Here we measured the prevalence of 21 distinct HPV types and found the overall prevalence of HPV in this representative sample of women was 18.71% and HR-HPV of 15.17%, amongst 214,715 women prior to HPV vaccination. The high HR-HPV prevalence indicated the inadequacy of routine cervical screening in the region. Additionally, the large sample size allows for precise estimation of both increases and decreases in HPV type specific prevalence, which could be used as a baseline of comparison to future sampling of the entire population.
Global HPV prevalence estimates are known to vary by the region, study design, target population and calendar time [16]. According to the previous reports, HPV positive rates range from 6.70% to 44.50% in China [11]. Notably, Western Asia (1.70%) and North America (4.70%) had a low rates of HPV infection, while East Africa (33.6%) and the Caribbean (35.4%) had a high rates of HPV infection [17-19]. HR-HPV genotype distribution was also heterogeneous, ranging from 9.90%–27.50% in China, which is 15.17% in current study, as with that in Guangdong (20.02%), Guiyang (20.45%) and Nanning (22.28%) [20]. The variation was expected to be explained by cultural diversity, the sampling strategy, methods and devices, as well as the sensitivity and specificity of the HPV detection assays.
In present study, the sampling methods and devices, and Hybribio test were enrolled for HPV detection assays unaltered for over 7 years, which could monitor the annual changes of HPV prevalence sufficiently. We found HPV prevalence showed a significant downward trend from 2012 to 2016. Analogous results of the HR-HPV positive rates were also found to decline from 25.3% in 2007 to 18.4% in 2014, in Guangzhou [21]. This decline may be due to the following reasons: 1) emphasis on cervical cancer has led to increase participation in screening, including those without cervical abnormalities; 2) in the last decade, some women tested positive for HPV became negative, due to immunization and treatment; and 3) individuals were more likely to be aware of HPV and HPV vaccination following the continuous improvements of living conditions and public health awareness. Several studies have demonstrated the association of HPV with economic development. Women from impoverished countries and areas suffered a high prevalence of HPV, e.g., 66.7% among young females in South Africa and 44.5% in Henan province of China [19, 22]. On the contrary, a low rate of 6.7% was found among women in Beijing—the capital of China, which remained the most flourishing cultural and economic center in China, and also had the excellent healthcare system, indicating a strong correlation of HPV with socioeconomic development [23].
We found HPV52 was the most commonly detected genotype, in agreement with that stated in Japan, Taiwan, and eastern Africa [24]. However, it was inconsistent with the data reported that HPV16 was the predominant genotype in other studies [3] and HPV35 in sub-Saharan Africa [25]. Moreover, prevalence of both HPV52 (5.12%) and -58 (2.51%) was higher than what was reported (2.3% and 1.0% respectively) in the United States [3], and a nationwide population-based investigation in 37 cities in China [20]. HPV 16 is the strain most likely to cause cancer. Thus, clinic-based studies usually found higher prevalence of HPV16 than population-based studies [24, 26]. We found the overall prevalence of HPV16 to be relatively low, which was in accordance with an estimated HPV16 prevalence of 3.2% from a meta-analysis of 1 million women with normal cytology [27]. It is possible that most women seemingly healthy from the physical examination center enrolled in our study were more likely to detect HPV types not related to cervical infection. Our data also indicated that HPV52, -16, and -58 were consistently the top three HR-HPV genotypes from 2012 to 2018, suggesting the HPV vaccine covering these HR-HPV types is routinely recommended, especially for those females at young ages exposed to HPV in this region.
Evaluations in the United State showed that young women had the highest HPV prevalence [3], consistent with our the findings of the highest HPV prevalence (33.11%) among women aged less than 21 years. Young women often have a high infection rate, mainly because they are sexually more active before their immune systems become less sensitive [17]. Although they were known to have high risks for HPV infection, however it is temporary and supposed to disappear within a year or two, and thus its prevalence declined gradually with respect to ages [18]. Predictably, the prevalence of HPV slightly declined in middle ages, yet significantly increased among the oldest people, which are consistent with those in most developed countries and the data from Bruni and colleagues [27]. The mechanism of this increase in infection rates is unclear at present. Other than persistent infections that seem to be more prominent among females at older ages [19], this increase could be also explained by re-marriage, reactivation of latent HPV in menopausal women and the cohort variation [16]. In addition, women aged 31-40 years were the most common population for screening, and those aged 41-50 years showed an increase trend in this study, thus routine screening is strongly recommended for women over 30.
In an unweighted analysis of women with multiple HPV genotype infections, we found HR-HPV genotypes accounted for over 80% of multiple infections, which mainly occurred at ages either younger than 21 or older than 60. Some have suggested HPV infection with multiple genotypes may prolong the duration of infection and increase the risk of cervical cancer and cervical precancerous lesions [28], leading to a complication of multiple infections among older women. Multiple infections were believed to have competitive and/or cooperative interactions between HPV genotypes [29]. Although the mechanisms and potential oncogenic effects of multiple genotype infections still require further investigation, this study could still be beneficial to the development of HPV prophylactic vaccines.
The overall strengths of this study include the large sample size, unaltered HPV genotyping methods over 7 years, decade-long study period measuring the trends of HPV infection on a yearly basis, and the use of PCR testing rather than serologic tests, which allows for accurate determination of simultaneous co-infection, all of that provide a good baseline for epidemiological surveillance after the introduction of HPV vaccine at population level. However, several limitations exist in our study. Firstly, HPV DNA testing does not reflect the previous and cumulative incidence of HPV infections, but only the current infection status. Secondly, our study included specimens from women, without pathological data, such as, cervical cytology and histology results, which was unable to explain the relationship between HPV infection and pathology. Thirdly, no male samples were analyzed, so our study would not be able to represent the infection of HPV in general population in the region. Lastly, the detailed information about the patients, such as education level, economic status and background related to HPV infection, were not documented in this study, hindering a more comprehensive evaluation of the effects of these factors on the prevalence of HPV infection.
In conclusion, our study provides an estimate of prevalent HPV infection among a large female population in Southern China. Overall, HPV prevalence was high (18.71%), showing a downward trend from 2012 to 2018, and women aged less than 21 years old had the highest HPV prevalence. Importantly, HPV52, -16, and -58 were the major genotypes at all times, regardless of the fact that their ranks varied with respect to the ages and years. Our study enables the estimations of HPV vaccine impact among women spanning a broad age range, provide guidance for clinical care and public health policy including cervical screening and vaccination, and would also be useful for the other low- and middle-income areas with a heavy HPV infection burden to fight against cervical cancer.