The 90-day all-cause mortality in HF patients hospitalized in two Ethiopian tertiary hospitals was observed in this study. Ischemic heart disease (47%) and hypertension (51.9%) were the most frequent underlying and co-morbid diseases, respectively. Among HF patients assessed in the current study, 57.8% were precipitated by pneumonia. The 90-day all-cause mortality of this study was 10.2%.
Among 283 patients assessed, 66.8% were younger than 65 years old, with a mean (± SD) age of 52.4 ± 17.9 years. When we compare the demographic characteristics of patients with heart failure revealed by this study to data from studies conducted in the USA, almost 75% of HF patients were > 65 years, with a mean (± SD) age of 69.1 ± 13.5 years, and in Spain, 66.7% of HF patients were > 65 years, with a mean (± SD) age of 72.8 ± 11.2 years (16, 17). Living styles, socioeconomic status of patients, and environmental, and genetic factors were believed to be the possible causes of these disparities. Tromp J, et al. (18) (ASIAN-HF) conducted a study in 11 Asian regions that showed that more than 50% of HF patients were < 65 years old. On the other hand, Abebe et al.(19) and Tirfe et al.(20) reported comparable findings in Ethiopia more than 66% of participants were < 65 years old.
Approximately 80% of the HF patients in this study had NYHA class IV. A study conducted in Spain by Farré N, et al.(21) and in Japan by T. Shiga, et al.(22) showed that 75% and 36.1% of patients had NYHA class III-IV respectively, which is relatively different from the current study. On the other hand, Woldeyes E, et al.(23) conducted a study in Ethiopia and showed that 90.3% of NYHA class IV patients, which is relatively consistent with the current study. This demonstrates that HF patients in Ethiopia come with later-stage symptoms when they visit a health facility. The socio-economic status of the patients, distance from the hospital, low level of awareness about the disease, and the quality of health care services might be all likely factors in these late-stage presentations.
Table 4
Management (past, in-hospital, and discharge medications) of heart failure patients admitted to JUMC and AURH, Ethiopia between September 01, 2020, to March 01, 2021
Medications
|
Frequency (%)
|
Past medication history In-hospital medications Discharge medications
(n = 170) (n = 283) ( n = 251)
|
ACEIs/ARBs
|
99 (58.2)
|
138 (48.8)
|
169 (67.3)
|
Diuretics
|
147 (86.5)
|
280 (98.9)
|
240 (95.6)
|
Beta-blockers*
|
77 (45.3)
|
132 (46.6)
|
162 (64.5)
|
CCBs
|
15 (8.8)
|
30 (10.6)
|
30 (12.0)
|
MRAs
|
21 (12.4)
|
46 (16.3)
|
27 (10.8)
|
Cardiac glycoside
|
16 (9.4)
|
32 (11.3)
|
31 (12.4)
|
Statins
|
57 (33.5)
|
126 (44.5)
|
120 (47.8)
|
Anticoagulant
|
18 (10.6)
|
71 (25.1)
|
4 (1.6)
|
Antiplatelet
|
47 (27.6)
|
125 (44.2)
|
98 (44.6)
|
Antibiotics
|
-
|
188 (66.4)
|
-
|
ACEIs/ARBs-angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, CCBs-calcium channel blockers, MRAs-mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists
* Metoprolol and carvedilol
|
Table 5
In-hospital events (complications, length of stay, mortality) of heart failure patients admitted to JUMC and AURH, Ethiopia between September 01, 2020, to March 01, 2021
Events
|
Frequency (%)
|
In-hospital complication HF (n = 135)
|
|
Arrhythmia
Acute kidney injury
Cardiogenic shock
Acute ischemia
Hospital-acquired infection
|
69 (24.4)
38 (13.4)
20 (7.1)
17 (6.0)
7 (2.5)
|
In-hospital mortality
|
25 (8.8)
|
Hospital stay, median (interquartile range)
|
14 (IQR = 9, 19) days
|
Hypertension was shown to be the most common risk factor for HF in this study (51.9%). According to a study conducted in the USA (75.6%), New Zealand and Singapore (67.8%), Tanzania (41%), and South Africa (46%), hypertension was the most common risk factor for HF patients (16, 24–26). In this study, the possible causes of the high proportion of hypertension as a risk factor for HF were a lack of adherence to salt intake recommendations, inadequate quality of health care services, the poor lifestyle of the patients, poor diet monitoring habits, race variation, environmental, and genetic factors. On the other hand, when compared to the findings of a previous study conducted in Ethiopia by Abebe et al.(19) and Abdissa et al.(27), the most common risk factor for heart failure was valvular heart disease, followed by hypertensive heart disease, coronary heart disease, and ischemic heart disease, which is not in line with the current study.
The most common precipitating variable in the current study was pneumonia (57.8%), followed by atrial fibrillation, drug discontinuation, and acute coronary syndrome. In Ethiopia, a study conducted by Zeru MA (28) revealed that pneumonia (42%) was the most common cause of HF exacerbation, followed by arrhythmia, anemia, myocardial infarction, and drug discontinuation. Lack of adult pneumococcal and influenza vaccination for patients with chronic disease and home surrounding hygiene of the patients might be the likely causes of HF exacerbation by pneumonia.
In the current study, diuretics were the most commonly prescribed drug for HF patients, followed by ACEIs/ARBs, beta-blockers, statins, antiplatelet, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, digoxin, and calcium channel blockers. Abebe et al. (19) conducted a similar study in Ethiopia showing that diuretics were used most commonly, followed by beta-blockers, ACEIs/ARBs, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, digoxin, and statins. Another study from Japan, New Zealand and Singapore showed that diuretics were used most commonly, followed by beta-blockers, ACEIs/ARBs, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and statins for HF patients (22, 24). On the other hand, findings from studies in the USA and Spain revealed that HF patients were treated with ACEIs/ARBs most commonly, followed by beta-blockers, diuretics, digoxin, and statins, which is relatively not consistent with our study (16, 20). The increased consumption of diuretics in Ethiopia was possible due to the presentation of HF patients with congestion as a result of non-adherence to salt intake recommendations and the drugs' easy availability.
This finding revealed a 90-day all-cause mortality rate of 10.2%, which is relatively similar to a study conducted in the USA by Sarijaloo et al.(29) the 90-day follow-up showed an 11.5% of all-cause mortality rate. The slight discrepancies in these studies were due to the number of participants enrolled, ethnic variation, and genetic factors. Another study that is not in line with the current study was reported by Tirfe et al.(20) in Ethiopia, with in-hospital mortality (17.2%) with 4 months of prospective observational study and a report from Japan by T. Shiga, et al.(22) (17%) with 19 months of follow-up. Specifically, all-cause mortality of the present study was lower than T. Shiga, et al.’s findings, which might be the most likely causes of differences in follow-up period length, study design, number of study participants enrolled, environmental, and genetic factors.
Table 6
A 90-day all-cause mortality independent predictors of heart failure patients admitted to JUMC and AURH, Ethiopia between September 01, 2020, to March 01, 2021
Univariate analysis
|
|
Multivariate analysis
|
Variables
|
Description
|
HR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
HR (95% CI)
|
P-value
|
Alcohol drinking
|
Yes
|
1.72 (0.80–3.69)
|
0.167
|
2.83 (1.03–7.75)
|
0.043
|
Hypertension
|
Yes
|
1.55 (0.74–3.22)
|
0.243
|
3.70 (1.18–11.61)
|
0.025
|
CRVHD
|
Yes
|
1.75 (0.71–4.29)
|
0.223
|
1.85 (0.46–7.39)
|
0.387
|
Atrial fibrillation
|
Yes
|
4.33 (1.51–12.46)
|
0.007
|
2.12 (0.64–6.98)
|
0.218
|
Anemia
|
Yes
|
1.88 (0.77–4.63)
|
0.167
|
2.72 (0.75–9.91)
|
0.130
|
CAP
|
Yes
|
1.66 (0.80–3.46)
|
0.173
|
1.46 (0.48–4.46)
|
0.512
|
Cardiogenic shock
|
Yes
|
8.81(4.08–18.90)
|
< 0.001
|
8.66 (3.15–20.82)
|
< 0.001
|
Rehospitalization
|
Yes
|
1.73 (0.81–3.73)
|
0.159
|
1.25 (0.42–3.73)
|
0.684
|
Ejection fraction (%)
|
≤ 40%
|
1.02 (0.99–1.05)
|
0.196
|
1.47 (1.06–3.79)
|
0.014
|
ACEIs/ARBs
|
Yes
|
0.55 (0.25–1.18)
|
0.122
|
0.02 (0.003–0.16)
|
< 0.001
|
ACEIs/ARBs-angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers, CAP-community acquired pneumonia, CI-confidence interval, CRVHD-chronic valvular heart disease, HR-hazard ratio |
In the current study, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the independent predictors of 90-day all-cause mortality in HF patients were alcohol drinking, presence of hypertension, reduced ejection fraction, cardiogenic shock, and absence of ACEIs/ARBs medications. In a comparable study report from the international registry (REPORT-HF) by Tromp J, et al.(30) across all regions, the common predictors of worse 1-year mortality were lower systolic blood pressure and not receiving ACEIs or β blockers at discharge. A similar study done in Israel by Segal et al.(31) exhibited that the predictors of all-cause mortality were admission systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg. Another study conducted in Zambia by Chansa P, et al.(32) showed that the predictors of all-cause mortality were left ventricular ejection fraction < 40%.
Strength and limitations of the study
The lack of laboratory value on brain natriuretic peptide, which is sensitive to HF diagnosis, was one of the study's limitations. Furthermore, heart investigations and laboratory results such as an echocardiogram, electrocardiogram, cardiac troponin, serum electrolyte, and liver function tests were not obtained fully. The cause of death after discharge could not be determined in detail. Despite these limitations, our study provides vital information on the clinical characteristics, management, and prognosis of HF patients.