A complete imaging package, including DUS PSV and EDV, CTA, iQA and IVUS was obtained in 300 patients; whose clinical characteristics are given in Table 1.
n
|
300
|
Table 1
Clinical characteristics of the CARUS study patients
Age, years, median
[Q1-Q3]
|
66
[60.0–72.0]
|
Womenn (%)
|
108 (36.0)
|
Arterial hypertensionn (%)
|
266 (88.7)
|
Diabetesn (%)
|
96 (32.0)
|
on insulinn (%)
|
31 (10.3)
|
CAD
|
201 (67.0)
|
h/o myocardial infarctionn (%)
|
76 (25.3)
|
smoking (current or past)n (%)
|
160 (53.3)
|
PADn (%)
|
45 (15.0)
|
BMI, median
[Q1-Q3]
|
27.7
[25.7–30.1]
|
Creatinine, µmol/L, median
[Q1-Q3]
|
85
[74–101]
|
30 ≤ eGFR < 60, mL/minn (%)
|
65 (22.2)
|
CAD = coronary artery disease, PAD = peripheral artery disease, BMI = body mass index, eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate
Table 2 shows baseline characteristics of the study lesions.
n
|
300
|
Table 2
Baseline characteristics of study lesions
RICA, n, %
LICA, n, %
|
137 (45.7)
163 (54.3)
|
PSV, m/s, median
[Q1-Q3]
|
2.5
[1.9–3.3]
|
EDV, m/s, median
[Q1-Q3]
|
0.9
[0.6–1.2]
|
Diameter stenosis, % (NASCET), median
[Q1-Q3]
|
69.9
[60.5–77.1]
|
CTA Area Stenosis (%), median
[Q1-Q3]
|
73
[63–81]
|
PSV = Peak Systolic Velocity, EDV = End-Diastolic Velocity, NASCET = North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial method12
iQA imaging (that routinely involved anticoagulation with ≥ 5000 IU UFH) and IVUS imaging (with elective use of a proximal or distal cerebral protection device) were uncomplicated. 112 (37.3%) study lesions were evaluated with IVUS in absence of a cerebral protection device use. IVUS imaging was filter-protected in 142 (47.3%) cases, whereas proximal protection was used in 46 (15.3%) cases.
There was a curvilinear relationship between DUS velocities (PSV, EDV) and IVUS-MLA (correlation coefficient of 0.49 and 0.42, respectively) and, similarly, between DUS velocities and IVUS-AS (correlation coefficient of 0.51 and 0.45, respectively, p < 0.001 for all; Fig. 1).
Study data-derived mathematical formulas relating PSV and EDV with MLA and AS by IVUS according to the best-fit curves are provided in Fig. 1.
Figure 2–4 and Suppl Fig. 1–4 demonstrate the relationship between the routine imaging modalities and IVUS measurements in the following order: Panel A - correlation coefficient plot, Panel B - bar chart showing absolute and relative difference against IVUS measurements, Panel C - Bland-Altman plot showing agreement between the methods and any systematic shift, Panel D - bar chart showing the proportion of measurements concordant with IVUS (within ± 10% of the IVUS measurement value) and those over- and underestimated.
DUS MLD and RD measurements were performed in the first 100 (out of 126; 79.4%) study arteries with visualization considered sufficient to appropriately determine stenosis severity according to NASCET. There was only a moderate (though statistically significant) correlation between DUS-MLD and IVUS-MLD (r= 0.35, p<0.001), DUS-RD and IVUS-RD (r= 0.33, p<0.001), and DUS-DS and IVUS-DS (r= 0.41, p<0.001). DUS systematically underestimated MLD and overestimated DS (Suppl Fig 1-I, 1-II, and 1-III, Suppl Table 1).
There was a good correlation between AS by CTA and IVUS (r=0.69, p<0.001, Fig 2). CTA measurements of AS were concordant with IVUS in 57.4% (CTA underestimation in 12.5% cases, overestimation in 30.1%; Fig 2, Suppl Table 1). This occurred despite the CTA systematic underestimation of MLA (92.3% cases) and RA (80.4%) in relation to IVUS (Suppl Fig 2-I and 2-II, Suppl Table 1).
iQA measurements of DS showed concordance with IVUS-DS only in 41.1%. iQA underestimated the IVUS measurement in 7.9%, whereas overestimation in relation to IVUS occurred in 51.0% of cases (Fig 3). Overall, the correlation between DS by iQA and IVUS was acceptable (r=0.63, p<0.001). Data for MLD and RD by iQA vs IVUS are given in Suppl Fig 3-I and Suppl Fig 3-II respectively.
The largest proportion of measurements concordant with IVUS (65.3%, Fig 4) occurred for densitometric evaluation of AS by iQA.
With this technique, comparing automatically the density of the contrast column in the reference segment and at the point, it reaches a minimum, there was a similar proportion of under- and overestimated measurements (14.8% and 19.9% respectively, Fig 4). The relationship between densitometric iQA and IVUS for MLA and RA measurements is presented in Suppl Fig 4-I and Suppl Fig 4-II. The densitometric iQA measurements highly correlated with IVUS (r=0.75 for AS, r=0.82 for MLA, r=0.60 for RA, p<0.001 for all).
ROC analysis identified iQA densitometric measurement of the stenosis severity as the best predictor of IVUS-determined AS ≥75% (AUC 0.88, cutoff 74%, Fig 5). Individual ROC analyses of the predictive values of DUS flow velocities and CTA for IVUS-DS ≥50% and IVUS-AS ≥75% are provided in Suppl Fig 5-I and Suppl Fig 5-II.
Table 3
IVUS validation of DUS flow velocities (PSV, EDV) and CTA area stenosis ≥ 75% against IVUS area stenosis ≥ 75%
ASIVUS ≥75%
|
|
Cutoff
|
AUC
|
sensitivity
|
specificity
|
PPV
|
NPV
|
p-value
|
PSV
|
2.58 m/s
|
0.77
|
0.74
|
0.71
|
0.64
|
0.80
|
< 0.001
|
EDV
|
0.75 m/s
|
0.74
|
0.77
|
0.61
|
0.57
|
0.80
|
< 0.001
|
CTA
|
72.4%
|
0.79
|
0.74
|
0.71
|
0.61
|
0.85
|
< 0.001
|
PSV&EDV
|
n/a
|
0.77
|
0.74
|
0.71
|
0.64
|
0.80
|
< 0.001 for PSV
0.98 for EDV
|
PSV&EDV
&CTA
|
n/a
|
0.85
|
0.79
|
0.82
|
0.74
|
0.85
|
0.32 for PSV
0.34 for EDV
< 0.001 for CT
|
On univariate model, PSV (ROC area under the curve, AUC 0.77, cutoff 2.6m/s), EDV (AUC 0.72, cutoff 0.71m/s) and CTA DS (AUC 0.83, cutoff 59.6%) were predictors of ≥ 50% DS by IVUS (p < 0.001 for all). Detailed data including sensitivity, specificity and the positive and negative predictive value of PSV, EDV and CTA in determining AS ≥ 75% and DS ≥ 50% by IVUS are given in Table 3 and Table 4.
Table 4
IVUS validation of DUS flow velocities (PSV, EDV) and CTA diameter stenosis ≥ 50% against IVUS diameter stenosis ≥ 50%
DSIVUS ≥50%
|
|
Cutoff
|
AUC
|
sensitivity
|
specificity
|
PPV
|
NPV
|
p-value
|
PSV
|
2.6 m/s
|
0.77
|
0.62
|
0.83
|
0.87
|
0.52
|
< 0.001
|
EDV
|
0.71 m/s
|
0.72
|
0.68
|
0.66
|
0.80
|
0.51
|
< 0.001
|
CTA
|
59.6%
|
0.83
|
0.83
|
0.68
|
0.83
|
0.68
|
< 0.001
|
PSV&EDV
|
n/a
|
0.77
|
0.67
|
0.77
|
0.85
|
0.63
|
< 0.001 for PSV
0.67 for EDV
|
PSV&EDV
&CTA
|
n/a
|
0.85
|
0.75
|
0.81
|
0.88
|
0.63
|
0.23 for PSV
0.46 for EDV
< 0.001 for CT
|
The multivariable model eliminated PSV and EDV, leaving CTA as a sole (amongst those evaluated in the study) independent non-invasive diagnostic modality to determine carotid stenosis severity (p = 0.008).