In our study, we analyzed a total of 40 patients with recurrent glioblastoma undergoing therapy with BVZ. A meta-analysis published in neuro-oncology in 2016 [17–18] analyzed thirteen articles that studied DCE-MRI as a predictor of response to BVZ in patients with recurrent glioblastoma; however, only seven studies used rCBV as a response predictor, while the other six used various perfusion MRI parameters.
In the studies using rCBV as a responsive predictor included in the meta-analysis, a total of 226 patients were evaluated (with a maximum of 71 patients included in the Kickingereder’s [19]). The HR comparing the progression free survival between responsive and non-responsive patients was 0.46 and was 0.47 overall survival (OS). In our study, we observed a higher HR for OS, set at 0.68, this indicates a longer OS for our patients than what was reported in previous studies.
In the primary outcome, using the ROC analysis, we concluded that the cut off of rCBV to predict a response to BVZ was 3.7. The sensibility and specificity for this ROC was very high (100 and 81.2% respectively [20]). We found comparable results in other reports, for instance, in the Kickingereder et al study published in Neuro-Oncology [19], authors found that the cutoff for rCBV as a response predictor to BVZ treatment was 3.9, with a P < 0.01, something in line with our findings.
We also analyzed the overall survival rate using the correlation coefficient. Results for the responders group showed a 12-month extension in OS in comparison to non-responders (5.9 moths) (P < 0.005 and CI 1.96). In Kickingereder et al, authors demonstrated that rCBV analysis correctively predicts 12-month overall survival in 80% of the patients treated with BVZ and 6 months for progression free survival.
There have been several MRI perfusion techniques that analyze the response to antiangiogenic treatment in patients with malignant glioblastoma [23–27]. Some of these studies (Aquino et al 2014, Harris et al 2015, Kickingereder et al 2015, Schimainda et al 2015) found promising results, yet only a small number (seven) analyzed the rCBV cutoff point as a response predictor to BVZ treatment in these patients, all of them reporting similar results to ours.
Stecco et al [28] performed a similar analysis using rCBV as a predictor of Progression Free Survival (PFS). They observed that patients with an rCBV below 4.5 at T0 were predicted to have a longer PFS (p = 0.04). In this study, the sample size was just 13 patients and no overall survival correlations were performed.
The findings of the Secondary Analysis of the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer 26101 Trial [29] found a nrCBF relative change of -18% and an absolute change of -0.15 points in Bevacizumab treated patients with recurrent GBM compared to a nrCBF relative change of + 1 and an absolute change of 0.01 in non-Bevacizumab treated patients (p < 0.001). This is the largest retrospective study of Bevacizumab treatment follow up using rCBF. While these findings do confirm the impact of Bevacizumab in rCBF and rCBV, no cutoff value was set for rCBV.
When studying response to treatment predictors, early changes in rCBF and rCBV in Bevacizumab treated patients have been used to retrospectively create an algorithm to predict short term response and overall survival in treatment responders vs non responders [30].
Despite the straightforward results of the present study, we must acknowledge the retrospective nature of the present study, which carries certain limitations. We did not have the patients’ molecular biology markers at baseline. We also did not obtain the histopathological results that confirmed recurrence in the patients. Another limitation is that this is a non-randomized study.
rCBV as a predictive/prognostic biomarker has been widely used and is currently the most reliable measurement for assessing the response to antiangiogenic treatment [29, 30]. Pretreatment rCBV is a potential progression-predicting imaging biomarker in BVZ-treated rGB. This is particularly helpful in our population, where the health system has multiple limitations to provide follow up after treatment, as such, this marker could favor the selection of patients who may benefit the most of BVZ therapy.