Fetal prediction of postnatal CoA continues to be a challenge. Although several echocardiographic indices are used to diagnose fetal CoA, no single parameter has good diagnostic accuracy [9, 10]. In this retrospective study, we validated that postnatal CoA can be predicted with a high degree of accuracy using a three-step echocardiographic diagnostic model.
Step One
Previous studies demonstrated that a tortuous and rigid aortic arch is the most intuitive sign of CoA diagnosis in children. Some researchers have used the TAO-DAO angle to digitally evaluate the arch contour rather than relying on the operator’s subjective evaluation. Drs. Arya [3] and Freeman [11] defined one angle between the ascending and descending aorta (≤ 20.31°) and another angle between the transverse and descending aorta (≥ 96.15°) to detect fetal CoA. These two measurements could not be obtained if the aortic arch was too tortuous or if no standard view of the entire aortic arch was present. So they suggested combining the distance between the LCCA-to-LSA and Z-score of the ascending aorta to decrease the rate of misdiagnosis.
Coarctation occurs mostly at the isthmus, so a change in the angle due to a tortuous or rigid lumen is most likely to occur at this point, which may explain why the TAO-DAO angle between the transverse arch and isthmus in our study was found to be the best index to judge the shape of the arch, as it had the largest AUC (0.95) and the best sensitivity and specificity (both 92%). Difficulty in clearly displaying the entire arch contour in one view may lead to incorrect measurements, which may explain why we found that some fetuses with confirmed CoA had a normal TAO-DAO angle or that a fetus with a postnatal normal arch had an abnormal TAO-DAO angle. We appointed the TAO-DAO angle as the most important index in the diagnostic model but still utilized the subsequent two steps to minimize errors in diagnosis.
Step Two
The diameter of the transverse arch was measured, and the Z-score of the isthmus was calculated. In agreement with published data [9, 12], we found that the presence of a hypoplastic aortic arch had a good diagnostic performance in detecting CoA. Considering that a 0.5 mm difference in the isthmus diameter may result in a Z-score of − 2 instead of − 1, we proposed that the Z-score of the isthmus, instead of the absolute data, should be used to increase the diagnostic sensitivity to 92.5%, while concurrently using the transverse arch diameter to improve the specificity to 89.4%. The two indices used together would balance any false negative and false positive rates. Gómez-Montes [7] proposed the cut-off value of the Z-score of the isthmus to be ≤ -2 when measured in 3VT view, which is larger than our data. In our study, the measurement of the isthmus had to be taken at the insertion of the PDA in the sagittal and coronary views or proximal to the orifice of the LSA in the long axis view, and the cut-off value was ≤ -7.5. We hold that a strict protocol is more suitable for clear display and standard measurements, facilitating diagnostic accuracy.
The first three indices used in steps 1 and 2, representing the arch contour and dimension, could differentiate the cases of true narrowing from those of suspected CoA most of the time. When all of these indices were abnormal, the diagnosis of fetal CoA was supported, and conversely, when all of these indices were within the normal range, a postnatal normal arch was predicted.
Step Three
When the two-step measurements were completed, the diagosis of CoA was still undetermined in about 25% fetus. So the following five indices should be added to improve the diagnostic accuracy further.
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The distance from the LCCA to the LSA is always increased in patients with CoA, which is theorized to be secondary to a stretch in the contour of the transverse arch [13]. Therefore, we measured the distances and calculated the ratio. Since the distance from the LCCA to the LSA and the ratio of the distances had a high specificity of 86%, they could reduce the false positive rate and provide an indirect evaluation of the arch contour.
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The aortic arch was further assessed using the Z-score of the transverse arch and the diameter of the isthmus [14]. The two indices compensated for the contradictory judgment in step 2. A reduced Z-score of the transverse arch would strongly support the diagnosis of fetal CoA. If isthmus stenosis is associated with transverse arch narrowing or dysplasia, arch repair surgery should be considered in neonates.
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Prior studies have indicated that the diameter of the isthmus should be smaller than that of the LSA in fetal CoA [15]. Therefore, the isthmus-to-LSA ratio is considered an important clue to the diagnosis of fetal CoA, which was confirmed in this study. However, the isthmus-to-LSA ratio had a lowest specificity (41%). Therefore, the isthmus-to-LSA ratio may suggest CoA, but it is not specific enough to independently diagnose CoA. The diagnosis must be made in conjunction with more specific indices.
Dr. Dodge-Khatami [13] first defined the carotid-subclavian artery index as the ratio of the isthmus diameter to the distance between the LCCA and LSA. They found that this parameter had high sensitivity and specificity for detecting fetal CoA [16]. In this study, the isthmus diameter and the distance between the LCCA and LSA were also assessed in this step separately.
We found that the arterial duct often appears as a tortuous aneurysm in CoA, especially in the third trimester. The tortuous arterial duct is often mistaken for the aortic arch, resulting in both a missed diagnosis and misdiagnosis. Therefore, a key point of prenatal echocardiography is to clearly show the isthmus where the LSA originates or the arterial duct inserts. In future research, three-dimensional printing may be used to visualize these structures directly, especially when it is difficult to obtain a clear view of the arch due to operator skills and the overlap of the aortic and ductal arches. An ideal next step would be to create a prospective multicenter registry of suspected CoA fetuses to validate this model.
Limitation
The proposed algorithm has not been tested in more patients. In the future, the algorithm based on our retrospective study requires to be shown the actual sensitivity and specificity of the fetal CoA diagnosis.
In conclusion, the three-step echocardiographic diagnostic model starts with a measurement of the aortic TAO-DAO angle, followed by measurements of the transverse arch and isthmus, and finally incorporates additional indices to maximize the sensitivity and specificity of the CoA diagnosis. The algorithm is clinically feasible.