearly related to the lower and upper asymptotes. Specifically, individuals a standard deviation above the mean in SES had a 0.12 standard deviation advantage in their head circumference in infancy, and a 0.09 standard deviation advantage in the upper asymptote. Thus, the early advantages of SES associated with head circumference appear to be retained into early childhood (see Fig. 6b). Gestational age was strongly associated with the intercept of head circumference; a standard deviation increase in gestational age is associated with about a half standard deviation increase in head circumference in infancy. However, gestational age is not associated with the upper asymptote. Children born earlier had a slower rate of catch-up growth, but an earlier inflection point suggestive of a longer period of catch-up growth (see Fig. 6c). Maternal age was not significantly associated with any of the head circumference growth parameters (see Fig. 6d). See Table VI for associations between covariates and head circumference catch-up.
Study covariates accounted for 66.1% of the shared environmental variance in the intercept, 83.3% of the shared environmental variance in the upper asymptote, and 14.4% of the shared environmental variance in the inflection point. Shared environmental contributions to the upper asymptote of head circumference were nonsignificant and estimates were extremely small. Thus, the percent of variance in the upper asymptote of head circumference accounted for by study covariates should be interpreted with caution.
Table 6
Correlates of Head Circumference Catch-Up
Between-Pair Effects |
Predictor Variable | Intercept (b0) B [95% C.I.] | Upper Asymptote (b1) B [95% C.I.] | Rate of Change (b2) B [95% C.I.] | Inflection Point (b3) B [95% C.I.] |
Sex | 0.30 [0.15, 0.44] | 0.10 [-0.04, 0.24] | -0.69 [-0.97, -0.42] | 0.14 [0.15, 0.42] |
Family SES | 0.12 [0.04, 0.21] | 0.09 [0.01, 0.17] | -0.09 [-0.23, 0.06] | 0.09 [-0.06, 0.24] |
Family SES2* | 0.02 [-0.06, 0.10] | 0.03 [-0.04, 0.10] | 0.00 [-0.12, 0.13] | -0.02 [-0.17, 0.12] |
Gestational Age | 0.57 [0.49, 0.66] | -0.03 [-0.11, 0.06] | -0.12 [-0.27, 0.02] | 0.17 [0.02, 0.33] |
Maternal Age | 0.02 [-0.08, 0.11] | 0.03 [-0.04, 0.10] | 0.05 [-0.09, 0.20] | 0.02 [-0.14, 0.18] |
Note. Coefficients that are significant at the p < .05 level are highlighted in bold. *Family SES2 is the residual of family SES squared regressed onto family SES. |
Environmental Correlates of Head Circumference Catch-Up Growth