This study is the first to predict the occurrence of neurological symptoms by using ESCC, SINS, and clinical data in patients who had not yet developed neurological symptoms. This study also showed how neurological symptoms can occur in patients with spinal metastasis who have not yet manifested neurological symptoms. Neurological symptoms developed, mainly because of mechanical compression caused by the tumor or angulation caused by vertebral body collapse [7]. In this study, ESCC, a representative of mass effect, was associated with the occurrence and timing of neurological symptoms, but not with severity. SINS, which could predict angulation, was only related to the occurrence of neurological symptoms, but not to the onset and severity of these symptoms. In the subgroup whose stability deteriorated within the group with neurological symptoms, no patients actually deteriorated to the unstable category (SINS 13–18). Considering the multivariable analysis results, the contribution of ESCC to the occurrence of neurological symptoms may be greater than that of SINS. Therefore, predicting the occurrence of neurological symptoms with SINS alone is difficult, and ESCC must be considered as well.
As reported by Bilsky [17], ESCC, which has highly inter- and intra-rater reliability, has been a useful tool for treatment decision making [7, 12]. However, studies on whether ESCC can act as a predictor of the development of neurological symptoms are few. A previous study showed that a high-grade ESCC indicated a high risk for rapidly progressive neurological symptoms within 3 weeks [18]. But it did not target patients who have not yet developed neurological symptoms.
In our study, ESCC was not related to neurological complication severity, consistent with previous studies [18], This result suggests that the neurological symptoms are determined by various factors. The tumor growth rate is different for each tumor type, and factors such as vascular damage and mass effect may have had an effect [19]. Oshima et al. reported that neurological symptoms could be predicted according to the circumferential ratio of cord compression [20]. In fact, the choice of treatment, such as surgery, may be related to neurological symptom severity [21]. In this study, 4 out of 5 patients with unstable SINS underwent surgery early, and all showed mild neurological symptoms (ASIA D). Given that the sample size is small and the statistical relationship has not been revealed, further research considering treatment factors is needed..
As mentioned, SINS was analyzed in two ways. We found that SINS was not associated with neurological symptoms in continuous numbers but was associated with SINS as categorical variables. In one study, postoperative functional recovery was high in the potentially unstable and unstable groups when SINS was used as a categorical value [22]. Numerous studies have also confirmed the reliability of [23].
Regarding the strength of this study, both the clinical factors and radiologic findings were investigated. Pain was also classified into three categories, of which only radicular pain was associated with neurological symptoms. Radicular pain could be a typical symptom of instability because of neural foramen collapse [7].
Presently, brace application as a treatment for spinal metastatic tumor has not yet been confirmed to be effective, and no randomized control trials on brace effects have been conducted [24]. Nevertheless, it is widely used for stability or pain relief among clinicians. Identifying which factor exacerbates stability can be greatly beneficial to patient care. In this study, bony lesion and localized pain were associated with stability aggravation. Osteolytic bone metastases are more aggressive than osteoblastic metastases and are associated with a higher incidence of pathologic fractures [25]. These characteristics would have also affected SINS deterioration. Mechanical pain is a typical symptom that occurs when stability deteriorates. But in the present study, mechanical pain was irrelevant, whereas localized pain was highly relevant. One of the possible mechanisms is that pathologic fracture can be preceded by localized pain [26]. In addition, SINS could not be measured in six of our patients with mechanical pain because surgery was performed before the onset of symptoms. Hence, the effect of mechanical pain may not have been properly evaluated in this study. Therefore, when osteolytic lesion is suspected on the radiology along with the newly generated pain, the possibility of deterioration in stability should be carefully examined.