1. Clinicopathological Characteristics of the Patients
As Table 1 shows, there were 325 (74.37%) male patients and 112 (25.63%) female patients. The median age was 61.0 (21.0 ~ 80.0) years; 200 (45.77%) patients were aged over 60 years; and 237 (54.23%) patients were under 60 years. A total of 240 (54.92%) patients accepted 3 rounds of NACT or more, while 197 (45.08%) patients accepted fewer than 3 rounds. The number of patients with tumor locations in the upper, middle, and lower regions were 126 (28.83%), 103 (23.57), and 208 (47.60%), respectively. In terms of operation, 398 (91.08%) patients underwent open surgery, and only 39 (8.92%) patients underwent laparoscope surgery. Moreover, proximate gastrectomy (GR) was only performed on 4 (0.92%) patients, while distal GR and total GR were performed on 180 (41.19%) patients and 253 (57.89%), respectively.
Table 1
Clinical–pathological data of included patients.
Variable
|
Cases, n(%)
|
Sex
|
|
Male
|
325 (74.37)
|
Female
|
112 (25.63)
|
Age
|
|
> 60
|
200 (45.77)
|
≤ 60
|
237 (54.23)
|
NACT Cycle
|
|
≥ 3
|
240 (54.92)
|
< 3
|
197 (45.08)
|
Tumor location
|
|
Upper
|
126 (28.83)
|
Middle
|
103 (23.57)
|
Lower
|
208 (47.60)
|
Differentiation
|
|
Poor
|
367 (83.98)
|
Well- moderately
|
70 (16.02)
|
TRG
|
|
Tumor regression
|
91 (20.82)
|
Tumor residue
|
346 (79.18)
|
Surgical method
|
|
Open
|
398 (91.08)
|
Laparoscope
|
39 (8.92)
|
Type of resection
|
|
Proximate gastrectomy
|
4 (0.92)
|
Distal gastrectomy
|
180 (41.19)
|
Total gastrectomy
|
253 (57.89)
|
Values are presented as number (%). NACT, neoadjuvant chemotherapy; TRG, tumor regression grade. |
Regarding the pathological features, tumor regression (TRG0 and TRG1) was acquired in 91 (20.82%), and tumor residue (TRG2 and TRG3) was acquired in 346 (79.18%). With regard to tumor differentiation, 367 (83.98%) patients had poor differentiation, and 70 (16.02%) patients had well- moderate differentiation.
2. Inflammatory and Nutritional Marker Changes During NACT
Figure 1 indicates the changes in inflammatory and nutritional markers before and after NACT. No variation was shown only in the NLR levels and BMI in the course of NACT. Most of the inflammatory markers decreased, including lymphocytes, platelets, LMR, PLR, SII, CRP, and CAR, while leucocytes, neutrophils, and monocytes increased after NACT. Regarding the nutritional markers, the hemoglobulin and albumin levels were slightly decreased during NACT.
3. The Relationship of Prognosis and Hematologic Indexes after Grouping by Lab Normal Standard in Pre-NACT and Post-NACT.
As the hematologic markers were divided into 2 groups (normal/abnormal), as shown in Fig. 2, 326 patients with normal BMI before NACT had a favorable OS than the other 111 patients (P = 0.0106), and 305 patients with normal lymphocyte level after NACT also had a better OS than the other 132 patients (P < 0.001).
As the hematologic markers were divided into 3 groups (below/normal/above), as shown in Fig. 3, 54 patients whose platelet level before NACT were higher than normal had the best prognosis, and 348 patients whose platelet level were normal had a better OS than the patients whose platelet level were below normal (P < 0.001). Moreover, 16 patients whose lymphocyte level after NACT were higher than normal had the best prognosis, and 305 patients whose lymphocyte level were normal had a better OS than the patients whose lymphocyte level were below normal (P < 0.001).
With regard to the 3-year survival rate, the patients with normal pre-NACT BMI had a 3-year OS of 63.9%, the patients with abnormal BMI had a 3-year OS of 54.7%, the patients with normal post-NACT lymphocyte level had a 3-year OS of 66.4%, and the patients with abnormal post-NACT lymphocyte level had a 3-year OS of 48.6%.
Moreover, the patients whose pre-NACT platelet level were above normal had the best prognosis, with a 3-year OS of 84.7%, and compared to the patients whose platelet level were below normal, with a 3-year OS of 31.9%, the patients whose platelet level stayed normal had a better prognosis, with a 3-year OS of 60.8%. For post-NACT lymphocyte level, the patients whose lymphocyte level were above normal had the best prognosis, with a 3-year OS of 79.7%, and compared to the patients whose platelet level were below normal, with a 3-year OS of 45.4%, the patients whose platelet level stayed normal had a better prognosis, with a 3-year OS of 66.6%.
4. The Connection Between Prognosis and the Changes in Hematologic Indexes during NACT.
As Fig. 4 shows, the change in the hematologic indexes, including hemoglobulin, BMI, platelet and lymphocyte level, during NACT also had a significant correlation with OS. The patients with up-regulated hemoglobulin or up-regulated BMI both have an adverse prognosis compared with the other patients.
In addition, those whose platelet level decreased during NACT had a better OS than those whose platelet level increased or remained unchanged. All of the patients with higher platelet level after NACT died within 3 years. Conversely, the patients with higher lymphocyte level after NACT had a preferable prognosis than the patients with invariant or lower lymphocyte level.
5. The Relationship of Prognosis and Systemic Inflammatory and Nutritional Markers’ 6.Change Rate after Grouping by X-tile.
The change rates of NLR, LMR, PLR, SII, and CAR were associated with OS after grouping by cutoff values derived from X-tile (P < 0.05). Figure 5 shows that the optimal cutoff points for NLR, LMR, PLR, SII, and CAR change rate (α) were − 15%, -61%, -19%, 12%, and 173%, respectively, according to the X-tile plots. The patients with PLR (α) > -19% had a favorable OS compared to the patients whose descent rate was more than 19%. Moreover, such differences were also observed with changes in the NLR (P < 0.001), LMR (P < 0.001), SII (P < 0.001) and CAR (P = 0.0247).
7. Several factors were associated with prognosis in gastric cancer patients.
As indicated in Table 2, the univariate analysis showed that differentiation, TRG, pre-NACT BMI, pre-NACT platelet level, post-NACT lymphocyte level, change in lymphocyte level, change in platelet level, LMR change rate (α), PLR change rate (α), SII change rate (α), and CAR change rate (α) were closely related to OS (P < 0.05).
Table 2
Univariate and multivariate analyses of OS in advanced gastric cancer patients.
Variable
|
Univariate
|
Multivariate
|
HR
|
95% CI
|
P
|
HR
|
95% CI
|
P
|
Sex
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Male
|
Ref.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Female
|
1.258
|
0.910–1.739
|
0.165
|
|
|
|
Age
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
≤ 60
|
Ref.
|
|
|
|
|
|
> 60
|
1.102
|
0.818–1.484
|
0.523
|
|
|
|
Tumor location
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Upper
|
Ref.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Middle
|
1.106
|
0.721–1.697
|
0.645
|
|
|
|
Lower
|
1.134
|
0.947–1.357
|
0.170
|
|
|
|
NACT Cycle
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
< 3
|
Ref.
|
|
|
|
|
|
≥ 3
|
1.061
|
0.928–1.211
|
0.388
|
|
|
|
Surgery
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Open
|
Ref.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Laparoscope
|
0.923
|
0.534–1.594
|
0.773
|
|
|
|
Differentiation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Poor
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Well- moderate
|
0.386
|
0.223–0.666
|
0.001
|
0.452
|
0.259–0.788
|
0.005
|
Operation mode
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proximate GR
|
Ref.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Distal GR
|
1.468
|
0.204–10.559
|
0.703
|
|
|
|
Total GR
|
1.212
|
0.453–3.246
|
0.702
|
|
|
|
TRG
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tumor residue
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Tumor regression
|
0.603
|
0.400-0.909
|
0.016
|
0.629
|
0.413–0.958
|
0.031
|
pre- NACT BMI
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Normal
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Unnormal
|
1.412
|
1.021–1.952
|
0.037
|
1.304
|
0.931–1.827
|
0.122
|
pre- NACT PLT
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011
|
Normal
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Below normal
|
2.097
|
1.350–3.258
|
0.001
|
1.283
|
0.736–2.236
|
0.379
|
Above normal
|
0.558
|
0.391–0.797
|
0.001
|
0.337
|
0.161–0.706
|
0.004
|
post- NACT Lym
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.555
|
Normal
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Below normal
|
1.894
|
1.389–2.585
|
< 0.001
|
1.718
|
0.553–5.340
|
0.350
|
Above normal
|
0.611
|
0.474–1.287
|
0.333
|
0.866
|
0.513–1.464
|
0.592
|
LMR
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
α > -61%
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
α ≤ -61%
|
2.006
|
1.373–2.930
|
< 0.001
|
1.279
|
0.823–1.986
|
0.273
|
PLR
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
α ≤ -19%
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
α > -19%
|
3.914
|
2.872–5.334
|
< 0.001
|
3.193
|
2.194–4.649
|
< 0.001
|
SII
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
α > 12%
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref
|
|
|
α ≤ 12%
|
2.154
|
1.593–2.913
|
< 0.001
|
1.016
|
0.704–1.468
|
0.931
|
CAR
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
α > 173%
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
α ≤ 173%
|
1.625
|
1.056-2.500
|
0.027
|
1.375
|
0.877–2.154
|
0.165
|
Change of Lym
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.099
|
Up-regulated
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Non-regulated
|
2.775
|
1.135–6.783
|
0.025
|
2.550
|
0.918–7.086
|
0.073
|
Down-regulated
|
5.293
|
2.100-13.342
|
< 0.001
|
3.576
|
1.114–11.478
|
0.032
|
Change of PLT
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.156
|
Down-regulated
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Ref.
|
|
|
Non-regulated
|
0.774
|
0.567–1.058
|
0.109
|
1.364
|
0.938–1.983
|
0.104
|
Up-regulated
|
4.384
|
1.917–10.028
|
< 0.001
|
1.710
|
0.658–4.446
|
0.271
|
NACT, neoadjuvant chemotherapy; GR, gastrectomy; TRG, tumor regression grade; BMI, body mass index; PLT, platelet; Lym, lymphocyte; LMR, lymphocyte‑to‑monocyte ratio; PLR, platelet‑to‑lymphocyte ratio; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; CAR, C‑reactive protein‑to‑albumin ratio. |
The multivariate analysis with the Cox proportional hazards model indicated that differentiation (P = 0.005), TRG (P = 0.031), and PLR change rate (α) (P < 0.001) were independent prognostic indicators. The patients whose PLR (α) was more than − 19% had a 3.193-fold (95% CI: 2.194–4.649) higher risk of death (P < 0.001) than the others.