In this retrospective study, patients with esophageal cancer who received nICT showed higher pCR and downstaging rates compared with nCT arm; however, the differences were not statistically significant. Patients who achieved downgrading showed better MPR and pCR rates. Finally, the nICT group did not show significantly better EFS than the nCT group. This suggested that neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy was not superior to chemotherapy alone in esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy.
Recently, immunotherapy has become a popular field for treating solid tumors, including esophageal cancer[12]. In multiple Phase II clinical studies, neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy demonstrated safety and efficacy in treating esophageal cancer[5, 7, 13]. And in Phase III clinical study by Sun et al., objective response rates (ORR) were significantly higher in the group treated with pembrolizumab combined with chemotherapy than in the group treated with chemotherapy alone (45.0% vs. 29.3%, P༜0.001)[14]. At first sight, these observations seemed to be contradictory to our results. However, there were several reasons that can explain why the EFS of the nICT group was not significantly better than the nCT group. Firstly, EFS has been influenced by postoperative adjuvant therapy. Over time, the selection of appropriate postoperative adjuvant therapy may shorten the difference in tumor recurrence or progression time between nICT and nCT groups. It was worth mentioning that further studies were needed to determine whether patients with esophageal cancer needed further adjuvant therapy after surgery. Evidence showed that esophageal cancer patients with residual lymphatic invasion after surgery needed adjuvant therapy[15]. Secondly, some patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant therapy may not be sensitive to immunotherapy. It was essential to look for biomarkers that predicted a high response to immunotherapy in patients with esophageal cancer. Unfortunately, this study did not include relevant predictive indicators, including PD-L1. Liu et al. confirmed that esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with up-regulation of ABCC3, CBR1, and TALDO1 were not sensitive to immunotherapy[16].
In contrast, ESCC patients with enriched immune-related functional pathways (such as NK cells and B cell activity) were sensitive to immunotherapy and had a better prognosis[16]. In addition, the absence of subgroup analysis of the pathological types of esophageal cancer in this study may also be the reason why the EFS of the nICT group was not better than the nCT group. A study showed that ESCC (PD-L1 positive rate of about 44%) had a better response to immunotherapy than esophageal adenocarcinoma (PD-L1 positive rate of about 18%)[12]. This may also be related to the biological characteristics of ESCC, including the high frequency of tumor antigens[17]
The prognostic analysis of esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy in this study was based on histopathology, and post-operative specimens achieved the grading of pathological reactions. Pathological reactions have been used to predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy[9]. Among patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy, those who achieved pCR or MPR had a better prognosis[18, 19]. In this study, 17 patients achieved MPR and 7 pCR. These results suggested that TRG was a prognostic factor for esophageal cancer.
On the other hand, patients who achieved downgrading had higher MPR and PCR rates, suggesting that downgrading can also be used as a prognostic indicator for esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy. Computed tomography (CT), positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET-CT), and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) cannot be adequate to accurately assess pCR in patients with esophageal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy[20]. To a certain extent, the combination of endoscopy and biopsy determined the pathological response of esophageal cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant treatment [21]. Other methods have also been found to predict the prognosis of esophageal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant therapy. It was worth mentioning that metabolic response was superior to histopathology in assessing the prognosis of patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy[22]. A study by Buck et al. proved that using the binary classifier trained on spatial tumor metabolite data for stratification of esophageal adenocarcinoma patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy had an accuracy of 89.7% was better than 70.5% using histopathology[22]. In addition, another study demonstrated that the quantitative response evaluation criteria in solid tumors with multiparametric MRI can assess the prognosis of ESCC patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy[23].
In the future, more clinical trials are needed to confirm our conclusions. ECOG conducted a phase II/III trial to evaluate the efficacy of nivolumab and ipilimumab in perioperative patients (n = 278) with esophageal adenocarcinoma and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma[3]. The primary endpoints included pCR rates and EFS, which were expected to be completed in 2023[3]. Yan et al. proposed a Phase III clinical trial to further evaluate the role of toripalimab plus chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant setting for patients with resectable ESCC[24]. In addition, improving the efficacy of immunotherapy in patients with esophageal cancer was also the direction of future research. The animal experiment showed that the expression of PD-L1 increased from 45.16–77.42% in a dose-dependent manner in a mouse model of esophageal adenocarcinoma induced by chemoradiotherapy (P = 0.001)[25]. Another study found that trastuzumab can increase tumor PD-L1 expression, and the combination of anti-PD-1 antibodies and trastuzumab can play a synergistic antitumor effect[26]. These suggested that immunotherapy combined with chemoradiotherapy or targeted therapy may bring a higher pathological response rate to patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma.
This study lacked an adequate sample size, and our findings were not statistically significant. The follow-up time was not long enough to see more considerable relapsed events between the nICT and the nCT groups. The retrospective study lacked analyses of markers that predicted the efficacy of neoadjuvant immunotherapy. This study included esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, adenocarcinoma, and other pathological types, without analysis of subgroups. Our study was based on the Chinese population, and the results may not apply to populations in other countries.