Baseline Cohort Characteristics
Based on the inclusion criteria, this study cohort was formed by 17,654 IIIA/N2 NSCLC patients, of which 8,786 males and 8,868 females. Among the patients, 5,512 (31.22%) were treated neither with surgery or radiotherapy, 7,184 (40.69%) received surgery only, 652 (3.69%) were given preoperative radiotherapy, 4,206 (23.82%) were given PORT, and 100 (0.57%) were treated with radiotherapy both before and after surgery. The demographic and clinical parameter of patients are listed in Table 1.
Patients that underwent surgery only (40.69%) constitute the vast majority of patients included in the study, while those treated with radiotherapy both before and after surgery (0.57%) were the least representative, especially in elderly patients. PORT with surgery constituted an increasing proportion of therapeutic procedures during the period considered (26.3% from 2004-2007, 31.5% from 2008-2011, and 42.2% from 2012-2017), whereas preoperative radiotherapy with surgery decreased (37.0% from 2004-2007, 33.1% from 2008-2011, and 29.9% from 2012-2017) in the same period (Figure 1). The majority of patients over 75 years of age refused radiotherapy (84.8%) regardless of whether they underwent surgery, while the refusal rate was only at 67.4% in patients younger than 75 years. Additionally, patients who underwent radiotherapy combined with surgery (over 90%) were more likely to receive chemotherapy than those who only had surgery (44.3%). We found statistically significant difference in all the baseline parameters between groups (p<0.001). Moreover, patients who refused radiotherapy were older (30.43% vs 2.32% over 75 years old) and less treated with chemotherapy than others (58.33% vs 91.13%).
Univariate and multivariate analysis
In the univariate COX regression analysis of OS and LCSS, the hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI) [HR(95% CI)] compared with patients underwent surgery only of patients that underwent preoperative radiotherapy was 0.477 (0.429-0.531) and 0.507 (0.452-0.568) for OS and LCSS, respectively; of PORT patients 0.632 (0.602-0.662) and 0.645 (0.612-0.679); of patients that underwent radiotherapy both before and after sugary 0.593 (0.466-0.755) and 0.56 (0.426-0.736), and of patients that underwent neither radiotherapy nor surgery was 1.052 (1.010-1.095) and 1.057(1.011-1.104),. All the p-values were less than 0.05. This analysis showed that the following parameters are associated with a significantly shorter OS and LCSS: female sex, old age, not AD, no chemotherapy, lager tumor, higher grade, no surgery or radiotherapy, white ethnicity, earlier year of diagnosis, non-upper lobe primary lesion, higher grade, unmarried, low income.
According to the multivariate analysis, age, sex, tumor size, histology, laterality, primary site, pathologic differentiation grade, chemotherapy and radiotherapy with surgery variables were statistically significant (p < 0.001). The multivariate analysis showed that all the four combination of surgery and radiotherapy promoted a better survival than having neither surgery or radiotherapy. Patients with only surgery were taken as the reference for the subsequent analysis. The HR (95% CI, p) of patients that underwent preoperative radiotherapy was 0.589 (0.529-0.657), p < 0.001 and 0.606 (0.539-0.681), p < 0.001 for OS and LCSS, respectively; for patients that underwent PORT was 0.775 (0.737-0.816), p < 0.001 and 0.772 (0.731-0.816), p < 0.001; and for patients that underwent radiotherapy both before and after surgery was 0.752 (0.590-0.957), p = 0.021 and 0.687 (0.522-0.904), p = 0.007. For patients who refused surgery or radiotherapy, p values were not significant. Results of the univariate and multivariate Cox regression of prognostic factors for OS and LCSS in IIIA/N2 NSCLC patients are shown in Table 2.
Survival Outcomes
The median follow-up for the whole cohort was 39 months for OS and 48 months for LCSS. The median follow-up for the surgery only, preoperative radiotherapy with surgery, PORT with surgery, radiotherapy both before and after surgery, and no surgery or radiotherapy groups were 36, 66, 51, 55 and 31 months, respectively for OS and 45, 72, 59, 66 and 40 months for LCSS. Patients who received preoperative radiotherapy with surgery had the longest 5-year overall survival (42.8%) and lung cancer-specific survival (47.1%).
The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the OS and LCSS, showing that preoperative radiotherapy was the optimal strategy among IIIA/N2 patients (p < 0.001). Moreover, patients that underwent surgery had better survival than who refused it (p < 0.001). The survival of patients that underwent surgery combined with radiotherapy was better than patients who underwent surgery only (p < 0.001). The Survival analysis was performed using the log-rank test, and showed that the pairwise difference between each groups were statistically significant (Figure 2).
A similar result was observed in the subgroup analysis of the OS and LCSS Kaplan-Meier. Importantly, we found that the optimal treatment for the subgroup of patients with > 75 years old was PORT, while in the subgroup of no chemotherapy the optimal treatment was radiotherapy both before and after surgery (Figure 3, Figure 4). The OS and LCSS analysis showed that the survival rate of patients that underwent preoperative radiotherapy was not significantly different than patients who underwent PORT in the AD subgroup (p = 0.8274 and 0.7653 for OS and LCSS analysis, respectively). Moreover, there was no significant difference between the survival of patients who refused surgery and that of patients who received surgery (p = 0.6848 and 0.5293 for OS and LCSS analysis, respectively) in the subgroup of patients with age > 75.